Tearsheet

Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)


Market Price (11/5/2025): $7.29 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs

Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)


Market Price (11/5/2025): $7.29
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Diversified REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ESRT Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ESRT Return-31%-4%-23%46%8%-28%-42%
Peers Return-11%52%-15%4%14%-3%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ESRT Win Rate25%50%50%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%42%48%60%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ESRT Max Drawdown-60%-7%-27%-18%-8%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-5%-25%-16%-11%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventESRTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT


In The Past

Empire State Realty Trust's stock fell -57.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -57.1% loss requires a 132.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)

Better Bets than Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ESRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
ESRT_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018ESRTEmpire State Realty TrustDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%0.9%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
ESRT_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018ESRTEmpire State Realty TrustDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%0.9%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Empire State Realty Trust

Financials

ESRTWPCALEXCTOOLPEPRTMedian
NameEmpire S.W.P. Car.Alexande.CTO Real.One Libe.Essentia. 
Mkt Price7.3165.9215.6417.0020.1329.5718.56
Mkt Cap1.214.51.10.60.45.91.2
Rev LTM7631,67821814795531375
Op Inc LTM144848711734338107
FCF LTM2631,274458144363172
FCF 3Y Avg2441,395426543298154
CFO LTM2631,274918144363177
CFO 3Y Avg2441,395866543298165

Growth & Margins

ESRTWPCALEXCTOOLPEPRTMedian
NameEmpire S.W.P. Car.Alexande.CTO Real.One Libe.Essentia. 
Rev Chg LTM1.1%5.6%-3.9%23.8%5.6%24.2%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%5.6%12.9%20.3%4.1%24.2%9.2%
Rev Chg Q0.7%8.5%-18.9%18.7%12.6%23.7%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%2.1%-5.1%4.2%3.0%5.5%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM18.9%50.5%32.4%11.6%35.9%63.6%34.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.5%48.0%32.8%16.2%37.6%62.5%35.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%1.0%-0.7%1.2%-0.2%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM34.4%75.9%41.8%55.3%46.2%68.4%50.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.6%84.4%38.3%53.4%45.7%69.3%49.6%
FCF/Rev LTM34.4%75.9%20.7%55.3%46.2%68.4%50.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.6%84.4%19.0%53.4%45.7%69.3%49.6%

Valuation

ESRTWPCALEXCTOOLPEPRTMedian
NameEmpire S.W.P. Car.Alexande.CTO Real.One Libe.Essentia. 
Mkt Cap1.214.51.10.60.45.91.2
P/S1.68.75.23.84.411.04.8
P/EBIT6.721.011.7-60.18.317.110.0
P/E27.639.815.5-16.614.824.419.9
P/CFO4.711.412.56.89.616.110.5
Total Yield5.5%7.9%9.3%2.8%16.0%7.9%7.9%
Dividend Yield1.9%5.4%2.9%8.8%9.2%3.8%4.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.0%10.4%3.2%14.4%9.2%6.0%9.8%
D/E1.70.60.41.11.10.50.8
Net D/E1.60.60.41.01.00.40.8

Returns

ESRTWPCALEXCTOOLPEPRTMedian
NameEmpire S.W.P. Car.Alexande.CTO Real.One Libe.Essentia. 
1M Rtn-5.9%-4.7%-12.2%4.7%-9.4%-1.0%-5.3%
3M Rtn1.3%1.0%-13.0%5.4%-9.2%-2.9%-0.9%
6M Rtn0.4%10.5%-7.3%-0.7%-13.8%-5.5%-3.1%
12M Rtn-30.5%26.3%-13.4%-5.8%-19.4%-3.1%-9.6%
3Y Rtn6.1%3.6%-9.8%7.5%8.0%56.9%6.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.5%-3.8%-10.6%8.7%-7.7%0.7%-5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%-3.7%-19.7%-0.4%-15.7%-7.2%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-20.3%-10.3%-28.0%-21.5%-34.5%-26.2%-23.9%
12M Excs Rtn-48.6%6.7%-30.3%-23.3%-37.7%-21.7%-26.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.1%-68.0%-79.5%-66.2%-64.4%-17.3%-67.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate689685606598685
Observatory1291064229129
Third-party management and other fees11   
Intersegment Elimination-81-65-23-18-82
Total740727624609731


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate3,9583,9094,0373,9043,671
Observatory262254245247261
Intersegment Elimination000  
Total4,2194,1644,2824,1513,932


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,790,553
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202515.8%
Average Daily Volume1,572,335
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.68
Basic Shares Quantity168,368,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020241008202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate3252025Sell8.035,77946,405449,905Form
1Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate3212025Sell8.1112,500101,375602,630Form
2Durels Thomas P.EVP, Real Estate12272024Sell10.1010,000101,000876,751Form