Mueller Industries (MLI)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $121.32 | Market Cap: $13.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Mueller Industries (MLI)
Market Price (2/21/2026): $121.32Market Cap: $13.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | Key risksMLI key risks include [1] its sensitivity to cyclical housing and commercial construction markets, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Key risksMLI key risks include [1] its sensitivity to cyclical housing and commercial construction markets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Record-Breaking Financial Performance for Full Year 2025 and Strong Fourth Quarter Results.
Mueller Industries achieved its highest annual operating and net income in company history for the full fiscal year 2025. The company reported full-year net sales of $4.2 billion, an increase of 10.5% year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 29.2% to $6.86. For the fourth quarter of 2025, net sales rose 4.2% year-over-year to $962.4 million, with diluted EPS up 14.0% to $1.38. These robust financial results, indicating consistent execution and improved profitability, contributed significantly to investor confidence leading into the stock's appreciation.
2. Exceptional Balance Sheet Strength and Cash Generation.
The company maintained a strong financial position, ending fiscal year 2025 with $1.39 billion in cash and short-term investments and no outstanding debt, showcasing excellent liquidity and financial stability. Mueller Industries also generated a substantial $141.2 million in cash from operations during the fourth quarter alone. This strong balance sheet and cash flow provide flexibility and resilience, which is often viewed favorably by the market.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.7% change in MLI stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 105.64 | 120.08 | 13.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,140 | 4,140 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.1% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.4 | 17.5 | 13.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 109 | 109 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLI | 13.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 46.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.3% | 39.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 41.3% change in MLI stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 84.96 | 120.08 | 41.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,060 | 4,140 | 2.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.5% | 18.1% | 3.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.0 | 17.5 | 34.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 109 | 109 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 41.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLI | 41.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 17.1% | 48.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.2% change in MLI stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 77.87 | 120.08 | 54.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,578 | 4,140 | 15.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.4% | 18.1% | 10.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.8 | 17.5 | 18.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111 | 109 | 2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLI | 54.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 65.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 29.4% | 68.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 281.3% change in MLI stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 222.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.49 | 120.08 | 281.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,061 | 4,140 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.9% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.4 | 17.5 | 222.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111 | 109 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 281.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MLI | 281.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 53.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 81.6% | 61.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MLI Return | 71% | 1% | 62% | 71% | 46% | 4% | 626% |
| Peers Return | 40% | -7% | 34% | -2% | 10% | 16% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 0% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MLI Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 58% | 75% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 38% | 53% | 43% | 62% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MLI Max Drawdown | -3% | -15% | -0% | -4% | -13% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -22% | -9% | -14% | -23% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WLK, WTS, FELE, MTRN, CR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 244 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 808 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 888 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WLK, WTS, FELE, MTRN, CR
In The Past
Mueller Industries's stock fell -23.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/24/2023. A -23.6% loss requires a 30.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Mueller Industries (MLI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Mueller Industries (MLI):
The **Eaton or Legrand of plumbing and HVAC infrastructure**, providing the essential, often unseen, components for a building's water and air systems instead of electricity.
Like a more focused **Parker Hannifin**, specializing in the copper pipes, brass fittings, and valves critical for plumbing, HVAC, and refrigeration systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Copper Tube and Fittings: Manufactures copper tubing and various fittings for plumbing, HVAC, and refrigeration systems.
- Brass and Copper Alloy Rod: Produces brass rod, copper bar, and custom copper alloy products for industrial applications.
- Aluminum Extruded Products: Fabricates aluminum extrusions and custom components for diverse industrial and construction uses.
- Plastic Pipe and Fittings: Manufactures PVC and other plastic pipes and fittings primarily for plumbing and infrastructure.
- Climate Control Components: Produces a range of components and systems for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mueller Industries (symbol: MLI) sells primarily to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The company's major customers fall into the following categories:
- Wholesalers and Distributors: These companies purchase Mueller Industries' products in bulk and then resell them to contractors, retailers, and other businesses for plumbing, HVAC, and industrial applications.
- Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Mueller Industries supplies components such as copper tubing, brass rods, valves, and fittings to other manufacturers who incorporate these products into their own finished goods, such as air conditioning units, refrigeration systems, and various industrial equipment.
- Retailers: Certain products may be sold to large retail chains, particularly those specializing in home improvement or industrial supplies, which then sell directly to end-users (contractors or individuals).
Mueller Industries explicitly states in its public filings that it is not dependent upon a single customer or a small group of customers. In 2023, the company's largest single customer accounted for approximately 7% of its consolidated net sales, and no other customer accounted for 5% or more. Due to this diversification of its customer base, specific names of major customer companies are not disclosed in its SEC filings, and therefore, no public company symbols can be provided for individual customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Gregory L. Christopher Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Christopher has served as Chief Executive Officer of Mueller Industries since October 2008 and Chairman of the Board of Directors since January 2016. He joined the company in 1992, holding various leadership roles within the company and industry in sales, manufacturing, distribution, and supply chain management prior to his current position.
Jeffrey A. Martin Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Mr. Martin joined Mueller Industries in 1996 and has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer since February 2013. Before joining Mueller Industries, he worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.
Christopher J. Miritello Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Miritello has served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary since January 1, 2017. He joined Mueller Industries in September 2015, initially serving as Deputy General Counsel until December 2016. Prior to his tenure at Mueller Industries, Mr. Miritello worked with the New York office of Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP.
Steffen Sigloch Strategic Advisor for Industry Relations
Mr. Sigloch joined Mueller Industries in 2011 and has served as Strategic Advisor for Industry Relations since August 2025. He has held various leadership roles within the company and the industry. Before joining Mueller Industries, Mr. Sigloch served as Chief Executive Officer of Wieland Copper Products, LLC.
Nicholas William Moss President of B&K LLC
Mr. Moss has been the President of B&K LLC at Mueller Industries Inc. since May 7, 2015.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Mueller Industries (MLI) are primarily concentrated around its sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, particularly within the construction sector, the volatility of raw material costs, and intense competitive pressures, including the threat of substitute products.
- Sensitivity to Housing and Commercial Construction Markets: Mueller Industries' performance is significantly influenced by economic cycles, especially in the housing and commercial construction industries. Fluctuations in interest rates, the availability of credit, and general economic downturns can materially and adversely impact the company's sales, financial condition, and operational results.
- Raw Material Price Volatility: The company is heavily reliant on key raw materials such as copper, brass, zinc, and aluminum. Volatility in the prices of these commodities can significantly affect Mueller Industries' cost of goods sold and operating margins, particularly if the company is unable to fully offset these increases through price adjustments or other cost-management strategies.
- Competitive Pressures and Substitute Products: Mueller Industries operates in a highly competitive market where pricing pressures are prevalent. The business also faces a continuous threat from substitute products, such as plastic pipes replacing copper in plumbing systems, and aluminum-based alternatives in air-conditioning and refrigeration applications. These factors can erode market share and negatively impact the company's profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) operates in three main segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The addressable markets for their main products and services, primarily in North America, are outlined below.
Piping Systems
- Copper Tubes: The North American copper tubes market is projected to grow from USD 3.18 billion in 2024 to USD 3.44 billion by 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.0% during the forecast period. Another report states the North America copper pipes and tubes market generated a revenue of USD 1,956.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2,659.2 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.3% from 2025 to 2030.
- Plumbing Fittings (Copper and Plastic) and Valves: The plumbing segment is a significant application area for copper tubes and is expected to register the highest growth rate in the North American copper tubes market. The global brass market, which includes plumbing fixtures, was valued at USD 6.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 10.2 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2032. North America is estimated to grow at the highest rate in the brass market.
