Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Last Update 4/5/25
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Wynn Resorts
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Las Vegas
49.1%
Macau
32.6%
Boston
18.3%
Net Debt
52.3%
TOTAL
100%
$79.99
Trefis Price
N/A
$66.38
Market
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Wynn Resorts Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Las Vegas (Las Vegas Hotels, Las Vegas Food & Beverage, Las Vegas Retail & Other, Las Vegas Table Games, Las Vegas Slot Games) constitute 49% of the Trefis price estimate for Wynn Resorts's stock.
  2. Macau (Macau VIP Table Games, Macau Mass Market Table Games, Macau Slot Games, Wynn Macau Hotel, Macau Food, Beverage & Others) constitutes 33% of the Trefis price estimate for Wynn Resorts's stock.
  3. Boston (Boston Table Games, Boston Slot Games, Boston Hotel, Boston Food, Beverage & Others) constitutes 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Wynn Resorts's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

WYNN FY 2024 Snapshot

Wynn Resorts is navigating a complex financial environment with notable strengths and challenges. The company reported robust growth in Macau, where revenues increased by 18% at Wynn Palace and 21% at Wynn Macau year-over-year, driven by strong casino performance. Similarly, Wynn Las Vegas demonstrated resilience, with room revenues rising 8% year-over-year, supported by an 8% increase in average daily rate (ADR) to $555. These positive developments are bolstered by the initiation of a $1 billion share repurchase program and the reinstatement of quarterly dividends at $0.25 per share.

However, Macau's Adjusted Property EBITDAR growth did not keep pace with revenue increases, reflecting margin compression caused by elevated gaming taxes and operating costs. Additionally, Wynn Las Vegas entered a non-prosecution agreement that involved a $130 million forfeiture. The company's significant debt burden of $10.6 billion, combined with exposure to geopolitical and travel-related risks, adds further complexity to its financial outlook.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Wynn's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate for Wynn Resorts:


  • Wynn Macau Casino EBITDA Margin: Wynn's Macau casino EBITDA margin declined from 29% in 2018 to about -28% in 2022 due to the impact of Covid-19. The metric recovered to 10% in 2023 and further rose to 11% in 2024. We expect margins to gradually rise to historical levels of about 26% by the end of our review period. In a slightly bearish scenario, considering the Macau market continues to remain weak in the coming years and the margins recover only to about 20% by the end of the forecast period, there could be a 14% downside to our estimate for Wynn's stock.

For additional details, select a driver above or a division from the interactive Trefis split for Wynn Resorts at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Wynn Resorts is a leading developer, owner, and operator of destination casino resorts. It operates and, with the exception of certain retail space, own 100% of Wynn Las Vegas and Encore at Wynn Las Vegas, which also refers to as Las Vegas Operations. And, through approximately 72% ownership of Wynn Macau, it operates two integrated resorts in the Macau, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau (collectively, Macau Operations).

Las Vegas

  1. Wynn Las Vegas

The property features approximately 195,000 square feet of casino space with 223 table games and 1,577 slot machines, as well as private gaming salons and a sky casino. Wynn Las Vegas also features two luxury hotel towers with a total of 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas. In addition, Wynn Las Vegas offers 34 food and beverage outlets, approximately 178,000 square feet of high-end, brand-name retail space, approximately 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space, and a golf course.

  1. Encore Boston
The property features approximately 210,000 square feet of casino space with 172 table games, 24 poker tables and approximately 2,724 slot machines, private and high-limit gaming areas. Encore Boston Harbor also features a luxury hotel tower with a total of 671 guest rooms and suites. In addition, Encore Boston Harbor offers 16 food and beverage outlets and a nightclub, approximately 8,186 square feet of retail space, and approximately 71,000 square feet of meeting and convention space.

Macau

  1. Wynn Palace
The property features approximately 468,000 square feet of casino space with 303 table games and 598 slot machines, as well as private gaming salons and sky casinos. Wynn Palace also features a luxury hotel tower with a total of 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas. In addition, Wynn Palace offers 14 food and beverage outlets, approximately 107,000 square feet of high-end, brand-name retail space, and approximately 37,000 square feet of meeting and convention space.

  1. Wynn Macau

The property features approximately 294,000 square feet of casino space with 257 table games and 696 slot machines, as well as private gaming salons. Wynn Macau also features two luxury hotel towers with a total of 1,010 guest rooms and suites, offering two health clubs, two spas, a salon and a pool. In addition, Wynn Macau offers 12 food and beverage outlets, approximately 64,500 square feet of high-end, brand-name retail space, and approximately 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention space. Wynn Macau's signature attractions include offerings such as the performance lake and a rotunda show featuring a Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling along with the gold "tree of prosperity" show.

SOURCES OF VALUE

We believe that Macau VIP gaming operations are the primary source of value for Wynn Resorts because:

Significantly Higher Volume Than Las Vegas Casinos

Macau offers significantly higher gaming revenues as compared to the Las Vegas Strip. Macau gaming revenues are approximately five times higher than the Las Vegas Strip. For instance, before the Covid-19 pandemic, in 2018, gaming revenues on the Las Vegas Strip were $7.24 billion as opposed to about $37.6 billion in Macau. This significant difference is due to the very high demand for gambling in Macau, which is also the only place in China where gambling is legal. A lot of tourists from nearby countries visit Macau for gambling.

The casino business is divided into two categories in Macau: VIP gaming and mass-market gaming. VIP gaming offers high volume but a lower casino hold percentage, while mass-market gaming offers a high hold percentage. Wynn has established a premium casino image in the region, helping the casino attract more and more VIP players. It is in the design stages of developing the next phase of Wynn Palace. It currently expects that the next phase at Wynn Palace will incorporate an array of amenities such as theater and expanded event space, food and beverage features, and other non-gaming offerings.

Premium Brand Image

Wynn is recognized worldwide as a premium brand resort. It has a sophisticated style and offers exquisite luxuries to its customers. It mainly caters to high-end gaming customers, and the company does not intend to shift its focus from its existing global image. Its premium offerings include an array of amenities and indulgences, including private lagoons and waterfalls, an exclusive shopping promenade featuring renowned designers, and an 18-hole golf course designed by Tom Fazio and Steve Wynn as well as a tranquil spa and salon. The nightly entertainment includes the magical Lake of Dreams and the provocative water show 'Le Reve.' The company has been targeting VIP gaming customers and has been successful in its business model.

KEY TRENDS

Key Developments Underway

Wynn is reinvesting in Wynn Palace Phase 2 for long-term Macau growth and diversifying geographically with Wynn Al Marjan Island in UAE to reduce reliance on existing markets.The Company has a 40% equity interest in Island 3 AMI FZ-LLC, an unconsolidated affiliate, which is constructing Wynn Al Marjan Island in Ras Al Khaimah, United Arab Emirates. It is anticipated to be completed and open to the public in 2027, featuring an over 1,500-room hotel, luxury villas, a high-end shopping mall, a state-of-the-art meeting and convention facility, an exclusive spa, more than 20 restaurants and lounges, 225,000 square feet of gaming area, a wide array of entertainment choices including a nightclub and a beach club, and other amenities.