Tearsheet

Flowers Foods (FLO)


Market Price (2/26/2026): $9.7 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Flowers Foods (FLO)


Market Price (2/26/2026): $9.7
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Key risks
FLO key risks include [1] shrinking demand and pricing pressure for its core traditional bread products due to shifting consumer preferences and [2] potential disruption and litigation related to its independent distributorship model.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Vegan Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Vegan Products, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103%
7 Key risks
FLO key risks include [1] shrinking demand and pricing pressure for its core traditional bread products due to shifting consumer preferences and [2] potential disruption and litigation related to its independent distributorship model.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Flowers Foods (FLO) stock has lost about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Flowers Foods issued a disappointing fiscal year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $0.80 to $0.90, falling significantly short of the analyst consensus of approximately $0.97 to $0.99. This negative outlook for the upcoming fiscal year, announced on February 12, 2026, was a primary catalyst for the stock's decline and triggered analyst downgrades. The company also projected fiscal 2026 net sales of approximately $5.163 billion to $5.267 billion, representing a potential year-over-year change ranging from a 1.8% decline to a 0.2% increase.

2. The company reported a substantial non-cash impairment of intangible assets totaling $136.0 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. This charge directly resulted in a net loss of $67.1 million, or $0.32 diluted loss per share, for the quarter ended January 3, 2026, compared to a net income of $43.1 million in the prior-year period. The impairment also led to a significant 66.2% decrease in full fiscal year 2025 net income to $83.8 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.2% change in FLO stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252252026Change
Stock Price ($)11.669.65-17.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0995,1350.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%3.8%-12.2%
P/E Multiple11.210.5-6.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2112110.0%
Cumulative Contribution-17.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-17.2% 
Market (SPY)1.6%0.3%
Sector (XLP)16.7%50.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.6% change in FLO stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252252026Change
Stock Price ($)15.239.65-36.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0815,1351.1%
Net Income Margin (%)4.5%3.8%-15.8%
P/E Multiple14.110.5-25.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)211211-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-36.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-36.6% 
Market (SPY)10.0%3.4%
Sector (XLP)12.3%50.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -47.2% change in FLO stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252252026Change
Stock Price ($)18.279.65-47.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,1215,1350.3%
Net Income Margin (%)4.7%3.8%-19.6%
P/E Multiple16.010.5-34.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)211211-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-47.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-47.2% 
Market (SPY)16.2%16.7%
Sector (XLP)14.9%55.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -59.6% change in FLO stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -54.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232252026Change
Stock Price ($)23.899.65-59.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,7075,1359.1%
Net Income Margin (%)4.7%3.8%-18.8%
P/E Multiple23.110.5-54.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2122110.3%
Cumulative Contribution-59.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-59.6% 
Market (SPY)76.9%14.9%
Sector (XLP)29.8%52.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FLO Return26%8%-19%-4%-44%-8%-45%
Peers Return9%22%-13%-8%-20%6%-10%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLO Win Rate75%50%33%58%17%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%62%40%48%35%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLO Max Drawdown-4%-11%-27%-6%-47%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-12%-23%-12%-26%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SJM, CPB, GIS, MDLZ, THS. See FLO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFLOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-36.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven803 days1,480 days

Compare to SJM, CPB, GIS, MDLZ, THS

In The Past

Flowers Foods's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/5/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery products in the United States. It offers fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack cakes, and tortillas, as well as frozen breads and rolls under the Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake brand names. The company distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates 46 bakeries comprising 44 owned and two leased. Its customers include mass merchandisers, supermarkets and other retailers, convenience stores, national and regional restaurants, quick-serve chains, retail in-store bakeries, foodservice distributors, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Flowers Foods (FLO):

  • The Kellogg Company of the bakery aisle.
  • The PepsiCo of the baked goods world.
  • The Campbell Soup Company for fresh and packaged baked goods.

