Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.8%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%

Key risks
KR key risks include [1] significant uncertainty and regulatory hurdles surrounding its proposed merger with Albertsons.

0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.8%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
8 Key risks
KR key risks include [1] significant uncertainty and regulatory hurdles surrounding its proposed merger with Albertsons.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Kroger (KR) stock has gained about 15% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive 2026 Outlook.

Kroger reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 (ending January 31, 2026), with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.28, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.20 by $0.08, representing a 12% year-over-year increase. The company also achieved a 2.4% increase in identical sales without fuel and a significant 20% surge in adjusted eCommerce sales during Q4 2025. This strong performance, coupled with a positive fiscal year 2026 guidance forecasting identical sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% and adjusted EPS between $5.10 and $5.30, contributed to a favorable market reaction.

2. Significant Share Repurchase Authorizations.

The company's commitment to returning capital to shareholders through aggressive share repurchases bolstered investor confidence. In December 2025, Kroger's Board of Directors authorized an additional $2 billion for share repurchases, expected to be completed by the end of fiscal year 2026. This follows the completion of a $5 billion accelerated share repurchase program by the end of fiscal 2025, which, along with other buybacks, reduced the share count by over an 8.5% average for the year, thereby enhancing per-share metrics.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.4% change in KR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120254052026Change
Stock Price ($)62.1772.3516.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)147,225147,6420.3%
Net Income Margin (%)0.5%0.7%28.4%
P/E Multiple51.644.9-12.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6556313.8%
Cumulative Contribution16.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KR16.4% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%-29.2%
Sector (XLP)5.4%32.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.4% change in KR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 177.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254052026Change
Stock Price ($)66.7272.358.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)147,000147,6420.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.9%0.7%-62.9%
P/E Multiple16.244.9177.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6626314.9%
Cumulative Contribution8.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KR8.4% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%-24.2%
Sector (XLP)5.3%41.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.1% change in KR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 159.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254052026Change
Stock Price ($)66.3372.359.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)149,879147,642-1.5%
Net Income Margin (%)1.8%0.7%-62.7%
P/E Multiple17.344.9159.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)72363114.6%
Cumulative Contribution9.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KR9.1% 
Market (SPY)16.3%-19.6%
Sector (XLP)2.5%42.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.6% change in KR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 205.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234052026Change
Stock Price ($)46.2172.3556.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)148,258147,642-0.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.5%0.7%-54.5%
P/E Multiple14.744.9205.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)71563113.3%
Cumulative Contribution56.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KR56.6% 
Market (SPY)63.3%-4.9%
Sector (XLP)18.3%41.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KR Return45%0%5%37%4%13%148%
Peers Return43%-14%12%12%14%9%92%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-4%75%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KR Win Rate75%42%50%58%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%47%60%50%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KR Max Drawdown-1%-6%-3%-2%-5%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-23%-14%-16%-13%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WMT, COST, TGT, ACI, CVS. See KR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven787 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-18.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven111 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,031 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-38.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,466 days1,480 days

Compare to WMT, COST, TGT, ACI, CVS

In The Past

Kroger's stock fell -31.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -31.7% loss requires a 46.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Kroger (KR)

The Kroger Co. operates as a retailer in the United States. The company operates combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouses. Its combination food and drug stores offer natural food and organic sections, pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers, fresh seafood, and organic produce; and multi-department stores provide apparel, home fashion and furnishings, outdoor living, electronics, automotive products, and toys. The company's marketplace stores offer full-service grocery, pharmacy, health and beauty care, and perishable goods, as well as general merchandise, including apparel, home goods, and toys; and price impact warehouse stores provide grocery, and health and beauty care items, as well as meat, dairy, baked goods, and fresh produce items. It also manufactures and processes food products for sale in its supermarkets and online; and sells fuel through 1,613 fuel centers. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 2,726 supermarkets under various banner names in 35 states and the District of Columbia. The Kroger Co. was founded in 1883 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.

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  • Walmart Supercenter focused primarily on groceries, fresh food, and a full-service supermarket experience, also offering pharmacy and general merchandise.
  • Like a national Target, but with a stronger emphasis on fresh groceries and organic products, alongside its pharmacy, general merchandise, and fuel sales.

