Kraft Heinz (KHC)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $22.77 | Market Cap: $27.0 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Kraft Heinz (KHC)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $22.77Market Cap: $27.0 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 14% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% Key risksKHC key risks include [1] shifting consumer preferences away from its traditional packaged food brands amid intense competition and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts its financial flexibility. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Key risksKHC key risks include [1] shifting consumer preferences away from its traditional packaged food brands amid intense competition and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts its financial flexibility. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weak 2026 Guidance and Significant Impairment Charges.
Kraft Heinz issued a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2026 on February 11, 2026, projecting organic sales to decline by 1.5% to 3.5% and adjusted operating income to decrease by 14% to 18% compared to the prior year. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $1.98 to $2.10 fell significantly below analyst expectations of approximately $2.68. This forward-looking pessimism was compounded by the announcement of substantial non-cash impairment losses of $9.3 billion in 2025, which drove its diluted EPS for the year down to $(4.93).
2. Revenue Miss Amidst Broader Volume Declines.
While Kraft Heinz reported a beat on EPS for Q4 2025, its revenue of $6.35 billion missed analyst estimates of $6.38 billion and marked a 3.4% year-over-year decrease in net sales. The company has been grappling with declining sales volumes, with average quarterly sales volumes shrinking by 3.8% over the last two years, indicating consumers may be shifting towards private-label alternatives.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.4% change in KHC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -3.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.85 | 22.79 | -4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25,164 | 24,942 | -0.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 1.1 | -3.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,184 | 1,184 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KHC | -4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.4% | 52.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.6% change in KHC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.21 | 22.79 | -9.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25,310 | 24,942 | -1.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 1.1 | -8.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,185 | 1,184 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KHC | -9.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | -1.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.3% | 57.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.3% change in KHC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.60 | 22.79 | -20.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25,846 | 24,942 | -3.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.1 | -18.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,204 | 1,184 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KHC | -20.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 59.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.1% change in KHC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.10 | 22.79 | -31.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 26,485 | 24,942 | -5.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.1 | -29.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,226 | 1,184 | 3.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KHC | -31.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 15.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.3% | 58.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KHC Return | 8% | 18% | -5% | -13% | -16% | -7% | -18% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 18% | -12% | -5% | -26% | -15% | -30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KHC Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 58% | 38% | 50% | 33% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KHC Max Drawdown | -8% | -5% | -22% | -15% | -19% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -9% | -22% | -8% | -28% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MDLZ, GIS, CPB, FLO, OFRM. See KHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KHC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -74.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 285.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to MDLZ, GIS, CPB, FLO, OFRM
In The Past
Kraft Heinz's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/13/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Kraft Heinz (KHC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. The Procter & Gamble of the kitchen pantry.
2. Like PepsiCo, but for classic food staples such as ketchup, cheese, and coffee rather than sodas and chips.
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- Condiments and Sauces: Includes a wide range of flavor enhancers for food, such as ketchup, mustard, and various cooking sauces.
- Cheese and Dairy Products: Encompasses diverse cheese types and other dairy-based food items.
- Meals: Offers convenient food solutions in the form of prepared or semi-prepared meal products.
- Meats: Provides various packaged and processed meat products.
- Refreshment Beverages: Sells non-alcoholic drinks intended for refreshment.
- Coffee: Markets and distributes coffee products.
- Dressings: Includes salad dressings and other similar flavorings.
- Healthy Snacks: Offers snack items positioned as better-for-you options.
- Spices and Other Seasonings: Sells ingredients used to flavor and enhance the taste of food.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) primarily sells its food and beverage products to other businesses, which then distribute or sell these products to end consumers and institutions. Based on the company description, its major customers fall into categories such as chain grocery accounts, mass merchants, club stores, drug stores, convenience stores, and foodservice distributors.
