Tearsheet

Target (TGT)


Market Price (3/25/2026): $116.8 | Market Cap: $52.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Target (TGT)


Market Price (3/25/2026): $116.8
Market Cap: $52.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
Key risks
TGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
7 Key risks
TGT key risks include [1] a failure to adapt its merchandise and fulfillment strategies to evolving consumer preferences and [2] managing significant inventory losses from damage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Target (TGT) stock has gained about 30% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Target exceeded fourth-quarter 2025 earnings expectations and provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.44 for Q4 2025, surpassing analyst forecasts and higher than the $2.41 reported in the prior year period. Furthermore, Target projected full-year 2026 EPS between $7.50 and $8.50, with the midpoint of this range exceeding market expectations. This positive guidance, coupled with an improved gross margin rate of 26.6% in Q4 2025 (up from 26.2% in 2024 due to lower inventory shrink and supply chain costs), and accelerating sales trends in the last two months of the quarter, fueled investor confidence. A key indicator was a healthy, positive sales increase in February 2026, marking the first such signal after several quarters of declines.

2. The company announced a substantial $2 billion incremental investment in its strategic growth plan for 2026.

Target outlined a multi-year growth strategy, committing an additional $2 billion in 2026, split between approximately $1 billion in capital expenditures and $1 billion in operating investments. These investments are targeted at enhancing the customer experience, modernizing stores (with plans for over 130 full-store remodels and opening more than 30 new locations, including its 2,000th store in March 2026), and accelerating technology-driven growth, including AI-driven tools. This aggressive reinvestment signals management's commitment to future profitable growth under new CEO Michael Fiddelke.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.2% change in TGT stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253242026Change
Stock Price ($)89.71115.9229.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)105,242104,780-0.4%
Net Income Margin (%)3.6%3.5%-1.1%
P/E Multiple10.814.231.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4544530.1%
Cumulative Contribution29.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TGT29.2% 
Market (SPY)-4.1%19.3%
Sector (XLP)3.0%32.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.5% change in TGT stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253242026Change
Stock Price ($)93.83115.9223.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)105,640104,780-0.8%
Net Income Margin (%)3.7%3.5%-4.9%
P/E Multiple10.914.230.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4554530.3%
Cumulative Contribution23.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TGT23.5% 
Market (SPY)1.8%30.0%
Sector (XLP)1.9%40.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.4% change in TGT stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253242026Change
Stock Price ($)118.80115.92-2.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)107,570104,780-2.6%
Net Income Margin (%)4.1%3.5%-13.0%
P/E Multiple12.514.213.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4604531.5%
Cumulative Contribution-2.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TGT-2.4% 
Market (SPY)11.2%51.9%
Sector (XLP)0.3%43.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.3% change in TGT stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233242026Change
Stock Price ($)151.23115.92-23.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)108,721104,780-3.6%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%3.5%11.5%
P/E Multiple20.214.2-29.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4604531.6%
Cumulative Contribution-23.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TGT-23.3% 
Market (SPY)71.5%36.3%
Sector (XLP)22.1%38.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TGT Return33%-34%-1%-2%-24%19%-24%
Peers Return32%-18%32%42%4%5%122%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-4%75%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TGT Win Rate67%42%50%50%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate67%42%67%68%52%73% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TGT Max Drawdown-3%-39%-28%-12%-35%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-27%-4%-3%-12%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WMT, AMZN, COST, HD, KR. See TGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,508 days1,480 days

Compare to WMT, AMZN, COST, HD, KR

In The Past

Target's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Target (TGT)

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. The company offers food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items; apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and other merchandise; and beauty and household essentials. It also provides in-store amenities, such as Target Café, Target Optical, Starbucks, and other food service offerings. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. As of March 09, 2022, the company operated approximately 2,000 stores. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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  • A more stylish and curated Walmart.
  • Like a department store such as Macy's or Kohl's, but also selling groceries and household essentials.

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  • Food Assortments: Offers a wide range of perishable, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen food items.
  • Apparel & Accessories: Provides clothing, jewelry, and other fashion accessories.
  • Home Décor Products: Sells items designed for furnishing and decorating the home.
  • Electronics: Features a selection of consumer electronic devices.
  • Toys: Offers a variety of playthings for children.
  • Seasonal Offerings: Provides merchandise specifically tailored to holidays, events, or changing seasons.
  • Beauty and Household Essentials: Sells cosmetics, skincare, personal care, and cleaning supplies.
  • In-Store Amenities (Services): Offers convenience services such as Target Café, Target Optical, Starbucks, and other food service options within its stores.

