EOG Resources (EOG)
Market Price (11/2/2025): $106.0 | Market Cap: $57.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
EOG Resources (EOG)
Market Price (11/2/2025): $106.0
Market Cap: $57.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 7.9% | Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% | Weak revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 29% |
| Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 7.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generation CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 29% |
| Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% |
| Weak revenue growth Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
EOG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EOG Return | -39% | 89% | 57% | -2% | 4% | -11% | 66% |
| Peers Return | -28% | 52% | 52% | -4% | 7% | -8% | 58% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EOG Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 43% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EOG Max Drawdown | -64% | -0% | 0% | -20% | -9% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -72% | -15% | -3% | -23% | -13% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, OKE, EPM, INDO. See EOG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EOG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 569 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 950 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1592 days | 1480 days |
Compare to COP, CNQ, OKE, EPM, INDO
In The Past
EOG Resources's stock fell -34.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -34.8% loss requires a 53.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| EOG Resources Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can EOG Resources Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| EOG Resources vs Cheniere Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| EOG Resources vs Diamondback Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than EOG Stock: Pay Less Than EOG Resources To Get More From UNH, SLB | |||
| Better Bet Than EOG Stock: Pay Less Than EOG Resources To Get More From SLB, FANG | |||
| Better Bet Than EOG Stock: Pay Less Than EOG Resources To Get More From FANG, PR | |||
| EOG Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| EOG Resources Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 7.6% in 2024 and 22.1% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| EOG Fell 8.4% In A Month. What To Do Now? | October 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Time To Buy EOG Resources Stock? | June 25th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For EOG’s Stock? | December 20th, 2024 | ||
| What’s Next For EOG Resources Stock? | September 13th, 2024 | ||
| Up 7% This Year, Will EOG’s Gains Continue Following Q1 Results? | May 2nd, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EOG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -1.4% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.2% | 22.2% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.3% | -2.3% | -3.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 01312020 | EOG | EOG Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.7% | -27.8% | -59.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -1.4% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.2% | 22.2% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.3% | -2.3% | -3.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 01312020 | EOG | EOG Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.7% | -27.8% | -59.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EOG Resources
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 57.5 |
| Rev LTM | 31,564 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,762 |
| FCF LTM | 4,529 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,874 |
| CFO LTM | 10,672 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,007 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 57.5 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 7.5 |
| P/E | 12.2 |
| P/CFO | 5.4 |
| Total Yield | 12.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -17.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 23,182 | 29,492 | |||
| Crude Oil and Condensate | 11,125 | 5,786 | 9,613 | ||
| Gains (Losses) on Asset Dispositions, Net | 17 | -47 | 124 | ||
| Gains on Mark-to-Market Financial Commodity and Other Derivative Contracts | -1,152 | 1,145 | 180 | ||
| Gathering, Processing and Marketing | 4,288 | 2,583 | 5,360 | ||
| Natural Gas | 2,444 | 837 | 1,184 | ||
| Natural Gas Liquids | 1,812 | 668 | 785 | ||
| Other, Net | 108 | 60 | 134 | ||
| Total | 23,182 | 29,492 | 18,642 | 11,032 | 17,380 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -2.8% | -6.4% | -3.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -0.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | -1.4% | -0.9% | -9.2% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -1.7% | 7.3% |
| 11/2/2023 | -0.4% | -5.7% | -4.4% |
| 8/3/2023 | -1.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 3.3% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -1.7% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 13.7% | 44.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -6.8% | -40.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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