Lyft (LYFT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $19.46 | Market Cap: $7.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Lyft (LYFT)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $19.46Market Cap: $7.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Urban Mobility. Themes include On-Demand Ride-Sharing Platforms, Electrification of Urban Fleets, and Autonomous Vehicle Deployment. | Key risksLYFT key risks include [1] a high-attrition driver base facing the significant legal threat of reclassification as employees and [2] a sustained competitive disadvantage against a dominant, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Urban Mobility. Themes include On-Demand Ride-Sharing Platforms, Electrification of Urban Fleets, and Autonomous Vehicle Deployment. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Key risksLYFT key risks include [1] a high-attrition driver base facing the significant legal threat of reclassification as employees and [2] a sustained competitive disadvantage against a dominant, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LYFT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Lyft's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Lyft reported record third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025. The company achieved record Gross Bookings of $4.8 billion, an increase of 16% year-over-year, and record revenue of $1.7 billion, up 11% year-over-year. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $138.9 million, growing 29% year-over-year. The market reacted positively to these results, with the stock rising 3.4% in aftermarket trading despite missing some analyst expectations for earnings per share.
2. Attainment of Consistent Profitability and Free Cash Flow Milestones: Throughout 2025, Lyft demonstrated consistent self-funded profitability, generating multiple quarters of positive free cash flow. For the first time in its history, the company's trailing twelve-month free cash flow exceeded $1 billion as of Q3 2025, showcasing improved financial health and operational discipline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LYFT Return | 14% | -13% | -74% | 36% | -14% | 54% | -54% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -42% | 58% | -13% | 42% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LYFT Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 67% | 35% | 52% | 42% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LYFT Max Drawdown | -63% | -24% | -77% | -27% | -39% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -49% | -14% | -37% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UBER, DASH, CAR, HTZ. See LYFT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LYFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 743.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 236.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 148 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Lyft's stock fell -88.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -88.1% loss requires a 743.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Lyft Earnings Notes | |||
| Lyft Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| How Does Lyft Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Lyft (LYFT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why Is Lyft Stock Down 16%? | December 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LYFT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lyft
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 11,402 |
| Op Inc LTM | 25 |
| FCF LTM | 1,028 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 447 |
| CFO LTM | 2,528 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,136 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 24.1 |
| P/E | 9.9 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 43.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 87.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 5.8% | 22.4% | 12.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.6% | 4.2% | 19.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | 28.1% | 24.8% | 20.2% |
| 2/11/2025 | -7.9% | -6.9% | -21.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | 22.8% | 23.5% | 10.7% |
| 8/7/2024 | -17.2% | -8.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/7/2024 | 7.1% | 2.7% | -5.5% |
| 2/13/2024 | 35.1% | 33.0% | 46.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 7.6% | 8.6% | 18.0% |
| Median Negative | -10.4% | -10.8% | -14.4% |
| Max Positive | 35.1% | 33.0% | 47.8% |
| Max Negative | -36.4% | -38.2% | -55.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |