Tearsheet

COPT Defense Properties (CDP)


Market Price (11/2/2025): $28.14 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs

COPT Defense Properties (CDP)


Market Price (11/2/2025): $28.14
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Office REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CDP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate 4.4% movement in COPT Defense Properties (CDP) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 1, 2025, can primarily be attributed to several positive developments, most notably the strong third-quarter 2025 earnings report released in late October.

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: COPT Defense Properties reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with Funds From Operations (FFO) per share reaching $0.69, significantly surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.35 or $0.68. The company also exceeded revenue forecasts, reporting $188.8 million against an anticipated $176.36 million or $188.1 million. This marked the company's 21st consecutive quarter of year-over-year FFO growth.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following the strong third-quarter performance, management increased its full-year 2025 FFO per share guidance to a midpoint of $2.70, indicating a 5.1% year-over-year growth. This updated outlook also included raised projections for same-property cash Net Operating Income (NOI) growth (3.75%-4.25%) and year-end occupancy (94.0%-94.4%).

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CDP Return-7%12%-3%4%26%-6%23%
Peers Return-15%26%-40%-3%-15%-14%-54%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CDP Win Rate42%58%50%42%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate35%57%37%48%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CDP Max Drawdown-44%-5%-17%-16%-12%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-7%-45%-38%-29%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, ARE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCDPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1643 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, ARE


In The Past

COPT Defense Properties's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Better Bets than COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CDP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for COPT Defense Properties

Financials

CDPHIWHPPPSTLFSPAREMedian
NameCOPT Def.Highwood.Hudson P.Postal R.Franklin.Alexandr. 
Mkt Price28.1728.632.4414.811.2058.2221.49
Mkt Cap3.23.10.50.30.19.91.8
Rev LTM750808799871092,980774
Op Inc LTM223208-10227-9569117
FCF LTM3033636938-171,376186
FCF 3Y Avg27238418131-181,546227
CFO LTM326363923921,376209
CFO 3Y Avg29838420232111,546250

Growth & Margins

CDPHIWHPPPSTLFSPAREMedian
NameCOPT Def.Highwood.Hudson P.Postal R.Franklin.Alexandr. 
Rev Chg LTM3.0%-2.3%-10.0%26.4%-13.4%-1.6%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.8%-0.5%-5.7%23.3%-13.2%6.4%0.2%
Rev Chg Q1.4%-1.2%-12.8%29.4%-8.0%-5.1%-3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%-0.3%-3.4%6.5%-2.1%-1.3%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM29.7%25.7%-12.8%31.1%-8.3%19.1%22.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.9%26.2%-1.1%24.7%-3.8%23.1%23.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.5%-5.0%3.2%-0.7%-2.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM43.5%44.9%11.6%45.6%2.0%46.2%44.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.1%46.5%21.4%44.6%7.9%53.0%42.8%
FCF/Rev LTM40.4%44.9%8.7%44.1%-15.1%46.2%42.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg37.5%46.5%19.1%42.9%-13.7%53.0%40.2%

Valuation

CDPHIWHPPPSTLFSPAREMedian
NameCOPT Def.Highwood.Hudson P.Postal R.Franklin.Alexandr. 
Mkt Cap3.23.10.50.30.19.91.8
P/S4.23.80.64.01.13.33.6
P/EBIT13.511.1-1.812.3-5.7-476.74.6
P/E22.024.4-1.230.9-2.7-24.110.4
P/CFO9.78.55.48.857.37.28.7
Total Yield8.8%11.0%-83.6%7.5%-33.8%5.1%6.3%
Dividend Yield4.2%6.9%0.1%4.3%3.3%9.2%4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%13.2%29.6%9.8%-9.9%9.1%9.7%
D/E0.81.18.30.92.01.41.3
Net D/E0.81.17.80.91.71.41.2

Returns

CDPHIWHPPPSTLFSPAREMedian
NameCOPT Def.Highwood.Hudson P.Postal R.Franklin.Alexandr. 
1M Rtn-1.9%-11.1%-10.6%-4.1%-25.4%-30.4%-10.9%
3M Rtn4.4%1.8%1.2%8.1%-24.9%-22.2%1.5%
6M Rtn8.4%1.5%8.0%18.5%-22.6%-19.1%4.7%
12M Rtn-8.0%-6.2%-40.6%11.0%-35.9%-44.2%-22.0%
3Y Rtn22.7%28.9%-75.3%14.5%-54.1%-52.7%-19.1%
1M Excs Rtn-3.7%-12.9%-12.5%-5.9%-27.3%-32.3%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn-5.9%-5.8%-6.8%-2.0%-33.0%-31.4%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-11.9%-18.8%-12.3%-1.8%-42.8%-39.4%-15.6%
12M Excs Rtn-26.8%-28.3%-59.7%-8.1%-50.8%-61.8%-39.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.1%-48.8%-153.5%-63.2%-129.3%-130.5%-96.2%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fort Meade/Baltimore/Washington (BW) Corridor290274 254253
Northern Virginia Defense/ information technology (NoVA Defense/IT)8074 5856
Other72697043
Lackland Air Force Base6763 5151
Construction contract and other service revenues6015510871114
Redstone Arsenal5539 2317
Navy Support3333 3333
Data Center Shells2736 2927
Revenues from discontinued operations0-2-30-27 
Defense/IT Portfolio  487  
Wholesale Data Center  302729
Regional Office   6160
Total685739664582641


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fort Meade/Baltimore/Washington (BW) Corridor1,4461,388 1,2781,281
Redstone Arsenal555454 281139
Northern Virginia Defense/ information technology (NoVA Defense/IT)490488 393397
Data Center Shells430461 420279
Other assets365  190191
Other31355454144
Non-operating property assets258  467622
Lackland Air Force Base189194 142147
Navy Support164169 179184
Operating properties lease liabilities included in segment assets34  3117
Investment in unconsolidated real estate joint ventures (UJV) deficit balance included in segment3    
Defense/IT Portfolio  2,842  
Wholesale Data Center  193202203
Regional Office   490392
Total4,2473,7083,5754,0773,854


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,663,976
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-3.0%
Average Daily Volume674,703
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.91
Basic Shares Quantity112,459,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20253.1%  
7/28/2025-1.3%-0.3%2.2%
4/28/2025-4.2%-1.8%2.7%
2/6/2025-0.8%-6.3%-8.7%
10/28/2024-0.2%-0.3%0.4%
7/29/20242.9%-0.2%3.5%
4/25/20243.4%7.3%5.3%
2/8/20242.2%5.2%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121011
# Negative121413
Median Positive2.7%3.1%3.5%
Median Negative-1.7%-2.3%-4.0%
Max Positive3.4%9.2%21.3%
Max Negative-5.3%-6.3%-15.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211101202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DENTON ROBERT L5192025Sell26.704,398117,449 Form
1Snider Britt A.EVP & COO2262025Buy26.931,00026,93080,790Form
2BUDORICK STEPHEN EPRESIDENT/CEO11082024Sell32.548,854288,1455,007,936Form
3BUDORICK STEPHEN EPRESIDENT/CEO11072024Sell32.649,000293,7245,311,052Form
4BUDORICK STEPHEN EPRESIDENT/CEO11062024Sell32.419,000291,6455,565,105Form