MBIA (MBI)
Market Price (2/11/2026): $6.17 | Market Cap: $306.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance
MBIA (MBI)
Market Price (2/11/2026): $6.17Market Cap: $306.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Life & Health Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 442% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 581% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 17% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Financial Infrastructure & Stability. Themes include Public Finance Risk Management, and Credit Enhancement Solutions. | Key risksMBI key risks include [1] a significant capital deficit driven by a deeply negative book value and persistent unprofitability, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 442% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Financial Infrastructure & Stability. Themes include Public Finance Risk Management, and Credit Enhancement Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 581% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61% |
| Key risksMBI key risks include [1] a significant capital deficit driven by a deeply negative book value and persistent unprofitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. MBIA Insurance Corp. Reported a Statutory Net Loss and Declining Capital in Q3 2025. MBIA Insurance Corp. reported a statutory net loss of $25 million for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to adjustments reflecting lower expected recoveries of paid claims associated with the Zohar CDOs. This also led to a decrease in its statutory capital by $9 million below year-end 2024 levels, totaling $79 million as of September 30, 2025.
2. Analysts Revised Downwards Q4 2025 Earnings Expectations and Projected Future Losses. Analysts significantly reduced their earnings per share (EPS) expectations for MBIA's Q4 2025 by -237.5%, moving from -$0.040 to -$0.14 per share over the last year. The company is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.05 per share for Q4 2025, with revenues projected to decrease by 31% year-over-year to $20 million. Furthermore, analysts forecast continued losses for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, alongside anticipated declines in sales.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.8% change in MBI stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.83 | 6.16 | -9.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 103 | 89 | -13.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.3 | 3.4 | 4.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 50 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBI | -9.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.5% | 9.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.3% | 19.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.6% change in MBI stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 107.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.33 | 6.16 | 15.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43 | 89 | 107.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.0 | 3.4 | -42.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 50 | -2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBI | 15.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.6% | 16.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.4% change in MBI stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -442.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.11 | 6.16 | -13.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -26 | 89 | -442.3% |
| P/S Multiple | -13.0 | 3.4 | -126.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 50 | -3.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBI | -13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.0% | 27.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.1% | 30.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.5% change in MBI stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.68 | 6.16 | 8.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 120 | 89 | -25.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.4 | 3.4 | 45.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 50 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBI | 8.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.6% | 20.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 53.2% | 25.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MBI Return | 140% | -19% | 9% | 6% | 11% | -10% | 124% |
| Peers Return | 42% | -7% | 15% | 7% | 22% | 4% | 105% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MBI Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 44% | 50% | 60% | 56% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MBI Max Drawdown | -9% | -42% | -53% | -46% | -39% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -30% | -20% | -15% | -20% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AGO, BLK, IVZ, BEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MBI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 174.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,365 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3090.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AGO, BLK, IVZ, BEN
In The Past
MBIA's stock fell -63.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -63.6% loss requires a 174.6% gain to breakeven.
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About MBIA (MBI)
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Like a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, but for municipal bonds instead of mortgages.
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- Municipal Bond Insurance: MBIA's primary active business involves providing financial guarantee insurance for municipal bonds issued by U.S. states, cities, and other public entities, assuring timely payment to bondholders.
- Legacy Structured Finance Guarantee Management: The company actively manages its existing portfolio of previously written structured finance guarantees to mitigate potential losses and maximize recoveries from these older, non-new-business policies.
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MBIA Inc. (MBI) operates primarily through its subsidiary, National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation, which provides financial guarantee insurance. MBIA sells primarily to other entities rather than individuals. Its "customers" are the issuers of municipal bonds and other public finance obligations seeking to enhance the creditworthiness of their debt.
It is important to note that MBIA's major customers are not typically publicly traded corporations with stock symbols, but rather governmental and quasi-governmental entities. Therefore, listing specific public company names and symbols is not applicable in this context. Instead, its customer base can be described by the following categories of entities:
- State and Local Governments: This category includes U.S. states, cities, counties, towns, villages, and other general-purpose municipal entities that issue debt to fund essential public services and infrastructure projects such as schools, roads, water and sewer systems, and public safety facilities.
- Public Authorities and Agencies: These are specialized entities created by governmental bodies to perform specific public services, often possessing the authority to issue bonds. Examples include housing authorities, transportation authorities, utility districts, health care districts, and port authorities.
