Tearsheet

Amazon.com (AMZN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $232.48 | Market Cap: $2.5 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Amazon.com (AMZN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $232.48
Market Cap: $2.5 Tril
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMZN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Amazon.com (AMZN) stock movements, including fluctuations around 1.5%, were influenced by several key factors: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report.** Amazon announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, reporting net sales of $180.2 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.95. Both figures surpassed analyst expectations and initially contributed to the stock reaching its first all-time high since February 2025.

**2. Accelerated AWS Growth and AI Investments.** Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue reaccelerated significantly in Q3 2025, growing 20.2% year-over-year to $33 billion, which was the fastest pace since 2022 and exceeded projections. This strong performance was underpinned by substantial investments in AI infrastructure, including the operational launch of Project Rainier data centers with Trainium2 chips and the unveiling of the next-generation Trainium3 AI chip, signaling Amazon's aggressive push in the artificial intelligence market.

**3. Impact of Special Charges on Operating Income.** Amazon's reported operating income for Q3 2025 was $17.4 billion, but this figure was reduced by $4.3 billion due to two significant special charges. These included a $2.5 billion legal settlement with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and an additional $1.8 billion in estimated severance costs related to planned role eliminations. These charges negatively affected reported profitability and could have tempered investor enthusiasm despite strong top-line growth.

**4. Concerns Over High Capital Expenditures.** The company raised its full-year 2025 capital expenditure forecast to approximately $125 billion, primarily directed towards scaling AWS infrastructure and advancing AI capabilities. While indicative of long-term growth ambitions, these elevated spending plans, alongside a broader market "AI-induced sell-off" observed in late October and November, contributed to concerns among investors, leading to a reported 9% drop in Amazon shares over the month leading up to early December 2025.

**5. Broader Market Sentiment and Stock Volatility.** Within the period, Amazon's stock experienced notable volatility, including a gain of 7.83% over five trading sessions, yet also a fall of 1.33% in 2025 by mid-October and an overall decrease of 7.92% over the 30 days leading up to December 2, 2025. These fluctuations reflect not only company-specific news but also broader market trends, particularly the shifting sentiment around AI investments and tech stocks during Q4 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMZN Return76%2%-50%81%44%7%154%
Peers Return60%15%-28%42%18%37%204%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMZN Win Rate67%50%25%83%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%50%23%53%50%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMZN Max Drawdown-9%-9%-51%-1%-5%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-9%-33%-4%-11%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, MSFT, WMT, W, BGO. See AMZN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMZNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven470 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven33 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven407 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven187.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days1480 days

Compare to AAPL, MSFT, WMT, W, BGO


In The Past

Amazon.com's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/8/2021. A -56.1% loss requires a 128.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Amazon.com (AMZN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMZN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amazon.com

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMZNAAPLMSFTWMTWBGOMedian
NameAmazon.c.Apple MicrosoftWalmart Wayfair Bialgo C. 
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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America352,828    
International131,200    
Amazon Web Services (AWS)90,75780,09662,20245,37035,026
Advertising services 37,73931,16019,773 
Online stores 220,004222,075197,346141,247
Other 4,2472,1761,68014,085
Physical stores 18,96317,07516,22717,192
Subscription services 35,21831,76825,20719,210
Third-party seller services 117,716103,36680,46153,762
Total574,785513,983469,822386,064280,522


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Amazon Web Services (AWS)24,631    
North America14,877    
International-2,656    
Total36,852    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America196,029    
Corporate153,574    
Amazon Web Services (AWS)108,533    
International69,718    
Total527,854    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity70,637,204
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.7%
Average Daily Volume44,704,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.58
Basic Shares Quantity10,637,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021