Newmont (NEM)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $88.56 | Market Cap: $98.3 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Newmont (NEM)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $88.56
Market Cap: $98.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 5.4% | Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
Strong revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% | ||
Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% | ||
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil | ||
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 38% |
Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 5.4% |
Strong revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% |
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil |
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 38% |
Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NEM Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
NEM Return | 40% | 7% | -21% | -9% | -8% | 141% | 138% |
Peers Return | 27% | -5% | -10% | 7% | 20% | 105% | 189% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
NEM Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 100% | |
Peers Win Rate | 37% | 37% | 32% | 45% | 45% | 78% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
NEM Max Drawdown | -9% | -9% | -37% | -26% | -28% | 0% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -17% | -26% | -16% | -14% | 0% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEM, FNV, KGC, NAMM, NEM. See NEM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/6/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | NEM | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -60.3% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 151.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 692 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -24.5% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 32.5% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -29.4% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 469 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -61.7% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 161.0% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 561 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Newmont's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About Newmont (NEM)
Newmont Corporation engages in the production and exploration of gold. It also explores for copper, silver, zinc, and lead. The company has operations and/or assets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. As of December 31, 2021, it had proven and probable gold reserves of 92.8 million ounces and land position of 62,800 square kilometers. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to NEM and Gold.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
09302025 | GPK | Graphic Packaging | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09302025 | FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.9% |
07312025 | KWR | Quaker Houghton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
06302025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -14.4% | -14.4% | -14.9% |
01312024 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 44.2% | 28.0% | -13.5% |
02282023 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.6% | -28.7% | -28.8% |
08312022 | NEM | Newmont | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.3% | -0.4% | -7.4% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
09302025 | GPK | Graphic Packaging | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09302025 | FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.9% |
07312025 | KWR | Quaker Houghton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
06302025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -14.4% | -14.4% | -14.9% |
01312024 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 44.2% | 28.0% | -13.5% |
02282023 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.6% | -28.7% | -28.8% |
08312022 | NEM | Newmont | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.3% | -0.4% | -7.4% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Newmont
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 88.51 |
Mkt Cap | 64.2 |
Rev LTM | 7,244 |
Op Inc LTM | 2,803 |
FCF LTM | 1,977 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 1,076 |
CFO LTM | 3,446 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 2,450 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 27.6% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.5% |
Rev Chg Q | 36.7% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
Op Mgn LTM | 40.4% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.7% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 47.6% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.3% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 26.0% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 64.2 |
P/S | 7.6 |
P/EBIT | 20.1 |
P/E | 31.0 |
P/CFO | 16.0 |
Total Yield | 4.0% |
Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
D/E | 0.0 |
Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 14.4% |
3M Rtn | 39.9% |
6M Rtn | 85.5% |
12M Rtn | 102.4% |
3Y Rtn | 229.0% |
1M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
3M Excs Rtn | 38.9% |
6M Excs Rtn | 54.3% |
12M Excs Rtn | 77.8% |
3Y Excs Rtn | 152.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nevada Gold Mines (NGM) | 2,271 | 2,098 | 2,291 | ||
Boddington | 1,814 | 1,763 | 1,507 | ||
Ahafo | 1,130 | 1,023 | 864 | ||
Peñasquito | 901 | 2,189 | 2,634 | ||
Tanami | 867 | 878 | 879 | ||
Merian | 625 | 723 | 780 | ||
Akyem | 574 | 749 | 680 | ||
Yanacocha | 537 | 451 | 471 | ||
Cerro Negro | 510 | 508 | 480 | ||
Porcupine | 503 | 504 | 517 | ||
Éléonore | 453 | 391 | 446 | ||
Cadia | 422 | ||||
Musselwhite | 351 | 305 | 277 | ||
Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V) | 332 | 333 | 396 | ||
Lihir | 266 | ||||
Telfer | 152 | ||||
Brucejack | 72 | ||||
Red Chris | 32 | ||||
Corporate and Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Gold Sales from Doré Production | 8,534 | 7,975 | |||
Sales from Concentrate and Other Production | 2,963 | 1,765 | |||
Total | 11,812 | 11,915 | 12,222 | 11,497 | 9,740 |
Assets by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corporate and Other | 9,844 | 8,369 | 9,811 | ||
Nevada Gold Mines (NGM) | 7,401 | 7,419 | 7,584 | ||
Cadia | 6,351 | ||||
Peñasquito | 4,738 | 6,430 | 6,561 | ||
Brucejack | 4,006 | ||||
Lihir | 3,909 | ||||
Ahafo | 2,823 | 2,619 | 2,425 | ||
Boddington | 2,376 | 2,264 | 2,261 | ||
Red Chris | 2,178 | ||||
Yanacocha | 2,117 | 2,225 | 1,735 | ||
Tanami | 1,896 | 1,585 | 1,334 | ||
Cerro Negro | 1,646 | 1,659 | 2,183 | ||
Porcupine | 1,473 | 1,401 | 1,572 | ||
Akyem | 1,069 | 998 | 990 | ||
Musselwhite | 1,018 | 1,294 | 1,317 | ||
Merian | 927 | 923 | 952 | ||
Éléonore | 777 | 1,010 | 1,062 | ||
Telfer | 574 | ||||
Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V) | 383 | 286 | 777 | ||
Total | 55,506 | 38,482 | 40,564 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
7/24/2025 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 15.1% |
2/20/2025 | -5.7% | -12.4% | -0.9% |
10/23/2024 | -14.7% | -18.7% | -25.0% |
7/24/2024 | -4.2% | 2.9% | 7.8% |
2/22/2024 | -7.6% | -10.6% | 4.1% |
10/26/2023 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% |
7/20/2023 | -6.0% | -3.8% | -14.4% |
2/23/2023 | 0.1% | -0.3% | 9.1% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 7 | 11 | 10 |
# Negative | 13 | 9 | 10 |
Median Positive | 2.9% | 2.3% | 9.7% |
Median Negative | -4.2% | -5.6% | -7.9% |
Max Positive | 6.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% |
Max Negative | -14.7% | -18.7% | -25.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 7202023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 7252022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 10282021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Brook Bruce R | 9042025 | Sell | 74.59 | 2,077 | 154,923 | 2,905,206 | Form | |
1 | Tabolt Brian | SVP & CAO | 8082025 | Sell | 68.02 | 7,015 | 477,160 | 2,218,472 | Form |
2 | Toth Peter | EVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off | 8052025 | Sell | 63.66 | 3,000 | 190,980 | 3,739,134 | Form |
3 | Brook Bruce R | 8052025 | Sell | 63.66 | 2,077 | 132,222 | 2,611,715 | Form | |
4 | Brook Bruce R | 7032025 | Sell | 58.75 | 2,077 | 122,024 | 2,532,301 | Form |
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