Tearsheet

Mohawk Industries (MHK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $109.23 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Furnishings

Mohawk Industries (MHK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $109.23
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Home Furnishings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 7.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Key risks
MHK key risks include [1] softening demand for its flooring products due to weak consumer confidence impacting the housing and remodeling markets, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 7.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%
5 Key risks
MHK key risks include [1] softening demand for its flooring products due to weak consumer confidence impacting the housing and remodeling markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MHK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Mohawk Industries (MHK) experienced a decline in its stock price for several key reasons during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025.

1. Weak Fourth Quarter 2025 Profit Outlook: Mohawk Industries' stock dropped significantly following its Q3 2025 earnings release, primarily due to a weaker-than-anticipated profit forecast for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company projected adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $1.90 and $2.00, falling short of the analyst consensus of $2.67.

2. Soft Market Volumes and Economic Conditions: Management attributed the softer Q4 outlook to expectations of "soft market volumes through the end of the year," indicating ongoing challenges in the home furnishings market. Economic conditions across regions also weakened more than anticipated, impacting sales and consumer spending on large remodeling projects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MHK Return3%29%-44%1%15%-7%-19%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MHK Win Rate67%67%50%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MHK Max Drawdown-57%-3%-52%-25%-6%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AWI, TILE, FND, SMJF, TTSH. See MHK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMHKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven293 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven503.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,422 days1,480 days

Compare to TILE, LEG, LOVE, SGI, MHK


In The Past

Mohawk Industries's stock fell -66.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -66.7% loss requires a 200.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mohawk Industries (MHK)

Better Bets than Mohawk Industries (MHK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MHK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
MHK_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MHKMohawk IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.5%44.4%-51.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
MHK_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MHKMohawk IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.5%44.4%-51.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mohawk Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MHKAWITILEFNDSMJFTTSHMedian
NameMohawk I.Armstron.InterfaceFloor & .SMJ Inte.Tile Shop 
Mkt Price109.20184.6028.3760.524.385.2444.45
Mkt Cap6.88.01.76.5-0.06.5
Rev LTM10,7231,6001,3724,600-3391,600
Op Inc LTM551310158306--2306
FCF LTM58724211735--1117
FCF 3Y Avg61318411690-18116
CFO LTM994332157417-10332
CFO 3Y Avg1,100270146556-32270

Growth & Margins

MHKAWITILEFNDSMJFTTSHMedian
NameMohawk I.Armstron.InterfaceFloor & .SMJ Inte.Tile Shop 
Rev Chg LTM-0.8%15.1%5.1%4.9%--3.8%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.2%9.8%1.8%5.7%--5.2%1.8%
Rev Chg Q1.4%10.0%5.9%7.1%--1.7%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%2.5%1.5%1.8%--0.4%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM5.1%19.4%11.5%6.7%--0.7%6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.4%18.9%9.7%7.8%-1.9%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.4%0.7%-0.0%--0.7%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM9.3%20.8%11.4%9.1%-2.9%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%18.8%11.1%12.5%-8.8%11.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.5%15.1%8.6%0.8%--0.3%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%12.8%8.8%2.0%-4.9%5.6%

Valuation

MHKAWITILEFNDSMJFTTSHMedian
NameMohawk I.Armstron.InterfaceFloor & .SMJ Inte.Tile Shop 
Mkt Cap6.88.01.76.5-0.06.5
P/S0.75.31.21.7-0.01.2
P/EBIT14.819.910.929.2--17.3
P/E19.027.714.937.6--0.119.0
P/CFO8.025.510.819.0-0.010.8
Total Yield5.3%3.8%6.9%2.7%--1,892.5%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%0.2%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.7%3.5%12.6%0.8%--6.1%
D/E0.30.10.20.2--0.2
Net D/E0.20.00.10.2--0.2

Returns

MHKAWITILEFNDSMJFTTSHMedian
NameMohawk I.Armstron.InterfaceFloor & .SMJ Inte.Tile Shop 
1M Rtn5.0%2.6%11.6%6.6%-249,423.8%6.6%
3M Rtn-16.8%-4.6%-2.7%-30.6%-249,423.8%-4.6%
6M Rtn11.4%22.4%41.6%-18.0%-249,423.8%22.4%
12M Rtn-12.4%23.5%10.4%-44.2%-227,726.1%10.4%
3Y Rtn12.0%177.2%186.3%-19.4%-374,185.7%177.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%1.9%10.9%5.8%-249,423.1%5.8%
3M Excs Rtn-19.1%-7.7%-6.3%-31.9%-238,080.5%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-0.9%10.0%29.2%-30.4%-249,411.4%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-25.6%10.0%-2.2%-56.3%-227,715.0%-2.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.6%93.5%97.2%-88.6%-374,117.3%93.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Global Ceramic4,9884,8415,1615,2505,420
Flooring Rest of the World (ROW)4,0524,2764,3624,1943,925
Flooring North America (NA)3,9104,2994,1263,5953,824
Corporate and intersegment eliminations6107045761,288218
Total13,56014,12014,22514,32813,387


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,341,367
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.6%
Average Daily Volume843,299
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.78
Basic Shares Quantity62,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-7.0%-10.3%-14.7%
7/24/20254.2%-1.3%14.8%
5/1/2025-1.7%-1.3%-7.5%
2/6/2025-1.3%-1.9%-5.1%
10/24/2024-13.8%-11.6%-8.6%
7/25/202419.5%16.3%17.3%
4/25/20244.7%4.9%5.6%
2/8/20240.4%6.2%9.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative131111
Median Positive5.3%5.7%9.1%
Median Negative-3.5%-9.5%-12.4%
Max Positive19.5%31.3%35.2%
Max Negative-13.8%-12.9%-35.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021