Tearsheet

Shift4 Payments (FOUR)


Market Price (2/21/2026): $58.75 | Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Shift4 Payments (FOUR)


Market Price (2/21/2026): $58.75
Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 82%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
  Key risks
FOUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to cyclical consumer spending due to its concentration in the hospitality and entertainment verticals, Show more.
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 82%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
9 Key risks
FOUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to cyclical consumer spending due to its concentration in the hospitality and entertainment verticals, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) stock has lost about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Multiple analyst downgrades and significant price target reductions occurred between November 2025 and January 2026. Deutsche Bank downgraded Shift4 Payments (FOUR) from "buy" to "hold" on January 15, 2026, lowering its price target from $100.00 to $65.00. Royal Bank of Canada cut its price objective from $127.00 to $96.00 on November 7, 2025. Oppenheimer reduced its price objective from $112.00 to $98.00 on January 12, 2026, and Goldman Sachs Group cut its price objective from $95.00 to $83.00 on November 7, 2025. These revisions often cited concerns regarding the company's long-term organic expansion viability and increasing complexity.

2. The company slightly missed Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates and subsequently lowered its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance. Shift4 Payments reported strong revenue growth of 61.4% year-over-year in Q3 2025 but did not meet EPS expectations. Following this, the company lowered its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance by $25 million. These financial performance indicators and revised outlook contributed to investor apprehension.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.4% change in FOUR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)69.1058.49-15.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6113,8787.4%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%5.0%-17.8%
P/E Multiple21.220.6-3.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6869-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution-15.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-15.4% 
Market (SPY)1.1%48.9%
Sector (XLF)0.2%50.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -43.2% change in FOUR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)103.0058.49-43.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,4723,87811.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.5%5.0%-22.7%
P/E Multiple31.620.6-34.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)69690.9%
Cumulative Contribution-43.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-43.2% 
Market (SPY)9.4%40.2%
Sector (XLF)0.6%40.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -51.2% change in FOUR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)119.8558.49-51.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1493,87823.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.0%5.0%24.2%
P/E Multiple64.420.6-68.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6869-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-51.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-51.2% 
Market (SPY)15.6%50.8%
Sector (XLF)3.0%51.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.7% change in FOUR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -78.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232202026Change
Stock Price ($)64.0458.49-8.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,8553,878109.0%
Net Income Margin (%)2.0%5.0%155.3%
P/E Multiple96.820.6-78.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5569-19.6%
Cumulative Contribution-8.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-8.7% 
Market (SPY)75.9%48.0%
Sector (XLF)50.1%47.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FOUR Return-23%-3%33%40%-39%-7%-22%
Peers Return-33%-47%11%27%-20%-19%-68%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%0%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FOUR Win Rate42%50%58%58%50%0% 
Peers Win Rate43%35%53%55%48%10% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FOUR Max Drawdown-35%-47%-22%-22%-39%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-55%-20%-18%-32%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TOST, GPN, FIS, LSPD, PYPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFOURS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven232.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven879 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-21.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven17 days148 days

Compare to TOST, GPN, FIS, LSPD, PYPL

In The Past

Shift4 Payments's stock fell -70.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -70.0% loss requires a 232.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides integrated payment processing and technology solutions in the United States. It provides omni-channel card acceptance and processing solutions, including credit, debit, contactless card, Europay, Mastercard and visa, QR Pay, and mobile wallets, as well as alternative payment methods; merchant acquiring; proprietary omni-channel gateway; complementary software integrations; integrated and mobile point-of-sale (POS) solutions; security and risk management solutions; reporting and analytical tools; and web-store design, hosting, shopping cart management, and fulfillment integration, as well as tokenization, payment device and chargeback management, fraud prevention, and gift card solutions. The company also offers VenueNext that provides mobile ordering, countertop POS, and self-service kiosk services, as well as digital wallet to facilitate food and beverage, merchandise, and loyalty for stadium and entertainment venues; and Shift4Shop, which offers eCommerce solutions, including website builder, shopping cart, product catalog, order management, marketing, search engine optimization, secure hosting, and mobile webstores. In addition, it provides Lighthouse, a cloud-based business intelligence tool that includes customer engagement, social media management, online reputation management, scheduling, and product pricing, as well as reporting and analytics; SkyTab, a hybrid-cloud-based integrated POS solution; SkyTab Mobile, a mobile payment solution; and marketplace technology for integrations into third-party applications. Further, the company offers merchant management, training and education, marketing management, and incentives tracking solutions. Additionally, it provides merchant underwriting, onboarding and activation, training, risk management, and support services; and software integrations and compliance management, and partner support and services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Shift4 Payments (FOUR):

  • Shift4 is like Square, but focused on larger businesses like hotels, restaurants, and stadiums, providing integrated payment processing and business management solutions.
  • Shift4 is like Toast, but for a wider range of large hospitality and entertainment venues beyond just restaurants, including hotels, casinos, and theme parks.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Payment Processing Services: Facilitates the acceptance, authorization, and settlement of credit and debit card transactions for merchants.
  • Point-of-Sale (POS) Systems: Provides integrated hardware and software solutions, such as SkyTab, for managing sales transactions and business operations.
  • Payment Gateway Solutions: Offers secure connectivity and APIs for businesses to link their systems to various payment networks and process transactions online.
  • Integrated Payment Solutions for ISVs: Enables independent software vendors (ISVs) to embed payment processing capabilities directly into their applications and platforms.
  • Business Intelligence & Analytics: Delivers data insights and reporting tools to help merchants analyze their transaction data and optimize business performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) primarily sells its payment processing and technology solutions to other businesses (merchants) across a wide range of industries. Due to the nature of the payment processing industry, which typically involves a vast number of individual merchant relationships, Shift4 does not publicly disclose a short list of "major customer companies" that would constitute a significant portion of its revenue. Furthermore, these customers are often individual properties, franchises, or privately held businesses rather than a few large, publicly traded entities that would have a stock symbol.

Instead, Shift4 serves a broad and diverse merchant base within key verticals. The major categories of businesses that Shift4 serves include:

  • Hospitality Businesses: This segment includes a wide array of hotels, resorts, restaurants, bars, and independent hospitality venues. Shift4 often processes payments for properties operating under major hotel brands (e.g., Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt, though these are typically individual properties/franchisees) as well as numerous independent restaurants and large casino operators.
  • Sports & Entertainment Venues: Shift4 is a prominent payment processor for major sports stadiums (serving various NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL teams), concert arenas, theme parks, and other entertainment complexes. They handle transactions for concessions, merchandise, and ticketing at these high-volume locations.
  • Retail & E-commerce Businesses: Shift4 also caters to a broad base of brick-and-mortar retail stores, ranging from small businesses to larger chains, as well as online businesses that require comprehensive e-commerce payment solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Visa Inc. (V)
  • Mastercard Incorporated (MA)
  • American Express Company (AXP)
  • Discover Financial Services (DFS)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Jared Isaacman, Executive Chairman (Founder and former CEO)

Jared Isaacman founded Shift4 Payments (originally United Bank Card) in 1999 at the age of 16 and has served as CEO since its inception until recently becoming Executive Chairman. Under his leadership, the company grew into a publicly traded enterprise, processing over $200 billion in payments annually by 2020. In 2012, Isaacman co-founded Draken International, a defense aerospace company providing adversary training, which he later sold a majority stake in to Blackstone, a Wall Street firm, in 2019 for a nine-figure sum.

Taylor Lauber, CEO

Taylor Lauber assumed the role of CEO in February 2022 and has a tenure of 3.75 years. He previously held the President role for nearly seven years, starting in 2018. He also served as Chief Strategy Officer.

Christopher N. Cruz, Chief Financial Officer

Christopher N. Cruz was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Shift4 Payments effective September 1, 2025. Prior to this role, he was a member of Shift4's board of directors since the company went public in 2020. His background includes experience in investing, having served as a partner at the investment management firm Searchlight Capital and as a member of the investment team at Oaktree Capital Management.

Michael Isaacman, Chief Commercial Officer

Michael Isaacman serves as the Chief Commercial Officer at Shift4 Payments.

Doug Demko, Chief Operating Officer

Doug Demko is the Chief Operating Officer of Shift4 Payments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Shift4 Payments' business include its significant exposure to cyclical consumer spending, intense competition in the payments industry, and risks associated with its acquisition-led growth strategy.