Major customers include, but are not limited to, the following public companies:
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Steve Cahillane
Chief Executive Officer and Member of the Board of Directors
Steve Cahillane assumed the role of CEO at The Kraft Heinz Company on January 1, 2026. He also joined the company's Board of Directors. Prior to joining Kraft Heinz, Cahillane served as Chairman, President, and CEO of Kellanova until its acquisition by Mars, Incorporated in December 2025. During his tenure at Kellanova (formerly Kellogg Company), he oversaw the expansion of global brands such as Pringles, Cheez-It, Pop-Tarts, and Kellogg's (International). He also led Kellogg Company through the separation of its North American cereal business and the subsequent launch of Kellanova. Before Kellanova, Cahillane was President and Chief Executive Officer of The Nature's Bounty Co., a global manufacturer and retailer of health and wellness products, a position he took in 2014. His career also includes seven years with The Coca-Cola Company, where he was most recently President of Coca-Cola Americas, and eight years with AB InBev. Cahillane currently serves on the Northwestern University Board of Trustees, the Smithsonian National Board, and the Colgate-Palmolive Board of Directors.
Andre Maciel
Executive Vice President and Global Chief Financial Officer
Andre Maciel has served as the Executive Vice President and Global Chief Financial Officer for The Kraft Heinz Company since March 2022. In this role, he is responsible for global accounting, treasury, tax, internal audit, budget and business planning, investor relations, mergers and acquisitions, information technology, global business services, and Global Center of Excellence functions. Maciel joined H.J. Heinz, a predecessor to Kraft Heinz, in 2013. He has held several key leadership positions within the company, including Senior Vice President, U.S. Chief Financial Officer and Head of Digital Transformation from September 2019 to March 2022. Other previous roles include Managing Director, Continental Europe, and Chief Financial Officer, U.S. Earlier in his career, he worked at companies such as AB InBev, McKinsey & Company, and Accenture. He holds a bachelor's degree in industrial engineering from Universidade de São Paulo and an MBA from INSEAD. Maciel also served as an Independent Director for Iron Mountain, Inc. from 2024 to 2025.
Nicolas Amaya
Executive Vice President and President, North America
Nicolas Amaya is the Executive Vice President and President, North America, for The Kraft Heinz Company. No additional detailed background information was readily available from the search results.
Janelle Aydin
Global Chief Procurement & Sustainability Officer
Janelle Aydin serves as the Global Chief Procurement & Sustainability Officer at The Kraft Heinz Company. No additional detailed background information was readily available from the search results.
Bruno Keller
Zone President, Canada
Bruno Keller is the President for Kraft Heinz Canada. He initially joined Kraft Heinz in 2014 as Director of Trade Marketing and Revenue Management in Italy. He was later promoted to Managing Director of the Italian business and, by the end of 2016, expanded his leadership to include France, Spain, and Portugal, creating a South Europe Business unit. In April 2018, Keller became the Head of Business Development for Kraft Heinz Canada, and since September 2019, he has served as President of Kraft Heinz Canada. Before joining Kraft Heinz, Keller worked at AB InBev, Philip Morris, and PepsiCo, holding senior positions in Sales, Trade Marketing, and Revenue Management. He holds a degree in Economics from Federal University of Santa Catarina, Brazil, and a Master's in Sales and Marketing from Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Brazil.
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Key Risks to Kraft Heinz (KHC)
- Changing Consumer Preferences and Intense Competition: Kraft Heinz faces significant challenges from evolving consumer preferences, with a growing shift towards healthier, less processed, and more natural food options. This trend directly impacts demand for many of KHC's traditional processed food products, leading to declining sales volumes and market share. The company also grapples with intense competition from private label brands and other food and beverage manufacturers, which exerts pressure on pricing, marketing, and the need for continuous product innovation to remain relevant.
- Inflationary Pressures, Commodity Price Volatility, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company is exposed to substantial inflationary pressures on input costs, including raw materials (such as dairy, meat, and grains), labor, and logistics. While Kraft Heinz implements pricing actions and efficiency initiatives to mitigate these rising costs, these measures may not fully offset the impact on profitability. Furthermore, volatility in commodity prices and potential disruptions in the global supply chain can significantly affect the cost and availability of essential ingredients and components, posing an ongoing operational and financial risk.
- Significant Indebtedness and Balance Sheet Vulnerability: Kraft Heinz carries a considerable amount of debt, with long-term debt representing a significant financial obligation. Additionally, a large portion of the company's assets consists of goodwill and intangible assets. This high level of indebtedness and reliance on "soft assets" could limit financial flexibility, increase the cost of capital, and expose the company to potential future impairment charges or the need for shareholder dilution if financial stability requires shoring up the balance sheet in adverse conditions.
