McKesson (MCK)
Market Price (2/9/2026): $947.3 | Market Cap: $116.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Distributors
McKesson (MCK)
Market Price (2/9/2026): $947.3Market Cap: $116.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0% | Key risksMCK key risks include [1] significant ongoing liabilities from litigation over its role in opioid distribution and [2] legal challenges related to allegations of misleading investors about generic drug pricing. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.6 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Precision Medicine, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Precision Medicine, and Cloud Computing. Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0% |
| Key risksMCK key risks include [1] significant ongoing liabilities from litigation over its role in opioid distribution and [2] legal challenges related to allegations of misleading investors about generic drug pricing. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining McKesson's (MCK) stock gain of approximately 17% since October 31, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
McKesson reported robust fiscal third quarter 2026 results on February 4, 2026, exceeding analyst expectations with an adjusted earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $9.34 against a consensus of $9.19. The company also delivered quarterly consolidated revenues of $106.2 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year, slightly above estimates. Following these strong results, McKesson raised and narrowed its fiscal year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $38.80 to $39.20, up from the previous range of $38.35 to $38.85, signaling confidence in its continued operational momentum.
2. Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Exit from European Operations.
McKesson completed the divestiture of its retail and distribution businesses in Norway on January 30, 2026, marking its final step in exiting European operations. This strategic move allows the company to focus its strategy and capital allocation on expanding and accelerating growth platforms, particularly within its Oncology and Multispecialty and Biopharma Services segments. The Norwegian divestiture also contributed positively to the third-quarter adjusted EPS.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.0% change in MCK stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 810.58 | 948.68 | 17.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 377,595 | 397,958 | 5.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.8% | 1.1% | 30.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.0 | 26.9 | -15.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 123 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCK | 17.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.3% | -11.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.3% | 4.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.1% change in MCK stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 692.07 | 948.68 | 37.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 359,051 | 397,958 | 10.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 1.1% | 18.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.3 | 26.9 | 2.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 123 | 1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 37.1% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCK | 37.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | -9.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 21.5% | 13.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 60.2% change in MCK stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 42.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 592.24 | 948.68 | 60.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 330,187 | 397,958 | 20.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.8% | 1.1% | 42.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.1 | 26.9 | -10.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 129 | 123 | 4.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 60.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCK | 60.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 6.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.8% | 27.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 153.9% change in MCK stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 373.68 | 948.68 | 153.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 272,027 | 397,958 | 46.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.8% | 1.1% | 44.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.0 | 26.9 | 3.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 143 | 123 | 16.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 153.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCK | 153.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.2% | 5.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.8% | 25.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCK Return | 44% | 52% | 24% | 24% | 45% | 17% | 467% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 19% | 10% | -5% | 55% | 3% | 155% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCK Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 56% | 52% | 46% | 65% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCK Max Drawdown | -3% | -2% | -10% | 0% | -1% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -8% | -18% | -16% | -3% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COR, CAH, CVS, HSIC. See MCK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 686 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 519 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to COR, CAH, CVS, HSIC
In The Past
McKesson's stock fell -15.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2022. A -15.7% loss requires a 18.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About McKesson (MCK)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Sysco for pharmaceuticals.
- The UPS or FedEx for medicine and medical supplies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Pharmaceutical Distribution: Distributes prescription drugs and over-the-counter medications to pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers.
- Medical-Surgical Distribution: Supplies medical, surgical, and laboratory products to hospitals, physician offices, and other healthcare facilities.
- Specialty Pharmacy & Biopharma Services: Provides comprehensive services for specialty medications, including distribution, patient support, and commercialization support for manufacturers.
- Healthcare Technology Solutions: Offers software and IT solutions to pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare organizations to manage operations, patient care, and supply chains.
AI Analysis | Feedback
McKesson Corporation (symbol: MCK) primarily sells to other companies within the healthcare industry. As a leading pharmaceutical distributor and provider of medical supplies and technology solutions, its major customers are large retail pharmacy chains, hospitals, and other healthcare providers.
