Tearsheet

Dine Brands Global (DIN)


Market Price (2/10/2026): $35.72 | Market Cap: $514.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Dine Brands Global (DIN)


Market Price (2/10/2026): $35.72
Market Cap: $514.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 283%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
  Key risks
DIN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden resulting in negative equity, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 283%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%
8 Key risks
DIN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden resulting in negative equity, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dine Brands Global (DIN) stock has gained about 45% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets

Dine Brands Global (DIN) experienced a boost from favorable analyst coverage during the period. On January 7, 2026, Barclays issued a high price target of $40 for DIN shares. Following this, Mizuho, Barclays, and UBS all released analyst ratings between January 6 and January 9, 2026, with an average price target that implied an upside for the stock. This positive sentiment was further evidenced by Fintel's report on January 13, 2026, indicating a 25.19% increase in Dine Brands Global's price target to $34.48. Overall, the company's stock received two upgrades and one downgrade from analysts over the preceding 90 days.

2. Strong Performance of Core Brands

A significant factor in the stock's gain was the strong performance of Dine Brands Global's key restaurant chains. Throughout 2025, Dine Brands reported same-store sales growth at Applebee's and, for the first time since 2015, achieved positive traffic growth for IHOP. This turnaround and sustained positive momentum for its flagship brands were highlighted in industry analyses published in late January 2026.

3. Increased Earnings Estimates

Analyst earnings estimates for Dine Brands Global were revised upwards, signaling increased confidence in the company's financial outlook. On January 6, 2026, Kalinowski Equity Research increased its fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS estimate for Dine Brands by $0.15 to $1.05. The full-year 2025 adjusted EPS forecast also rose by $0.15 to $3.98. Furthermore, projections for 2026 and 2027 adjusted EPS were each raised by $0.30, to $4.50 and $5.00 respectively, primarily attributed to IHOP's strong sales momentum.

4. Strategic Board Appointments

Dine Brands Global announced strategic additions to its leadership with the appointment of two experienced industry veterans, Enrique "Rick" Silva and Amanda Clark, to its Board of Directors, effective February 4, 2026. This move expanded the board from nine to eleven members and was viewed as a decisive step to infuse relevant operational and development expertise at the highest level of oversight, addressing previous concerns regarding board composition and strengthening the company's strategic direction in a dynamic restaurant market. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 45.5% change in DIN stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)24.5835.7645.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8458662.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%4.0%-27.2%
P/E Multiple7.914.988.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15143.3%
Cumulative Contribution45.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DIN45.5% 
Market (SPY)1.7%22.9%
Sector (XLY)-2.0%25.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 62.5% change in DIN stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 153.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)22.0135.7662.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8218665.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.8%4.0%-41.2%
P/E Multiple5.914.9153.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15143.4%
Cumulative Contribution62.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DIN62.5% 
Market (SPY)10.1%25.5%
Sector (XLY)6.4%29.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.8% change in DIN stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 227.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252092026Change
Stock Price ($)28.4235.7625.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8148666.5%
Net Income Margin (%)11.4%4.0%-65.1%
P/E Multiple4.614.9227.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15143.4%
Cumulative Contribution25.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DIN25.8% 
Market (SPY)16.3%40.5%
Sector (XLY)1.9%45.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -45.7% change in DIN stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232092026Change
Stock Price ($)65.8035.76-45.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)931866-6.9%
Net Income Margin (%)9.6%4.0%-58.6%
P/E Multiple11.314.932.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15146.7%
Cumulative Contribution-45.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DIN-45.7% 
Market (SPY)77.1%35.5%
Sector (XLY)61.9%39.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DIN Return31%-12%-20%-36%14%12%-25%
Peers Return5%-6%31%52%-7%18%114%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DIN Win Rate58%42%25%25%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate52%38%58%62%43%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DIN Max Drawdown-1%-17%-32%-40%-36%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-28%-3%-19%-20%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, CAKE. See DIN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-82.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven475.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1157.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,386 days1,480 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, CAKE

In The Past

Dine Brands Global's stock fell -57.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -57.1% loss requires a 132.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dine Brands Global (DIN)

