Expedia (EXPE)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $224.0 | Market Cap: $28.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Expedia (EXPE)
Market Price (10/7/2025): $224.0
Market Cap: $28.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil | Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% | |
Attractive yield FCF Yield is 7.1% | ||
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 42% |
Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil |
Attractive yield FCF Yield is 7.1% |
Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 42% |
Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
EXPE Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
EXPE Return | 23% | 36% | -52% | 73% | 23% | 21% | 105% |
Peers Return | 13% | 20% | -36% | 55% | 40% | 10% | 109% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
EXPE Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
Peers Win Rate | 50% | 55% | 37% | 60% | 55% | 53% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
EXPE Max Drawdown | -58% | -7% | -54% | 0% | -28% | -27% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -8% | -42% | -6% | -16% | -25% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, BKNG, EBAY, TRIP, TZOO. See EXPE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/6/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | EXPE | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -60.9% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 155.5% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 968 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -62.8% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 169.0% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -40.9% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 69.1% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 460 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -82.7% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 479.2% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 1874 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Expedia's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Expedia (EXPE)
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets travel websites; ebookers, an online EMEA travel agent for travelers an array of travel options; Hotwire, which offers travel booking services; CarRentals.com, an online car rental booking service; Classic Vacations, a luxury travel specialist; and Expedia Cruise, a provider of advice for travelers booking cruises. The company's brand portfolio also comprise Expedia Partner Solutions, a business-to-business brand that provides travel and non-travel vertical, which includes corporate travel management, airlines, travel agents, online retailers and financial institutions; and Egencia that provides corporate travel management services. In addition, its brand portfolio consists of Trivago, a hotel metasearch website, which send referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites; and Expedia Group Media solutions. Further, the company provides online travel services through its Wotif.com, lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Wotif.co.nz, and lastminute.co.nz brands; loyalty programs; hotel accommodations and alternative accommodations; and advertising and media services. It serves leisure and corporate travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to EXPE and Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -9.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
06302022 | EXPE | Expedia | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.1% | 15.4% | -11.7% |
03312020 | EXPE | Expedia | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 63.1% | 205.9% | -14.9% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -9.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.6% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
06302022 | EXPE | Expedia | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.1% | 15.4% | -11.7% |
03312020 | EXPE | Expedia | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 63.1% | 205.9% | -14.9% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Expedia
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 157.80 |
Mkt Cap | 35.6 |
Rev LTM | 12,165 |
Op Inc LTM | 2,003 |
FCF LTM | 2,062 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 2,028 |
CFO LTM | 2,682 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 2,656 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Rev Chg Q | 9.8% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
Op Mgn LTM | 19.6% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 22.6% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 19.0% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 35.6 |
P/S | 3.1 |
P/EBIT | 16.7 |
P/E | 25.8 |
P/CFO | 13.4 |
Total Yield | 4.2% |
Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 1.6% |
3M Rtn | 7.3% |
6M Rtn | 47.0% |
12M Rtn | 35.5% |
3Y Rtn | 147.7% |
1M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
3M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
6M Excs Rtn | 9.7% |
12M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
3Y Excs Rtn | 63.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Business-to-customer (B2C) | 9,113 | 8,741 | 6,821 | 3,993 | 8,808 |
Business-to-business (B2B) | 3,388 | 2,546 | 1,460 | 942 | 2,579 |
trivago | 525 | 561 | 423 | 280 | 938 |
Corporate & Eliminations | -187 | -181 | -106 | -16 | -258 |
Total | 12,839 | 11,667 | 8,598 | 5,199 | 12,067 |
Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Business-to-customer (B2C) | 1,810 | 1,617 | 1,277 | -285 | 1,601 |
Business-to-business (B2B) | 681 | 518 | 8 | -321 | 323 |
trivago | 51 | 105 | 29 | -26 | 74 |
Corporate & Eliminations | -1,509 | -1,155 | -1,128 | -2,087 | -1,095 |
Total | 1,033 | 1,085 | 186 | -2,719 | 903 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/7/2025 | 4.1% | 10.4% | 16.0% |
5/8/2025 | -7.3% | -1.6% | 4.8% |
2/6/2025 | 17.3% | 17.7% | 2.6% |
11/7/2024 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.8% |
8/8/2024 | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% |
5/2/2024 | -15.3% | -17.3% | -16.2% |
2/8/2024 | -17.8% | -13.1% | -14.1% |
11/2/2023 | 18.8% | 19.9% | 47.4% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 12 | 13 | 14 |
# Negative | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Median Positive | 5.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% |
Median Negative | -11.0% | -7.0% | -15.2% |
Max Positive | 18.8% | 21.5% | 47.4% |
Max Negative | -27.4% | -29.4% | -50.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 11052021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Soliday Lance A | SVP & Chief Accounting Officer | 8222025 | Sell | 205.88 | 852 | 175,412 | 2,478,010 | Form |
1 | Jacobson Craig A | 8212025 | Sell | 207.78 | 3,000 | 623,329 | 7,034,783 | Form | |
2 | Dzielak Robert J | Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y | 8142025 | Sell | 200.84 | 3,306 | 663,977 | 15,479,743 | Form |
3 | Soliday Lance A | SVP & Chief Accounting Officer | 3052025 | Sell | 191.17 | 691 | 132,098 | 2,138,619 | Form |
4 | KHOSROWSHAHI DARA | 3042025 | Sell | 199.77 | 1 | 200 | 31,664,344 | Form |
External Quote Links
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TradingView | Morningstar |
SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
Motley Fool | Robinhood |
CNBC | Etrade |
MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
FinViz |
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