JM Smucker (SJM)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $107.0 | Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
JM Smucker (SJM)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $107.0
Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70% |
Attractive yield Dividend Yield is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 5.9% | Weak revenue growth Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% | |
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 30% | Yield minus risk free rate is negative ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
Attractive yield Dividend Yield is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 5.9% |
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 30% |
Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70% |
Weak revenue growth Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% |
Yield minus risk free rate is negative ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SJM Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
SJM Return | 15% | 21% | 21% | -18% | -10% | 0% | 26% |
Peers Return | 4% | 13% | 13% | -19% | 2% | -19% | -12% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
SJM Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 75% | 33% | 42% | 44% | |
Peers Win Rate | 40% | 44% | 60% | 38% | 56% | 39% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
SJM Max Drawdown | -7% | -4% | -9% | -30% | -13% | -13% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -5% | -6% | -31% | -15% | -22% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIS, K, FLO, WEST, BRBF. See SJM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/6/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | SJM | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -33.5% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 50.3% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -19.4% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 24.1% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -34.4% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 1110 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -46.2% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 503 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
JM Smucker's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.
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About JM Smucker (SJM)
The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. It operates in four segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Consumer Foods, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and International and Away From Home. The company offers mainstream roast, ground, single serve, and premium coffee; peanut butter and specialty spreads; fruit spreads, shortening and oils, and frozen sandwiches; pet food and pet snacks; and foodservice hot beverage, foodservice portion control, and flour products, as well as dog and cat food, frozen handheld products, juices and beverages, and baking ingredient. It provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin' Donuts, 1850, Jif, Smucker's, Crisco, Smucker's Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Kibbles n Bits, 9Lives, Nature's Recipe, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Rachael Ray Nutrish, Natural Balance, Robin Hood, and Five Roses brands. The company sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers and wholesalers, club stores, pet specialty stores, discount and dollar stores, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, natural foods stores and distributors, and online retailers; and through retail channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to SJM and Packaged Foods & Meats.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.1% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
09302025 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
07312025 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.0% | -17.0% | -21.1% |
06302025 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.1% | -16.1% | -22.4% |
12312018 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 26.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.1% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
09302025 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
07312025 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.0% | -17.0% | -21.1% |
06302025 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -16.1% | -16.1% | -22.4% |
12312018 | SJM | JM Smucker | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 26.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for JM Smucker
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 50.18 |
Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
Rev LTM | 8,714 |
Op Inc LTM | 1,350 |
FCF LTM | 672 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 736 |
CFO LTM | 1,027 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 1,221 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
Rev Chg Q | -0.6% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
Op Mgn LTM | 15.1% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
P/S | 1.3 |
P/EBIT | 7.8 |
P/E | 9.3 |
P/CFO | 10.1 |
Total Yield | 7.6% |
Dividend Yield | 4.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
D/E | 0.7 |
Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -4.9% |
3M Rtn | -2.0% |
6M Rtn | -12.5% |
12M Rtn | -21.2% |
3Y Rtn | -26.6% |
1M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
3M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
6M Excs Rtn | -46.8% |
12M Excs Rtn | -42.7% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -113.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Retail Coffee | 2,704 | 2,735 | 2,497 | 2,375 | 2,150 |
U.S. Retail Pet Foods | 1,823 | 3,038 | 2,764 | 2,844 | 2,870 |
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads | 1,816 | 1,631 | 1,707 | 1,836 | 1,732 |
International and Away From Home | 1,199 | 1,125 | 1,030 | 948 | 1,050 |
Sweet Baked Snacks | 637 | 0 | 0 | ||
Total | 8,179 | 8,529 | 7,999 | 8,003 | 7,801 |
Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Retail Coffee | 759 | 738 | 737 | 769 | 691 |
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads | 434 | 353 | 424 | 472 | 390 |
U.S. Retail Pet Foods | 402 | 495 | 396 | 487 | 553 |
International and Away From Home | 208 | 143 | 142 | 124 | 173 |
Sweet Baked Snacks | 138 | 0 | 0 | ||
Change in net cumulative unallocated derivative gains and losses | 7 | -21 | -23 | 94 | 20 |
Cost of products sold - special project costs | -3 | -6 | -20 | -3 | 0 |
Gain (loss) on divestitures - net | -13 | -1,018 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
Other special project costs | -130 | -5 | -8 | -21 | -16 |
Amortization | -191 | -207 | -224 | -233 | -236 |
Corporate administrative expenses | -306 | -313 | -259 | -324 | -298 |
Other intangible assets impairment charges | -150 | -4 | -52 | ||
Total | 1,306 | 157 | 1,024 | 1,387 | 1,223 |
Assets by Segment
$ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sweet Baked Snacks | 6,267 | 0 | 0 | ||
U.S. Retail Coffee | 4,826 | 4,809 | 4,892 | 4,794 | 4,787 |
U.S. Retail Pet Foods | 4,784 | 4,994 | 7,167 | 7,481 | 7,731 |
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads | 3,257 | 2,973 | 2,692 | 2,553 | 2,873 |
International and Away From Home | 990 | 978 | 974 | 1,014 | 1,048 |
Unallocated | 150 | 1,237 | 330 | 442 | 530 |
Total | 20,274 | 14,991 | 16,055 | 16,284 | 16,970 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/27/2025 | -4.4% | 1.3% | -2.5% |
6/10/2025 | -15.6% | -14.7% | -6.3% |
2/27/2025 | -0.0% | 0.2% | 6.9% |
11/26/2024 | 5.7% | 3.2% | -2.4% |
8/28/2024 | -4.9% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
6/6/2024 | 4.6% | -0.2% | -0.4% |
2/27/2024 | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.6% |
12/5/2023 | 3.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 14 | 17 | 9 |
# Negative | 10 | 7 | 15 |
Median Positive | 3.3% | 1.3% | 6.3% |
Median Negative | -3.5% | -2.6% | -2.4% |
Max Positive | 6.9% | 8.1% | 14.4% |
Max Negative | -15.6% | -14.7% | -12.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
7312025 | 8272025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
4302025 | 6182025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
1312025 | 2272025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
7312024 | 8282024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
4302024 | 6182024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
1312024 | 2272024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
10312023 | 12052023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
7312023 | 8292023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
4302023 | 6202023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
1312023 | 2282023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
10312022 | 11212022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
7312022 | 8232022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
4302022 | 6162022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
1312022 | 3012022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
10312021 | 11232021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | SMUCKER MARK T | CEO, Chair of Board | 9252025 | Sell | 110.00 | 6,500 | 715,000 | 8,447,120 | Form |
1 | AMIN TARANG | 6122025 | Buy | 96.09 | 1,050 | 100,894 | 367,544 | Form | |
2 | Penrose Jill R | Chief People Officer | 3312025 | Sell | 116.26 | 5,117 | 594,902 | 1,022,390 | Form |
3 | Knudsen Jeannette L | Chief Legal Officer | 3242025 | Sell | 110.55 | 2,700 | 298,485 | 1,617,015 | Form |
4 | Marshall Tucker H | Chief Financial Officer | 3142025 | Sell | 113.36 | 5,028 | 569,974 | 1,503,475 | Form |
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