Major customer companies include:
- CVS Health (symbol: CVS)
- Walgreens Boots Alliance (symbol: WBA)
- Walmart Inc. (symbol: WMT) - for its pharmacy operations
McKesson also serves a vast network of independent pharmacies, hospitals, health systems, clinics, and government healthcare programs, though specific individual names for these numerous entities are not typically disclosed.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Brian Tyler, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Tyler has more than two decades of experience with McKesson, having joined the company in 1997. He has served in various leadership roles, including Chief Operations Officer, Chairman of the Management Board of McKesson Europe, and head of North American Pharmaceutical Distribution Services, Corporate Strategy and Business Development, U.S. Pharmaceutical, Medical-Surgical, and Specialty Care Solutions. Before joining McKesson, he spent three years as a senior associate in healthcare consulting at Integral, Inc. Tyler holds a Ph.D. and master's degree from the University of Chicago, Department of Economics.
Britt Vitalone, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Britt Vitalone became Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of McKesson in January 2018, having joined the company in 2006. His previous roles at McKesson include Senior Vice President & CFO of McKesson U.S. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Health, Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance and Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) Finance, and Senior Vice President & CFO of McKesson Medical-Surgical. Prior to McKesson, he held financial leadership positions with companies such as GE Financial Assurance, CarMax, and Bausch & Lomb. He is a certified public accountant and earned his Bachelor of Science in Accounting from St. John Fisher University.
Nancy Avila, Executive Vice President & Chief Information and Technology Officer
Nancy Avila joined McKesson in 2020 and is responsible for leading the company's technology initiatives, cybersecurity, and overall technology strategy. Before her tenure at McKesson, she served as Chief Information Officer at Johnson Controls. She also held various roles with increasing responsibility during a 22-year career at Abbott, including VP and CIO of Global Business Services.
Rebecca McKillican, Chief Executive Officer, McKesson Canada
Rebecca McKillican was appointed CEO of McKesson Canada in 2020, having joined the company three years prior with its acquisition of Well.ca, where she served as CEO. Her background includes senior roles at the New York City-based private equity firm Kohlberg, Kravis & Roberts (KKR), where she focused on driving operational improvements across the firm's portfolio companies. She also worked as a strategic consultant with McKinsey & Company.
Lori Schechter, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel
Lori Schechter serves as McKesson's Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel, overseeing the company's General Counsel Organization, which encompasses law, public affairs, compliance, brand, marketing & communications, and corporate secretarial. From 2012 to 2014, she was McKesson's associate general counsel. Prior to joining McKesson, she was a litigation partner at Morrison & Foerster, where she chaired the global litigation department for four years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to McKesson's business include ongoing legal and regulatory challenges, pressure on drug pricing and margin compression, and intense competition within the healthcare distribution market.
- Legal and Regulatory Risks: McKesson faces significant and ongoing legal and regulatory scrutiny, particularly concerning its role in the distribution of controlled substances, such as opioids. The company has been involved in extensive litigation and has paid substantial settlements related to opioid distribution and allegations of misleading investors about generic drug pricing. Compliance with regulations like the Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) also presents continuous challenges and potential liabilities. The healthcare industry is highly regulated, and evolving regulations, including those affecting drug pricing and reimbursement models (like the Inflation Reduction Act), increase compliance costs and expose McKesson to potential legal actions and reputational damage.
- Pressure on Drug Pricing and Margin Compression: McKesson's revenue growth and profitability are significantly impacted by ongoing pressures on drug pricing. As a drug distributor, the company earns a percentage of a medication's list price. Consequently, efforts by pharmaceutical companies to curb price increases, often driven by government and public pressure, can directly threaten McKesson's sales growth and bottom line. The company has experienced declining gross margins for several years, a trend attributed to generic drug price deflation and the buying power of large retail accounts. Potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing healthcare costs further pose risks to McKesson's future profitability.
- Competition and Industry Dynamics: The healthcare distribution market is highly competitive, dominated by a few major players, including McKesson, Cencora (formerly AmerisourceBergen), and Cardinal Health. This intense competition, coupled with industry consolidation, can lead to eroded profit margins and affect McKesson's ability to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers and customers. Operating in a low-margin wholesale business necessitates continuous innovation and efficiency improvements to maintain market position and overcome competitive pressures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Clear emerging threats to McKesson (MCK) include:
The rise of direct-to-consumer and direct-from-manufacturer pharmaceutical models, exemplified by companies like Amazon Pharmacy and Mark Cuban Cost Plus Drug Company (MCCPDC). These entities aim to disrupt the traditional drug supply chain by offering prescription drugs directly to consumers or pharmacies at transparent, often lower, prices, bypassing established pharmaceutical wholesalers and pharmacy benefit managers. This model directly challenges McKesson's core business as a primary distributor to retail pharmacies and healthcare providers.
