November 4, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: Fifteen States and–149 Electoral Votes!!–Remain Up For Grabs
Here is a link to the model In our last post before the election, we…
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October 18, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: When People Lie, Polls Are Useless
This week's model depicts a "what-if" scenario wherein Donald Trump wins the election; this scenario…
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October 10, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: Darkest Before The Dawn, or Just Dark?
Barely an hour before the second Presidential Debate, Donald Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 155…
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October 4, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: The Last Month in Pictures
Here is a visual summary of our election series to date. The margin of electoral…
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September 23, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: Trading Votes is Like Trading Players in the Final Four
Welcome back. If this is your first time visiting our election series, you may want…
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September 16, 2016
As The Race Tightens, the Impact of Third Parties May Increase
Welcome to Week 2 of our "What-If" Presidential Election Series. If you missed our first…
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September 13, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: If Seven Close States Flip to Trump, He Would Win
Third-Party Votes Would Impact Tighter Races Based on current polling data (9/6), several states are neck-and-neck…
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September 13, 2016
“What-if” Election Series: Could a Third-Party Candidate Help Decide the Election? You Bet.
What If A Third Party Candidate Wins A Large Percentage of the Popular Vote? All…
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September 13, 2016
Introducing the Trefis 2016 “What-if” Presidential Election Series
Another morning, another news cycle, another set of polls, another pundit-filled click-baited talking-headed Twitter-ranted day…
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August 15, 2016
It’s Worse Than We Thought
For the last few months we have been citing a statistic regarding the accuracy of…
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