Tearsheet

Lululemon Athletica (LULU)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $205.56 | Market Cap: $24.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Lululemon Athletica (LULU)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $205.56
Market Cap: $24.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LULU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the movement of Lululemon Athletica (LULU) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q2 Fiscal 2025 Results and Lowered Guidance.

In early September 2025, Lululemon's stock experienced a significant decline, falling 12%, following its second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings report. The company reported lighter-than-expected sales and significantly reduced its full-year guidance, attributing this to weaker performance in its U.S. business and a substantial impact on margins from tariffs, including an anticipated $240 million profit hit. 2. Better-Than-Expected Q3 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report.

On December 11, 2025, Lululemon announced its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, which largely surpassed analyst expectations. The company reported a 7% increase in net revenue to $2.6 billion and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.59, both ahead of estimates. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a surge in the stock price, with LULU climbing over 9% to 10% in after-hours and pre-market trading.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LULU Return50%12%-18%60%-25%-51%-19%
Peers Return16%13%-25%29%24%-6%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LULU Win Rate58%42%33%83%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate53%55%35%55%55%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LULU Max Drawdown-40%-18%-34%-9%-54%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-48%-15%-20%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, DECK, VFC, PVH, RL. See LULU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLULUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven563 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven66 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven191 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1191.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven640 days1480 days

Compare to NKE, UA, LB, AGIE, JPO


In The Past

Lululemon Athletica's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lululemon Athletica (LULU)

Better Bets than Lululemon Athletica (LULU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LULU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
LULU_6302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302025LULULululemon AthleticaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.7%-13.7%-32.7%
LULU_11302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302024LULULululemon AthleticaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.2%-42.6%-50.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
LULU_6302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302025LULULululemon AthleticaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.7%-13.7%-32.7%
LULU_11302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302024LULULululemon AthleticaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.2%-42.6%-50.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lululemon Athletica

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LULUNKEDECKVFCPVHRLMedian
NameLululemo.Nike Deckers .VF PVH Ralph La. 
Mkt Price204.9767.47101.1819.6675.27370.2288.22
Mkt Cap21.199.615.17.74.022.618.1
Rev LTM11,07346,4405,1259,5418,8177,5719,179
Op Inc LTM2,4403,4201,2124686561,1531,182
FCF LTM1,1283,009880240442668774
FCF 3Y Avg1,3434,893804285508716760
CFO LTM1,8613,5269683755841,0901,029
CFO 3Y Avg2,0255,611893455707981937

Growth & Margins

LULUNKEDECKVFCPVHRLMedian
NameLululemo.Nike Deckers .VF PVH Ralph La. 
Rev Chg LTM8.8%-7.1%15.5%-0.1%0.5%12.3%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.2%-0.3%16.3%-6.7%-0.5%5.8%2.8%
Rev Chg Q7.1%1.1%16.9%1.6%1.7%16.5%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%0.3%2.8%0.5%0.4%3.9%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM22.0%7.4%23.6%4.9%7.4%15.2%11.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.4%10.2%21.3%5.2%8.2%13.2%11.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.6%-0.0%0.4%0.1%0.6%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM16.8%7.6%18.9%3.9%6.6%14.4%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.1%11.3%20.2%4.7%7.9%14.1%12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM10.2%6.5%17.2%2.5%5.0%8.8%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.4%9.9%18.1%3.0%5.7%10.4%10.1%

Valuation

LULUNKEDECKVFCPVHRLMedian
NameLululemo.Nike Deckers .VF PVH Ralph La. 
Mkt Cap21.199.615.17.74.022.618.1
P/S1.92.23.00.60.42.52.1
P/EBIT-30.111.814.1-17.215.7
P/E12.135.615.362.411.622.418.9
P/CFO11.329.215.615.16.817.615.3
Total Yield8.3%2.8%6.5%4.1%8.7%5.5%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.1%1.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.8%4.7%4.1%-6.1%4.4%
D/E-0.10.01.0-0.10.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.11.0-0.10.0

Returns

LULUNKEDECKVFCPVHRLMedian
NameLululemo.Nike Deckers .VF PVH Ralph La. 
1M Rtn20.1%5.8%22.2%32.0%-3.1%11.7%15.9%
3M Rtn28.2%-7.0%-14.6%33.0%-7.1%17.8%5.4%
6M Rtn-14.3%12.8%-0.3%71.5%20.2%43.2%16.5%
12M Rtn-47.7%-10.6%-51.0%-4.6%-30.5%65.0%-20.6%
3Y Rtn-37.0%-34.4%60.8%-21.6%7.2%268.2%-7.2%
1M Excs Rtn20.3%6.1%20.2%28.3%-5.5%9.2%14.7%
3M Excs Rtn24.9%-10.2%-17.9%31.1%-13.6%14.4%2.1%
6M Excs Rtn-28.5%-1.5%-14.5%57.3%5.9%29.0%2.2%
12M Excs Rtn-61.5%-23.1%-63.1%-16.7%-44.1%51.9%-33.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-118.5%-107.9%-12.9%-97.7%-69.7%183.9%-83.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Women's apparel6,1475,260   
Men's apparel2,2531,957   
Accessories and other categories1,219894   
Company-operated stores  2,8211,6592,501
Direct to consumer  2,7782,2841,138
Other  657459340
Total9,6198,1116,2574,4023,979


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,581,712
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.0%
Average Daily Volume3,302,416
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.30
Basic Shares Quantity118,535,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/11/20259.6%  
9/4/2025-18.6%-19.6%-14.8%
6/5/2025-19.8%-25.3%-28.7%
3/27/2025-14.2%-25.1%-21.4%
12/5/202415.9%12.9%14.1%
8/29/20240.2%-2.0%4.8%
6/5/20244.8%0.5%-4.6%
3/21/2024-15.8%-18.4%-24.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1099
# Negative111212
Median Positive8.1%10.0%5.4%
Median Negative-7.4%-9.8%-14.8%
Max Positive15.9%18.4%18.0%
Max Negative-19.8%-25.3%-28.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251211202510-Q 11/2/2025
7312025904202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/4/2025
1312025327202510-K 2/2/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024321202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022602202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/30/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0NEUBURGER NICOLEChief Brand Officer10022025Sell178.00615109,4701,600,754Form