  1. Exposure to Cyclical Consumer Discretionary Spending and Economic Uncertainty: Shift4 Payments' business is heavily concentrated in verticals such as hospitality, entertainment, and retail. These sectors are highly sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, making the company vulnerable to economic downturns, reduced consumer confidence, or decreases in disposable income. A decline in consumer spending directly impacts transaction volumes, which in turn can reduce Shift4's revenue and profitability.
  2. Intense Competition in the Payments Industry: The payments processing and technology industry is characterized by substantial and increasing competition. Shift4 faces ongoing challenges from numerous competitors, including larger, diversified peers, and other payments providers who may try to undercut pricing or offer improved products. This competitive pressure could affect Shift4's ability to retain existing customers, attract new merchants, and maintain its market position and growth prospects.
  3. Acquisition-Led Growth Strategy and Integration Risks: Shift4 has pursued a strategy of growth through significant acquisitions to expand its market share, capabilities, and geographic footprint. While this strategy offers opportunities, it also presents substantial integration risks. These risks include potential delays or failures in completing transactions, challenges in integrating acquired companies' operations, technologies, and personnel, navigating regulatory complexities in new markets, and the potential inability to realize anticipated synergies. Poor execution or integration could lead to operational inefficiencies, a loss of value, and strain on Shift4's financial resources, potentially limiting its ability to invest in other growth initiatives.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence and growing adoption of Account-to-Account (A2A) payments, facilitated by Open Banking initiatives and real-time payment networks like FedNow in the United States, represent a clear emerging threat to Shift4 Payments.

Traditionally, payment processors like Shift4 derive substantial revenue from fees associated with processing card-based transactions (Visa, Mastercard, etc.). A2A payments allow funds to move directly from a customer's bank account to a merchant's bank account, often bypassing card networks and their associated interchange and scheme fees. This can significantly lower transaction costs for merchants, making it an attractive alternative.

Evidence for this threat includes the increasing regulatory push for Open Banking globally (e.g., PSD2 in Europe), the rollout and increasing adoption of real-time gross settlement (RTGS) systems like FedNow in the US, and the proliferation of fintech companies specializing in direct bank transfers for payments. If A2A payments gain significant market share, it could erode Shift4's traditional card-processing volumes, put downward pressure on processing margins, and necessitate substantial investment by Shift4 to adapt its platforms and business model to support these lower-margin payment rails, similar to how Netflix's streaming model disrupted Blockbuster's DVD rental business by offering a fundamentally different (and ultimately cheaper/more convenient) method of content delivery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (NYSE: FOUR) addresses significant markets with its main products and services. The company's addressable market has expanded considerably due to strategic acquisitions and international growth.

  • The primary addressable market for Shift4 Payments was historically the $800 billion U.S. hospitality/retail market.
  • With international expansion, particularly through the acquisition of Global Blue, Shift4's addressable market is projected to expand to a $1.4+ trillion global opportunity. This expanded market includes new verticals and geographies, such as luxury retail and tourism, especially across Europe and other international regions.