Dine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, operates, and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Applebee's Franchise Operations, International House of Pancakes (IHOP) Franchise Operations, Rental Operations, Financing Operations, and Company-Operated Restaurant Operations. The company owns and franchises two restaurant concepts, including Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar in the bar and grill segment of the casual dining category; and IHOP in the family dining category of the restaurant industry. Its Applebee's restaurants offer American fare with drinks and drafts; and IHOP restaurants provide full table services, and food and beverage offerings. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 1,611 Applebee's franchised restaurants, and 1,751 IHOP franchised and area licensed restaurants. It is also involved in the lease or sublease of 598 IHOP franchised restaurants and two Applebee's franchised restaurants; and the financing of franchise fees and equipment leases. the company was formerly known as DineEquity, Inc. and changed its name to Dine Brands Global, Inc. in February 2018. Dine Brands Global, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Glendale, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The Yum! Brands (KFC, Taco Bell) of casual and family dining.
  • Like Restaurant Brands International (Burger King, Popeyes) but for sit-down casual restaurants.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • IHOP Restaurants: Operates and franchises full-service family dining restaurants specializing in breakfast, lunch, and dinner.
  • Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar Restaurants: Operates and franchises casual dining restaurants offering American cuisine for lunch and dinner.
  • Virtual Restaurant Concepts: Develops and offers delivery-only food concepts, such as Frazr and Flippy's, leveraging existing restaurant infrastructure.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dine Brands Global (symbol: DIN) operates primarily as a franchisor for its restaurant brands: Applebee's, IHOP, and Fuzzy's Taco Shop. As such, the company's direct customers are primarily other companies—its numerous independent franchisees.

However, no single franchisee or group of franchisees constitutes a "major customer" that accounts for a significant portion of Dine Brands Global's revenue (typically defined as 10% or more), nor are they publicly traded entities whose names can be listed. The company's revenue stream is derived from royalties, advertising fees, and other payments from thousands of individual franchised locations.

Therefore, to understand the "major customers" that ultimately drive Dine Brands Global's business, it is more appropriate to describe the categories of end-consumers who frequent its franchised restaurants. These individuals are the ultimate source of revenue for the franchisees, which, in turn, generate income for Dine Brands Global. Based on the target demographics of Applebee's, IHOP, and Fuzzy's Taco Shop, the key customer categories are:

  1. Families and Casual Diners: This broad category encompasses individuals, couples, and families (often with children) seeking accessible, comfortable, and often value-oriented dining experiences across various meal times (breakfast, lunch, dinner). This includes families visiting IHOP for breakfast, groups enjoying a casual meal at Applebee's, or friends meeting at Fuzzy's Taco Shop.

  2. Value-Conscious Consumers: Customers who prioritize affordability and seek good value for their money. This segment is often drawn to promotions, combo deals, and the generally moderate pricing offered across all Dine Brands Global's concepts, especially prominent at IHOP and Fuzzy's Taco Shop.

  3. Socializers and Convenience Seekers: This category includes individuals and groups looking for a convenient location, a relaxed social atmosphere, and a dining experience that is either quick (like Fuzzy's) or offers a comfortable environment for lingering (like Applebee's). This includes the happy hour crowd at Applebee's, people seeking all-day breakfast convenience at IHOP, or those looking for a lively, informal spot at Fuzzy's Taco Shop.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

John Peyton Chief Executive Officer

John Peyton joined Dine Brands Global as Chief Executive Officer in January 2021. Prior to this, he served as President and CEO of Realogy Franchise Group LLC (now Anywhere), where he managed a portfolio of real estate franchise brands including Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate, CENTURY 21, Coldwell Banker, Corcoran Group, ERA, and Sotheby's International Realty. Before Realogy, Mr. Peyton spent 17 years at Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide, holding various senior executive roles such as Chief Marketing Officer, Senior Vice President of Global Operations, and Chief Operating Officer for the North America Hotel Division. He was responsible for the Global and North American Food and Beverage teams at Starwood. Earlier in his career, he spent 10 years with PricewaterhouseCoopers in both accounting and management consulting practices.

Vance Chang Chief Financial Officer

Vance Chang has been the Chief Financial Officer of Dine Brands Global since June 2021. Before joining Dine Brands, he served as Chief Financial Officer for Exer Urgent Care and previously as CFO at YOGAWORKS. Mr. Chang has also held positions at Pressed Juicery, Moelis & Company, Oracle, and Deloitte & Touche.

Douglas M. Pasquale Chairman

Douglas M. Pasquale has served as the Chairman of Dine Brands Global since June 2025. His previous roles include serving as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Nationwide Health Properties. He also held the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Nationwide Health Properties. Mr. Pasquale currently serves on the boards of directors for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc., Terreno Realty Corporation, and Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.