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  • Groceries: A wide range of food products including fresh produce, meat, dairy, baked goods, and packaged and organic food items.
  • General Merchandise: Non-food items such as apparel, home goods, electronics, automotive products, and toys.
  • Health and Beauty Care Products: Personal care items, cosmetics, and over-the-counter health products.
  • Pet Products: Food, supplies, and accessories for pets.
  • Manufactured Food Products: Private label and store-brand food items produced directly by Kroger.
  • Fuel: Gasoline and other automotive fuels sold at its retail fuel centers.
  • Pharmacy Services: Prescription fulfillment, health consultations, and vaccination services provided by in-store pharmacies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Kroger Co. (KR) sells primarily to individuals, operating as a major retail chain across the United States. Based on its diverse store formats and product offerings, its customer base can be categorized into the following groups:

  • General Consumers/Households: This is the broadest customer segment, encompassing individuals and families who frequent Kroger's combination food and drug stores, marketplace stores, and fuel centers for their everyday needs. They purchase groceries, general household items, pharmacy products, and fuel.
  • Value-Oriented Shoppers: These customers are primarily drawn to Kroger's price impact warehouse stores, where they seek competitive pricing and bulk options on groceries, health and beauty care items, meat, dairy, baked goods, and fresh produce. Their main motivation is to maximize savings on their purchases.
  • Specialty & Lifestyle Shoppers: This category includes consumers who seek specific product attributes or a wider range of non-grocery items. They are served by natural food and organic sections within combination stores, as well as multi-department stores that offer apparel, home fashion, electronics, and toys, catering to specific lifestyle choices and broader shopping needs beyond daily essentials.

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  • Ocado Group plc (Symbol: OCDO)

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Greg Foran, Chief Executive Officer

Greg Foran was appointed Chief Executive Officer of The Kroger Co. and joined the Board of Directors in February 2026. Prior to joining Kroger, he held senior leadership roles at Woolworths, Walmart, and Air New Zealand. He served as Chief Executive Officer of Air New Zealand from 2020 to 2025. Before Air New Zealand, Foran joined Walmart in 2011, holding various senior positions including President and CEO of Walmart China from 2012 to 2014, Walmart Asia in 2014, and Walmart U.S. from 2014 to 2019. The available information does not indicate if he founded or sold other companies, or if he has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

David Kennerley, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

David Kennerley was elected Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Kroger Co. in March 2025. In this role, he is responsible for various financial aspects including Accounting & Financial Reporting, Financial Planning & Capital Management, Operational Finance, Tax, Pension Investment, Treasury, Audit & Risk Management, Investor Relations, Mergers & Acquisitions, and Finance Modernization. Before joining Kroger, he held various leadership roles at PepsiCo from 2001 to 2025, with his most recent position being CFO, Europe from March 2020 to March 2025. The available information does not indicate if he founded or sold other companies, or if he has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

Mary Ellen Adcock, Executive Vice President and Chief Merchant and Marketing Officer

Mary Ellen Adcock was elected Executive Vice President in 2025 and Senior Vice President and Chief Merchant and Marketing Officer in December 2024. She is responsible for sales and category planning for fresh foods, center store, and general merchandise categories, as well as analytics & execution, e-commerce, digital merchandising, fuel, and Kroger's Our Brands. Adcock joined Kroger in 1999 in the company's manufacturing division. Her career at Kroger includes leadership roles in the Columbus Division, Vice President of Operations, Vice President of Merchandising, Vice President of Natural Foods Merchandising, and Vice President of Deli/Bakery Manufacturing. She served as Senior Vice President of Operations since 2019, overseeing strategic operations for the company's stores.

Yael Cosset, Executive Vice President and Chief Digital Officer

Yael Cosset was elected Executive Vice President in 2025. He was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer in May 2019 and is responsible for leading Kroger's digital strategy, focusing on building the company's presence in digital channels, personalization, and e-commerce. He also oversees Kroger's alternative profit businesses, including its data analytics subsidiary, 84.51˚ LLC, and Kroger Personal Finance. Prior to these roles, Cosset served as Chief Commercial Officer and CIO of 84.51° since its inception in 2015. Before that, he held several leadership positions at dunnhumby, including Executive Vice President of Consumer Markets, Global CIO, and CEO of KSS Retail.

Timothy Massa, Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer

Timothy Massa leads all areas of Human Resources and Labor Relations for The Kroger Co., including total rewards, diversity, training and development, talent acquisition, retention, and engagement, corporate affairs, and associate communications. He also oversees shared services and aviation. Massa was elected Senior Vice President in June 2018 and serves as the company's Chief People Officer. He joined Kroger in October 2010 as Vice President, Corporate Human Resources and Talent Development. Before his tenure at Kroger, Massa spent 21 years in various Human Resources leadership roles at Procter & Gamble, most recently as Global Human Resources Director of Customer Business Development.

