Earnings Reaction History | Trefis

Earnings Reaction History

How earnings reaction history can be useful
[1] The analysis is based on post-earnings stock behavior in the last 5 years
[2] Stocks that have high earnings beat percentage (% instances with positive 1D return) and favorable positive median returns compared to negative median returns can be useful to trade prior to earnings
[3] Stocks with high degree of correlation between 1D and 5D/30D returns can be useful to trade after the earnings
[4] To reduce risk, it is preferable to focus on stocks that pass financial quality checks

Individual stock selection has risks. If you are interested portfolio strategies that incorporate dip buying with screening for quality fundamentals within a quality-focused portfolio, check out Trefis High Quality Portfolio

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Recent Earnings Reaction

Historical Earnings Reaction (1D Return)

Ticker

Company

Earnings Date

1D Return

Return Since Earnings

Quality Check

Full Analysis

# Earnings

Percentage Beat

Median Pos Return

Median Neg Return

Correlation with 5D

Correlation with 30D

FIZZ

National Beverage

3/7/2025

4.1%

4.1%

false

20

50.0%

3.3%

-1.1%

-31.9%

-37.9%

ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch

3/6/2025

2.9%

-6.5%

true

20

40.0%

2.4%

-1.9%

14.9%

18.0%

AVGO

3/6/2025

8.6%

2.8%

true

21

81.0%

3.0%

-6.2%

-35.3%

-25.4%

BJ

BJ's Wholesale Club

3/6/2025

12.2%

15.3%

false

20

60.0%

7.3%

-5.3%

-21.3%

-27.3%

BURL

Burlington Stores

3/6/2025

8.7%

-1.8%

true

20

50.0%

8.7%

-3.1%

48.7%

53.5%

COO

Cooper Companies

3/6/2025

-6.6%

-12.2%

true

20

60.0%

4.4%

-3.1%

5.5%

0.9%

COST

Costco Wholesale

3/6/2025

-6.1%

-9%

false

20

50.0%

1.8%

-1.6%

-20.8%

-18.8%

GAP

3/6/2025

18.8%

14.8%

false

19

73.7%

7.6%

-6.1%

34.3%

21.0%

GMS

3/6/2025

-7.5%

-7.7%

true

20

35.0%

5.1%

-5.1%

11.8%

1.9%

GWRE

Guidewire Software

3/6/2025

-7.3%

-10.8%

true

20

55.0%

4.2%

-4.8%

28.1%

20.6%

HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

3/6/2025

-12.0%

-16%

false

20

60.0%

3.4%

-5.6%

-35.3%

-26.4%

IOT

3/6/2025

-15.6%

-18.7%

false

13

61.5%

14.7%

-12.3%

58.8%

-7.5%

KGS

Kodiak Gas Services

3/6/2025

-1.2%

-3.5%

false

7

57.1%

1.0%

-1.4%

-9.8%

34.9%

M

3/6/2025

-0.7%

5.7%

false

19

68.4%

5.7%

-3.6%

-12.1%

-25.0%

TTC

3/6/2025

-4.9%

-1%

true

20

35.0%

2.3%

-3.8%

17.9%

-32.8%

BF-B

3/5/2025

10.1%

16.1%

false

20

45.0%

4.0%

-4.2%

-39.7%

-24.4%

CPB

3/5/2025

-2.9%

4.2%

true

20

45.0%

1.9%

-2.9%

43.3%

32.2%

FL

3/5/2025

5.1%

-1.2%

false

19

47.4%

