JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS)
Market Price (11/5/2025): $18.835 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS)
Market Price (11/5/2025): $18.835
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -1.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% | Not profitable at operating income level Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Attractive yield Dividend Yield is 4.6% | Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214% | |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 35% | Weak revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.9% | |
| Not cash flow generative FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negative ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yield Dividend Yield is 4.6% |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 35% |
| Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -1.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% |
| Not profitable at operating income level Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214% |
| Weak revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.9% |
| Not cash flow generative FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negative ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
JBGS Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JBGS Return | -19% | -5% | -31% | -6% | -5% | 25% | -39% |
| Peers Return | -15% | 26% | -40% | -3% | -15% | -16% | -56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JBGS Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 57% | 37% | 48% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JBGS Max Drawdown | -42% | -11% | -37% | -30% | -17% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -7% | -45% | -38% | -29% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, ARE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | JBGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 120 days |
Compare to HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, ARE
In The Past
JBG SMITH Properties's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/11/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 172.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to JBGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for JBG SMITH Properties
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 650 |
| Op Inc LTM | 12 |
| FCF LTM | 54 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 106 |
| CFO LTM | 88 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 168 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | -3.7 |
| P/E | -1.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | -1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 1.8 |
| Net D/E | 1.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -22.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -21.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -96.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Xanders George Laucks | Chief Investment Officer | 9152025 | Sell | 23.48 | 2,750 | 64,570 | 93,920 | Form |
| 1 | Valdes Angela | Chief Accounting Officer | 9112025 | Sell | 23.04 | 4,775 | 110,016 | Form | |
| 2 | MUSELES STEVEN A | Chief Legal Off. & Corp. Secy | 9032025 | Sell | 21.17 | 4,622 | 97,848 | 27,415 | Form |
| 3 | Banerjee Madhumita Moina | Chief Financial Officer | 8202025 | Sell | 20.58 | 24,524 | 504,704 | Form | |
| 4 | ESTES SCOTT A | 11052024 | Sell | 17.26 | 20,000 | 345,200 | 517,800 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.