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Target (TGT) sells primarily to individuals (consumers) through its stores and digital channels. Based on its product offerings and market positioning, the major categories of customers it serves include:

  1. Families and Households: A significant portion of Target's customer base consists of families and individuals responsible for managing households. They shop for a wide array of necessities, including groceries, apparel for all ages, home essentials, school supplies, toys, and electronics, making Target a convenient one-stop shop for family needs.
  2. Value-conscious Shoppers: Target appeals to customers seeking good value and affordability. While offering quality products, Target maintains competitive pricing and features strong private label brands (e.g., Up&Up, Good & Gather, Cat & Jack) that provide cost-effective alternatives, attracting shoppers who prioritize getting more for their money.
  3. Lifestyle and Trend-focused Shoppers: Target has successfully positioned itself as a retailer that offers stylish and on-trend merchandise at accessible prices. This category includes shoppers interested in modern home décor, fashionable apparel, seasonal items, and innovative electronics, often influenced by designer collaborations and curated product selections that cater to contemporary lifestyles.

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  • Procter & Gamble (PG)
  • PepsiCo (PEP)
  • Apple Inc. (AAPL)
  • General Mills (GIS)
  • Hasbro (HAS)

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Michael Fiddelke, Chief Executive Officer

Michael Fiddelke became Chief Executive Officer of Target Corporation effective February 1, 2026. He joined Target in 2004, starting his career as an intern, and has held various leadership positions across finance, merchandising, human resources, and operations. Prior to becoming CEO, Fiddelke served as Chief Operating Officer and, before that, as Chief Financial Officer from 2019 to 2024. Before joining Target, he worked at Deloitte Consulting, LLP for three years. Fiddelke also serves on the executive committee of the National Retail Federation and on the board of the Retail Industry Leaders Association. He is also a board member for Shipt, a same-day delivery company acquired by Target in 2017.

Jim Lee, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jim Lee was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Target, effective September 22, 2024. In this role, he is responsible for Target's corporate finance, enterprise strategy, enterprise partnerships, and corporate development. Lee joined Target after more than 25 years of finance, business, and strategy leadership experience at PepsiCo, where he most recently served as Deputy Chief Financial Officer. His experience at PepsiCo included leading finance teams for its international business and overseeing global tax, treasury, and investor relations. He also held the position of chief strategy and transformation officer for PepsiCo Beverages North America, which involved business development and mergers and acquisitions. Lee has served on multiple boards, including Tropicana Brands Group and Celsius Holdings.

Cara Sylvester, Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer

Cara Sylvester was named Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 15, 2026. She previously served as Chief Guest Experience Officer. Sylvester has been with Target for over 18 years, holding various merchandising positions throughout her tenure. Her expertise spans digital, loyalty, and marketing, and she has a track record of driving revenue, profitability, and market share.

Lisa Roath, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Lisa Roath was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective February 15, 2026. Before this, she was the chief merchandising officer of food, essentials, and beauty. Roath brings expertise in leading an end-to-end retail operation, encompassing merchandising, supply chain, and stores. She has been employed by Target since 2006.

Melissa Kremer, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Melissa Kremer is Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for Target. She joined Target in 2004 as a recruiter. Throughout her career at Target, Kremer has held various HR leadership positions, supporting major commercial businesses and leading key talent functions such as recruiting, learning, leadership development, talent management, and strategic workforce planning. She also held human resources positions at Cargill prior to joining Target. Kremer has been instrumental in driving HR strategies for Target's organizational transformation, including large-scale structural and operational changes.

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Target Corporation (TGT) faces several key risks, primarily stemming from evolving consumer behaviors, operational challenges, and intense market competition.

  1. Consumer Spending Habits and Economic Conditions: A significant portion, approximately 80%, of Target's sales are in discretionary categories, making the company highly susceptible to fluctuations in consumer spending. In environments characterized by high interest rates or inflation, consumers tend to reduce discretionary purchases, directly impacting Target's top-line revenue and pressuring profit margins. This economic sensitivity has led to comparable sales declines, particularly in areas like home goods and apparel, as shoppers scale back. The current economic climate has also seen budget retailers and wholesale clubs gain market share from Target, further highlighting its vulnerability to changes in purchasing power and consumer confidence.

  2. Organized Retail Crime and Operational Costs: Target has been significantly impacted by rising organized retail crime, also referred to as "shrinkage," which cost the company an estimated $500 million in 2025. This trend has forced Target to implement measures such as locking up high-theft items and limiting self-checkout options, which, while aimed at reducing loss, carry the inherent risk of negatively affecting the guest experience. Beyond direct theft, operational risks, including store safety and potential legal exposures—as evidenced by a recent $2.7 million premises liability lawsuit—can incur material financial and reputational consequences for the company.

  3. Intense Competition and Brand Perception: Target operates within a fiercely competitive retail landscape, facing pressure from a diverse array of omnichannel retailers, direct-to-consumer brands, and online marketplaces. Its sustained success hinges on its capacity to effectively differentiate itself through its product offerings, pricing strategies, and overall guest experience. Failure to distinguish itself adequately could result in a loss of market share and adverse financial outcomes. Adding to this challenge, negative publicity and consumer backlash, particularly following its diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives in 2025, have led to consumer boycotts and increased scrutiny, impacting brand perception and potentially sales. This directly affects its ability to attract and retain customers in a crowded market where competitors like Walmart and Amazon excel in price and speed, respectively.

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The rise of ultra-low-cost, direct-to-consumer e-commerce platforms such as Shein and Temu presents an emerging threat. These platforms leverage direct sourcing and aggressive pricing, particularly impacting Target's apparel, home décor, and general merchandise categories by offering a compelling alternative for value-conscious consumers. Concurrently, the rapid growth and increasing influence of social commerce platforms like TikTok Shop represent a new frontier in consumer purchasing behavior. This emerging channel enables direct in-app purchases and leverages social media trends, potentially diverting consumer attention and spending from traditional retail channels and websites like Target.com.

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Target Corporation (TGT) operates in various retail segments within the United States. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

  • General Merchandise Retail: The General Merchandise Stores sector in the United States was approximately $899.3 billion in 2025.
  • Food Assortments (Grocery & Food): The USA Grocery & Food Market is valued at approximately $3 trillion.
  • Apparel & Accessories: The United States apparel market is valued at $365.70 billion in 2025.
  • Home Décor Products: The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of approximately $237.87 billion in 2024.
  • Electronics: The U.S. consumer electronics retail market recorded revenues of $380.9 billion in 2024.
  • Household Appliances: The U.S. household appliances market size was estimated at $99.34 billion in 2024.
  • Toys: The U.S. toys market size reached $42.8 billion in 2024.
  • Beauty and Personal Care Products: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was estimated at $109.56 billion in 2025.
  • Household Essentials: The USA Household Products Market is valued at $67.5 billion.

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Target Corporation (TGT) is focusing on several strategic initiatives to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years and beyond.

  1. Strategic Store Investments and Expansion: Target plans to significantly invest in its physical store presence by opening new locations and remodeling existing ones. The company aims to open approximately 20 new stores in 2025 and over 30 in 2026, with a long-term goal of adding more than 300 stores over ten years. These new and remodeled stores are designed to enhance the in-store shopping experience, incorporate flexible layouts for efficient fulfillment operations, and serve as hubs for digital growth.

  2. Enhanced Digital and Omnichannel Experience: A key driver is the continuous investment in Target's digital channels and the integration of its physical and digital commerce. This includes improving the digital experience through enhanced search, social, and AI-driven personalization for better product recommendations. The company also aims to accelerate the growth of its same-day services, such as Drive Up and Same-Day Delivery, and expand its next-day delivery capabilities to more metro areas.

  3. Differentiated Product Assortment and Brand Partnerships: Target is focused on offering a compelling and relevant product assortment, emphasizing newness, quality, and value. This strategy involves launching new series and collaborations, expanding partnerships with brands like Champion and Disney, and introducing over 45 new beauty brands and 2,000 new items. Additionally, the retailer is reimagining key categories such as gaming, sports, and toys to strengthen its market position.

  4. Growth of Target Plus Marketplace and Roundel: Expanding third-party digital sales through the Target Plus marketplace is a significant growth initiative. Target projects to grow these sales from approximately $1 billion in 2024 to more than $5 billion by 2030 by adding hundreds of new brands. Concurrently, the company plans to double the size of its in-house media company, Roundel, by 2030, which generated over $2 billion in value in 2025.