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  • Breads: Offers a wide variety of packaged fresh breads, including white, wheat, and specialty loaves.
  • Buns and Rolls: Provides an assortment of fresh buns and rolls, such as hamburger buns, hot dog buns, and dinner rolls.
  • Snack Cakes: Produces individually packaged snack cakes, pastries, and sweet goods under various brands.
  • Donuts: Manufactures and distributes a range of packaged donuts, including yeast and cake varieties.
  • Gluten-Free Baked Goods: Offers a line of gluten-free breads and other bakery items for dietary needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Flowers Foods (Symbol: FLO) primarily sells its bakery products (such as Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder Bread, and Tastykake) to **other companies**, specifically retailers and foodservice distributors, rather than directly to individual consumers.

According to Flowers Foods' public filings, including their most recent 10-K report, no single customer accounted for 10% or more of their consolidated net sales in fiscal 2023, 2022, or 2021. This indicates a diversified customer base within the retail and foodservice sectors. Therefore, while no single company is an individually "major" customer in terms of revenue concentration, their products are sold through the following major categories of customers:

  • Grocery Chains and Supermarkets: These are the primary retail outlets for Flowers Foods' packaged bakery goods.
    • Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)
    • The Kroger Co. (Symbol: KR)
    • Albertsons Companies, Inc. (Symbol: ACI)
    • Ahold Delhaize (ADR Symbol: ADRNY) - operates banners like Food Lion, Stop & Shop, and Giant
    • Publix Super Markets, Inc. (private company)
  • Mass Merchandisers: Large retail stores that offer a broad range of products, including groceries.
    • Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)
    • Target Corporation (Symbol: TGT)
  • Club Stores: Membership-based warehouse retailers.
    • Costco Wholesale Corporation (Symbol: COST)
    • BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: BJ)
    • Sam's Club (a division of Walmart Inc.)
  • Convenience Stores: Smaller retail outlets primarily for quick purchases.
    • 7-Eleven, Inc. (part of Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. - TYO: 3382)
    • Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (Symbol: ATD.TO) - operates Circle K
  • Foodservice Distributors: Companies that supply food and related products to restaurants, institutions, and other commercial food operations.
    • Sysco Corporation (Symbol: SYY)
    • US Foods Holding Corp. (Symbol: USFD)

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A. Ryals McMullian, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

A. Ryals McMullian was elected Chief Executive Officer of Flowers Foods in 2019 and Chairman in 2023. He joined the company in 2003 and has held several leadership positions, including Chief Operating Officer, Chief Strategy Officer, Vice President of Mergers and Acquisitions, and Deputy General Counsel. Mr. McMullian has driven strategies focused on brand growth, cost management, expansion into new product areas through mergers and acquisitions, and talent development. He has also led initiatives to standardize and centralize corporate processes, which have generated over $80 million in gross savings since 2016. He holds an MBA, a Juris Doctorate, and a bachelor's degree in finance and real estate from Florida State University.

R. Steve Kinsey, Chief Financial Officer

Steve Kinsey serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Flowers Foods, a role he has held since 2007. In this position, he is responsible for the company's financial strategy, overseeing treasury, investor relations, accounting, tax, internal audit, risk, procurement, and information technology. Mr. Kinsey joined Flowers in 1989 and previously held roles such as Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President and Corporate Controller, Controller, and Director of Tax. Before joining Flowers, he worked for the global accounting firm Deloitte. He holds a bachelor's degree in accounting from Florida State University and is a Certified Public Accountant.

Heeth Varnedoe, President and Chief Operating Officer

Heeth Varnedoe was named Chief Operating Officer in 2022 and President in 2023. He oversees Flowers' operations, including the company's supply chain and field sales execution. Mr. Varnedoe joined Flowers in 1990 and has held various leadership roles, including senior vice president of DSD Regions/Sales and president of bakeries in Jacksonville, Fla., and Phoenix, Ariz. He holds a bachelor's degree in business administration and history from Presbyterian College.

