Gap (GAP)
Market Price (10/8/2025): $21.14 | Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Gap (GAP)
Market Price (10/8/2025): $21.14
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 9.9% | Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3% |
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 9.9% |
Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
GAP Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
GAP Return | 16% | -11% | -33% | 97% | 16% | -9% | 48% |
Peers Return | 11% | 24% | -21% | 81% | 15% | -3% | 120% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
GAP Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 44% | |
Peers Win Rate | 43% | 47% | 30% | 53% | 52% | 56% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
GAP Max Drawdown | -68% | -20% | -53% | -32% | -11% | -25% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -3% | -39% | -9% | -11% | -36% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URBN, ANF, AEO, LB, GES. See GAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/7/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | GAP | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -79.6% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 389.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -70.6% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 239.6% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 186 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -56.7% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 131.0% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 634 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -56.5% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 130.0% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Gap's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Gap (GAP)
The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company. The company offers apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children under the Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its products include denim, tees, fleece, and khakis; eyewear, jewelry, shoes, handbags, and fragrances; and fitness and lifestyle products for use in yoga, training, sports, travel, and everyday activities for women and girls. The company offers its products through company-operated stores, franchise stores, Websites, third-party arrangements, and catalogs. It has franchise agreements with unaffiliated franchisees to operate Old Navy, Gap, Athleta, and Banana Republic stores and websites in Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,835 company-operated stores and 564 franchise stores. It also provides its products through e-commerce sites. The Gap, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Title | Topic | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
DASHBOARDS | |||
Gap Earnings Notes | |||
How Does GAP Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
Better Bet Than GAP Stock: Pay Less Than Gap To Get More From CALM | |||
Gap Stock Dropped 13% In A Month. Have You Fully Evaluated The Risk? | Return | ||
GAP Dip Buy Analysis | |||
Gap Market Price | Market Price | ||
Gap (GAP) worth $8.3 Bil (up $1.3 Bil), more valuable than MarketAxess | Notification | ||
Gap Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 24.8% in 2025 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
Gap (GAP) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
Gap (GAP) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
ARTICLES | |||
AEO’s One-Day Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate GAP | August 27th, 2025 | ||
How Will Gap’s Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | August 25th, 2025 | ||
Big Move for AEO, but Do GAP’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | August 13th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to GAP and Apparel Retail.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -9.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
12312016 | GAP | Gap | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.0% | 56.1% | -3.6% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -9.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
12312016 | GAP | Gap | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.0% | 56.1% | -3.6% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gap
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 37.66 |
Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
Rev LTM | 5,183 |
Op Inc LTM | 429 |
FCF LTM | 248 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 293 |
CFO LTM | 486 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 514 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 8.6% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
Rev Chg Q | 6.0% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
Op Mgn LTM | 8.6% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
P/S | 0.6 |
P/EBIT | 9.7 |
P/E | 13.3 |
P/CFO | 7.5 |
Total Yield | 11.2% |
Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
D/E | 0.5 |
Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -6.6% |
3M Rtn | -4.2% |
6M Rtn | 41.2% |
12M Rtn | -1.6% |
3Y Rtn | 140.0% |
1M Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
3M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
6M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
12M Excs Rtn | -18.6% |
3Y Excs Rtn | 101.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/28/2025 | 1.5% | 9.8% | -1.6% |
5/29/2025 | -20.2% | -22.8% | -22.0% |
3/6/2025 | 18.8% | 6.6% | -1.8% |
11/21/2024 | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
8/29/2024 | 1.6% | -5.0% | -4.5% |
5/30/2024 | 28.6% | 14.4% | 3.3% |
3/7/2024 | 8.2% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
11/16/2023 | 30.6% | 38.0% | 53.4% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 15 | 12 | 8 |
# Negative | 8 | 11 | 15 |
Median Positive | 7.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
Median Negative | -6.9% | -10.1% | -6.7% |
Max Positive | 30.6% | 38.0% | 53.4% |
Max Negative | -24.1% | -32.0% | -26.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
4302025 | 5302025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
1312025 | 3182025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
1312024 | 3192024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
10312023 | 11212023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
7312023 | 8252023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
1312023 | 3142023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
10312022 | 11222022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
7312022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
1312022 | 3152022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
10312021 | 11242021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Barbeito Horacio | President & CEO, Old Navy | 3242025 | Sell | 20.07 | 40,764 | 818,288 | 6,187 | Form |
1 | O'Connell Katrina | Chief Financial Officer | 3192025 | Sell | 19.47 | 8,503 | 165,550 | Form | |
2 | Gilligan Sarah | Chief Sup Chn & Transform Ofcr | 3192025 | Sell | 19.47 | 3,644 | 70,953 | Form | |
3 | Breitbard Mark | President & CEO, Gap Brand | 3192025 | Sell | 19.47 | 9,356 | 182,173 | 2,414,149 | Form |
4 | Blakeslee Chris | President & CEO, Athleta | 3192025 | Sell | 19.47 | 10,302 | 200,570 | 1,402,537 | Form |
External Quote Links
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TradingView | Morningstar |
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Motley Fool | Robinhood |
CNBC | Etrade |
MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
FinViz |
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