Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 50x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 78x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 50x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 78x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PCH Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCH Return20%33%-23%16%-17%6%27%
Peers Return-10%35%-20%3%4%-5%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCH Win Rate50%75%42%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%67%43%45%55%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCH Max Drawdown-45%-5%-33%-2%-22%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-5%-30%-20%-12%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, HIW, WY, RYN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven833 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1513 days1480 days

Compare to O, FRT, HIW, WY, RYN


In The Past

PotlatchDeltic's stock fell -34.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -34.4% loss requires a 52.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PotlatchDeltic (PCH)

Better Bets than PotlatchDeltic (PCH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.9%-1.9%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.9%-1.9%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PotlatchDeltic

Financials

PCHOFRTHIWWYRYNMedian
NamePotlatch.Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Price41.4056.8797.3429.3623.0823.0335.38
Mkt Cap3.252.08.43.216.73.66.0
Rev LTM1,0575,6121,2548087,0721,1111,183
Op Inc LTM622,564451208595389420
FCF LTM843,76333636389148242
FCF 3Y Avg613,31827638446614330
CFO LTM1623,763597363894243480
CFO 3Y Avg1843,3185723841,095256478

Growth & Margins

PCHOFRTHIWWYRYNMedian
NamePotlatch.Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Rev Chg LTM-1.1%14.7%6.0%-2.3%-1.6%25.9%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.4%21.5%6.2%-0.5%-11.8%2.7%1.1%
Rev Chg Q-14.2%9.1%6.1%-1.2%2.1%6.9%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.1%2.1%1.5%-0.3%0.5%0.6%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.9%45.7%36.0%25.7%8.4%35.0%30.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.3%42.6%35.1%26.2%11.4%23.6%24.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%1.1%-0.2%0.5%-0.5%0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM15.3%67.1%47.6%44.9%12.6%21.8%33.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.3%69.5%48.2%46.5%14.9%27.8%37.2%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%67.1%26.8%44.9%1.3%13.3%20.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%69.5%23.1%46.5%6.2%-0.3%14.7%

Valuation

PCHOFRTHIWWYRYNMedian
NamePotlatch.Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Cap3.252.08.43.216.73.66.0
P/S3.19.36.73.92.43.23.6
P/EBIT49.624.315.611.428.78.819.9
P/E77.854.024.125.050.34.737.7
P/CFO20.013.814.08.818.614.814.4
Total Yield5.6%7.4%4.1%10.8%5.6%27.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield4.4%5.5%0.0%6.8%3.6%6.7%4.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.8%6.9%3.2%13.2%2.0%0.8%2.6%
D/E0.30.60.61.10.30.30.4
Net D/E0.30.50.61.10.30.00.4

Returns

PCHOFRTHIWWYRYNMedian
NamePotlatch.Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
1M Rtn-2.5%-3.2%-0.2%-7.0%-6.6%-8.4%-4.9%
3M Rtn-2.1%0.4%7.8%4.1%-8.7%-5.3%-0.9%
6M Rtn10.8%3.2%6.5%1.3%-10.5%6.5%4.8%
12M Rtn1.6%6.7%-10.5%-7.2%-25.1%-18.3%-8.8%
3Y Rtn5.2%5.8%7.0%30.3%-17.0%-18.7%5.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%-2.5%0.3%-5.0%-5.5%-6.9%-3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-6.0%-5.1%2.1%-0.1%-13.5%-10.3%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-8.0%-15.7%-12.4%-17.6%-29.4%-12.4%-14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-14.2%-14.1%-26.9%-22.0%-41.8%-34.8%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.7%-69.3%-67.2%-46.8%-92.2%-91.6%-69.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wood Products636913989698540
Timberlands411486449377323
Real Estate88916410479
Other intersegment revenues-000  
Intersegment Timberlands revenues-111-159-165-138-115
Total1,0241,3311,3371,041827


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Timberlands151249263183134
Real Estate6873478663
Gain on fire damage39353  
Wood Products2029139417613
Eliminations and adjustments610-4-156
Gain/ Loss on disposal of fixed assets-1-0-20-1
CatchMark merger-related expenses-2-270  
Basis of real estate sold-31-30-27-25-21
Corporate-45-49-47-48-36
Depreciation, depletion and amortization-120-97-76-76-70
Environmental charge -60  
Gain on sale of facility    9
Total8644955228196


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Timberlands2,4762,5461,7141,6181,655
Wood Products499441435421398
Corporate38249230525394
Real Estate7472829087
Total3,4313,5512,5352,3812,235


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,546,914
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020255.9%
Average Daily Volume753,783
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.05
Basic Shares Quantity78,280,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-0.3%  
7/28/20252.7%4.4%5.3%
4/28/2025-1.9%-2.1%-0.7%
1/27/2025-0.8%3.8%6.0%
10/28/2024-4.2%0.4%5.2%
7/29/20244.2%-0.8%-0.9%
10/25/2021-4.6%-4.8%0.1%
7/26/20211.6%-1.4%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive448
# Negative10106
Median Positive2.5%4.1%4.9%
Median Negative-1.9%-2.2%-2.8%
Max Positive4.2%4.5%6.0%
Max Negative-5.0%-6.5%-4.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211029202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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