Digimarc (DMRC)
Market Price (2/26/2026): $4.46 | Market Cap: $96.8 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Digimarc (DMRC)
Market Price (2/26/2026): $4.46Market Cap: $96.8 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% | ||
| Key risksDMRC key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate threatening its financial runway, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% |
| Key risksDMRC key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate threatening its financial runway, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weak Q3 2025 Earnings and Disappointing Outlook.
Digimarc reported its Q3 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, missing both EPS and revenue estimates. The company reported an EPS of -$0.10 against an estimated -$0.06 and revenue of $7.63 million compared to expectations of $7.75 million. Furthermore, management indicated a likely loss of $3.1 million in annual legacy revenue due to a renegotiated retailer contract, which was expected to reduce annual recurring revenue (ARR) in Q4 2025. Slow adoption cycles for new solutions, such as gift card fraud prevention, were also cited as a potential headwind delaying growth in recurring SaaS revenues and positive cash flow.
2. Persistent Unprofitability and Delayed Path to Free Cash Flow.
Despite efforts to reduce operating expenses and achieve profitability, Digimarc remained unprofitable in Q3 2025 and was forecast to continue generating losses for at least the next three years. Although the company reiterated its goal to achieve positive free cash flow and non-GAAP net income in Q4 2025, this future profitability remained a forecast rather than a realized achievement, contributing to investor uncertainty. Analysts noted that the company's revenue growth expectation of a modest 5.6% per year trailed the broader US market's growth rate of 10.3% per year.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.2% change in DMRC stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.73 | 4.46 | -54.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 35 | 34 | -5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.9 | 2.9 | -51.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 22 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -54.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -54.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.6% | 50.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | -4.9% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -62.6% change in DMRC stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.94 | 4.46 | -62.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38 | 34 | -11.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.8 | 2.9 | -57.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 22 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -62.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -62.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | 53.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.0% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -87.8% change in DMRC stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -85.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.67 | 4.46 | -87.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 39 | 34 | -13.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 20.1 | 2.9 | -85.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 22 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -87.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -87.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.2% | 55.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.5% | 56.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -77.7% change in DMRC stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -78.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.98 | 4.46 | -77.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 30 | 34 | 11.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 13.1 | 2.9 | -78.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 22 | -9.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -77.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -77.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.9% | 44.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 114.7% | 41.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DMRC Return | -16% | -53% | 95% | 4% | -82% | -28% | -90% |
| Peers Return | 49% | -28% | -0% | 30% | -18% | 12% | 26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DMRC Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 31% | 48% | 54% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DMRC Max Drawdown | -49% | -67% | -11% | -41% | -83% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -53% | -26% | -19% | -43% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVY, ZBRA, PI, VRME. See DMRC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/25/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DMRC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 312.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 260.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 237 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 186.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 129 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 420 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AVY, ZBRA, PI, VRME
In The Past
Digimarc's stock fell -75.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -75.7% loss requires a 312.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Digimarc (DMRC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Digimarc (DMRC):- Digimarc is like the 'Intel Inside' for product packaging, providing invisible digital watermarks that make retail checkout faster and products smarter.
- Think of Digimarc as a foundational digital ID and authentication system for physical goods, much like how VeriSign provided digital certificates to authenticate websites.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Digimarc Barcode for Retail & CPG: A technology that embeds imperceptible digital codes into product packaging for faster scanning, improved inventory management, and enhanced supply chain efficiency.
- Digimarc Validate: A solution providing authentication and anti-counterfeiting capabilities for high-value items, including banknotes and secure documents.
- Digimarc Engage: A platform that connects consumers to digital content and experiences by scanning digitally watermarked products, facilitating brand interaction and insights.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Digimarc (DMRC) primarily sells its advanced digital watermarking technologies and related solutions to other companies, operating on a business-to-business (B2B) model.
According to Digimarc's financial disclosures (e.g., their most recent 10-K filing), no single customer accounted for 10% or more of their total net revenues for the past several fiscal years. This indicates a diversified customer base rather than reliance on a few individually "major" customers that are typically disclosed by name.
Therefore, instead of specific named companies, Digimarc's primary customers can be categorized by the industries and types of businesses that license and integrate their technology and collectively form their customer base:
- Retailers: Companies that operate retail stores, particularly those in grocery and general merchandise, utilize Digimarc's technology to enhance checkout efficiency, improve inventory management, reduce shrink, and facilitate consumer engagement through smart packaging.
- Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) Brands: Manufacturers of consumer goods license Digimarc's solutions to embed digital watermarks into their product packaging. This enables improved supply chain traceability, brand protection, consumer interaction, and participation in advanced recycling initiatives.
- Packaging Converters and Printers: These companies, which produce packaging materials for CPG brands, integrate Digimarc's technology into their printing processes to create digitally watermarked packaging.
- Recycling Facilities and Waste Management Companies: Through the "Digimarc Recycle" program, waste sorting facilities deploy specialized sorting equipment that can identify Digimarc-enhanced packaging, leading to more efficient and accurate separation of recyclable materials.
