Tearsheet

Nutrien (NTR)


Market Price (2/7/2026): $68.6 | Market Cap: $33.3 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Nutrien (NTR)


Market Price (2/7/2026): $68.6
Market Cap: $33.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
Key risks
NTR key risks include [1] potential financial distress indicated by its Altman Z-Score and considerable debt levels, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
7 Key risks
NTR key risks include [1] potential financial distress indicated by its Altman Z-Score and considerable debt levels, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nutrien (NTR) stock has gained about 25% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Favorable Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Revisions.

Nutrien experienced a series of positive analyst actions during the period, with several firms raising their ratings and price targets. For instance, Morgan Stanley upgraded Nutrien from an "equal weight" to an "overweight" rating and increased its price target from $70.00 to $77.00 on January 14, 2026. Similarly, other analysts from Scotiabank, RBC Capital, Mizuho, and UBS also raised their price objectives for the company. The company also received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on January 28, 2026, driven by an upward trend in earnings estimates. This collective positive sentiment from the analyst community contributed significantly to investor confidence.

2. Strengthening Fertilizer Market Fundamentals and Positive Outlook.

The market for crop inputs showed signs of improvement, with Nutrien's Q3 2025 report on November 5, 2025, highlighting expectations for robust crop input demand and increased global potash shipments in 2026. The global nitrogen demand was projected to grow by 2% in 2025, with tight supply and demand balance continuing into 2026 due to supply challenges and ongoing plant outages and project delays in global ammonia markets. Potash prices, in particular, saw a notable increase, with reports indicating a 21% rise in 2025 and a 25.5% jump over a three-month span in response to tariff fears on Canadian potash. Market assessments also pointed to tightening potash supply, with Morgan Stanley adopting a "tighter-for-longer" potash outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.1% change in NTR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252062026Change
Stock Price ($)53.9868.6127.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,96526,6242.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.2%6.8%29.4%
P/E Multiple19.318.4-4.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4874860.4%
Cumulative Contribution27.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR27.1% 
Market (SPY)1.3%11.7%
Sector (XLB)20.3%48.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.8% change in NTR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 231.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252062026Change
Stock Price ($)58.2668.6117.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,68326,6243.7%
Net Income Margin (%)2.1%6.8%231.1%
P/E Multiple54.118.4-66.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4894860.8%
Cumulative Contribution17.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR17.8% 
Market (SPY)9.6%15.8%
Sector (XLB)18.0%41.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.1% change in NTR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 146.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252062026Change
Stock Price ($)49.6868.6138.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)26,55726,6240.3%
Net Income Margin (%)2.8%6.8%146.2%
P/E Multiple33.518.4-45.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4954861.9%
Cumulative Contribution38.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR38.1% 
Market (SPY)15.8%23.4%
Sector (XLB)17.7%40.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.9% change in NTR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232062026Change
Stock Price ($)72.9368.61-5.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37,61826,624-29.2%
Net Income Margin (%)20.6%6.8%-67.0%
P/E Multiple5.018.4265.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)53548610.1%
Cumulative Contribution-5.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR-5.9% 
Market (SPY)76.2%27.8%
Sector (XLB)28.4%47.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NTR Return62%-1%-20%-16%43%10%70%
Peers Return49%6%-22%-3%2%10%36%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTR Win Rate75%42%33%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%55%40%52%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTR Max Drawdown0%-9%-27%-18%0%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-13%-36%-17%-19%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven812 days120 days

Compare to CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR

In The Past

Nutrien's stock fell -54.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -54.0% loss requires a 117.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Nutrien (NTR)

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. It offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products; and financial solutions. The company also distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products through approximately 2,000 retail locations in the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. In addition, it provides services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in North America, South America, and Australia. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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Here are two brief analogies to describe Nutrien:

  • The Shell for food production. (Nutrien extracts and processes essential raw materials for agriculture, much like Shell extracts and refines oil, and then distributes them through a vast network to end-users.)
  • The Intel Inside for agriculture. (Nutrien provides the critical, fundamental nutrients that are essential for plant growth and modern farming, similar to how Intel provides the core processors that power computers.)

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Nutrien (NTR) major products are:

  • Potash: A key crop nutrient used to enhance plant health, yield, and crop quality.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizers: Essential plant nutrients provided in various forms like urea, ammonia, and UAN solutions.
  • Phosphate Fertilizers: Vital nutrients for root development and plant energy, commonly sold as DAP and MAP.
  • Retail Agricultural Products and Services: Provides crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and agronomic services directly to farmers.

