Gold Prices To Rise More Than 30%?
Gold prices rose to unprecedented levels on Wednesday to above $3,330 per ounce! So, totally fair question — yes, gold prices can rise 30%, but whether they will depends on a few moving parts. Let’s say you’re thinking in the short-to-medium term, like over the next year or so. A 30% jump is big, but not unheard of — gold already gained over 27% year to date, so it’s not crazy to think it could keep climbing.
Why have gold prices increased 27% year to date?
Alright, let’s break this down casually — gold’s 27% climb since the start of the year is basically a mix of global stress, economic jitters, and investor FOMO (fear of missing out). The ongoing U.S.-China tension, potential conflicts flaring up, and general global unease have made investors nervous. And when people get nervous, they run to gold — the safe haven. Also, the dollar’s been taking a bit of a hit lately, and since gold is priced in dollars, that actually makes it cheaper for people using other currencies — so demand shoots up internationally.
There’s been growing chatter about the Fed possibly cutting interest rates soon. When rates go down, gold tends to shine brighter because it doesn’t pay interest — so low rates make it more attractive in comparison. Lastly, countries like China have been stacking gold like it’s going out of style — they’ve been steadily buying up reserves, which adds even more demand to the market.
- What’s Next for Barrick Gold Stock After An Upbeat Q4?
- Barrick Stock Down In Spite Of Gold Prices Being Up
- Barrick Vs. Gold: Why The Stock Is Falling Behind
- Higher Gold Prices, Improving Production Will Drive Barrick’s Q2 Results
- Despite Strong Gold Prices, Barrick Stock Is Down 11% This Year. Is It A Good Bet?
- Barrick Stock Trades Below Intrinsic Value Despite Firm Gold Prices And A Strong Production Outlook
In a nutshell: uncertainty + lower rate expectations + demand from both governments and investors = gold taking off. It’s been a wild ride for a usually “boring” asset. Want to know where it could go next?
Here’s what might push it up another 30%:
Wars, trade wars, or even just fear of economic collapse tend to send people running to gold. Moreover, if major economies slow down or central banks start slashing interest rates, gold usually gets a boost. If the U.S. dollar keeps sliding, gold becomes cheaper in other currencies, so demand spikes globally.
That said, a 30% rise from today’s price (around $3,330 per ounce in the U.S.) would take us past $4,300 per ounce — which would be record-shattering. Not impossible, just… intense.
So yes, it’s on the table, but it’d need some serious global drama or monetary shifts to make it happen. Keeping an eye on inflation, Fed moves, and world events is key. Thinking of investing or just watching the action?
Invest with Trefis Market-Beating Portfolios
See all Trefis Price Estimates