What Can Move American Eagle’s Stock Down In The Next Couple Of Years?

+24.77%
Upside
16.55
Market
20.65
Trefis
AEO: American Eagle Outfitters logo
AEO
American Eagle Outfitters

  • The following scenario can bring about more than 5% downside to our price estimate for American Eagle Outfitters:
    • The retailer’s mainline brand revenue per square feet (excluding online sales) increases at a compound annual growth rate of 0.2% instead of our current forecast of 1.5% through to 2022
    • This can happen if the retailers fails to survive the relentless competition from fast fashion players such as Zara, Forever 21 and H&M, which can subsequently lead to a decline in store traffic and average prices

AEO downside scenario

AEO downside scenario part two

Relevant Articles
  1. What’s Happening With American Eagle Outfitters’ Stock?
  2. American Eagle Outfitters Q2 Earnings: What Are We Watching?
  3. Rising 9% This Year, What Lies Ahead For American Eagle Stock Following Q1 Earnings?
  4. Will Q4 Results Help Extend The 14% Gain In American Eagle Stock Since Beginning of This Year?
  5. American Eagle Stock Up 32% Over Last Twelve Months, What’s Next?
  6. Can American Eagle Stock Return To Pre-Inflation Shock Highs?

Have more questions about American Eagle Outfitters? See the links below:

Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for American Eagle Outfitters
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