Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.6%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

BFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the approximate -6.3% movement in Saul Centers (symbol: BFS) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 1, 2025:

1. Saul Centers reported a miss on second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue. On August 7, 2025, the company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.73, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.75. Additionally, revenue for the quarter was $69.43 million, which was below the anticipated $71.39 million.

2. Net income was negatively impacted by the initial operations of Twinbrook Quarter Phase I. The second-quarter 2025 earnings report indicated that net income was adversely affected by $5.4 million due to the initial operations of Twinbrook Quarter Phase I, primarily stemming from a reduction in capitalized interest. This contributed to a decrease in net income and EPS compared to the prior year's comparable quarter.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BFS Return-36%77%-19%3%5%-18%-20%
Peers Return-26%48%-8%11%13%-1%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFS Win Rate33%83%33%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate42%75%47%50%57%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFS Max Drawdown-53%-4%-29%-16%-9%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-5%-27%-17%-8%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven209.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2678 days1480 days

Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG


In The Past

Saul Centers's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Saul Centers (BFS)

Better Bets than Saul Centers (BFS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Saul Centers

Financials

BFSOFRTGTYWSRSPGMedian
NameSaul Cen.Realty I.Federal .Getty Re.Whitesto.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap0.752.48.31.60.657.44.9
Rev LTM2785,3911,2542141596,034766
Op Inc LTM1192,337451114553,075285
FCF LTM1123,662336129533,142233
FCF 3Y Avg1173,229276118513,099197
CFO LTM1123,662597130534,021364
CFO 3Y Avg1173,229572118513,887345

Growth & Margins

BFSOFRTGTYWSRSPGMedian
NameSaul Cen.Realty I.Federal .Getty Re.Whitesto.Simon Pr. 
Rev Chg LTM5.2%15.6%6.0%8.2%4.4%3.3%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%24.7%6.2%9.8%4.8%5.1%5.6%
Rev Chg Q5.8%4.2%6.1%8.0%5.5%2.8%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.0%1.5%2.0%1.4%0.7%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM43.0%43.4%36.0%53.2%34.4%51.0%43.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg44.8%42.1%35.1%52.7%33.3%50.3%43.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%2.6%0.3%-0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM40.4%67.9%47.6%60.8%33.4%66.6%54.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.4%71.0%48.2%59.6%33.2%67.5%53.9%
FCF/Rev LTM40.4%67.9%26.8%60.4%33.4%52.1%46.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg44.4%71.0%23.1%59.4%33.2%53.8%49.1%

Valuation

BFSOFRTGTYWSRSPGMedian
NameSaul Cen.Realty I.Federal .Getty Re.Whitesto.Simon Pr. 
Mkt Cap0.752.48.31.60.657.44.9
P/S2.69.76.67.34.09.56.9
P/EBIT6.125.515.413.18.117.114.2
P/E16.657.223.820.914.427.122.4
P/CFO6.414.313.911.912.114.313.0
Total Yield14.0%7.1%4.2%11.6%11.1%4.4%9.1%
Dividend Yield8.0%5.4%0.0%6.8%4.2%0.7%4.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.5%7.0%3.2%7.6%8.6%6.8%7.3%
D/E2.20.60.60.61.00.50.6
Net D/E2.20.50.60.61.00.40.6

Returns

BFSOFRTGTYWSRSPGMedian
NameSaul Cen.Realty I.Federal .Getty Re.Whitesto.Simon Pr. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-5.6%-4.9%-4.7%0.4%1.9%-6.9%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-13.7%-5.7%-1.8%-10.2%-3.9%0.4%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-28.4%-15.6%-18.3%-19.2%-19.9%-8.9%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn-36.7%-15.3%-28.2%-26.1%-25.1%-10.0%-25.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.5%-65.4%-64.2%-69.9%-21.8%17.9%-64.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Shopping Centers179171170162168
Mixed-Use Properties7874706364
Revenue adjustments11   
Corporate and Other  0  
Total257246239225232


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Shopping Centers140135   
Mixed-Use Properties4946   
Revenue adjustments11   
General and administrative-23-22   
Depreciation and amortization of deferred leasing costs-48-49   
Total118110   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mixed-Use Properties1,057886778644625
Shopping Centers918928947975980
Other assets1920   
Corporate and Other  222713
Total1,9941,8331,7471,6461,618


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity206,561
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020258.2%
Average Daily Volume78,281
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.64
Basic Shares Quantity24,199,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Guevara Bettina T.Exec. VP /Chf Legal & Adm Off5282025Buy33.002106,930191,136Form
1SAUL B FRANCIS IIChairman & CEO5152025Buy33.597,179241,1637,208,226Form
2Heard Carlos LawrenceSenior Vice President & CFO12192024Buy21.693006,50715,183Form