Justin Skelton Chief Information Officer and Senior Vice President

Justin Skelton has been the Chief Information Officer and Senior Vice President of Dine Brands Global since 2020. Prior to this role, he served as Acting Chief Information Officer and Vice President, IT Infrastructure and Operations within the company. Before joining Dine Brands, Mr. Skelton was Vice President, Infrastructure, Support, and Operations at CVS Health. He also held several leadership positions at Bank of America, including Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer within the Insurance Services division, and Chief Technology Officer for the home loans and insurance division.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Dine Brands Global (DIN) revolve primarily around its substantial debt load, volatile free cash flow, and mixed performance within its core restaurant brands amid a challenging consumer environment.

  1. Financial Leverage and Debt: Dine Brands Global carries a significant debt burden, amounting to approximately $1.64 billion USD as of June 2025. A large portion of its operating cash flow is allocated to servicing this debt, rather than being reinvested for growth. The company's capital structure is deeply leveraged, evidenced by a negative Debt-to-Equity ratio as of September 30, 2025. Recent refinancing activities, such as the issuance of Series 2025-1 6.720% Fixed Rate Senior Secured Notes, indicate higher interest costs, further straining the company's finances. This high level of indebtedness presents a critical challenge to the company's financial stability and operational flexibility.
  2. Free Cash Flow Volatility and Dividend Sustainability: The company has demonstrated an inability to consistently generate free cash flow (FCF) above $100 million, which poses a risk to the sustainability of its dividend payouts. FCF has been unstable, significantly declining in 2022 and remaining below its 2021 peak. Inconsistent operating cash flow and fluctuating capital expenditures contribute to this volatility. While Dine Brands has maintained a dividend, its historical FCF instability raises concerns that payouts could be at risk during an economic downturn if FCF does not expand.
  3. Mixed Brand Performance and Challenging Consumer Environment: Dine Brands Global faces headwinds from the inconsistent performance of its core restaurant brands, particularly IHOP, which has seen comparable store sales fall below expectations. While Applebee's has shown stronger performance, this divergence highlights underlying challenges within the portfolio. The company operates in a casual dining sector marked by persistent consumer price sensitivity, rising operating costs, and overall pressure on profitability. This economic sensitivity means that both Applebee's and IHOP are vulnerable in a slowing economy where consumers prioritize affordability. Strategic initiatives aimed at driving traffic and reversing declining sales trends have not consistently yielded meaningful turnarounds, further impacted by broader industry challenges such as labor costs, supply chain issues, and the need for digital innovation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The proliferation of ghost kitchens and virtual restaurant brands optimized for delivery represents a clear emerging threat. These operations, which often have significantly lower overhead costs due to the absence of traditional dine-in spaces and front-of-house staff, can offer competitive pricing and greater efficiency in serving the rapidly growing at-home dining market. This model directly competes for delivery and takeout revenue, effectively siphoning market share from traditional, dine-in focused establishments like Applebee's and IHOP without bearing the same operational burdens of maintaining physical dining rooms and associated staffing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dine Brands Global (symbol: DIN) operates primarily in the casual dining, family dining, and fast-casual dining segments of the restaurant industry through its brands Applebee's, IHOP, and Fuzzy's Taco Shop, respectively.

Addressable Market Sizes for Dine Brands Global's Main Products or Services:

Casual Dining (Applebee's):

  • The global casual dining market size was valued at USD 333.02 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 575.5 billion by 2035.
  • North America accounts for 28% of the global casual dining market share.
  • The casual dining segment is identified as the largest and fastest-growing segment within the U.S. full-service restaurant market.

Family Dining (IHOP):

  • The global full-service restaurant segment, which includes family dining, is projected to grow from USD 1.65 trillion in 2025 to USD 1.97 trillion by 2032.
  • The U.S. full-service restaurants market was valued at USD 324.90 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 554.12 billion by 2032.
  • The family dining segment within the global full-service restaurant market is anticipated to grow steadily in the coming years.