- Special Districts: These are independent, special-purpose governmental units that operate separately from general-purpose local governments. They have their own taxing and spending authority and often issue bonds to finance specific services or infrastructure within their defined geographic area (e.g., fire districts, library districts, improvement districts).
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William C. Fallon Chief Executive Officer
William C. Fallon was elected as a Director of MBIA in May 2017 and appointed as Chief Executive Officer on September 15, 2017. Prior to his CEO appointment, Mr. Fallon served as President, Chief Operating Officer, and Vice President of the company, and led its Global Structured Finance Division. He also holds the titles of President and Chief Executive Officer of National Public Finance Guarantee Corp. Before joining MBIA in 2005, Mr. Fallon was a partner at McKinsey & Company, where he co-led the Corporate Finance and Strategy Practice. His work at McKinsey involved consulting with financial institutions on areas such as value-based management, valuation, mergers and acquisitions, securitization, and risk management. Earlier in his career, he was a financial consultant with Stern Stewart & Co. and a senior analyst at General Motors from 1989 to 1991, focusing on corporate and international finance, and mergers and acquisitions.
Joseph R. Schachinger Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Joseph R. Schachinger was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of MBIA Inc. on April 30, 2024. On the same date, he was also appointed Chairman and Chief Financial Officer of MBIA Insurance Corp. Prior to these appointments, Mr. Schachinger served as the Controller of the company starting in May 2017, and as Deputy Controller from 2009. He initially joined MBIA in 2000 as a Vice President in the Controller's Group. Before his tenure at MBIA, Mr. Schachinger held positions at DNB US, New York, where he was Controller, Chief Trading Risk Officer, and Financial and Operations Principal.
Daniel M. Avitabile Assistant Vice President and President & Chief Risk Officer of MBIA Corp.
Daniel M. Avitabile serves as an Assistant Vice President of MBIA Inc. and as President and Chief Risk Officer of MBIA Corp. Before becoming Chief Risk Officer in 2016, he managed MBIA Corp.'s Special Situations Group, which was responsible for remediation and commutation activities. Mr. Avitabile has been with MBIA since 2000, holding various roles in insured portfolio management, remediation, corporate strategy, and structured finance new business. His experience prior to MBIA includes positions at The Chase Manhattan Bank and State Street Bank.
Adam T. Bergonzi Assistant Vice President and Chief Risk Officer of National
Adam T. Bergonzi is an Assistant Vice President of MBIA Inc. and the Chief Risk Officer of National. In this role, he oversees all of National's risk and insured portfolio management activities. Mr. Bergonzi rejoined MBIA in 2010 as Chief Risk Officer of National. From 2008 to 2010, he co-founded Municipal and Infrastructure Assurance Corporation, where he served as its Chief Risk Officer.
Christopher H. Young Assistant Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of National
Christopher H. Young is an Assistant Vice President of MBIA Inc. and holds the position of Chief Financial Officer of National. He was appointed National's Chief Financial Officer in March 2009. Prior to this, Mr. Young worked at MBIA Insurance Corporation from 2001 to 2009, gaining experience in a variety of Structured Finance positions and in Corporate Strategy.
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Here are the key risks to MBIA (MBI):1. Negative Book Value and Persistent Unprofitability
MBIA faces a fundamental challenge with a significantly negative consolidated book value per share, meaning its total liabilities currently exceed its total assets. For example, as of September 30, 2025, the consolidated book value per share was -$43.17. The company consistently reports GAAP net losses, such as a consolidated GAAP net loss of $8 million for the third quarter of 2025, although this was an improvement from previous periods. This negative equity position is considered a critical red flag, indicating a deep-seated capital problem for a financial guarantee insurer. While MBIA has shown some progress in narrowing losses, sustained profitability remains unassured.
2. Uncertainty and Financial Exposure related to Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA)
The lingering uncertainty surrounding MBIA's exposure to the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) is identified as a major financial risk and a massive, unresolved liability. MBIA's subsidiary, National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation (National), has substantial exposure to PREPA debt, with $425 million in gross par outstanding as of September 30, 2025. The resolution of this exposure is complex, subject to ongoing litigation, and its unclear path could significantly delay final recoveries and lead to substantial future cash outflows. Rating agencies have previously downgraded MBIA due to concerns over these Puerto Rico risks.
