Gladstone Commercial (GOOD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.86 | Market Cap: $509.1 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
Gladstone Commercial (GOOD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.86
Market Cap: $509.1 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% | ||
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GOOD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting potential reasons for Gladstone Commercial's (GOOD) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments: Analysts maintained a cautious stance on Gladstone Commercial during this period, with some issuing "Neutral" or "Reduce" ratings. For instance, on November 24, 2025, B. Riley Securities reiterated a Neutral rating and lowered its price target for GOOD from $12.00 to $11.00, reflecting an 8.33% decrease from the previous target. This downward revision in price targets by analysts can negatively influence investor confidence and contribute to a stock's decline.
2. Bearish Technical Indicators and Negative Price Trends: As of December 1, 2025, Gladstone Commercial's overall moving average trend was identified as bearish, with multiple negative signals indicating a strong bearish trend in the mid-term. The stock price also experienced a decline in seven of the last ten trading days leading up to December 1, 2025, resulting in a 2.14% drop during that short period. This technical weakness and recent downward momentum could have contributed to a larger overall decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GOOD Return | -10% | 54% | -23% | -22% | 33% | -28% | -19% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 52% | -15% | 4% | 14% | -1% | 36% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GOOD Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 67% | 42% | 48% | 60% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GOOD Max Drawdown | -64% | -2% | -38% | -40% | -8% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -25% | -16% | -11% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GOOD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 447 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 561 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 244.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1493 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT
In The Past
Gladstone Commercial's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GOOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gladstone Commercial
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 187 |
| Op Inc LTM | 63 |
| FCF LTM | 88 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 66 |
| CFO LTM | 93 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 77 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 35.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 58.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 49.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 58.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 49.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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