David M. Roach, Chief Strategic Projects Officer

David Roach was appointed Chief Strategic Projects Officer in 2022, a newly created role where he leads various strategic projects for the company. Prior to this, he served as president of cake operations, responsible for driving operational efficiencies and profitability for the snack business. With over 30 years at Flowers, Mr. Roach has held numerous sales and leadership positions, including president of the snacking/specialty business unit, senior vice president of organics, and president of the Villa Rica, Ga., and Nashville, Tenn., bakeries. He began his career in route sales in Atlanta. Mr. Roach holds a bachelor's degree in business administration with a marketing major from Georgia Southwestern State University.

Stephanie B. Tillman, Chief Legal Counsel

Stephanie B. Tillman was appointed Chief Legal Counsel and Corporate Secretary in 2020. In this role, she is responsible for the company's legal, corporate governance, compliance, and governmental affairs. Ms. Tillman joined Flowers in 1995 as a corporate attorney and has served in several legal leadership capacities, including vice president, chief compliance officer and deputy general counsel.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Flowers Foods (FLO) primarily revolve around the evolving bakery market, operational challenges, and its distribution model.

  1. Shrinking Demand for Traditional Bread and Shifting Consumer Preferences: Flowers Foods faces significant headwinds from a declining demand for traditional loaf bread, coupled with a broader shift in consumer preferences towards healthier, premium, and private-label alternatives. This trend has led to volume and pricing pressure in its core business and has negatively impacted sales and profitability. The company's recent acquisitions, like Simple Mills, are strategic moves to pivot towards higher-margin, "better-for-you" segments to counter these shifts.
  2. Operational Costs and Margin Pressure: The company is contending with increasing operational costs, including higher expenses for labor, rent, and outside product purchases. Inflationary pressures, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages in some bakeries further exacerbate these cost challenges. These factors have contributed to contracted gross and operating margins, impacting net income and overall profitability.
  3. Risks Associated with the Independent Distributorship Model: Flowers Foods operates an independent distributorship model, and any disruption in this system or a negative change in its relationship with independent distributor partners could adversely affect its financial condition and cash flows. The company has also been in the process of converting its independent distributor model in California to an employment model due to litigation, which could have material effects.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Flowers Foods' main products and services in the U.S. are substantial, covering various segments of the bakery industry.

Overall Bakery Products Market

  • The United States bakery products market was valued at approximately $78.96 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $86.93 billion by 2029, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.62% during the forecast period. Other estimates indicate the U.S. bakery market was valued at $75 billion based on a comprehensive analysis over the past five years.

Packaged Bread (including bread, buns, and rolls)

  • The U.S. packaged bread market generated a revenue of approximately $39.81 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach about $44.65 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 1.9% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate for the U.S. packaged bread market in 2023 was $35 billion, with a projected CAGR of 2% over the forecast period.

Snack Cakes

  • U.S. snack cake dollar sales reached approximately $2.12 billion over the 52 weeks ending May 18, 2025. The North American snack cakes market was valued at $2.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to rise to $2.6 billion by 2035.

Specialty Bakery (including organic and gluten-free)

