Ralph Lauren (RL)
Market Price (3/25/2026): $343.53 | Market Cap: $21.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Ralph Lauren (RL)
Market Price (3/25/2026): $343.53Market Cap: $21.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4% | Key risksRL key risks include [1] its high revenue dependence on the U.S. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Key risksRL key risks include [1] its high revenue dependence on the U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Profit-Taking and High Valuation Following Recent Highs.
Ralph Lauren's stock reached an all-time high closing price of $385.03 on February 20, 2026. The subsequent decline can be attributed to profit-taking by investors after this strong performance, exacerbated by the stock's elevated valuation. As of March 6, 2026, Ralph Lauren's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stood at 24.06, significantly higher than the industry median of 16.465, suggesting the stock was "significantly overvalued" based on its GF Value. This high valuation likely prompted a pullback as investors reassessed its growth prospects at a premium.
2. Disappointment Post-Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Despite Beats.
On February 5, 2026, Ralph Lauren reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.22 exceeding the consensus estimate of $5.80, and revenue of $2.41 billion surpassing analysts' expectations of $2.30 billion. The company also raised its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook for constant currency revenue and operating margin. Despite these positive results and raised guidance, the stock experienced a notable 4.52% drop on the day of the earnings release, indicating that investor expectations were potentially even higher, leading to a "sell-the-news" reaction.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.3% change in RL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 366.40 | 343.50 | -6.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,571 | 7,833 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.3% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.2 | 22.9 | -12.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 61 | 61 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RL | -6.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -4.1% | 48.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -7.0% | 59.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.3% change in RL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 295.29 | 343.50 | 16.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,286 | 7,833 | 7.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.7 | 22.9 | 0.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 61 | 61 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RL | 16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.8% | 55.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.0% | 56.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.3% change in RL stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 267.76 | 343.50 | 28.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,950 | 7,833 | 12.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.8 | 22.9 | -3.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 62 | 61 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RL | 28.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.2% | 69.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.5% | 70.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 206.6% change in RL stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 57.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.04 | 343.50 | 206.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,426 | 7,833 | 21.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.0% | 11.7% | 46.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.5 | 22.9 | 57.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 66 | 61 | 8.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 206.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RL | 206.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 71.5% | 57.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.6% | 54.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RL Return | 17% | -8% | 40% | 63% | 55% | -4% | 262% |
| Peers Return | 12% | -40% | 10% | 10% | 27% | 11% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RL Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 42% | 50% | 52% | 47% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RL Max Drawdown | -3% | -28% | 0% | -5% | -21% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -58% | -31% | -33% | -41% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TPR, VFC, PVH, FOSL, VRA. See RL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 444 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,575 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 611 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TPR, VFC, PVH, FOSL, VRA
In The Past
Ralph Lauren's stock fell -39.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -39.9% loss requires a 66.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Ralph Lauren (RL)
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An American Hermès.
Like Williams Sonoma or Restoration Hardware, but also a major fashion house for high-end American apparel, accessories, and fragrances.
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- Apparel: A wide range of men's, women's, and children's clothing, including various collections and brands.
- Accessories: A diverse collection of footwear, eyewear, watches, jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, umbrellas, belts, and leather goods like handbags and luggage.
- Home Furnishings and Decor: Products for the home, including bed and bath lines, furniture, fabric, wallcoverings, lighting, tabletop items, floor coverings, and giftware.
- Fragrances: A selection of men's and women's fragrances, marketed under various brand names and collections.
- Restaurant Services: Operates fine dining restaurants and coffee shop concepts, providing hospitality experiences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ralph Lauren (symbol: RL) sells its products through a dual model, both to other businesses (wholesale) and directly to consumers (DTC). Given the extensive number of directly operated retail stores (548) and concession-based shop-within-shops (650), along with its digital commerce sites, a significant portion of its sales are made directly to individuals. Therefore, we will describe up to three categories of customers that it serves directly.
