Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Market Price (10/8/2025): $172.99 | Market Cap: $20.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Market Price (10/8/2025): $172.99
Market Cap: $20.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 5.6% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | |
Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | ||
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | ||
Valuation becoming less expensive P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 5.6% |
Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
Valuation becoming less expensive P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
LULU Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
LULU Return | 50% | 12% | -18% | 60% | -25% | -55% | -24% |
Peers Return | 0% | 12% | -17% | 7% | -6% | -9% | -14% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
LULU Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 83% | 50% | 33% | |
Peers Win Rate | 35% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 50% | 52% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
LULU Max Drawdown | -40% | -18% | -34% | -9% | -54% | -58% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -3% | -29% | -11% | -14% | -28% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, SKX, UA, LB, JL. See LULU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/7/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | LULU | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -46.1% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 563 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -47.3% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 89.7% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -31.5% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 45.9% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -92.3% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 1191.8% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 640 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Lululemon Athletica's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails athletic apparel and accessories for women and men. It operates in two segments, Company-Operated Stores and Direct to Consumer. The company offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for healthy lifestyle and athletic activities, such as yoga, running, and training, as well as other sweaty pursuits. It also provides fitness-related accessories and footwear. The company sells its products through a chain of company-operated stores; outlets and warehouse sales; interactive workout platform; a network of wholesale accounts, such as yoga studios, health clubs, and fitness centers; temporary locations; and license and supply arrangements, as well as directly to consumer through mobile apps and lululemon.com e-commerce website. As of January 30, 2022, it operated 574 company-operated stores under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, the People's Republic of China, Australia, the United Kingdom, Japan, New Zealand, Germany, South Korea, Singapore, France, Malaysia, Sweden, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Switzerland. lululemon athletica inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to LULU and Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.8% | -11.8% | -11.8% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.3% | -3.3% | -3.3% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.2% |
06302025 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -27.1% | -27.1% | -32.7% |
11302024 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.2% | -46.0% | -50.1% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.8% | -11.8% | -11.8% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.3% | -3.3% | -3.3% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.2% |
06302025 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -27.1% | -27.1% | -32.7% |
11302024 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.2% | -46.0% | -50.1% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lululemon Athletica
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 54.41 |
Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
Rev LTM | 8,009 |
Op Inc LTM | 1,329 |
FCF LTM | 627 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 1,279 |
CFO LTM | 1,000 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 1,964 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.3% |
Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
Op Mgn LTM | 15.1% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
P/S | 2.0 |
P/EBIT | 15.0 |
P/E | 27.6 |
P/CFO | 12.9 |
Total Yield | 6.8% |
Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
D/E | 0.2 |
Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -4.4% |
3M Rtn | -27.4% |
6M Rtn | 0.4% |
12M Rtn | -12.9% |
3Y Rtn | -24.2% |
1M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
3M Excs Rtn | -33.8% |
6M Excs Rtn | -39.1% |
12M Excs Rtn | -32.0% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -107.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
9/4/2025 | -18.6% | -19.6% | -14.8% |
6/5/2025 | -19.8% | -25.3% | -28.7% |
3/27/2025 | -14.2% | -25.1% | -21.4% |
12/5/2024 | 15.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% |
8/29/2024 | 0.2% | -2.0% | 4.8% |
6/5/2024 | 4.8% | 0.5% | -4.6% |
3/21/2024 | -15.8% | -18.4% | -24.4% |
12/7/2023 | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 9 | 9 | 10 |
# Negative | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Median Positive | 6.7% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
Median Negative | -7.1% | -8.7% | -14.8% |
Max Positive | 15.9% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
Max Negative | -19.8% | -25.3% | -28.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/3/2025 |
4302025 | 6052025 | 10-Q 5/4/2025 |
1312025 | 3272025 | 10-K 2/2/2025 |
10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/27/2024 |
7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/28/2024 |
4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 1/28/2024 |
10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/29/2023 |
7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/30/2023 |
4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
1312023 | 3282023 | 10-K 1/29/2023 |
10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/30/2022 |
7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
1312022 | 3292022 | 10-K 1/30/2022 |
10312021 | 12092021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
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