  • The U.S. Specialty Bakery Market is projected to grow from $6.27 billion in 2024 to an estimated $9.02 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.65% from 2025 to 2032. Flowers Foods has brands like Dave's Killer Bread (organic) and Canyon Bakehouse (gluten-free) within this category.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Flowers Foods (FLO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Innovation and New Product Launches: The company is heavily focused on innovation, with plans to launch new product lines in the snacking and bread categories soon. New product innovations, such as Nature's Own Keto bread and Dave's Killer Bread organic snack bites, have already contributed to growth. Flowers Foods is also redefining traditional loaf products by incorporating value and "better-for-you" attributes to align with evolving consumer preferences.
  2. Strategic Portfolio Transformation and Differentiation: Flowers Foods is strategically aligning its product portfolio with changing consumer demand, specifically shifting towards "better-for-you," premium, and value-oriented bakery segments. This approach involves effectively targeting growth areas with differentiated offerings, which has shown positive results despite pressures in the broader bread category. Strong performance from brands like Dave's Killer Bread, Canyon Bakehouse, and Wonder cake extensions continues to support this strategy.
  3. Contribution from Acquisitions: Recent acquisitions, such as Simple Mills, are expected to continue contributing to net sales growth. The integration of Simple Mills is reportedly progressing well, with management noting promising future prospects and areas of opportunity in customer engagement and procurement.
  4. Normalization of Category Demand and Consumer Trade-Up: Management anticipates a normalization in category demand as economic conditions improve. They expect that a strengthening economy will lead lower-end consumers to trade up from value-oriented products to more differentiated branded products like Nature's Own and Wonder, which should also boost higher-margin premium products.
  5. Targeted Investments in Throughput and Efficiency: Flowers Foods is making targeted capital investments aimed at increasing throughput and operational efficiency. While primarily a margin-focused initiative, improved efficiency can support higher production volumes and sales capacity over time, thereby indirectly contributing to revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Flowers Foods increased its share repurchase authorization by 20.0 million shares on May 26, 2022, bringing the total authorized capacity to 25.4 million shares.
  • As of December 30, 2023, the company had repurchased 72.0 million shares for $733.3 million since the inception of its share repurchase plan, with 22.5 million shares remaining available for repurchase.
  • In fiscal 2024, the annual share repurchases amounted to $22.703 million.

Share Issuance

  • Information regarding significant dollar amounts of share issuances was not explicitly detailed in the provided search results for the last 3-5 years. The number of outstanding shares has remained relatively stable, indicating no major equity offerings.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2023, Flowers Foods completed the acquisition of the Papa Pita bakery business, which was described as an important co-manufacturer, to drive manufacturing and distribution synergies.
  • In January 2025, the company announced an agreement to purchase Simple Mills for $795 million in cash.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal 2024 were $132.1 million.
  • For fiscal 2023, capital expenditures were $129.1 million, a decrease of $40.0 million from the prior year.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 are projected to be in the range of $140 million to $150 million, with $4 million to $6 million allocated for an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system upgrade. These investments are generally focused on driving future growth, efficiencies, and innovation.

Better Bets vs. Flowers Foods (FLO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to FLO.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CALM_1022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01022026CALMCal-Maine FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.5%8.5%-7.7%
FIZZ_1022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01022026FIZZNational BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
LW_12192025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12192025LWLamb WestonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.0%8.0%-8.3%
KVUE_12192025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212192025KVUEKenvueInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.6%
PRMB_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025PRMBPrimo BrandsInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
19.4%19.4%-2.1%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.6%-6.6%-6.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZTHSMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Treehous. 
Mkt Price9.65106.6026.4944.5460.12-44.54
Mkt Cap2.011.47.923.977.4-11.4
Rev LTM5,1358,77310,15818,77738,537-10,158
Op Inc LTM3201,3321,2942,9123,620-1,332
FCF LTM3256366871,7833,235-687
FCF 3Y Avg2577956982,3003,453-795
CFO LTM4519691,1302,3604,514-1,130
CFO 3Y Avg3841,2681,1523,0054,713-1,268

Growth & Margins

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZTHSMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Treehous. 
Rev Chg LTM0.3%-0.7%2.7%-5.7%5.8%-0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%2.5%4.5%-0.9%7.1%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q3.0%2.6%-3.4%-7.2%9.3%-2.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%0.7%-0.9%-2.0%2.4%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.2%15.2%12.7%15.5%9.4%-12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.7%16.6%12.9%17.1%14.4%-14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.3%-0.5%-0.9%-2.1%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%11.0%11.1%12.6%11.7%-11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%14.8%11.8%15.3%12.8%-12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%7.2%6.8%9.5%8.4%-7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%9.3%7.1%11.7%9.4%-9.3%