  5. Supply Chain Optimization and Loyalty Program Evolution: Investments in supply chain and fulfillment capabilities are geared towards increasing ease, reliability, and speed of product delivery. This includes modernizing inventory management with AI-powered technology and implementing new package delivery solutions. Alongside this, Target is evolving its Target Circle loyalty program and aims to triple the Target Circle 360 membership base over the next three years by introducing new perks and partnerships to deepen guest engagement.

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Share Repurchases

  • Target had an existing share repurchase program authorized in August 2021. As of January 31, 2026, the company completed the repurchase of 34,804,581 shares for $6,842.56 million under this program.
  • As of November 1, 2025, approximately $8.3 billion of remaining capacity was under the August 2021 repurchase program, which has a total authorization of $15 billion.
  • In fiscal year 2025, Target repurchased $251 million in Q1 and $152 million in Q3.

Share Issuance

  • Target's shares outstanding have generally declined over the last few years, indicating net repurchases rather than significant issuances for capital raising.
  • For instance, Target's shares outstanding saw a 0.22% decline in 2025 from 2024, a 0.41% decline in 2024 from 2023, and a 5.68% decline in 2023 from 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Target's capital expenditures for fiscal years ending January 2022 to 2026 averaged $4.099 billion, with a peak of $5.528 billion in fiscal year 2023, decreasing to $2.891 billion in fiscal year 2025.
  • For fiscal year 2026, Target anticipates total capital spending of approximately $5 billion.
  • These expenditures are primarily focused on opening more than 30 new stores and remodeling over 130 existing stores, enhancing supply chain and technology (including AI), and investing over $1 billion in its food and beverage business.

Better Bets vs. Target (TGT)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TGT.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRBR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02272026BRBRBellRing BrandsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
STZ_2132026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02132026STZConstellation BrandsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
KMB_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026KMBKimberly-ClarkInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-1.7%
AVO_2062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202062026AVOMission ProduceInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
1.1%1.1%-2.7%
CALM_1022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01022026CALMCal-Maine FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.0%12.0%-7.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Mkt Price115.92122.05207.24973.82330.9171.88164.65
Mkt Cap52.5972.92,219.5432.3328.647.1380.5
Rev LTM104,780713,163716,924286,265166,189147,225226,227
Op Inc LTM5,11729,82579,97510,94021,5361,55616,238
FCF LTM2,83514,9237,6959,09913,9272,2698,397
FCF 3Y Avg3,70914,23424,2637,40816,1062,25110,821
CFO LTM6,56241,565139,51415,01117,6496,06216,330
CFO 3Y Avg7,51737,911113,44612,54119,5186,13316,030

Growth & Margins

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Rev Chg LTM-1.7%4.7%12.4%8.4%7.5%-1.8%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%5.3%11.7%6.9%1.9%0.2%3.6%
Rev Chg Q-1.5%5.6%13.6%9.2%2.8%0.7%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%1.4%3.7%2.1%0.7%0.2%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%4.2%11.2%3.8%13.0%1.1%4.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%4.2%9.4%3.6%13.7%1.9%4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%-0.1%-1.6%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.3%5.8%19.5%5.2%10.6%4.1%6.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%5.6%17.5%4.7%12.4%4.1%6.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.7%2.1%1.1%3.2%8.4%1.5%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%2.1%3.9%2.8%10.2%1.5%3.1%

Valuation

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
Mkt Cap52.5972.92,219.5432.3328.647.1380.5
P/S0.51.43.11.52.00.31.4
P/EBIT10.130.122.337.515.232.126.2
P/E14.244.428.650.622.559.736.5
P/CFO8.023.415.928.818.67.817.3
Total Yield11.0%3.0%3.5%2.4%7.2%3.6%3.5%
Dividend Yield3.9%0.8%0.0%0.4%2.8%1.9%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%2.3%1.3%2.1%4.5%5.8%3.4%
D/E0.40.10.10.00.20.50.1
Net D/E0.30.10.0-0.00.20.40.1