Fast-Casual Dining (Fuzzy's Taco Shop):

  • The global fast-casual restaurant market size was valued at USD 209.77 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 451.04 billion by 2031.
  • Another estimate places the global fast-casual restaurant market at USD 179.19 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 318.52 billion by 2033.
  • The North American fast-casual restaurant market was valued at USD 63.48 billion in 2023, representing 33.32% of the global market share.
  • The U.S. fast-casual restaurant market size reached approximately USD 45.58 billion in 2024. It is forecasted to grow by USD 84.5 billion from 2024 to 2029.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dine Brands Global (NYSE: DIN) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives focused on expansion, menu innovation, and enhancing the guest experience.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Expansion of Dual-Brand Locations and Strategic Acquisitions: Dine Brands Global is actively pursuing the expansion of its dual-brand restaurant concept, with plans for approximately 30 locations opened or under construction by the end of 2025 and an additional 50 openings targeted for 2026. This strategy is generating significant enthusiasm among franchisees and is seen as a key growth driver. Additionally, the company has engaged in strategic acquisitions of company-owned Applebee's and IHOP restaurants, contributing to increased company restaurant sales. For instance, in 2025, the company acquired 10 IHOP and 12 Applebee's restaurants. This approach aims to grow the portfolio and enhance operational efficiency.
  2. Menu Innovation, Value Offerings, and Price Optimization: The company is focused on introducing innovative new menu offerings and leveraging everyday value platforms and limited-time offers to attract and retain customers. These efforts are designed to appeal to cost-sensitive consumers and improve traffic. Furthermore, Dine Brands plans for normalized menu pricing in the low single digits, indicating a strategic approach to pricing that balances value and profitability.
  3. Restaurant Remodeling, Enhanced Guest Experience, and Off-Premise Growth: Dine Brands is investing in remodeling its existing restaurants, which has demonstrated positive results, leading to traffic-driven sales growth. Coupled with these physical enhancements, the company is prioritizing digital engagement and high-impact marketing strategies to resonate with guests and improve the overall guest experience. The growth in off-premise sales, including to-go and delivery, is also a significant contributor, with Applebee's seeing a 9% lift in off-premise comparable sales in Q3 2025. Continuous investment in technology and loyalty programs further supports this driver.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Dine Brands Global committed to repurchase $50 million of shares over the next two quarters, as announced in November 2025.
  • During the third quarter of 2025, the company repurchased approximately $22.5 million of its common stock.
  • Between April 1, 2025, and June 30, 2025, Dine Brands Global repurchased 244,909 shares for $5.97 million, contributing to a total of $124.28 million (2,175,177 shares) repurchased under a program announced in 2022.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2025, Dine Brands Global acquired 10 IHOP restaurants in Ohio and Kentucky, followed by the acquisition of 12 Applebee's restaurants across Kentucky, Indiana, Arkansas, and Oklahoma in May 2025.
  • The company's acquisition of 47 Applebee's restaurants in the fourth quarter of 2024 significantly contributed to increased company-owned restaurant sales.
  • Dine Brands acquired Fuzzy's Taco Shop on December 2, 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Dine Brands Global's capital expenditure guidance for 2025 was increased to a range of $30 million to $40 million.
  • Capital expenditures through the third quarter of 2025 amounted to $21.3 million, an increase from $10.3 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to investments in company-owned restaurants.
  • The company plans to remodel over 100 Applebee's restaurants, aiming for two-thirds of the portfolio to be completed by the end of 2027, with a focus on improving company operations, remodeling incentives, and dual-brand initiatives.

Better Bets vs. Dine Brands Global (DIN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DIN.

Unique Key

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DINDRIEATTXRHBLMNCAKEMedian
NameDine Bra.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca. 
Mkt Price35.76218.01171.21187.677.2363.49117.35
Mkt Cap0.525.37.512.50.63.05.2
Rev LTM86612,5765,6885,8343,9533,7114,821
Op Inc LTM1371,503608517135250383
FCF LTM88967456341100158249
FCF 3Y Avg86965318291111102201
CFO LTM1141,700738747277320529
CFO 3Y Avg1161,627543648339259441

Growth & Margins

DINDRIEATTXRHBLMNCAKEMedian
NameDine Bra.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca. 
Rev Chg LTM6.5%8.6%17.9%14.4%7.7%4.9%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.1%8.0%12.8%14.4%-2.9%5.2%6.6%
Rev Chg Q10.8%7.3%6.9%12.8%2.1%4.8%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.7%1.7%2.9%0.5%1.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%11.9%10.7%8.9%3.4%6.7%9.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.8%11.9%8.3%8.6%5.6%5.7%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%0.0%-0.2%-0.4%-0.5%0.1%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM13.1%13.5%13.0%12.8%7.0%8.6%12.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%13.9%10.8%12.6%8.5%7.2%11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%7.7%8.0%5.8%2.5%4.3%6.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%8.2%6.3%5.6%2.8%2.8%5.9%