3. Losses and Volatility from Zohar Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and other Structured Finance Exposures
MBIA Insurance Corporation (MBIA Corp), another subsidiary, continues to experience operational and financial risks related to its structured finance portfolio, particularly the Zohar Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs). In the third quarter of 2025, MBIA Corp reported a statutory net loss of $25 million, primarily driven by adjustments reflecting lower expected recoveries on paid claims associated with the Zohar CDOs. This indicates that recovery estimates from these legacy exposures are moving against the company, contributing to ongoing volatility in its earnings quality and book value per share.
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MBIA Inc. (MBI) operates primarily in three addressable markets: U.S. municipal bond insurance, structured finance insurance, and asset management services.
U.S. Municipal Bond Insurance
The U.S. municipal bond market, where MBIA provides financial guarantees for municipal bonds, had $4.2 trillion in outstanding debt as of the third quarter of 2024. The amount of municipal bonds insured by the industry, including MBIA, totaled $41.166 billion in 2024, an increase from $31.845 billion in 2023. The insured share of total municipal issuance in the U.S. reached approximately 7.9% from January through June 2025. In 2023, bond insurance accounted for 8.8% of the U.S. municipal bond market. Total municipal bond issuance in 2025 is projected to reach between $575 billion and $600 billion.
Structured Finance Insurance
MBIA's structured finance insurance segment, which includes asset-backed securities and mortgage-backed securities, operates in a global market. The global structured finance market size is projected to increase by $1,128.5 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.9% from 2024 to 2029. Structured finance products constitute approximately 60% of global debt securities.
Asset Management Services
MBIA offers fixed-income asset management services. The global asset management industry's assets under management (AuM) reached a record $128 trillion in 2024. In North America, which dominated the asset management market with a 33.59% revenue share in 2024, the U.S. specifically held an 83.9% revenue share within North America for asset management services in 2024. The U.S. asset management market (in terms of AuM) is valued at $63.28 trillion in 2025 and is forecast to grow to $112.17 trillion by 2030, at a CAGR of 12.13%. The revenue for asset management services in the United States is projected to reach $253.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 21% from 2024 to 2030.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for MBIA (MBI)
For MBIA (MBI), a public company primarily engaged in financial guarantee insurance with a focus on its existing portfolio, the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are centered on maximizing value from its in-force business and liabilities, rather than generating new financial guarantee policies.
- Successful Resolution and Monetization of the PREPA Exposure: A significant driver for MBIA's future financial performance is the ongoing resolution and monetization of its exposure related to PREPA (Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority). Recent reports indicate that PREPA-related developments, including the sale of bankruptcy claims and custodial receipts, have reduced risk exposure and generated gains above prior estimates, significantly improving adjusted net income. The lower loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) at National, primarily related to its PREPA exposure, also contributed to a favorable variance in statutory net income. Continued progress in this area is expected to positively impact recoveries and loss reserves, contributing to improved financial results.
- Maximizing Recoveries from the Existing Insured Portfolio: MBIA's management continues to prioritize portfolio surveillance, remediation, and maximizing recoveries from its existing insured portfolio. While new financial guarantee business is not expected outside of remediation activities, the efficient management and successful recovery efforts on current exposures are crucial for mitigating revenue decline and enhancing the company's overall financial health. This involves actively working to recover value from outstanding guarantees.
- Strategic Asset and Liability Management: The company's adjusted net income has seen favorable changes primarily due to improved recoveries and strategic asset sales. Effective management of its assets and liabilities, including opportunistic sales of certain assets and proactive de-risking of exposures for which reserves are held, can contribute to enhancing financial performance and unlocking value. This strategic approach to its runoff portfolio can positively influence its revenue profile through gains and reduced liabilities.
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Share Repurchases
- As of October 31, 2025, MBIA had $71 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization.
- In the first quarter of 2025, MBIA Inc. repurchased $6.97 million in shares.
- During the first quarter of 2020, MBIA Inc. repurchased 8.1 million common shares at an average price of $7.99, and an additional 4.5 million common shares were repurchased through May 4, 2020, at an average price of $7.51.