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Nutrien (NTR) serves a diverse customer base, with its extensive retail network primarily selling directly to farmers and agricultural producers. While Nutrien also has wholesale customers for its fertilizer products (potash, nitrogen, and phosphate), the company's significant retail presence means a substantial portion of its direct customers are individual farmers or family-owned farm businesses. Therefore, the major customer categories are:

  • Large-scale Commercial Farmers

    These customers operate extensive acreage, often across multiple locations, and are highly focused on maximizing yield and efficiency through advanced agricultural practices, precision agriculture technologies, and large volume purchases of fertilizers, crop protection products, and seeds. They represent a significant portion of Nutrien's retail sales volume and often seek integrated solutions and financing options.

  • Mid-sized Family Farmers

    Comprising a vast segment of the agricultural industry, these are often multi-generational operations that form the backbone of rural economies. They require a reliable supply of essential crop inputs, practical agronomic advice, and services tailored to their specific crop rotations and regional conditions. They balance operational efficiency with sustainability and long-term farm viability.

  • Specialty Crop and Livestock Producers

    While Nutrien's primary focus is broadacre crops (e.g., corn, soybeans, wheat), its retail network also serves producers involved in specialty crops (e.g., fruits, vegetables, nuts, nursery stock) and those with integrated livestock operations. These customers often have unique input and service requirements due to their specific production systems, and they rely on Nutrien for specialized products and expertise.

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  • Bayer AG (BAYRY)
  • Corteva Agriscience (CTVA)
  • BASF SE (BASFY)
  • FMC Corporation (FMC)
  • Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)
  • Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)
  • Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

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Ken Seitz, President and Chief Executive Officer

Ken Seitz was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Nutrien in January 2022. He brings over 25 years of global management experience in the agriculture and mining sectors, having worked in more than 60 countries. Prior to becoming CEO, Mr. Seitz served as Nutrien's Executive Vice President and CEO of Potash, a role he took in October 2019. Before joining Nutrien, he was the President and CEO of Canpotex, one of the world's largest potash suppliers, a position he held from 2015. Earlier in his career, he spent 18 years at Cameco Corporation, a uranium mining company, where he held various senior management roles, including Senior VP and Chief Commercial Officer.

Mark Thompson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mark Thompson was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Nutrien, effective August 26, 2024. He joined Nutrien in 2011 and has held numerous executive and senior leadership positions across the company's business units. Most recently, he served as the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. His previous roles include Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer, Executive Vice President and Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Business Development for Nutrien's Retail business.

Jeff Tarsi, Executive Vice President and President, Global Retail

Jeff Tarsi serves as Executive Vice President and President, Global Retail at Nutrien.

Noralee Bradley, Executive Vice President, External Affairs, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Noralee Bradley is the Executive Vice President, External Affairs, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary for Nutrien.

Chris Reynolds, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Chris Reynolds is the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer at Nutrien. He has been with the company for over 20 years, gaining extensive experience across Nutrien's Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate business units. Prior to his current role, he served as Executive Vice President & President, Potash, and previously headed the company's Sales organization as Senior Vice President, Sales. He has over 25 years of experience in the global fertilizer industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Nutrien (NTR) faces several key risks inherent to the agricultural and commodity sectors. The three most significant risks include:

  1. Commodity Price Volatility and Fertilizer Demand: Nutrien's revenues and margins are heavily influenced by the fluctuating prices of fertilizers, including potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. Volatility in natural gas prices, a crucial input for nitrogen fertilizers, further contributes to this risk. Lower crop prices can also lead to decreased farmer spending and, consequently, reduced demand for fertilizers.
  2. Geopolitical Risks and Supply Chain Disruptions: Global geopolitical tensions, shifts in trade policies (such as proposed tariffs), and evolving regulatory landscapes can significantly impact Nutrien's operations. These factors can disrupt global supply chains, affecting the availability and cost of both Nutrien's products and the non-integrated raw materials it procures.
  3. Financial Health and Debt Levels: While Nutrien generally maintains a robust financial position, some analyses indicate an Altman Z-Score that suggests potential financial distress, along with considerable debt levels. Furthermore, concerns have been raised regarding potential increases in bad debt expense and loss reserves within Nutrien Financial, the company's captive lending unit within its Retail segment.

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Nutrien (symbol: NTR) operates in several key addressable markets related to crop inputs and services:

  • Potash: The global potash market size was estimated at approximately USD 62.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 93.50 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global potash market at USD 63.00 billion in 2024, increasing to approximately USD 101.57 billion by 2034. In North America, the market generated USD 11.9 billion in revenue in 2022.