The expansion of large-scale B2B e-commerce platforms, such as Amazon Business, into the healthcare sector. While McKesson has specialized distribution networks for medical-surgical supplies, Amazon Business's extensive catalog, competitive pricing, and efficient logistics could increasingly attract healthcare facilities seeking to procure a wide range of medical-surgical products, potentially eroding McKesson's market share in its Medical-Surgical Solutions segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
McKesson Corporation (MCK) operates across several key segments, primarily focused on pharmaceutical and medical supply distribution, and healthcare technology solutions. Below are the addressable market sizes for its main products and services:
- U.S. Pharmaceutical Distribution: The U.S. pharmaceutical wholesaling industry is estimated to be approximately $694.7 billion in 2025. Another source indicates the U.S. pharmaceutical market size was valued at $634.32 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $883.97 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.72% from 2025 to 2030. Approximately 92% of U.S. prescription drugs are distributed through wholesalers.
- Medical-Surgical Solutions (U.S.): The U.S. medical supplies market size was estimated at $36.19 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach approximately $56.37 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.53% from 2025 to 2034. The Medical Supplies Wholesaling industry in the United States had a revenue of an estimated $326.4 billion in 2025. The U.S. medical devices market size was $188.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $314.96 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.8% from 2025 to 2032.
-
Prescription Technology Solutions / Biopharma Services / Oncology Solutions (Global/U.S.):
- Biopharma Services: The global biopharma service market size was approximately $22 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $50 billion by 2032. The global biopharmaceutical market was estimated at $422.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $921.5 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 8.2%. North America held a 43% share of the global biopharmaceutical market in 2024.
- Oncology Solutions: The global oncology market size is estimated at $225.05 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $600.97 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 11.54% between 2025 and 2034. The U.S. oncology market is valued at $81.34 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $211.78 billion by 2034. The oncology segment accounted for a significant market share of 30.9% in the biopharmaceutical market in 2024. For oncology information systems, the market size stands at $3.22 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach $4.85 billion by 2030 (global).
- Specialty Pharmacy: U.S. prescription dispensing revenues from specialty pharmaceuticals reached $243 billion in 2023. The global specialty pharmaceuticals market was valued at $226.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from $285.1 billion in 2025 to $2.37 trillion in 2034.
- International Pharmaceutical Distribution (Global/Europe/Canada): The global pharmaceutical wholesale and distribution market size is estimated at $844.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.7% during the forecast period 2024-2034. Another report states the global market size as $800,915.2 million in 2024. North America leads with about 40% share of pharmaceutical wholesale and distribution activity globally, followed by Europe (~30 %).
AI Analysis | Feedback
McKesson Corporation (MCK) is strategically focused on several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years.
- Expansion in Oncology, Multispecialty, and Biopharma Services: McKesson is prioritizing the expansion of its oncology, multispecialty, and biopharma services platforms, which are identified as high-growth areas. The Oncology and Multispecialty segment is projected to achieve an annual growth rate of 13% to 16%. This growth is supported by increased distribution of oncology and multispecialty products, as well as contributions from recent acquisitions in this sector.
- Strengthening North American Pharmaceutical Distribution: The company expects continued revenue growth from its North American Pharmaceutical segment. This is driven by increased prescription volumes from retail national account customers and the distribution of specialty products, including GLP-1 medications. This segment is forecasted to grow between 5% and 8% annually.
- Growth in Prescription Technology Solutions: McKesson anticipates significant growth from its Prescription Technology Solutions segment. This area, which provides patient access and adherence tools for biopharma companies, is targeting an annual growth rate of 10% to 13%. Demand for access solutions and prior authorization services contributes to this growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Optimization: McKesson's strategy includes advancing portfolio optimization and benefiting from strategic acquisitions. Recent acquisitions, such as Prism Vision and Core Ventures within the Oncology & Multispecialty segment, are expected to contribute significantly to operating profit growth. The company is also undergoing a planned separation of its Medical-Surgical business as part of its portfolio optimization efforts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- McKesson returned $3.1 billion to shareholders through common stock repurchases in fiscal year 2025 (ending March 31, 2025).
- The Board of Directors approved an additional $4.0 billion for share repurchases in July 2024, bringing the total authorization to approximately $9.9 billion.
- The company anticipates approximately $2.5 billion in share repurchases for fiscal year 2026.
Share Issuance
- McKesson's annual basic shares outstanding for 2025 were approximately 127 million, reflecting a 4.35% decline from 2024, primarily due to share repurchase activities.