The major customer categories for Ralph Lauren are:
- Affluent and Style-Conscious Individuals: This primary segment includes customers who appreciate timeless, sophisticated, and luxurious fashion. They are drawn to the premium and high-end offerings from brands like Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren, and Lauren Ralph Lauren, seeking quality apparel, accessories, home goods, and fragrances that embody classic American elegance and a refined lifestyle.
- Lifestyle-Oriented Consumers with an Active/Preppy Bent: This category targets individuals who embrace a preppy, sporty, and aspirational lifestyle. Brands such as Polo Ralph Lauren, Polo Golf Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Golf, and RLX Ralph Lauren cater to customers interested in activewear, performance gear, and casual yet refined attire suitable for sports, leisure, and upscale social events.
- Consumers Seeking Accessible Luxury and Quality Staples: This broader group includes individuals who are attracted to the brand's iconic status and quality at various price points. They might purchase everyday wear from Polo Ralph Lauren, Lauren Ralph Lauren, or explore contemporary styles from Club Monaco. This segment values brand recognition, enduring style, and quality for their wardrobes and homes.
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Ralph Lauren, Executive Chairman and Chief Creative Officer
Ralph Lauren founded the Ralph Lauren Corporation in 1967. He stepped down as CEO in September 2015 but remains the Executive Chairman and Chief Creative Officer.
Patrice Louvet, President and Chief Executive Officer
Patrice Louvet joined Ralph Lauren in July 2017 as President and Chief Executive Officer. Before joining Ralph Lauren, he spent nearly three decades in leadership roles at Procter & Gamble (P&G). His roles at P&G included group president for global beauty and hair care units from 2015 to 2017. He also previously served as a naval officer in the French Navy. Louvet is also on the board of Bacardi Limited and Danone, and is part of the CEO Advisory Council of the Fashion Pact.
Justin Picicci, Chief Financial Officer
Justin Picicci was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Ralph Lauren Corporation effective May 23, 2024. He joined the company in 2006 and has held various senior finance leadership positions within Ralph Lauren, including Enterprise CFO, Asia Pacific CFO, Global Company Controller and Head of Procurement, and North America CFO.
David Lauren, Chief Branding and Innovation Officer & Vice Chairman
David Lauren, son of founder Ralph Lauren, joined the company in 2000. He is responsible for overseeing the company's innovation, global marketing, public relations, advertising, digital content, digital design, and brand communications teams. He became a member of the Board of Directors in August 2013 and was named Vice Chairman of the Board in 2016. He also serves as the President of the Ralph Lauren Corporate Foundation.
Halide Alagöz, Chief Product & Merchandising Officer
Halide Alagöz joined Ralph Lauren in 2016. She is responsible for the company's end-to-end product life cycle. Prior to Ralph Lauren, she spent 18 years at H&M, where she managed supply chain operations and focused on sustainability initiatives.
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Sensitivity to Fashion Trends and Consumer Preferences: As a designer, marketer, and distributor of lifestyle products including apparel, home goods, and fragrances, Ralph Lauren's business is highly susceptible to shifts in fashion trends and consumer preferences across its diverse brand portfolio. Failure to anticipate or adapt to evolving tastes and macroeconomic factors affecting discretionary spending could lead to decreased demand for its products, increased inventory, and reduced sales and profitability.
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Reliance on Brand Image and Reputation: Ralph Lauren's extensive portfolio of brands, such as Ralph Lauren Collection, Polo Ralph Lauren, and Lauren Ralph Lauren, as well as its restaurant concepts, are built upon a strong brand image and reputation. Any negative publicity, product quality issues, ethical concerns in its supply chain, or ineffective marketing campaigns could damage consumer perception, erode brand loyalty, and significantly impact sales across its global operations.
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Intense Competition: The markets for apparel, accessories, home products, and fragrances are highly competitive and fragmented. Ralph Lauren faces competition from numerous international, national, and local brands, including other luxury fashion houses, mass-market retailers, and emerging direct-to-consumer businesses. This intense competition could put pressure on pricing, market share, and require continuous investment in product innovation and marketing, potentially impacting profitability.