  • Nitrogen: The global nitrogenous fertilizer market was valued at USD 63.83 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 105.39 billion by 2032. Other estimations include a global market size of USD 135.39 billion in 2025, forecasted to reach approximately USD 223.35 billion by 2034.

  • Phosphate: The global phosphate fertilizer market size was valued at USD 69.92 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 97.92 billion by 2032. Another source indicates the global phosphate fertilizer market was valued at USD 61.42 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 101.00 billion by 2035.

  • Retail (Crop Inputs and Services): Nutrien's retail segment, which offers farmers complete agricultural solutions including plant nutrition, crop protection products, seed, and agronomic advice, operates within the broader agriculture and agribusiness markets. The global agriculture market size was valued at approximately USD 1.2 trillion in 2023 and is projected to expand to USD 8.68 trillion by 2030. Another estimate states the agriculture market size reached USD 12,122.26 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 16,763.88 billion by 2029. The global agribusiness market size was valued at USD 3.4 trillion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 4.4 trillion by 2033.

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Nutrien (NTR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Nutrien (NTR)

  1. Increased Upstream Fertilizer Sales Volumes: Nutrien anticipates higher sales volumes for both potash and nitrogen. The company has provided guidance for increased potash sales volumes, supported by strong global demand and firming potash fundamentals. Similarly, higher nitrogen sales volumes are expected due to improved operating rates and reliability at its production facilities.
  2. Growth in Downstream Retail Earnings, including Proprietary Products: The company is focused on expanding its Retail segment's adjusted EBITDA, driven by higher product margins, particularly in North America, and continued growth of its proprietary crop nutrient and biostimulant product lines. Nutrien aims to optimize its downstream Retail network through modernization and consolidation initiatives in North America and a targeted margin improvement plan in Brazil.
  3. Operational Efficiencies and Cost Savings: Nutrien is committed to accelerating cost-saving initiatives and driving operational improvements to increase asset efficiency. The company targets a reduction of approximately $200 million in costs by 2026 across operations and corporate functions. While primarily impacting profitability, these efficiencies can indirectly support revenue growth by enhancing competitiveness and freeing up capital for strategic investments.
  4. Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Focus on Core Assets: Nutrien is simplifying its portfolio by focusing on core assets and markets, prioritizing investments in North American fertilizer production and proprietary products capabilities. This includes reviewing strategic options for certain assets, such as its phosphate business and its stake in Profertil, to enhance earnings quality and improve free cash flow, which can then be reinvested into higher-return growth opportunities.

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Share Repurchases

  • In the first three quarters of 2025 (Q3 YTD), Nutrien reported $401 million in share repurchases, marking a 42% increase from the same period in 2024.
  • As of February 26, 2025, the Toronto Stock Exchange approved a renewed Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) allowing Nutrien to purchase up to 5% of its outstanding common shares, with this program expiring on March 2, 2026.
  • Under a prior NCIB, Nutrien repurchased approximately US$4.68 billion worth of common shares at a weighted-average price of US$84.86 per share, with this program expiring in February 2023.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2025, Nutrien announced a successful $1 billion funding round to enhance innovative solutions and invest in cutting-edge technologies.

Outbound Investments

  • In June 2024, Nutrien Ag Solutions acquired Suncor Energy's AgroScience assets, which include patented and patent-pending biocontrol technologies.
  • In 2022, Nutrien made several acquisitions, including Safra Rica in October, Casa Do Adubo in July, Marca Agro in July, and Agromercantil in June.
  • Nutrien is in the process of divesting its 50% equity interest in Profertil S.A. for approximately $0.6 billion, contributing to expected gross proceeds from asset divestitures of approximately $0.9 billion over the last twelve months as of November 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Nutrien's forecasted capital expenditures for 2025 are anticipated to be between $2.0 and $2.1 billion, a decrease from $2.2 billion in 2024 and $2.6 billion in 2023.
  • Approximately $400 million to $500 million of the 2025 investing capital expenditures are earmarked for retail proprietary products, network optimization, digital capabilities, low-cost brownfield expansions in Nitrogen, and potash mine automation projects.
  • Total capital expenditures were $2.155 billion in 2024, $2.645 billion in 2023, $2.475 billion in 2022, $1.913 billion in 2021, and $1.530 billion in 2020.