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Here are the key risks to The Kroger Co. (KR) business:

  1. Intense Competition, Pricing Pressures, and Strategic Realignment: Kroger operates in a highly competitive grocery market, facing pressure from traditional grocers, discounters, and online retailers. This competition leads to pricing pressures that can impact profit margins. Furthermore, there are growing concerns and scrutiny from lawmakers and consumers regarding Kroger's use of electronic shelf labels (ESLs) and "surveillance pricing," which allow for dynamic price changes and potentially lead to price gouging. The company's significant strategic setback of the blocked $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons in December 2024 has further impacted its competitive positioning and required a realignment of its growth strategy. The merger's failure resulted in substantial merger-related costs and leadership changes, creating uncertainty around future strategic direction and shareholder value.
  2. Labor Relations, Wage Pressures, and Operational Costs: Kroger faces ongoing risks related to its labor force, including union negotiations, potential work stoppages, and rising wage demands. Employee complaints about understaffing leading to inaccurate pricing and challenging working conditions can affect customer satisfaction and operational efficiency. Increased investment in associate wages and benefits directly impacts operating expenses, while labor disputes can disrupt operations and harm the company's reputation.
  3. Challenges in E-commerce and Automated Fulfillment Network Performance: While Kroger is investing heavily in its digital and e-commerce capabilities, the company has experienced significant challenges. It anticipates an impairment charge of approximately $2.6 billion in the third fiscal quarter of 2025 due to the underperformance and planned closures of its automated fulfillment network (Ocado). This indicates the difficulties and financial risks associated with executing large-scale technological and logistical investments in the rapidly evolving online grocery market.

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The accelerating shift towards online-first grocery shopping models and rapid delivery services, primarily driven by technology-centric companies and e-commerce giants (such as Amazon and Walmart's extensive online operations), poses a significant emerging threat. This trend could fundamentally disrupt the traditional brick-and-mortar supermarket model by diminishing the necessity of physical store visits and altering consumer expectations for convenience and speed, potentially eroding market share and profitability for established grocers like Kroger.

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For the public company Kroger (symbol: KR), the addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States are as follows:

  • Grocery Retail (Supermarkets & Grocery Stores): The market size for Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in the U.S. was estimated at $900.6 billion in 2025. This market encompasses a wide range of products including natural food and organic sections, fresh seafood, organic produce, meat, dairy, baked goods, and general groceries.
  • Pharmacy Services (Pharmacies & Drug Stores): The market size for Pharmacies & Drug Stores in the U.S. was estimated at $670.5 billion in 2025. This market includes pharmacy services and health and beauty care items.
  • Retail Fuel: Gasoline sales in convenience stores in the U.S. totaled $532.2 billion in 2023. Kroger operates fuel centers, which are typically associated with its supermarkets.

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Kroger (KR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing customer value, expanding market reach, and optimizing operations.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of Kroger's future revenue growth:

  1. Digital Transformation and E-commerce Expansion: Kroger is significantly investing in its digital capabilities and e-commerce business, which has shown strong growth. Adjusted e-commerce sales grew 20% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 10% for the full fiscal year 2024, exceeding $13 billion. The company launched a dedicated eCommerce Unit in March 2025 and is investing in AI-driven supply chain systems, robotics, cloud computing, and personalized online shopping tools. Kroger aims to achieve e-commerce profitability by 2026.
  2. Expansion and Innovation of Private Label Brands ('Our Brands'): The growth of Kroger's private-label portfolio is a key strategic driver. In fiscal 2024, the company launched over 900 new private-label products, including 370 fresh items. The 'Our Brands' portfolio currently generates $30 billion in annual sales and is seen as crucial for capturing market share and enhancing customer loyalty, particularly given increasing consumer preference for private labels.
  3. Strategic Store Development and Optimization: Kroger is actively managing its physical footprint by closing underperforming stores while simultaneously investing in new store openings and remodels. The company completed 29 major store projects in 2024, with 30 planned for 2025, and intends to increase new store openings by 30% in 2026 compared to 2025. This strategy aims to strengthen its existing market presence and expand into underserved areas.
  4. Growth in High-Potential Product Categories: Kroger is focusing investments on categories such as pharmacy and fresh food, which are consistently demonstrating strong performance. Fresh identical sales have outperformed center store sales, and the company reported an 11% growth in vaccinations in 2024, highlighting the strength of its health and wellness offerings. This strategic focus helps diversify revenue streams and cater to evolving consumer demands for healthier options.
  5. Enhanced Customer Value through Competitive Pricing and Operational Efficiency: Kroger's strategy for 2026 emphasizes competitive pricing, supported by ongoing efforts to improve operational effectiveness and reduce costs. The company plans to reinvest cost savings from operational gains into lower shelf prices to attract cost-conscious customers and boost market share. Improvements in sourcing, lower supply chain expenses, and productivity enhancements are expected to contribute to boosting gross margins while offering value to customers.