Industrial Metals
- Brass Rods: The North American brass rods market held a market value of USD 1.25 billion in 2023. Another source states the North America brass rods market size will be USD 2820.05 million in 2025, accounting for more than 40% of the global revenue. The global brass rods market size is estimated to be USD 17379.68 million in 2024, with projections to grow to USD 21897.43 million by 2033 at a CAGR of 2.6%.
- Fabricated Metal Products (including forgings, extrusions, and machined products): The North America fabricated metal products market size was valued at USD 4.22 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 7.08 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.31% from 2023 to 2033.
- Industrial Metals (General): The North America metals and mining market sales revenue is projected to be USD 246.554 billion in 2025. The overall metal market in North America, which includes ferrous and non-ferrous metals, was valued at USD 350.0 billion in 2023.
Climate
- HVAC and Refrigeration Components (including valves, protection devices, brass fittings, heat exchangers, flexible duct systems, high-pressure components): The North America HVAC system market size was valued at USD 49.10 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 51.61 billion in 2025 to USD 75.75 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.6%. The North America air conditioning equipment market size stood at USD 28.97 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 38.59 billion by 2030, advancing at a 5.9% CAGR. Another report estimates the North America air conditioning systems market size was valued at USD 28.9 billion in 2023 and is poised to grow to USD 57.29 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.9% during the forecast period (2025-2032). Furthermore, the North America air conditioning systems market was worth USD 68.68 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach a valuation of USD 102.77 billion by 2033, registering a CAGR of 4.58% during the forecast period 2024-2033.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mueller Industries (MLI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market conditions:
- Strategic Acquisitions: Mueller Industries has demonstrated a clear strategy of growing through acquisitions, with recent business integrations contributing positively to net sales. For example, the inclusion of recently acquired businesses added $102.4 million to net sales in Q3 2024, and the Nehring acquisition alone contributed $84 million in incremental sales. This approach allows the company to expand its market presence and diversify its revenue streams.
- Favorable Raw Material Pricing: The company has historically benefited from increases in raw material costs, particularly copper prices, which can lead to higher selling prices for its products. In Q3 2024, higher COMEX copper prices, up 12% year-over-year, contributed to the increase in net sales. Similarly, in Q3 2025, net sales growth was primarily driven by higher selling prices due to rising raw material costs, with COMEX copper averaging 14.3% higher than the prior year.
- Growth in Construction Markets: The construction industry, encompassing both new housing starts and commercial construction, is a significant demand driver for Mueller Industries' products. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on market growth in this sector, with the U.S. Census Bureau reporting strong annualized rates for new housing starts. Anticipated factors such as declining interest rates and moderating inflation are expected to create a more stable and favorable environment for the company, supporting construction activity.
- Product Innovation and Diversification: Mueller Industries has an opportunity to enhance its competitive edge by innovating and diversifying its product offerings to meet evolving market demands. Investing in research and development to introduce new products can address the threat of substitutes and open new revenue streams, reducing dependency on traditional markets. Furthermore, acquisitions like Nehring are diversifying revenue away from cyclical sectors and positioning Mueller to benefit from trends in infrastructure and data center growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Below is a summary of Mueller Industries' capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:Share Repurchases
- Mueller Industries repurchased $243.6 million in shares year-to-date as of the third quarter of 2025.
- The company completed a share buyback plan announced in March 2000, repurchasing 18,879,490 shares for $775.33 million by September 2025.
- Treasury common stock increased from $(502.8) million in 2022 to $(523.4) million in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Mueller Industries reported no significant share issuance for the trailing twelve months ended September 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In April 2024, Mueller Industries entered into an agreement to acquire Nehring Electrical Works Company and its affiliates for approximately $575 million, with an additional $25 million earn-out clause. The acquisition was expected to close in the second quarter of 2024 and aims to enhance growth in the electrical and power infrastructure sectors.