Shift4's main products, such as SkyTab for restaurants, hospitality, and venues, and its Unified Commerce payment infrastructure software, contribute to penetrating these markets. The acquisition of Global Blue specifically targets tax-free shopping and currency conversion, accelerating Shift4's expansion in Europe and providing access to luxury retail clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (NYSE: FOUR) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic acquisitions, international expansion, sustained customer acquisition, and the continued development and cross-selling of its integrated payment solutions. Here are the key expected drivers: * Strategic Acquisitions and Integrations: Shift4 Payments has demonstrated a clear strategy of bolstering its market position and revenue through significant acquisitions. The acquisition of Global Blue Group Holding AG is expected to contribute substantially to revenue, with an anticipated additional $305 million to revenue and $125 million to EBITDA, significantly enhancing financial performance. Furthermore, the upcoming acquisition of Bambora (Worldline North America), described as a "$90 billion payment gateway," is also a key component of this growth strategy. These acquisitions aim to expand Shift4's customer base and geographic footprint. The acquisition of Givex in Q3 2024 also contributed to growth. * International Expansion: A significant portion of Shift4's future revenue growth is expected to come from its accelerated internationalization efforts, particularly within Europe. The company aims to leverage the Global Blue acquisition to expand its global footprint, connecting over 400,000 stores worldwide with 15 million shoppers. International business already accounts for 20% of revenues, predominantly from Europe, with 30% of new merchants signed in Q4 2024 originating from Europe. * Customer Acquisition and Payments Cross-Sell: Shift4 is focused on increasing its customer base, particularly by shifting towards larger enterprise accounts in sectors like hospitality, sports, entertainment, and global e-commerce. A core part of the strategy involves winning new customers and a strong emphasis on cross-selling its comprehensive payment solutions to existing and newly acquired software customers, leading to a higher average revenue per merchant and increased customer lifetime value. The company's pipeline and strategic acquisitions are expected to drive continued growth and market leadership by expanding its merchant payments. * New Verticals, Product Innovation, and Value-Added Services: The company is investing in and expanding into new verticals and continually developing value-added services and new products. This includes enhancing its "Unified Commerce" platform and offerings like SkyTab. Shift4 reported increased contributions from new verticals and geographies in Q3 2025, offsetting some softening in established sectors. This diversification and product enhancement are crucial for maintaining its competitive edge and driving sustained growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Shift4's board authorized a new $1 billion stock repurchase program, marking it as the largest in the company's history.
  • In May 2025, Shift4 Payments launched a $500 million share buyback program, supported by a $3.3 billion capital raise.
  • During Q2 2025, the company repurchased $85 million in shares at a price of $74 per share.

Share Issuance

  • A $3.3 billion capital raise was completed in May 2025, which included $1.0 billion in mandatory convertible preferred equity.
  • The capital raised was intended to fund the acquisition of Global Blue and facilitate the repurchase of outstanding senior notes.
  • Shift4 Payments, Inc. received $1,000.0 million from the issuance of Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, in exchange for 10,000,000 units of Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Mirror Units from Shift4 Payments, LLC.

Outbound Investments

  • Shift4 acquired Global Blue for $2.5 billion.
  • The company made an acquisition of SmartPay.
  • Shift4 announced the upcoming acquisition of Bambora (Worldline North America), described as a "$90 billion payment gateway."

Capital Expenditures

  • Shift4 Payments' capital expenditures demonstrated an increasing trend, growing from $383.8 million in 2020 to $2.26 billion in 2024.
  • For the twelve months ending June 30, 2025, capital expenditures totaled $2.147 billion.
  • Projected capital expenditures are estimated at $93.25 million for 2025, increasing to $117 million in 2026 and $133 million in 2027.

Better Bets vs. Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to FOUR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FDS_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026FDSFactSet Research SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-19.1%-23.8%
PFSI_1302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01302026PFSIPennyMac Financial ServicesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-7.6%-9.2%
FIS_1232026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01232026FISFidelity National Information ServicesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.6%-22.6%-22.6%
MORN_1022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01022026MORNMorningstarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-23.9%-23.9%-26.8%
ABR_1022026_Short_Squeeze01022026ABRArbor Realty TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-2.9%-2.9%-6.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Mkt Price58.4927.0782.4749.139.3541.6545.39
Mkt Cap4.015.819.825.61.338.817.8
Rev LTM3,8785,85810,68010,4641,19033,1728,161
Op Inc LTM3022472,1111,742-1366,3961,022
FCF LTM2995642,8661,77975,5641,172
FCF 3Y Avg2802672,232786-645,517533
CFO LTM5416143,5002,632576,4161,623
CFO 3Y Avg4653142,8771,642-356,2361,054

Growth & Margins

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Rev Chg LTM23.2%25.8%21.0%4.2%12.9%4.3%17.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.9%33.6%6.8%6.2%19.9%6.4%13.3%
Rev Chg Q29.4%25.1%0.5%5.7%11.5%3.7%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.4%5.9%0.1%1.4%2.8%0.9%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.8%4.2%19.8%16.6%-11.5%19.3%12.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.8%-1.9%19.8%16.1%-16.1%18.0%11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.7%-0.1%-0.6%-0.6%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM14.0%10.5%32.8%25.2%4.8%19.3%16.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%5.9%29.7%16.0%-4.3%19.7%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM7.7%9.6%26.8%17.0%0.6%16.8%13.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%4.9%23.0%7.5%-7.0%17.4%8.4%