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Share Repurchases

  • Kroger's Board of Directors approved an additional $2.0 billion share repurchase authorization in December 2025, bringing the total available under authorizations to approximately $2.9 billion as of December 23, 2025.
  • In December 2024, a $7.5 billion share repurchase authorization was announced, which included a $5 billion accelerated share repurchase program. The $5 billion ASR was completed, with the remaining authorization repurchased through open market transactions by the end of fiscal 2025.
  • The company temporarily paused its share repurchase program to prioritize de-leveraging following the proposed merger with Albertsons, but subsequently resumed repurchases.

Share Issuance

  • Kroger's common shares outstanding have generally decreased due to ongoing share repurchase programs.

Capital Expenditures

  • Kroger projects capital expenditures to be between $3.8 billion and $4 billion for fiscal year 2026.
  • Capital expenditures peaked at $4.017 billion in fiscal year 2025 (or $3.875 billion for the fiscal year ending February 2025). For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were $3.904 billion.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in new store openings, remodels, enhancing digital capabilities, e-commerce platforms, and optimizing operational efficiency to drive sales growth and improve efficiency.

Better Bets vs. Kroger (KR)

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to KR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MZTI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026MZTIMarzettiDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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0.9%0.9%0.0%
TAP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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-0.8%-0.8%-1.1%
KHC_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-1.7%
KMB_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026KMBKimberly-ClarkDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-1.9%
MKC_3202026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03202026MKCMcCormickDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-5.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KRWMTCOSTTGTACICVSMedian
NameKroger Walmart Costco W.Target Albertso.CVS Heal. 
Mkt Price72.35125.791,014.96120.4517.4573.4996.97
Mkt Cap45.71,002.7450.654.69.393.374.0
Rev LTM147,642713,163286,265104,78081,720402,067216,954
Op Inc LTM1,89029,82510,9405,1171,51810,3857,751
FCF LTM3,45614,9239,0992,8355117,8075,632
FCF 3Y Avg2,70614,2347,4083,7096038,1765,558
CFO LTM7,31141,56515,0116,5622,40810,6398,975
CFO 3Y Avg6,63137,91112,5417,5172,59111,0579,287

Growth & Margins

KRWMTCOSTTGTACICVSMedian
NameKroger Walmart Costco W.Target Albertso.CVS Heal. 
Rev Chg LTM0.4%4.7%8.4%-1.7%2.2%7.8%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%5.3%6.9%-1.3%2.1%7.7%3.7%
Rev Chg Q1.2%5.6%9.2%-1.5%1.9%8.2%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%1.4%2.1%-0.4%0.4%2.0%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.3%4.2%3.8%4.9%1.9%2.6%3.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.0%4.2%3.6%5.1%2.2%3.1%3.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.1%0.0%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.0%5.8%5.2%6.3%2.9%2.6%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%5.6%4.7%7.1%3.2%2.9%4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.3%2.1%3.2%2.7%0.6%1.9%2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%2.1%2.8%3.5%0.8%2.2%2.1%

Valuation

KRWMTCOSTTGTACICVSMedian
NameKroger Walmart Costco W.Target Albertso.CVS Heal. 
Mkt Cap45.71,002.7450.654.69.393.374.0
P/S0.31.41.60.50.10.20.4
P/EBIT24.831.139.010.55.917.821.3
P/E44.945.852.714.710.752.845.4
P/CFO6.224.130.08.33.98.88.5
Total Yield4.2%2.9%2.3%10.5%13.0%5.5%4.8%
Dividend Yield1.9%0.7%0.4%3.8%3.6%3.6%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%2.3%2.1%6.5%5.5%9.7%5.8%
D/E0.50.10.00.41.70.90.5
Net D/E0.40.1-0.00.31.60.70.4

Returns

KRWMTCOSTTGTACICVSMedian
NameKroger Walmart Costco W.Target Albertso.CVS Heal. 
1M Rtn-2.4%1.8%1.7%-0.3%-1.8%-5.7%-1.0%
3M Rtn15.5%11.8%18.9%21.1%1.7%-7.5%13.6%
6M Rtn10.3%23.7%11.2%38.4%2.1%-3.6%10.7%
12M Rtn9.9%52.5%11.4%31.6%-18.1%19.8%15.6%
3Y Rtn59.3%159.0%117.5%-19.0%-10.3%6.4%32.9%
1M Excs Rtn10.6%2.8%5.0%4.5%6.2%-4.6%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn20.2%17.0%21.7%28.3%6.4%-2.8%18.6%
6M Excs Rtn11.8%25.8%12.9%40.1%4.2%-0.9%12.3%
12M Excs Rtn-8.5%26.0%-9.9%3.8%-36.5%-4.6%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.8%106.2%51.4%-81.8%-72.9%-52.9%-30.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Retail operations segment sales145,701143,810133,751128,523118,617
Other sales4,338    
Total150,039143,810133,751128,523118,617