Valuation

DINDRIEATTXRHBLMNCAKEMedian
NameDine Bra.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca. 
Mkt Cap0.525.37.512.50.63.05.2
P/S0.62.01.32.10.20.81.1
P/EBIT4.217.612.824.19.215.814.3
P/E14.922.516.628.5-10.718.417.5
P/CFO4.514.910.216.72.29.29.7
Total Yield12.8%7.1%6.0%4.2%0.1%7.2%6.6%
Dividend Yield6.1%2.7%0.0%0.7%9.5%1.8%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.3%4.6%7.1%2.8%10.3%4.8%6.0%
D/E3.20.30.20.13.60.70.5
Net D/E2.80.20.20.13.50.70.5

Returns

DINDRIEATTXRHBLMNCAKEMedian
NameDine Bra.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca. 
1M Rtn-1.3%7.7%7.0%2.5%3.0%10.2%5.0%
3M Rtn41.0%26.5%60.6%16.5%13.0%38.1%32.3%
6M Rtn76.0%9.9%12.6%8.2%14.1%4.1%11.2%
12M Rtn38.6%13.9%-0.5%8.3%-37.3%21.6%11.1%
3Y Rtn-45.3%63.5%325.9%95.5%-65.5%82.3%72.9%
1M Excs Rtn-3.6%7.0%6.4%3.3%4.3%10.8%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn43.9%20.1%63.7%13.6%9.3%32.4%26.2%
6M Excs Rtn65.4%0.6%3.7%0.4%2.4%-4.8%1.5%
12M Excs Rtn16.8%-2.4%-20.6%-7.7%-53.2%2.1%-5.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.6%-4.1%256.4%22.6%-132.9%4.0%-0.1%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchise706662632469651
Rental120116114106121
Financing34467
Company Restaurants2127146108131
Total831909896689910


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchise232    
Rental32    
Financing2    
Loss on disposition of assets1    
Company Restaurants-0    
Stock based compensation (unallocated)-10    
Amortization of intangible assets-11    
Depreciation and amortization (unallocated)-13    
Other General & Administrative (G&A) expenses (unallocated)-46    
Total188    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$35.76 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date07/12/1991 
Distance from 52W High-7.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.43$26.50
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA3.9%35.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.5%48.2%
Downside Capture-15.8580.82
Upside Capture179.57101.22
Correlation (SPY)22.1%40.9%
DIN Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.560.210.800.891.021.00
Up Beta-1.20-2.780.960.791.101.31
Down Beta1.481.190.461.411.030.98
Up Capture91%94%214%135%92%27%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10233268123352
Down Capture-58%-63%-1%2%93%101%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9172854125394

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DIN
DIN31.4%48.4%0.71-
Sector ETF (XLY)2.9%24.2%0.0645.7%
Equity (SPY)15.5%19.4%0.6240.8%
Gold (GLD)78.8%24.9%2.30-1.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.9%16.6%0.4018.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%16.5%0.1145.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.0%44.8%-0.5720.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DIN
DIN-9.5%43.9%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.6%23.7%0.2846.4%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.0%0.6742.5%
Gold (GLD)22.3%16.9%1.073.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.497.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1739.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.7%58.0%0.4717.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DIN
DIN-4.4%54.2%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.4%21.9%0.5650.2%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7449.5%
Gold (GLD)15.8%15.5%0.852.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.3917.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.0%20.7%0.2550.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)69.0%66.8%1.0814.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 123120253.1%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity14.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares15.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20253.5%3.5%35.7%
8/6/2025-6.4%-3.3%6.8%
3/5/20253.4%9.8%3.6%
11/6/202415.5%8.2%6.6%
8/7/2024-4.6%-2.9%-4.4%
5/8/2024-0.0%3.3%-10.4%
2/28/20240.7%7.6%1.1%
11/1/2023-9.9%-11.5%-11.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81110
# Negative1189
Median Positive3.5%5.1%8.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-7.5%-10.0%
Max Positive15.5%9.8%35.7%
Max Negative-9.9%-15.8%-79.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/05/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202103/02/202210-K

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Poulter, Martha DirectBuy1208202533.1665021,553234,567Form
2Dahl, Richard J DirectBuy1124202527.473,60098,88798,887Form
3Berk, Howard M DirectBuy1107202524.504,082100,0091,027,699Form
4Chang, Vance YuwenChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy821202521.102,34049,3741,142,143Form
5Peyton, John WChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy821202522.114,52399,9904,190,674Form