First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.91 | Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs
First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.91
Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Industrial REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8% | |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% | |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceed Expectations
First Industrial Realty Trust reported its earnings results around October 15, 2025, announcing earnings per share (EPS) of $0.76 for the quarter, which surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.74. While revenue of $181.43 million was slightly below analysts' expectations, it still represented an 8.2% increase compared to the same quarter in the previous year. This stronger-than-expected earnings performance could positively influence investor sentiment.
2. Favorable Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments
During the approximate period, several analyst firms updated their coverage on First Industrial Realty Trust. For example, in October and November 2025, some brokerages increased their price targets for FR and maintained or issued "outperform" or "overweight" ratings. This positive outlook from analysts, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance, can contribute to stock appreciation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FR Return | 4% | 60% | -25% | 12% | -2% | 16% | 58% |
| Peers Return | -6% | 26% | -9% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FR Win Rate | 67% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 63% | 40% | 60% | 53% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FR Max Drawdown | -35% | -4% | -33% | -14% | -13% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -11% | -25% | -10% | -13% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OHI, EGP, BRX, NNN, COLD. See FR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 367 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2492.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4431 days | 1480 days |
Compare to OHI, EGP, BRX, NNN, COLD
In The Past
First Industrial Realty Trust's stock fell -38.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.9% loss requires a 63.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.2% | 8.9% | -2.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.2% | 8.9% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for First Industrial Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,028 |
| Op Inc LTM | 391 |
| FCF LTM | 552 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 505 |
| CFO LTM | 552 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 505 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 41.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 40.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 62.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 59.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 62.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 59.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| P/S | 9.2 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 24.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10172025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7172025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4172025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10182024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7182024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4212023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.