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The ongoing and accelerating consumer shift towards healthier, fresh, minimally processed, and plant-based food and beverage options poses a significant threat to Kraft Heinz's traditional product portfolio. This trend empowers smaller, agile competitors and specialized direct-to-consumer brands that cater specifically to these evolving preferences, potentially eroding market share for established players reliant on legacy product lines and traditional distribution channels.
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The addressable markets for Kraft Heinz's main products and services are substantial across various global and regional segments:
- Condiments, Sauces, and Dressings: The global sauces, dressings, and condiments market was valued at approximately USD 181.51 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 276.94 billion by 2033. Other estimates place the global sauces, dressings & condiments market size at USD 165.81 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 237.54 billion by 2030. The global condiments market was valued at USD 280.09 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 358.96 billion by 2030. North America held a significant share of the global condiments market, with the U.S. market alone projected to reach USD 32.84 billion by 2032. The global salad dressing market is projected to expand from USD 76.55 billion in 2025 to USD 104.47 billion by 2031. North America contributed about 57% of the global salad dressing market revenue in 2024.
- Cheese and Dairy Products: The global cheese market reached approximately USD 98.0 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 154.4 billion by 2034. Another report indicates the cheese market was valued at USD 105.5 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 188.1 billion by 2036. The broader global dairy products market was valued at USD 544.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 680.06 billion by 2030.
- Meals (Prepared/Ready Meals): The global prepared meals market was valued at USD 190.71 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 326.50 billion by 2034. Other estimates show the global prepared meals market was valued at USD 189.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 305.7 billion by 2033. North America is a leading region in the global prepared meals market, accounting for over 34% of total revenue in 2025.
- Meats (Processed/Packaged): The global processed meat market size was valued at approximately USD 707.98 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1,253.77 billion by 2034. Another source indicates the global processed meat market size was valued at USD 658.4 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 975.0 billion by 2034. North America significantly contributes to this market, holding a 41.36% share in 2025. The U.S. processed meat market alone was valued at USD 128.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 235.60 billion by 2034.
- Refreshment Beverages (Ready-to-Drink): The global ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages market was valued at USD 240.0 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 419.2 billion by 2033. The broader global beverages market is estimated at USD 2.03 trillion in 2026, with projections to reach USD 2.67 trillion by 2031.
- Coffee: The global coffee market size was estimated at USD 249.34 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 380.28 billion by 2033. Europe held the largest revenue share in the global coffee market with 32.5% in 2025. Other estimates for the global coffee market size include USD 235.75 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 398.90 billion by 2034.
- Healthy Snacks: The global healthy snacks market size was estimated at USD 95.61 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 144.64 billion by 2030. Another report shows the global healthy snacks market was valued at USD 107.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 187.7 billion by 2033. North America is a significant market for healthy snacks, with a share of 39.1% in 2023. The U.S. healthy snacks market is projected to reach USD 37.9 billion in 2024.
- Spices and Other Seasonings: The global spices and seasonings market size was valued at USD 21.14 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 32.88 billion by 2034. Another source valued the global seasoning & spices market at USD 21.69 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 34.31 billion by 2030. Asia Pacific dominated the seasoning & spices market with a 78.25% share in 2023. North America also holds a significant market share, with the U.S. market for spices and seasonings projected to reach USD 6.91 billion by 2032.
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The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) is focusing on several key initiatives to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
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Increased Strategic Investments: Kraft Heinz plans a significant incremental investment of approximately $600 million in 2026, primarily directed towards marketing, research and development (R&D), and sales. This investment aims to revitalize brands, improve commercial execution, and enhance product superiority and speed to market.
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Product Innovation and Portfolio Expansion: The company is prioritizing "core and big bet" innovation, focusing on new product introductions, improved product formulations, and packaging superiority. Initiatives include expanding the Lunchables brand into schools nationwide and boosting marketing for newer categories such as frozen snacks and condiments.
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Expansion in Emerging and International Markets: Kraft Heinz has demonstrated success in emerging markets, achieving 13% organic net sales growth in 2025 through distribution expansion, and is seeing positive momentum in Canada and Europe. The company intends to replicate successful strategies from these regions and continue driving growth in international markets.
