Tearsheet

Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $538.03 | Market Cap: $20.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $538.03
Market Cap: $20.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CASY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 9.3% stock movement for Casey's General Stores (CASY) from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025:

1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Beat: Casey's General Stores announced robust financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended October 31, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.53, marking a 14.0% increase from the prior year and significantly topping consensus estimates of $4.92 and $5.02. Net income also rose 14.0% to $206.3 million.

2. Upgraded Fiscal 2026 Outlook: Following the strong performance, Casey's General Stores updated its fiscal 2026 outlook, projecting an increase in EBITDA of 15% to 17%. The company also anticipates inside same-store sales to grow by 3% to 4% and maintain an inside margin of 41% to 42%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CASY Return13%11%14%23%45%38%255%
Peers Return46%3%22%36%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CASY Win Rate58%75%67%67%75%58% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%48%67%57%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CASY Max Drawdown-24%-1%-13%-8%-1%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-17%-6%-5%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST. See CASY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCASYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven152 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven100 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven208 days1480 days

Compare to MPC, MUSA, WMK, IMKTA, KR


In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -24.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -24.1% loss requires a 31.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Better Bets than Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CASY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.7%-6.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
16.2%16.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.7%-6.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
16.2%16.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Casey's General Stores

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Price540.07406.4163.1917.36116.70884.47261.56
Mkt Cap21.07.444.29.7821.8392.732.6
Rev LTM16,97019,351147,22581,371703,061275,235114,298
Op Inc LTM8977321,5561,55828,97610,3831,557
FCF LTM6823672,26965915,2637,8371,476
FCF 3Y Avg4974082,25160614,9847,0701,428
CFO LTM1,2588176,0622,58840,97713,3354,325
CFO 3Y Avg1,0338086,1332,60837,58811,9144,371

Growth & Margins

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Rev Chg LTM13.3%-6.1%-1.8%2.1%4.3%8.2%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%-5.4%0.2%2.6%5.4%6.6%3.6%
Rev Chg Q14.2%-2.5%0.7%2.0%5.8%8.1%3.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%-0.7%0.2%0.4%1.4%2.4%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM5.3%3.8%1.1%1.9%4.1%3.8%3.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%3.7%1.9%2.3%4.1%3.6%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.0%-1.6%-0.1%-0.1%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%4.2%4.1%3.2%5.8%4.8%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.6%3.9%4.1%3.3%5.6%4.6%4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.0%1.9%1.5%0.8%2.2%2.8%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%2.0%1.5%0.8%2.2%2.7%2.1%

Valuation

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Cap21.07.444.29.7821.8392.732.6
P/S1.20.40.30.11.21.50.8
P/EBIT---6.1-37.521.8
P/E34.615.756.010.035.950.735.2
P/CFO16.79.07.33.820.130.812.9
Total Yield3.3%6.9%3.8%13.3%3.7%2.2%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.5%2.0%3.3%0.9%0.3%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---5.6%-2.1%3.9%
D/E---1.5-0.00.8
Net D/E---1.5--0.00.7

Returns

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
1M Rtn1.0%13.1%-3.4%-2.8%13.0%-3.2%-0.9%
3M Rtn-2.4%4.3%-7.0%-6.6%13.0%-8.5%-4.5%
6M Rtn6.9%1.3%-2.6%-16.9%24.1%-10.4%-0.6%
12M Rtn27.4%-25.4%1.9%-6.5%25.5%-10.0%-2.3%
3Y Rtn124.6%46.2%48.7%-10.9%146.2%88.8%68.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%13.4%-3.0%-2.5%13.4%-2.9%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn-5.8%-0.5%-9.0%-8.1%9.6%-11.0%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-7.3%-12.9%-16.8%-31.2%9.9%-24.7%-14.9%
12M Excs Rtn17.0%-37.5%-7.0%-16.5%11.8%-23.6%-11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn48.8%-34.4%-29.6%-86.2%70.9%17.7%-6.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment14,86315,09412,9538,7079,175
Total14,86315,09412,9538,7079,175


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment502    
Total502    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity807,780
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.2%
Average Daily Volume298,196
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.71
Basic Shares Quantity37,132,365
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/2025-5.3%  
9/8/20253.8%6.4%6.4%
6/9/202511.6%15.3%17.6%
3/11/20256.2%2.2%16.1%
12/9/2024-0.3%1.5%-7.7%
9/4/20247.4%5.3%3.4%
6/11/202416.7%15.4%15.3%
3/11/2024-1.6%2.1%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101213
# Negative141211
Median Positive7.4%5.8%6.6%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.2%-7.2%
Max Positive16.7%17.6%18.1%
Max Negative-6.9%-15.1%-19.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025908202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025623202510-K 4/30/2025
1312025311202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241209202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024624202410-K 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231211202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023623202310-K 4/30/2023
1312023307202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022624202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022308202210-Q 1/31/2022