- In 2024, basic shares outstanding were approximately 133 million, a 5.6% decline from 2023, indicating a net reduction rather than issuance.
- For 2023, basic shares outstanding were approximately 141 million, a 7.35% decline from 2022, consistent with ongoing share buyback programs.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2025, McKesson completed the acquisition of a 70% controlling interest in Community Oncology Revitalization Enterprise Ventures, LLC (Core Ventures) for approximately $2.49 billion, aiming to advance community-based oncology care.
- On April 2, 2025, McKesson completed the acquisition of an 80% controlling interest in PRISM Vision Holdings, LLC, an ophthalmology and retina management services provider, in an $850 million deal.
- In May 2025, McKesson announced its intent to separate its Medical-Surgical Solutions segment into an independent company to focus capital deployment on higher growth, higher margin opportunities in Oncology and Biopharma Solutions.
Capital Expenditures
- McKesson invested $859 million in capital expenditures during fiscal year 2025.
- For the latest twelve months ending June 30, 2025, capital expenditures totaled $542 million.
- Capital expenditures are focused on strengthening North American Pharmaceutical distribution, modernizing the portfolio, and expanding oncology and biopharma services platforms, including investments in healthcare data platforms like Compile.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 226.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 69.8 |
| Rev LTM | 325,778 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,143 |
| FCF LTM | 5,502 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,806 |
| CFO LTM | 6,099 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,347 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 69.8 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 20.1 |
| P/E | 32.1 |
| P/CFO | 11.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 137.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 31.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 61.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States (US) Pharmaceutical | 278,739 | 240,616 | 212,149 | 189,274 | 181,700 |
| International | 14,130 | 20,598 | 36,345 | 35,965 | 38,341 |
| Medical-Surgical Solutions | 11,313 | 11,110 | 11,608 | 10,099 | 8,305 |
| Prescription Technology Solutions | 4,769 | 4,387 | 3,864 | 2,890 | 2,705 |
| Corporate | 0 | ||||
| Total | 308,951 | 276,711 | 263,966 | 238,228 | 231,051 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States (US) Pharmaceutical | 2,786 | 3,206 | 2,879 | 2,763 | 2,745 |
| Medical-Surgical Solutions | 952 | 1,117 | 959 | 707 | 499 |
| Prescription Technology Solutions | 835 | 566 | 500 | 395 | 396 |
| International | 319 | 136 | -968 | -37 | -161 |
| Other | -1,113 | ||||
| Total | 4,892 | 5,025 | 3,370 | 3,828 | 2,366 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $948.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 117.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/15/1994 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $831.92 | $757.61 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 14.0% | 25.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.3% | 28.3% |
| Downside Capture | -29.22 | -9.74 |
| Upside Capture | 32.81 | 39.22 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -6.1% | 6.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Up Beta | -0.76 | 0.68 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| Down Beta | 0.79 | 0.64 | -0.27 | -0.52 | -0.09 | -0.03 |
| Up Capture | 93% | 40% | 33% | 41% | 28% | 10% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 33 | 71 | 145 | 423 |
| Down Capture | 94% | 89% | 23% | -1% | 10% | 6% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 28 | 54 | 106 | 329 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCK | 57.3% | 28.2% | 1.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.7% | 17.3% | 0.27 | 27.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 19.4% | 0.61 | 6.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 73.9% | 24.8% | 2.19 | -5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 16.6% | 0.34 | -4.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 16.5% | 0.10 | 21.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.1% | 44.7% | -0.57 | -27.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCK | 40.3% | 24.0% | 1.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 8.1% | 14.5% | 0.37 | 36.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.4% | 17.0% | 0.68 | 20.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.4% | 16.9% | 1.03 | -2.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 17.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 16.1% | 58.0% | 0.49 | -2.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCK | 20.3% | 28.9% | 0.69 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.9% | 16.5% | 0.54 | 53.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 40.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.7% | 15.5% | 0.84 | -0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 17.6% | 0.37 | 13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 32.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.7% | 66.7% | 1.08 | 4.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 1.7% | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | -5.8% | -5.8% | -2.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.2% | -2.0% | 6.3% |
| 11/6/2024 | 10.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | -11.3% | -10.5% | -18.2% |
| 5/7/2024 | -0.4% | 1.1% | 7.5% |
| 2/7/2024 | -4.4% | -3.1% | 2.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.1% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 10.6% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
| Max Negative | -11.3% | -10.5% | -18.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodgers, Thomas L | EVP, Chief Strategy & BDO | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 816.18 | 276 | 225,266 | 1,851,096 | Form |
| 2 | Rutledge, Napoleon B Jr | SVP, Controller & CAO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 861.63 | 329 | 283,476 | 282,615 | Form |
| 3 | Tyler, Brian S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8252025 | 705.63 | 11,930 | 8,418,166 | 2,830,988 | Form |
| 4 | Tyler, Brian S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 677.76 | 11,930 | 8,085,677 | 10,804,850 | Form |
| 5 | Rutledge, Napoleon B Jr | SVP, Controller & CAO | Direct | Sell | 8112025 | 663.67 | 329 | 218,347 | 436,031 | Form |
MCK Trade Sentinel
Core Investment Debate
Margin Mix-Shift vs. Cash Flow & Regulatory Headwinds
BULL VIEW
The strategic pivot to higher-margin segments and GLP-1 distribution is a durable growth engine. The planned separation of the low-growth Medical-Surgical unit will unlock further value.