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Enhanced Commercial Execution and Value Proposition: The company is committed to improving its commercial execution by optimizing pricing and pack architecture to offer a more balanced value equation to consumers. This strategy also involves reallocating promotional spending to activities that yield the highest returns and focusing on value market share.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years) for Kraft Heinz (KHC)
Share Repurchases
- In November 2023, the Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $3 billion of the company's common stock through December 26, 2026.
- Actual share repurchases were approximately $436 million in 2025, $988 million in 2024, and $455 million in 2023.
- The company's share repurchase program also aims to offset the dilutive effect of equity-based compensation.
Share Issuance
- In November 2021, affiliates of 3G Global Food Holdings LP offered approximately 30.60 million shares of common stock for sale, but Kraft Heinz did not receive any proceeds from this secondary offering.
- Net common equity issued/repurchased figures for 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 consistently show negative values, indicating that share repurchases have outweighed any share issuances by the company in these periods.
Outbound Investments
- Kraft Heinz completed the sale of its nuts business, including the Planters brand, to Hormel for $3.35 billion in June 2021, following an announcement in February 2021.
- The company acquired an 85% stake in Germany-based Just Spices GmbH in December 2021.
- In 2021, Kraft Heinz also acquired Assan Foods, a Turkish sauce company, for approximately $100 million, and Hemmer, a Brazilian condiment and sauce company, for an undisclosed amount.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $905 million in 2021, $916 million in 2022, $1.013 billion in 2023, $1.024 billion in 2024, and $801 million in 2025.
- For 2026, Kraft Heinz expects capital spending of approximately $950 million.
- A primary focus for capital expenditures is a $600 million investment to boost organic growth and market share, specifically targeting North American Grocery and key brands like Heinz and Philadelphia Cream Cheese, with increased spending in R&D and marketing.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Kraft Heinz Stock On Fire: Up 6.0% With 6-Day Winning Streak | 04/01/2026 | |
| Kraft Heinz Stock Delivers Strong Cash Yield - Upside Ahead? | 03/20/2026 | |
| Kraft Heinz Earnings Notes | 12/28/2026 | |
| How Low Can Kraft Heinz Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Time To Buy Kraft Heinz Stock? | 09/03/2025 | |
| KHC At Support Zone: Bargain or Bear Trap? | 09/03/2025 | |
| KHC Drops 7.0% in a Day, But Does CALM Offer Better Fundamentals? | 09/03/2025 | |
| Kraft Heinz vs Cal-Maine Foods: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| 6-Day Rally Sends Kraft Heinz Stock Up 6% | 04/01/2026 | |
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 03/24/2026 | |
| Kraft Heinz Stock Delivers Strong Cash Yield – Upside Ahead? | 03/20/2026 | |
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 03/20/2026 | |
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: MRNA, INTC, SNDK | Losers: APP, KHC, ORCL | 01/22/2026 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KHC.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 09302020 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 36.5% | 28.3% | -2.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 20.1 |
| Rev LTM | 14,407 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,063 |
| FCF LTM | 1,237 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,300 |
| CFO LTM | 1,747 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,005 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 20.1 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 6.9 |
| P/E | 11.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.0 |
| Total Yield | 13.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -25.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -30.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -41.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -47.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -106.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 20,126 | ||||
| International Developed Markets | 3,623 | ||||
| Emerging Markets | 2,891 | ||||
| Ambient foods | 3,047 | 2,896 | 2,954 | 2,475 | |
| Cheese and dairy | 3,976 | 4,922 | 5,131 | 4,890 | |
| Coffee | 903 | 847 | 1,062 | 1,271 | |
| Condiments and sauces | 8,241 | 7,302 | 6,813 | 6,406 | |
| Desserts, toppings and baking | 1,195 | 1,157 | 1,121 | 1,032 | |
| Frozen and chilled foods | 2,922 | 2,698 | 2,599 | 2,371 | |
| Infant and nutrition | 411 | 441 | 433 | 512 | |
| Meats and seafood | 2,733 | 2,613 | 2,515 | 2,406 | |
| Nuts and salted snacks | 0 | 464 | 1,047 | 966 | |
| Other | 1,058 | 916 | 855 | 1,144 | |
| Refreshment beverages | 1,999 | 1,786 | 1,655 | 1,504 | |
| Total | 26,640 | 26,485 | 26,042 | 26,185 | 24,977 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 5,050 | ||||
| International Developed Markets | 522 | ||||
| Emerging Markets | 376 | ||||
| Unrealized gains/(losses) on commodity hedges | -1 | ||||
| Certain non-ordinary course legal and regulatory matters | -2 | ||||