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Riley McCormack, President & Chief Executive Officer Riley McCormack is the President and CEO of Digimarc, appointed in April 2021. Before leading Digimarc, he founded Tracer Capital Management, a New York-based global Technology, Media, and Telecommunication Hedge Fund. He also founded TCM|Strategic, a fund that invested $53.5 million in Digimarc. McCormack was previously a partner at Coatue Capital and a high-yield research analyst at Morgan Stanley. He joined the Digimarc Board of Directors in October 2020. Charles Beck, EVP, CFO & Treasurer Charles Beck serves as the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer at Digimarc. In this role, he is responsible for the company's financial strategy, regulatory compliance, risk management, and strategic planning. Prior to joining Digimarc, Beck was a Senior Manager at KPMG LLP from 2002 to 2012, where he led financial statement and internal control audits, serving various management roles within the firm's technology practice. He also held positions as an Associate at Arthur Andersen and an Accountant at the University of Portland. Ken Sickles, Executive Vice President & Chief Product Officer Ken Sickles is the Executive Vice President and Chief Product Officer at Digimarc, responsible for developing and delivering the company's global technology platform. He joined Digimarc from ThinkTank, where he served as Chief Technology Officer/Chief Product Officer from 2017 to 2021 and was a key contributor in the company's acquisition by Accenture in May 2021. His prior experience includes product leadership roles at companies such as 1WorldSync, Dow Jones, and Cognos. Tony Rodriguez, Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer Tony Rodriguez holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer at Digimarc. George Karamanos, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary George Karamanos is the Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary for Digimarc, overseeing the company's global legal affairs with a focus on corporate governance and go-to-market acceleration. He brings nearly two decades of business-to-business, software-as-a-service legal experience, having previously served in Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel roles at DataRobot, Inc. and AppDynamics.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Digimarc's business:-
High Cash Burn and Unprofitability: Digimarc faces significant financial challenges due to a high cash burn rate and persistent unprofitability, with forecasts indicating it will remain unprofitable for at least the next three years. As of September 30, 2025, the company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities had declined significantly from the end of 2024. If Digimarc misses its target for achieving cash flow neutrality in Q4 2025, it faces a short cash runway, potentially forcing a capital raise or shareholder dilution in 2026.
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Revenue Instability and Customer Concentration: The company has experienced declining Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and overall revenue due to the expiration and renegotiation of significant commercial contracts. For example, a major commercial contract lapse contributed to a $5.8 million decrease in ARR, and another contract renegotiation could lead to a reduction of up to $3 million in annual revenue. Historically, a small number of customers have accounted for a substantial portion of Digimarc's revenue, making the business vulnerable to revenue shocks from further contract losses or renegotiations.
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Slow Market Adoption and Competition: Digimarc's growth is challenged by slow enterprise adoption cycles for its digital watermarking technology, particularly in emerging markets like recycling and gift card fraud prevention. This slow adoption acts as a headwind, potentially delaying anticipated growth in recurring SaaS revenues and positive cash flow. Additionally, the company faces competition from cheaper alternatives, which could impact its ability to defend premium pricing and achieve scalability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Digimarc (DMRC) provides a suite of enterprise software and services primarily focused on digital identifiers like serialized QR codes and digital watermarks, addressing areas such as counterfeiting, product authenticity, recycling accuracy, supply chain traceability, and consumer engagement. The addressable markets for their main products and services are as follows:
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Brand Protection and Authentication (relevant to Digimarc Validate and Digimarc Barcode): The global authentication and brand protection market was valued at USD 2.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.3 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 8.3% during the forecast period. Another estimate puts the global market size at USD 2.99 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 7.64 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 12.80%. North America held the largest share of this market, valued at USD 0.92 billion in 2023 and USD 1.00 billion in 2024. This market addresses threats like product forgery and counterfeiting. Digimarc's solutions in this area utilize digital watermarks and serialized digital identities for product authentication and supply chain insights.
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Digital Identity Solutions (relevant to Digimarc Engage and broader digital identification): The global digital identity solutions market was valued at USD 42.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 133.19 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 21.2% from 2024 to 2030. This market is driven by the increasing need for secure access to digital platforms and protection against cyber threats. Digimarc's offerings, including Digimarc Engage, aim to provide seamless and secure omnichannel experiences by connecting physical and digital domains.
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Recycling (relevant to Digimarc Recycle): While a specific global market size for advanced plastic recycling sorting technologies utilizing digital watermarks is not explicitly stated in the search results, Digimarc Recycle aims to revolutionize the sorting and recycling of plastic waste worldwide. In the U.S. alone, 51 million tons of plastic waste were generated in 2021, with only 5-9% being fully recycled annually. Digimarc Recycle is now widely available globally and is offered to qualified partners for less than $1 per capita per year, indicating its broad applicability across various geographies to address plastic pollution.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Digimarc (DMRC) anticipates several key drivers for its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily stemming from the expansion and adoption of its digital watermarking technologies in various authentication and identification markets.
- Growth in Gift Card Protection Solutions: Digimarc expects significant Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth from its gift card protection solutions in 2025. The company has achieved widespread adoption with major brands, including Target and Home Depot, for its anti-fraud technology embedded into gift cards. This solution targets a substantial market, aiming to address billions in annual fraud losses.