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The rapid growth and mainstream adoption of online re-commerce platforms for luxury and premium goods represent a clear emerging threat. These platforms, such as The RealReal and Vestiaire Collective, enable consumers to purchase authenticated second-hand Ralph Lauren products, including apparel and accessories, often at a significant discount. This trend directly competes with the sale of new items, potentially reducing demand for Ralph Lauren's primary product offerings and altering traditional consumer purchasing behavior in the luxury and premium market.
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The addressable markets for Ralph Lauren's main products and services are substantial across various global and regional segments.
Apparel
The global luxury clothing market was valued at an estimated USD 274.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 364.4 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8%. North America and Europe are identified as the largest markets for luxury clothing.
Home Products
The global luxury home decor market reached an estimated USD 178.06 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow significantly to USD 618.07 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 16.93%. In 2024, North America held 34% of the global luxury home decor market share, followed by Asia Pacific at 28%, and Europe at 26%.
Fragrances
The luxury perfume market size globally is estimated at USD 56.28 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 86.23 billion by 2031, with an 8.91% CAGR during the forecast period. In 2025, Europe held 28.95% of the market share, while Asia-Pacific is experiencing the fastest growth. North America also commanded the largest revenue share of 37.3% in the luxury perfume market in 2025.
Restaurant Concepts
For fine dining, the global fine dining restaurants market is projected to be USD 191.11 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 289.87 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 7.19%. Regarding coffee shops, the global coffee shops and cafes market size is projected at USD 67.49 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 109.06 billion by 2034. North America leads in terms of the number of café outlets, holding approximately 35% of the global share, followed by Europe at about 27%.
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Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily outlined in its "Next Great Chapter: Drive" strategic plan. These drivers focus on brand elevation, market expansion, and enhanced consumer engagement.
The expected drivers of future revenue growth include:
- Global Expansion and Brand Elevation: Ralph Lauren aims to expand and elevate its lifestyle brand positioning globally. This strategy focuses on enhancing quality, attracting new customers, and boosting customer loyalty, thereby increasing customer lifetime value. The company plans to expand into high-growth markets, particularly in Asia (with China showing significant growth), while also strengthening its presence in existing core regions.
- Driving Core Products and Expanding into Underdeveloped Categories: The company intends to continue driving sales of its iconic core products, which currently account for a significant portion of its revenue, while simultaneously pursuing accelerated growth in high-potential, underdeveloped categories that align with evolving consumer lifestyles.
- Winning in Key Cities with a Digitally-Led Consumer Ecosystem: Ralph Lauren plans to scale a cohesive, digitally-led ecosystem across 30 major global cities and begin developing this model in an additional 20 cities. This involves accelerating digital transformation through investments in AI, data analytics, personalization, mobile capabilities, and omnichannel experiences. Expanding direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels, which have demonstrated strong growth, is a key part of this strategy.
- Strategic Pricing and Average Unit Retail (AUR) Growth: Consistent increases in average unit retail (AUR) prices, driven by reduced discounting, strong full-price demand, and a favorable product mix, are expected to contribute to revenue growth and gross margin expansion. AI-driven analytics are utilized to optimize pricing strategies.
- Leveraging Technology and Data Analytics: Ralph Lauren is bolstering its growth strategy through advanced technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics. These capabilities are being integrated across the business to improve demand forecasting, optimize pricing strategies, enhance inventory planning, and support overall digital transformation efforts, ultimately leading to more efficient operations and increased sales.
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Share Repurchases
- Ralph Lauren's Board of Directors authorized a new $1.5 billion stock repurchase program on May 22, 2025.
- The company repurchased approximately $350 million of Class A Common Stock during fiscal year 2026, as of February 5, 2026.
- Annual share repurchases were $480.9 million in fiscal year 2025 and $449.7 million in fiscal year 2024.
Share Issuance
- The number of outstanding shares for Ralph Lauren has shown a decline over the last few fiscal years, indicating net repurchases rather than issuances.
- Shares outstanding were 61.5 million at the end of fiscal year 2025, down from 63.3 million in fiscal year 2024 and 65.6 million in fiscal year 2023.