| Restructuring activities | -60 | ||||
| General corporate expenses | -651 | ||||
| Impairment losses | -662 | ||||
| Total | 4,572 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $22.79 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 27.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/06/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.22 | $24.51 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.9% | -7.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.3% | 25.8% |
| Downside Capture | -0.02 | 0.25 |
| Upside Capture | -36.74 | 8.66 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -1.7% | 25.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.32 | 0.30 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| Up Beta | -0.86 | 0.40 | -0.89 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| Down Beta | -0.17 | 0.78 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Up Capture | -21% | -11% | -30% | -26% | 5% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 25 | 35 | 68 | 130 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 99% | 25% | 25% | 7% | 54% | 46% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 17 | 28 | 57 | 121 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KHC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHC | -20.2% | 26.0% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 2.3% | 13.8% | -0.07 | 59.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 9.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 4.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 46.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 10.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KHC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHC | -6.3% | 22.1% | -0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.1% | 0.26 | 60.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 20.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 9.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 6.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 2.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KHC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHC | -7.3% | 27.0% | -0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 60.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 38.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 12.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 41.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 6.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | 0.4% | -3.8% | -8.8% |
| 10/29/2025 | -4.5% | -5.3% | 0.3% |
| 7/30/2025 | -0.2% | -5.3% | -2.3% |
| 4/29/2025 | 0.2% | -0.8% | -7.9% |
| 2/12/2025 | -3.2% | 0.7% | 3.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | -3.1% | -3.7% | -8.2% |
| 7/31/2024 | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% |
| 5/1/2024 | -6.0% | -7.3% | -10.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -3.8% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.0% | -7.3% | -10.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Organic Net Sales Growth | -3.5% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -23.1% | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: -3.25% for 2025 |
| 2026 Constant Currency Adjusted Operating Income Growth | -18.0% | -16.0% | -14.0% | 45.4% | -5.0% | Lowered | Guidance: -11.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted Gross Profit Margin Change | -0.75% | -0.5% | -0.25% | -50.0% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: -1.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 1.98 | 2.04 | 2.1 | -19.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.54 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow Conversion | 1 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 1 for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Organic Net Sales Growth | -3.5% | -3.25% | -3.0% | 30.0% | Lowered | Guidance: -2.5% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Constant Currency Adjusted Operating Income Growth | -12.0% | -11.0% | -10.0% | 46.7% | Lowered | Guidance: -7.5% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Gross Profit Margin Change | -1.0% | Lower New | |||||
| 2025 Adjusted EPS | 2.5 | 2.54 | 2.57 | -2.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.59 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Interest Expense | 950.00 Mil | -1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 960.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Other Expense/(Income) | -250.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2025 Free Cash Flow Conversion | 1 | 5.3% | Raised | Guidance: 0.95 for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patricio, Miguel | Executive Chair | trust | Sell | 12192025 | 24.82 | 125,000 | 3,102,412 | 17,046,317 | Form |
| 2 | Patricio, Miguel | Executive Chair | trust | Sell | 12192025 | 24.84 | 125,000 | 3,104,575 | 13,953,624 | Form |
| 3 | Sceti, Elio Leoni | See Footnote | Sell | 7222025 | 27.91 | 25,000 | 697,772 | 1,116,436 | Form | |
| 4 | Sceti, Elio Leoni | See Footnote | Sell | 6202025 | 25.91 | 25,000 | 647,705 | 1,684,033 | Form | |
| 5 | Onell, Cory | Chief Omnich Sales & AEM Ofcr | Direct | Sell | 3042025 | 30.68 | 10,387 | 318,703 | 4,718,907 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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