- The company acquired Elkhart Products Corporation (EPC) in August 2024 to significantly accelerate the recovery of its copper fittings business and expand manufacturing capabilities.
- In 2021, Mueller Industries increased its equity interest in Mueller Middle East to 55 percent for approximately $20.0 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $54.0 million in 2023.
- For the period ending in the third quarter of 2025, operating cash flow funded $49.0 million in capital expenditures.
- Mueller Industries anticipates approximately $5.2 million in expenditures for environmental compliance activities over the next three fiscal years.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MLI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01302026 | FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.1% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
| 01302026 | PAYC | Paycom Software | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.0% | -7.0% | -11.9% |
| 01302026 | HTZ | Hertz Global | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 01232026 | PAYX | Paychex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.5% | -11.5% | -13.3% |
| 01022026 | CPRT | Copart | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.7% | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| 11302024 | MLI | Mueller Industries | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.0% | 37.9% | -14.8% |
| 07312023 | MLI | Mueller Industries | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 22.4% | 76.1% | -13.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 134.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,311 |
| Op Inc LTM | 336 |
| FCF LTM | 268 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 272 |
| CFO LTM | 389 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 311 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 23.5 |
| P/E | 31.1 |
| P/CFO | 23.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $120.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 13.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/25/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $121.79 | $99.40 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -1.4% | 20.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.7% | 31.0% |
| Downside Capture | 123.55 | 89.52 |
| Upside Capture | 161.23 | 119.39 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.3% | 66.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.83 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | 1.38 | 1.23 | 0.51 | 1.20 | 1.08 | 1.29 |
| Down Beta | 1.18 | 0.86 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Up Capture | 222% | 257% | 221% | 159% | 144% | 172% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 26 | 38 | 74 | 132 | 401 |
| Down Capture | -172% | 18% | 60% | 24% | 87% | 94% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | 116 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MLI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLI | 49.0% | 31.0% | 1.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 29.2% | 19.2% | 1.20 | 69.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 19.4% | 0.53 | 66.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.5% | 25.6% | 2.15 | -10.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 12.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.1% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 52.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 44.9% | -0.68 | 29.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MLI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLI | 46.8% | 32.6% | 1.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 16.1% | 17.2% | 0.76 | 64.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 56.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.1% | 1.08 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 17.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 47.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 57.1% | 0.35 | 22.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MLI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLI | 27.0% | 35.6% | 0.77 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.8% | 19.8% | 0.70 | 67.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 60.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.8% | 15.6% | 0.79 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 26.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.0% | 20.7% | 0.30 | 52.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 17.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/3/2026 | -11.2% | -16.7% | |
| 10/21/2025 | -0.2% | 0.0% | 2.4% |
| 7/22/2025 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 7.0% |
| 4/22/2025 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 10.1% |
| 2/4/2025 | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| 10/22/2024 | 14.1% | 15.2% | 25.8% |
| 7/23/2024 | -1.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| 4/24/2024 | 0.9% | -2.8% | 1.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 20 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -2.4% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 14.1% | 15.2% | 30.5% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -16.7% | -18.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/19/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goldman, Scott Jay | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 108.64 | 4,234 | 459,964 | 4,535,006 | Form | |
| 2 | Christopher, Gregory L | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Direct | Sell | 10272025 | 104.32 | 158,000 | 16,482,560 | 116,759,221 | Form |
| 3 | Christopher, Gregory L | Chairman of the Board & CEO | by trust where he is beneficiary | Sell | 10272025 | 103.60 | 70,000 | 7,252,000 | 7,720,272 | Form |
| 4 | Christopher, Gregory L | Chairman of the Board & CEO | by trust where wife is beneficiary | Sell | 10272025 | 103.79 | 72,000 | 7,472,880 | 7,057,720 | Form |
| 5 | Christopher, Gregory L | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Direct | Sell | 10272025 | 103.42 | 50,000 | 5,171,000 | 110,580,904 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.