Outbound Investments
- On January 31, 2022, Ralph Lauren announced a strategic limited partnership with Franklin Venture Partners to invest in innovative consumer technology companies, with a focus on women-led businesses.
- This partnership builds upon a prior minority investment made in Natural Fiber Welding, Inc. (NFW), a startup specializing in sustainable material science.
Capital Expenditures
- Ralph Lauren's capital expenditures were approximately $216.2 million in fiscal year 2025 and $164.8 million in fiscal year 2024.
- For fiscal year 2026, the company plans capital expenditures of approximately 4% to 5% of its revenue.
- Capital expenditures are focused on advancing digital and omnichannel expansion, upgrading technology, and enhancing the customer experience to support the company's "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate" plan.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to RL.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
| 03312020 | RL | Ralph Lauren | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 84.3% | -8.7% |
| 12312016 | RL | Ralph Lauren | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -17.2% | 17.5% | -26.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 41.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| Rev LTM | 7,674 |
| Op Inc LTM | 584 |
| FCF LTM | 376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 556 |
| CFO LTM | 525 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 736 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 16.0 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 43.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 26.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 34.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $343.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 21.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/12/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $356.41 | $325.04 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.6% | 5.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.4% | 38.0% |
| Downside Capture | 138.23 | 136.24 |
| Upside Capture | 151.53 | 157.83 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 54.5% | 69.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.57 | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.25 | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| Up Beta | 0.06 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 1.47 | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| Down Beta | 2.16 | 1.16 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Up Capture | 230% | 152% | 126% | 167% | 198% | 298% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 24 | 32 | 67 | 131 | 394 |
| Down Capture | 141% | 128% | 131% | 113% | 123% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 17 | 29 | 57 | 120 | 358 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RL | 55.5% | 38.3% | 1.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.1% | 23.7% | 0.42 | 69.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.9% | 18.9% | 0.69 | 69.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 46.2% | 27.1% | 1.39 | 0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.3% | 17.5% | 0.86 | 24.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 16.5% | -0.03 | 50.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.2% | 44.1% | -0.25 | 33.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RL | 25.7% | 36.5% | 0.71 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.1% | 23.6% | 0.22 | 59.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.9% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 60.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.0% | 17.5% | 0.93 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 15.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.8% | 0.06 | 44.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.7% | 0.29 | 23.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RL | 15.7% | 38.2% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.2% | 21.9% | 0.51 | 56.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.3% | 17.9% | 0.68 | 55.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 15.8% | 0.69 | -2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 19.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 44.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 14.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/5/2026 | -4.5% | 1.4% | -4.6% |
| 11/6/2025 | -0.6% | 7.4% | 12.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -6.5% | -0.3% | 3.0% |
| 5/22/2025 | 1.3% | 1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2/6/2025 | 9.7% | 9.6% | -6.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.6% | 1.3% | 10.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | -3.4% | -1.5% | 5.1% |
| 5/23/2024 | 3.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 7.0% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -2.7% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 16.8% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.7% | -8.4% | -13.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/25/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/24/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026 | Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Revenue Growth | 5.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q4 2026 Operating Margin Change | -1.0% | Lower New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 10.5% | 75.0% | Raised | Guidance: 6.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Operating Margin Expansion | 1.2% | 71.4% | Raised | Guidance: 0.7% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Effective Tax Rate | 20.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 0.04 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.04 for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alagoz, Halide | Chief Product Officer | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 366.00 | 1,882 | 688,812 | 8,137,278 | Form |
| 2 | Alagoz, Halide | Chief Product Officer | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 317.00 | 2,337 | 740,829 | 7,644,455 | Form |
| 3 | Alagoz, Halide | Chief Product Officer | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 295.00 | 5,282 | 1,558,190 | 7,803,340 | Form |
| 4 | Ranftl, Robert P | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 280.21 | 7,350 | 2,059,543 | 3,689,805 | Form |
| 5 | Ranftl, Robert P | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 285.21 | 4,206 | 1,199,593 | 2,556,052 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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