- Expansion in Product Authentication: Digimarc is focusing on expanding its product authentication solutions, which include physical anti-counterfeit measures and supply chain traceability. This involves closing upsell opportunities with existing customers and expanding into new geographies and industries, such as a multi-year deal with a European packaging company projected to generate substantial ARR starting in 2026. The company is also piloting applications in the pharmaceutical industry and has launched new digitized security labels to enhance brand protection.
- Advancements in Digital Authentication and AI Content Verification: Digimarc's proprietary digital watermarking technology is being leveraged to address emerging challenges in digital trust, including AI-generated content verification, leak detection, internal compliance, piracy prevention, and royalty monitoring. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on AI advancements and its co-leadership in the C2PA standard, with significant growth contributions expected in 2026 and beyond.
- Engagement in HolyGrail 2.0 and Recycling Initiatives: The company is actively involved in the HolyGrail 2.0 initiative and other recycling projects, which are contributing to its service revenue. Growing regulatory pressure and consumer demand for recycling efficiency and product traceability are driving major packaging companies to adopt Digimarc's digital watermarking solutions through multi-year contracts, expanding its addressable market and supporting long-term SaaS revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2024, Digimarc repurchased $3.4 million of its shares to satisfy tax withholding obligations related to stock-based compensation.
- In 2023, the company purchased $2.724 million of common stock.
Share Issuance
- In 2024, Digimarc raised $32.5 million through a registered direct stock offering.
- In 2022, Digimarc issued 2.25 million shares of its common stock at a price of $25.90 per share, resulting in gross cash proceeds of $58.3 million.
Outbound Investments
- On January 3, 2022, Digimarc acquired EVRYTHNG.
- The acquisition of EVRYTHNG involved the use of $4.0 million in cash for closing costs and an additional $3.0 million for outstanding payables of EVRYTHNG, partially offset by $0.5 million of cash acquired.
Capital Expenditures
- For the fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures for the purchase of property and equipment totaled $0.212 million.
- For the fiscal year 2023, capital expenditures for the purchase of property and equipment amounted to $0.314 million.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is on enhancing digital watermarking technologies and expanding the Digimarc Illuminate SaaS platform for improved product inspection, consumer engagement, and recycling processes.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 01302026 | FICO | Fair Isaac | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -11.1% | -11.1% | -16.1% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 125.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 361 |
| Op Inc LTM | -1 |
| FCF LTM | 46 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 59 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 46 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | -2.6 |
| P/E | -2.6 |
| P/CFO | 13.1 |
| Total Yield | -0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -25.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -16.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -33.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -96.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product digitization solutions | 35 | ||||
| Service | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | |
| Subscription | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | |
| Total | 35 | 30 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product digitization solutions | -48 | ||||
| Total | -48 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product digitization solutions | -46 | ||||
| Total | -46 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $4.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/02/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -83.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.24 | $9.54 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -28.6% | -53.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 73.9% | 81.6% |
| Downside Capture | 540.22 | 413.82 |
| Upside Capture | 107.80 | 169.31 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.3% | 55.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.10 | 3.08 | 3.21 | 3.62 | 2.30 | 1.98 |
| Up Beta | 3.27 | 1.38 | 1.97 | 2.93 | 2.05 | 1.79 |
| Down Beta | 3.62 | 2.77 | 3.06 | 3.84 | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| Up Capture | 346% | 214% | 209% | 296% | 220% | 450% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 20 | 28 | 65 | 120 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 581% | 441% | 377% | 322% | 170% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 32 | 59 | 126 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DMRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -82.9% | 81.6% | -1.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 57.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.2% | 19.4% | 0.69 | 55.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 75.4% | 25.7% | 2.16 | -1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 16.9% | 0.38 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.2% | 16.6% | 0.25 | 29.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.7% | 44.9% | -0.59 | 33.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DMRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -35.6% | 69.4% | -0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.9% | 24.8% | 0.61 | 46.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 46.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.4% | 17.1% | 1.12 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 19.0% | 0.45 | 9.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 29.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.1% | 57.1% | 0.31 | 24.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DMRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMRC | -17.3% | 68.6% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.9% | 24.2% | 0.86 | 42.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 43.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.2% | 15.6% | 0.81 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 13.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 33.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.0% | 66.7% | 1.05 | 18.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 4.2% | -11.0% | -15.0% |
| 8/14/2025 | -20.1% | -25.4% | -9.7% |
| 2/26/2025 | -43.1% | -40.5% | -48.7% |
| 11/14/2024 | -9.8% | 4.2% | 17.9% |
| 8/13/2024 | -16.3% | -5.7% | -0.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | -12.3% | -19.6% | -32.0% |
| 11/6/2023 | 2.3% | 11.2% | 19.8% |
| 8/2/2023 | 22.1% | 17.9% | 11.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 20.4% | 15.3% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -12.3% | -15.3% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 32.2% | 54.9% | 57.9% |
| Max Negative | -43.1% | -40.5% | -48.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | null |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/02/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/07/2022 | 10-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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