Share Issuance
- MBIA's shares outstanding increased from 50.4 million in March 2025 to 50.5 million in June 2025, indicating new shares were issued.
- Annually, shares outstanding increased from 50.9 million in December 2023 to 51.0 million in December 2024, indicating share issuance.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| Rev LTM | 6,278 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,134 |
| FCF LTM | 874 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 892 |
| CFO LTM | 956 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,043 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -20.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Public Finance Insurance | 86 | 35 | 83 | 168 | 234 |
| Corporate | 51 | 167 | 69 | 23 | -29 |
| International and Structured Finance Insurance | -43 | 46 | 7 | 197 | 75 |
| Eliminations | -87 | -94 | -106 | ||
| Net gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt | -4 | ||||
| Total | 7 | 150 | 159 | 282 | 280 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliminations | -1 | -1 | |||
| Corporate | -102 | 17 | -133 | -132 | |
| U.S. Public Finance Insurance | -131 | -179 | -54 | 144 | |
| International and Structured Finance Insurance | -250 | -282 | -391 | -369 | |
| Total | -484 | -445 | -578 | -357 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Public Finance Insurance | 1,742 | 2,491 | 3,313 | 3,644 | 4,019 |
| International and Structured Finance Insurance | 974 | 1,132 | 2,800 | 3,671 | 4,504 |
| Corporate | 755 | 645 | 873 | 954 | 1,041 |
| Assets held for sale | 73 | 80 | |||
| Eliminations | -938 | -973 | -2,290 | -2,518 | -2,280 |
| Total | 2,606 | 3,375 | 4,696 | 5,751 | 7,284 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.16 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/02/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.01 | $6.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.2% | -1.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.7% | 56.5% |
| Downside Capture | 26.60 | 95.49 |
| Upside Capture | -87.91 | 65.87 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 5.7% | 28.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | -0.48 | 0.15 | -0.07 | 0.33 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| Down Beta | 3.23 | 2.69 | 1.87 | 1.19 | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Up Capture | -257% | -145% | -15% | 18% | 52% | 107% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 28 | 58 | 121 | 364 |
| Down Capture | -95% | -21% | 25% | -22% | 78% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 30 | 64 | 124 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBI | -14.1% | 56.5% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 4.4% | 19.2% | 0.10 | 30.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.3% | 19.3% | 0.65 | 28.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 76.7% | 25.0% | 2.25 | -0.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.4% | 16.6% | 0.37 | 7.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.5% | 16.6% | 0.21 | 30.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.3% | 44.7% | -0.58 | 5.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBI | 17.0% | 66.9% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.0% | 18.7% | 0.61 | 32.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 27.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 16.9% | 1.06 | -2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.3% | 18.9% | 0.48 | 5.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 18.8% | 0.19 | 26.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.4% | 57.9% | 0.45 | 10.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBI | 7.8% | 57.8% | 0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.2% | 22.2% | 0.59 | 41.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.7% | 15.5% | 0.84 | -2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 12.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 20.7% | 0.27 | 32.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.8% | 66.7% | 1.08 | 9.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2025 | -4.4% | -3.8% | 13.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | -11.3% | 0.4% | -8.7% |
| 2/27/2025 | -13.5% | -25.8% | -28.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.7% | 42.0% | 45.8% |
| 8/6/2024 | -7.6% | -10.8% | -15.0% |
| 5/9/2024 | -8.5% | -11.8% | -21.7% |
| 2/28/2024 | -5.1% | -6.4% | -1.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | -8.8% | -2.9% | 2.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| # Negative | 21 | 17 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Median Negative | -7.6% | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| Max Positive | 15.3% | 42.0% | 45.8% |
| Max Negative | -19.0% | -25.8% | -35.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shasta, Theodore | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 7.90 | 6,382 | 50,418 | 396,153 | Form | |
| 2 | Dewbrey, Diane L | Direct | Sell | 8252025 | 7.15 | 4,975 | 35,571 | 750,872 | Form | |
| 3 | Shasta, Theodore | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 6.71 | 8,361 | 56,102 | 379,303 | Form | |
| 4 | Shasta, Theodore | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 6.15 | 20,000 | 123,000 | 399,067 | Form | |
| 5 | Vaughan, Richard C | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 6.07 | 25,086 | 152,272 | 527,325 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Life & Health Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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