7.8%

-9.6%

-11.3%

-12.9%

MDB

3/5/2025

-26.9%

-31.7%

true

21

42.9%

18.6%

-9.2%

-2.9%

4.0%

MRVL

Marvell Technology

3/5/2025

-19.8%

-27.1%

false

16

37.5%

13.4%

-5.9%

-7.8%

-6.5%

RDNT

3/5/2025

2.4%

-7.3%

true

17

35.3%

2.0%

-1.0%

7.7%

25.3%

RGTI

Rigetti Computing

3/5/2025

4.0%

-3.3%

false

10

40.0%

7.8%

-2.5%

-28.8%

-18.5%

THO

Thor Industries

3/5/2025

-14.5%

-13.8%

false

20

55.0%

3.1%

-3.2%

28.7%

-8.5%

VEEV

3/5/2025

7.4%

9%

true

20

50.0%

7.9%

-8.5%

-25.6%

3.1%

VSCO

Victoria's Secret

3/5/2025

-8.2%

-24.4%

false

15

46.7%

11.6%

-6.4%

-9.0%

-30.7%

ZS

3/5/2025

2.9%

-0.9%

true

20

50.0%

10.5%

-8.8%

0.9%

8.8%

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile

3/4/2025

18.1%

1.9%

false

13

30.8%

12.1%

-8.9%

22.4%

-6.9%

AVAV

3/4/2025

-4.4%

-13.1%

true

20

35.0%

4.9%

-6.6%

-12.5%

-37.2%

AZO

3/4/2025

-0.1%

6.1%

true

20

40.0%

2.3%

-2.6%

32.8%

11.7%

BBY

3/4/2025

-13.3%

-9.1%

false

20

55.0%

3.9%

-4.9%

38.5%

-0.7%

BOX

3/4/2025

-3.2%

-3.9%

true

20

55.0%

5.5%

-7.7%

18.0%

5.6%

CRWD

3/4/2025

-6.3%

-20.8%

true

21

57.1%

9.8%

-5.5%

43.2%

47.4%

JWN

3/4/2025

0.08%

0.7%

false

20

40.0%

4.9%

-7.9%

0.6%

16.0%

ROST

3/4/2025

2.0%

-2.8%

true

20

50.0%

3.6%

-1.9%

-56.8%

11.0%

TGT

3/4/2025

-3.0%

-5.7%

false

20

50.0%

8.0%

-5.7%

-26.1%

13.8%

ADMA

3/3/2025

7.5%

4.9%

true

19

68.4%

7.5%

-6.2%

-31.3%

-3.1%

APGE

Apogee Therapeutics

3/3/2025

-0.2%

19.4%

false

6

50.0%

9.8%

-1.8%

71.6%

18.8%

BHVN

3/3/2025

-2.2%

-13.8%

false

9

44.4%

6.4%

-2.5%

-30.4%

-2.7%

CRC

California Resources

3/3/2025

-11.0%

-7%

false

16

37.5%

5.5%

-4.2%

-13.7%

-26.1%

EWTX

Edgewise Therapeutics

3/3/2025

-2.4%

5.2%

false

16

37.5%

5.7%

-2.8%

8.2%

-3.0%

GEF

3/3/2025

-3.0%

-3.3%

false

20

45.0%

1.3%

-2.2%

0.7%

24.0%

GTLB

3/3/2025

11.6%

-9.4%

false

14

71.4%

11.5%

-14.7%

6.3%

20.3%

KR

3/3/2025

-3.0%

4.5%

false

20

55.0%

5.4%

-3.0%

7.5%

2.4%

NATL

3/3/2025

-3.7%

-6.4%

false

6

50.0%

4.8%

-5.1%

67.4%

66.9%

OKTA

3/3/2025

24.3%

20.7%

true

20

55.0%

11.7%

-8.1%

1.7%

11.3%

SGRY

Surgery Partners

3/3/2025

-0.3%

-1.7%

false

16

50.0%

4.2%

-5.7%

24.0%

16.1%

TGTX

TG Therapeutics

3/3/2025

14.4%

30.4%

false

15

60.0%

19.6%

-10.2%

9.1%

-10.7%

AES

2/28/2025

11.7%

13.5%

false

14

28.6%

6.4%

-2.8%

73.1%

55.2%

AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources

2/28/2025

-7.4%

-8.1%

false

18

55.6%

6.1%

-5.7%

47.6%

2.0%

CUBE

2/28/2025

-2.9%

0.5%

true

20

60.0%

3.2%

-2.3%

-44.6%

6.9%