Valuation

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Mkt Cap4.015.819.825.61.338.817.8
P/S1.02.71.92.41.11.21.5
P/EBIT9.864.16.915.2-1.95.88.4
P/E20.658.011.3168.4-1.97.415.9
P/CFO7.425.85.79.722.86.18.6
Total Yield4.9%1.7%10.1%3.8%-53.4%13.5%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%3.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%1.3%9.4%2.0%-2.2%8.2%3.8%
D/E1.20.00.80.50.00.30.4
Net D/E0.8-0.10.70.5-0.4-0.00.2

Returns

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
1M Rtn-8.6%-18.3%12.4%-18.9%-15.3%-25.5%-16.8%
3M Rtn-15.2%-20.3%12.6%-22.8%-14.4%-31.2%-17.8%
6M Rtn-35.8%-38.5%-7.8%-30.7%-23.7%-40.3%-33.3%
12M Rtn-40.9%-32.8%-21.0%-28.1%-30.4%-46.2%-31.6%
3Y Rtn1.6%38.6%-24.9%-20.9%-39.7%-44.5%-22.9%
1M Excs Rtn-9.1%-18.8%11.9%-19.4%-15.8%-26.0%-17.3%
3M Excs Rtn-16.0%-24.2%10.4%-26.1%-21.9%-35.8%-23.0%
6M Excs Rtn-43.4%-44.2%-11.3%-36.8%-26.7%-46.7%-40.1%
12M Excs Rtn-56.1%-44.7%-34.1%-40.1%-43.7%-59.2%-44.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.2%-59.2%-93.9%-88.8%-112.5%-113.0%-91.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment2,565    
Payments-based revenue 1,8571,258684644
Subscription and other revenues 1361108388
Total2,5651,9941,368767731


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$58.49 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.0 
First Trading Date06/05/2020 
Distance from 52W High-45.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$62.81$80.18
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-6.9%-27.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.1%45.7%
Downside Capture232.95164.62
Upside Capture79.5789.13
Correlation (SPY)45.7%54.9%
FOUR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.591.471.681.501.271.48
Up Beta4.574.333.732.341.431.50
Down Beta1.280.930.461.091.261.49
Up Capture20%-7%112%36%48%221%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days8152552117375
Down Capture200%243%202%210%129%110%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12263673133375

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR-46.3%45.7%-1.23-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.6%19.4%-0.0456.6%
Equity (SPY)13.5%19.4%0.5355.9%
Gold (GLD)74.5%25.6%2.15-3.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%16.9%0.2516.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.7%0.2440.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.6%44.9%-0.6821.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR-7.2%55.2%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.6%18.7%0.5444.8%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6252.1%
Gold (GLD)22.6%17.1%1.085.3%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.4612.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1741.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%57.1%0.3522.6%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR5.2%56.2%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.7%22.2%0.6142.6%
Equity (SPY)16.1%17.9%0.7750.2%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.794.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4013.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.0%20.7%0.3039.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.7%1.0721.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-4.4%
Average Daily Volume1.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity68.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares21.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-0.5%9.0%-0.6%
4/29/202512.8%3.7%13.8%
2/18/2025-17.5%-23.2%-29.8%
11/12/2024-5.5%-4.1%-3.0%
8/8/202411.3%26.2%19.2%
5/9/20244.0%22.9%23.5%
2/27/20245.6%11.3%-7.3%
11/8/202313.9%33.1%37.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121311
# Negative657
Median Positive10.0%19.1%20.9%
Median Negative-6.3%-4.1%-7.3%
Max Positive16.1%33.1%37.8%
Max Negative-17.5%-24.3%-29.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202103/01/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Disman, Nancy DirectSell1215202569.505,000347,5009,064,190Form
2Lauber, David TaylorChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1215202569.0012,000828,03118,878,280Form
3Whalen, James JSee RemarksDirectSell1114202571.501,438102,8173,913,624Form
4Disman, NancyChief Financial OfficerDirectSell917202587.285,000436,40411,819,566Form
5Lauber, David TaylorChief Executive OfficerDirectSell905202588.592,500221,47525,300,241Form