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTRCFFMCIPICTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva  
Mkt Price68.6192.6414.7632.8872.6068.61
Mkt Cap33.314.91.80.449.314.9
Rev LTM26,6246,7363,60827817,4696,736
Op Inc LTM3,5782,09743372,7162,097
FCF LTM2,1321,710-409282,6691,710
FCF 3Y Avg2,4491,574-4091,4211,421
CFO LTM4,1532,633-318543,2192,633
CFO 3Y Avg4,7892,60962611,9901,990

Growth & Margins

NTRCFFMCIPICTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva  
Rev Chg LTM0.3%12.6%-13.4%8.9%5.0%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.6%-13.5%-13.6%-6.1%0.8%-10.6%
Rev Chg Q12.3%21.1%-49.1%-7.5%12.6%12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%4.5%-12.7%-1.5%1.7%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM13.4%31.1%12.0%2.5%15.5%13.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.7%33.2%15.4%1.6%13.0%13.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%1.9%-4.8%0.9%0.9%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%39.1%-8.8%19.6%18.4%18.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.0%38.5%1.2%22.3%11.6%17.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%25.4%-11.3%10.0%15.3%10.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%22.3%-1.2%3.7%8.3%8.3%

Valuation

NTRCFFMCIPICTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva  
Mkt Cap33.314.91.80.449.314.9
P/S1.32.20.51.52.81.5
P/EBIT10.36.7840.01,629.119.719.7
P/E18.410.8-3.5-2.230.710.8
P/CFO8.05.7-5.87.915.37.9
Total Yield8.6%11.5%-21.0%-45.6%3.5%3.5%
Dividend Yield3.2%2.2%7.9%0.0%0.2%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.4%11.1%-6.0%2.7%3.3%3.3%
D/E0.40.22.50.00.10.2
Net D/E0.40.12.2-0.20.00.1

Returns

NTRCFFMCIPICTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva  
1M Rtn16.3%19.6%1.0%19.1%5.9%16.3%
3M Rtn21.7%12.9%6.1%30.4%13.5%13.5%
6M Rtn25.4%15.9%-57.8%14.8%2.9%14.8%
12M Rtn41.2%12.8%-56.5%28.3%17.6%17.6%
3Y Rtn-4.1%17.9%-86.8%2.7%23.7%2.7%
1M Excs Rtn16.1%19.4%0.8%19.0%5.8%16.1%
3M Excs Rtn26.2%7.6%9.1%23.6%12.3%12.3%
6M Excs Rtn16.1%3.8%-67.9%2.5%-6.6%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn23.4%-8.6%-71.1%16.1%0.6%0.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-75.2%-51.8%-155.7%-69.2%-51.9%-69.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail23,05624,45122,38720,52619,990
Potash13,57113,92113,14811,70711,696
Nitrogen11,46611,80711,09310,07710,991
Corporate and Others2,8182,6222,2663,9172,129
Phosphate2,4382,6611,6991,3882,198
Eliminations-600-876-639-423-205
Total52,74954,58649,95447,19246,799


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$68.61 
Market Cap ($ Bil)33.3 
First Trading Date01/02/2018 
Distance from 52W High-4.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$63.41$58.66
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA8.2%17.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility34.8%29.5%
Downside Capture-9.2420.95
Upside Capture96.3252.78
Correlation (SPY)12.5%23.2%
NTR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.72-0.660.240.360.360.54
Up Beta-1.94-1.770.15-0.160.340.45
Down Beta-0.68-1.52-0.080.170.370.47
Up Capture84%92%123%76%40%25%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days11203569138380
Down Capture-191%-74%-27%48%31%89%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9202555112366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR37.9%29.6%1.09-
Sector ETF (XLB)17.4%20.7%0.6740.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%19.4%0.6123.3%
Gold (GLD)73.9%24.8%2.1925.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%16.6%0.3436.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.6%16.5%0.1022.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-33.5%42.9%-0.8318.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR10.6%33.5%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.6%18.9%0.4049.2%
Equity (SPY)14.4%17.0%0.6833.9%
Gold (GLD)21.4%16.9%1.0320.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%18.9%0.4937.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1730.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.9%57.8%0.4614.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR5.4%33.9%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLB)12.4%20.7%0.5458.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7447.1%
Gold (GLD)15.7%15.5%0.8412.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%17.6%0.3740.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.0%20.7%0.2540.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.1%66.6%1.0715.6%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-53.5%
Average Daily Volume3.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity485.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/20256-K
06/30/202508/07/20256-K
03/31/202505/08/20256-K
12/31/202402/28/202540-F
09/30/202411/07/20246-K
06/30/202408/08/20246-K
03/31/202405/09/20246-K
12/31/202303/01/202440-F
09/30/202311/01/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/11/20236-K
12/31/202202/24/202340-F
09/30/202211/03/20226-K
06/30/202208/04/20226-K
03/31/202205/03/20226-K
12/31/202102/25/202240-F