Valuation

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZTHSMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Treehous. 
Mkt Cap2.011.47.923.977.4-11.4
P/S0.41.30.81.32.0-1.3
P/EBIT6.3-16.07.18.221.4-7.1
P/E10.5-9.513.79.431.6-10.5
P/CFO4.511.77.010.117.2-10.1
Total Yield19.7%-6.5%11.7%16.2%6.4%-11.7%
Dividend Yield10.2%4.0%4.4%5.5%3.2%-4.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.0%6.8%6.5%7.1%4.2%-6.8%
D/E1.00.70.90.60.3-0.7
Net D/E1.00.70.90.50.3-0.7

Returns

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZTHSMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Treehous. 
1M Rtn-14.2%3.8%-2.4%-0.2%2.7%--0.2%
3M Rtn-8.9%4.3%-11.1%-4.2%6.1%--4.2%
6M Rtn-33.4%2.9%-15.2%-7.1%-1.0%--7.1%
12M Rtn-46.6%-1.4%-33.2%-24.1%-5.9%--24.1%
3Y Rtn-60.5%-19.9%-44.0%-37.9%-0.6%--37.9%
1M Excs Rtn-14.2%3.9%-2.3%-0.1%2.8%--0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-11.8%-3.2%-20.3%-11.7%1.2%--11.7%
6M Excs Rtn-42.2%-10.4%-24.2%-15.2%-9.2%--15.2%
12M Excs Rtn-62.7%-16.1%-48.7%-39.8%-21.2%--39.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.8%-90.9%-113.5%-105.0%-72.8%--105.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment5,0914,8064,3314,3884,124
Total5,0914,8064,3314,3884,124


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.65 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.0 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-48.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.88$13.11
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-11.3%-26.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility40.6%30.6%
Downside Capture-46.8955.08
Upside Capture-98.56-16.63
Correlation (SPY)-0.2%17.9%
FLO Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.18-0.090.100.170.280.24
Up Beta-0.850.27-0.880.510.430.42
Down Beta-0.16-0.180.520.120.010.08
Up Capture53%19%9%-27%2%1%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10202951104349
Down Capture-61%-42%24%58%71%64%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days10192970139386

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-46.8%30.5%-2.04-
Sector ETF (XLP)10.1%14.2%0.4555.6%
Equity (SPY)17.2%19.4%0.6917.6%
Gold (GLD)75.4%25.7%2.16-2.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%16.9%0.382.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.2%16.6%0.2538.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.7%44.9%-0.591.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-11.6%23.1%-0.56-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.9%13.1%0.4555.9%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.0%0.6321.0%
Gold (GLD)23.4%17.1%1.12-0.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.7%19.0%0.45-2.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1834.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.1%57.1%0.314.3%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-1.1%24.5%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.5%14.6%0.4554.1%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7528.3%
Gold (GLD)15.2%15.6%0.810.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.392.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.6%20.7%0.2835.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.0%66.7%1.054.9%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 13120265.4%
Average Daily Volume5.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity211.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/12/2026-8.7%-11.3% 
11/6/20251.9%-2.2%-7.0%
8/15/2025-5.4%-6.6%-17.3%
5/16/20251.4%-2.8%-4.7%
2/7/2025-1.3%-2.8%2.8%
11/8/2024-2.7%-0.9%0.5%
8/16/20240.2%0.7%5.3%
5/16/2024-4.1%-7.4%-10.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative131514
Median Positive1.5%2.2%3.6%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.5%-4.7%
Max Positive6.4%8.9%8.9%
Max Negative-9.9%-11.3%-17.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/15/202510-Q
03/31/202505/16/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/16/202410-Q
03/31/202405/16/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/18/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/19/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell106202610.87209,0002,271,66311,112,453Form
2Stith, Melvin T Spouse as custodian for minor grandchildBuy1205202510.904564,9725,968Form
3McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell926202512.82350,0004,488,75015,792,448Form
4Cox, CindyChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell910202515.003,60054,000254,910Form
5Deese, George E DirectBuy528202516.846,000101,03933,763,831Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data