CORE TENSION
Can accelerating growth in high-margin Oncology and Biopharma services outrun the recent sharp decline in operating cash flow and looming margin pressure from the Inflation Reduction Act?
PREVAILING SENTIMENT
Company raised FY26 EPS guidance to $38.80-$39.20, but operating cash flow declined significantly year-over-year in Q3, leading to a negative stock reaction despite the beat.
BEAR VIEW
The significant Q3 drop in operating cash flow is a red flag. Future margins are structurally threatened by IRA price negotiations, creating a potential guidance risk for FY27.
| Timeline | Event & Metric To Watch |
|---|---|
Next Earnings Call (Est. May 2026) | Fiscal Year 2027 Guidance Release Watch: Initial FY27 revenue and operating profit growth guidance, specifically commentary on GLP-1 deceleration and IRA pricing impact on margins. |
Anytime (Q1-Q2 2026) | Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Pricing Impact Commentary Watch: Any specific revision to U.S. Pharmaceutical segment profit targets or commentary on renegotiated manufacturer contracts due to IRA's 'Maximum Fair Prices'. |
Q2-Q3 2026 | Drug Supply Chain Security Act (DSCSA) Enforcement Actions Watch: FDA or DOJ press releases announcing significant fines or injunctions against major distributors for DSCSA data exchange failures. |
Ongoing | Major Pharmacy Customer News (e.g., Walgreens, CVS) Watch: Announcements of significant store closures, bankruptcy, or major changes in inventory management/wholesaler relationships from a key customer. |
| Date | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
2026-02-04 | Q3 FY2026 Earnings Release Details: Beat EPS estimates and raised full-year guidance. However, the report also highlighted a significant year-over-year decline in operating cash flow. | Surged +16.52% |
2026-01-30 | Completion of Norwegian Business Divestiture Details: Announced the completion of the sale of its retail and distribution businesses in Norway, streamlining focus on core high-growth geographies and segments. | Modest 1.08% gain |
2026-01-13 | Presentation at J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference Details: Management presented an overview of the company's strategy, highlighting momentum in oncology and specialty services. The stock reaction was minimal. | Muted (-0.20%) |
2025-11-05 | Q2 FY2026 Earnings Release Details: Reported strong Q2 results, beating analyst estimates and raising its full-year EPS guidance, citing momentum across its businesses. | Modest 1.70% gain |
2025-09-23 | Investor Day Details: Hosted an investor day, raising long-term growth targets and FY2026 guidance. Highlighted focus on high-growth oncology and biopharma services. | Surged +6.36% |
2025-09-18 | Segment Reorganization Announced Details: Announced changes to its reportable segments to enhance strategic alignment, including the creation of a dedicated Oncology and Multispecialty unit. | Muted (-0.31%) |
Position Sizing
4%-6%
NORMAL
Stock trades in an Explosive Volatility regime (3.0x S&P) with Spiking near-term risk. While visibility is high, the Neutral sentiment prevents an aggressive stance. Sizing is capped at Normal to manage drawdown risk.
Diversification Alternatives
HALO
SECTOROffers exposure to the biopharma space through a royalty/licensing model rather than low-margin distribution, avoiding direct IRA reimbursement risk.
USPH
SECTORProvides direct exposure to U.S. healthcare services (physical therapy) driven by demographic trends, without the wholesale distribution margin pressures.
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.