Tearsheet

Kennametal (KMT)


Market Price (11/2/2025): $21.95 | Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Kennametal (KMT)


Market Price (11/2/2025): $21.95
Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

KMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KMT Return1%1%-31%10%-4%-6%-30%
Peers Return7%13%5%-2%19%11%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KMT Win Rate58%58%25%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate30%38%28%23%43%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KMT Max Drawdown-59%-7%-42%-4%-11%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-3%-13%-15%-5%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VMI, BRC, TRN, HUHU, INLF. See KMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1181 days1480 days

Compare to VMI, BRC, TRN, HUHU, INLF


In The Past

Kennametal's stock fell -51.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -51.4% loss requires a 105.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kennametal (KMT)

Better Bets than Kennametal (KMT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
KMT_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KMTKennametalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%-7.3%-49.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
KMT_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KMTKennametalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.7%-7.3%-49.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kennametal

Financials

KMTVMIBRCTRNHUHUINLFMedian
NameKennamet.Valmont .Brady Trinity .HUHUTECH.INLIF  
Mkt Price21.95413.4375.9127.376.350.8024.66
Mkt Cap1.78.23.62.2--2.9
Rev LTM1,9674,1031,5142,175--2,071
Op Inc LTM156519237366--301
FCF LTM119409154-396--136
FCF 3Y Avg151354173-335--162
CFO LTM208539181384--296
CFO 3Y Avg248456215369--308

Growth & Margins

KMTVMIBRCTRNHUHUINLFMedian
NameKennamet.Valmont .Brady Trinity .HUHUTECH.INLIF  
Rev Chg LTM-3.9%1.2%12.8%-33.0%---1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%-0.5%5.3%11.1%--2.4%
Rev Chg Q-4.9%2.5%15.7%-43.2%---1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%0.6%3.7%-13.7%---0.4%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%12.7%15.6%16.8%--14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.8%12.1%16.9%13.4%--12.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.3%-1.1%1.8%---0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM10.6%13.1%12.0%17.6%--12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.2%11.0%15.6%13.8%--13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM6.1%10.0%10.1%-18.2%--8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%8.6%12.5%-13.2%--8.0%

Valuation

KMTVMIBRCTRNHUHUINLFMedian
NameKennamet.Valmont .Brady Trinity .HUHUTECH.INLIF  
Mkt Cap1.78.23.62.2--2.9
P/S0.92.02.41.0--1.5
P/EBIT10.719.614.95.1--12.8
P/E18.034.919.023.1--21.0
P/CFO8.015.119.85.7--11.6
Total Yield9.3%3.2%6.5%8.8%--7.6%
Dividend Yield3.7%0.3%1.3%4.4%--2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.7%5.7%6.2%-15.5%--5.9%
D/E0.40.10.02.7--0.2
Net D/E0.30.1-0.02.7--0.2

Returns

KMTVMIBRCTRNHUHUINLFMedian
NameKennamet.Valmont .Brady Trinity .HUHUTECH.INLIF  
1M Rtn2.3%5.2%-2.6%-0.4%14.2%9.2%3.8%
3M Rtn-9.0%15.5%8.4%14.5%-4.9%-26.6%1.7%
6M Rtn11.2%35.0%6.4%11.9%17.8%-33.9%11.6%
12M Rtn-10.9%31.8%7.7%-12.4%36.9%-7.7%
3Y Rtn5.4%35.9%74.9%11.9%--23.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.5%3.4%-4.5%-2.2%12.3%7.3%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%5.2%0.0%4.3%-12.9%-39.1%-6.4%
6M Excs Rtn-9.1%14.7%-13.9%-8.4%-2.5%-54.2%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-28.2%13.1%-11.6%-37.2%27.0%--11.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.7%-39.0%-0.3%-55.7%---47.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,908,743
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020257.3%
Average Daily Volume670,290
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.83
Basic Shares Quantity76,214,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2025-18.2%-17.9%-13.1%
5/7/2025-0.3%12.8%11.1%
2/5/2025-3.4%-7.4%-5.3%
11/6/202417.5%11.1%5.6%
8/7/20240.8%2.9%3.1%
5/8/20243.2%8.4%1.8%
2/7/2024-2.4%-3.1%1.9%
11/1/2023-1.3%-0.6%1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81112
# Negative161312
Median Positive3.7%5.6%5.8%
Median Negative-3.6%-4.2%-8.6%
Max Positive17.5%12.8%31.6%
Max Negative-18.2%-17.9%-14.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211102202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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