Returns

TGTWMTAMZNCOSTHDKRMedian
NameTarget Walmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Home Dep.Kroger  
1M Rtn-0.7%-0.6%-1.4%-1.2%-12.9%8.3%-0.9%
3M Rtn24.2%10.3%-10.7%14.1%-3.4%16.0%12.2%
6M Rtn36.2%19.5%-6.1%3.5%-18.4%11.1%7.3%
12M Rtn11.9%40.7%2.0%5.7%-6.7%12.2%8.8%
3Y Rtn-17.3%167.3%111.2%104.8%26.1%56.6%80.7%
1M Excs Rtn6.4%1.3%5.1%2.9%-7.5%9.4%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn23.5%11.0%-4.8%18.0%0.6%19.8%14.5%
6M Excs Rtn39.0%21.2%-6.9%5.6%-16.6%14.6%10.1%
12M Excs Rtn0.8%27.5%-10.1%-8.0%-19.1%-3.5%-5.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.4%104.5%42.0%40.8%-43.6%-3.2%18.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Food & beverage23,82823,89922,91820,30618,135
Household essentials18,61418,746   
Home furnishings & décor16,69917,76019,46320,25518,231
Apparel & accessories16,50516,48517,64617,93114,772
Hardlines15,78416,16217,73918,61416,626
Beauty13,17312,538   
Advertising revenue649522   
Credit card profit sharing576667734710666
Other5214201,045921670
Other merchandise sales217213   
Beauty & household essentials  29,57527,26824,461
Total106,566107,412109,120106,00593,561


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$115.92 
Market Cap ($ Bil)52.6 
First Trading Date04/06/1983 
Distance from 52W High-4.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$112.90$98.50
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA2.7%17.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.5%34.7%
Downside Capture-16.4396.02
Upside Capture119.3593.88
Correlation (SPY)24.3%52.1%
TGT Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.570.920.660.910.980.84
Up Beta1.410.250.070.520.920.84
Down Beta2.401.551.451.691.000.83
Up Capture249%156%125%87%88%38%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12254071134369
Down Capture27%8%-35%48%108%100%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days8152052116381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TGT
TGT16.6%34.9%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.1%14.0%0.1241.6%
Equity (SPY)16.9%18.9%0.6952.0%
Gold (GLD)46.2%27.1%1.39-10.8%
Commodities (DBC)18.3%17.5%0.8612.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%16.5%-0.0351.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.2%44.1%-0.2528.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TGT
TGT-5.4%35.2%-0.08-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.9%13.2%0.3146.0%
Equity (SPY)11.9%17.0%0.5446.7%
Gold (GLD)20.0%17.5%0.932.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.0%0.4710.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.8%0.0642.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.9%56.7%0.2917.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TGT
TGT6.8%33.2%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.7%0.3744.0%
Equity (SPY)14.3%17.9%0.6844.9%
Gold (GLD)13.2%15.8%0.690.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4013.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2136.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.3%66.8%1.0611.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-5.9%
Average Daily Volume7.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity453.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/11/20261.2%2.1%2.2%
11/19/2025-2.8%-2.2%10.7%
8/20/2025-6.3%-8.8%-15.1%
5/21/2025-5.2%-2.2%-2.6%
3/4/2025-3.0%-5.7%-13.5%
11/20/2024-21.4%-18.3%-15.8%
8/21/202411.2%10.8%9.3%
5/22/2024-8.0%-5.2%-6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11810
# Negative141715
Median Positive6.1%10.0%10.0%
Median Negative-5.0%-5.2%-12.2%
Max Positive17.8%18.1%27.4%
Max Negative-24.9%-30.3%-33.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/11/202610-K
10/31/202511/26/202510-Q
07/31/202508/29/202510-Q
04/30/202505/30/202510-Q
01/31/202503/12/202510-K
10/31/202411/27/202410-Q
07/31/202408/30/202410-Q
04/30/202405/31/202410-Q
01/31/202403/13/202410-K
10/31/202311/22/202310-Q
07/31/202308/25/202310-Q
04/30/202305/26/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-K
10/31/202211/23/202210-Q
07/31/202208/26/202210-Q
04/30/202205/27/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/19/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 EPS 1.3    
2026 Revenue Growth 2.0%    
2026 Operating Margin 4.8% 4.3%0.2%Higher NewActual: 4.6% for 2025
2026 EPS7.588.5   

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Liegel, Matthew AChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell6122025100.902,044206,2451,116,386Form
2Cornell, Brian CExecutive OfficerTrustSell530202596.1845,0004,327,97423,703,159Form
3Cornell, Brian CExecutive OfficerTrustSell3122025113.3745,0005,101,48829,344,099Form
4Liegel, Matthew AChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3102025113.5228732,580814,279Form
5Cornell, Brian CExecutive OfficerTrustSell3112026121.7650,0006,088,02523,920,216Form