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$72.35 
Market Cap ($ Bil)47.4 
First Trading Date01/03/1977 
Distance from 52W High-4.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$69.23$67.20
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.5%7.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.5%26.9%
Downside Capture-0.56-0.43
Upside Capture-37.83-41.84
Correlation (SPY)-28.8%-15.1%
KR Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.07-0.81-0.69-0.52-0.28-0.08
Up Beta-1.66-0.33-0.70-0.25-0.130.01
Down Beta-0.92-1.03-0.82-0.43-0.20-0.17
Up Capture-118%-40%-29%-39%-20%0%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9213061121382
Down Capture-111%-136%-107%-99%-112%-52%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13213365130366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KR
KR8.4%27.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLP)2.3%13.8%-0.0742.6%
Equity (SPY)16.1%19.0%0.67-19.6%
Gold (GLD)50.5%28.0%1.467.9%
Commodities (DBC)16.2%17.7%0.77-4.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%16.5%0.049.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.5%44.0%-0.42-12.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KR
KR16.7%26.8%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.3%13.1%0.2644.5%
Equity (SPY)11.6%17.0%0.539.4%
Gold (GLD)21.7%17.8%1.004.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.8%0.512.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.3%18.8%0.0817.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.9%56.5%0.29-3.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KR
KR9.1%28.8%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.4%14.7%0.3737.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6715.2%
Gold (GLD)14.0%15.9%0.731.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.404.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2214.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.2%66.8%1.061.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-9.9%
Average Daily Volume8.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity631.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/5/20265.3%6.2% 
12/4/2025-4.6%-7.5%-6.7%
9/11/20250.3%-0.1%0.8%
6/20/20259.8%8.8%10.8%
3/3/2025-3.0%2.9%4.4%
12/5/20241.3%2.4%1.2%
9/12/20247.2%6.1%7.2%
6/20/2024-3.3%-5.0%4.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151415
# Negative10119
Median Positive5.4%6.0%4.9%
Median Negative-3.0%-4.6%-6.6%
Max Positive11.6%12.1%16.2%
Max Negative-7.5%-11.4%-14.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/12/202510-Q
07/31/202509/19/202510-Q
04/30/202506/27/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/13/202410-Q
07/31/202409/20/202410-Q
04/30/202406/28/202410-Q
01/31/202404/02/202410-K
10/31/202312/08/202310-Q
07/31/202309/15/202310-Q
04/30/202306/23/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202212/09/202210-Q
07/31/202209/16/202210-Q
04/30/202206/24/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Identical Sales without fuel0.010.010.02-48.3%-1.4%LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for 2025
2026 FIFO Operating Profit5.00 Bil5.10 Bil5.20 Bil5.2% RaisedGuidance: 4.85 Bil for 2025
2026 EPS5.15.25.38.9% RaisedGuidance: 4.78 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow2.70 Bil2.80 Bil2.90 Bil-3.4% LoweredGuidance: 2.90 Bil for 2025
2026 Cap Ex3.80 Bil3.90 Bil4.00 Bil5.4% RaisedGuidance: 3.70 Bil for 2025
2026 Tax Rate 23.0% 4.5%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 22.0% for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Identical Sales without fuel0.030.030.03-4.9% LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for 2025
2025 Operating Profit4.80 Bil4.85 Bil4.90 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 4.85 Bil for 2025
2025 EPS4.754.784.80.5% RaisedGuidance: 4.75 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow2.80 Bil2.90 Bil3.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.90 Bil for 2025
2025 Cap Ex3.60 Bil3.70 Bil3.80 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.70 Bil for 2025
2025 Tax Rate 22.0% 0 AffirmedGuidance: 22.0% for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Moore, Clyde R DirectSell716202571.613,810272,8346,147,718Form
2Moore, Clyde R DirectSell714202570.5026,8141,890,3876,989,582Form
3Adcock, Mary EllenExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell630202571.1634,2502,437,23013,127,099Form
4Massa, Timothy AExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell624202574.008,415622,7108,788,314Form
5Cosset, YaelExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell624202573.4971,2245,234,03810,223,805Form