Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -312 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.3 Bil
  Key risks
CNC key risks include [1] securities lawsuits and an SEC investigation over alleged misleading statements, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.3 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -312 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
7 Key risks
CNC key risks include [1] securities lawsuits and an SEC investigation over alleged misleading statements, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Centene (CNC) stock has gained about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance Exceeded Expectations.

Centene projected an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of greater than $3.00 for the full year 2026, signaling a 40% year-over-year growth from $2.08 in 2025. This forward-looking guidance surpassed analyst expectations and indicated a clear path to improved profitability and stabilization in its core businesses.

2. Better-Than-Expected Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

The company reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 results, with revenue reaching $49.73 billion, an increase of 21.9% year-over-year, and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.08%. Additionally, Centene's adjusted diluted loss per share of -$1.19 was better than the consensus estimate of a loss of -$1.22.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.4% change in CNC stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253032026Change
Stock Price ($)39.3443.8211.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)185,857194,7774.8%
P/S Multiple0.10.16.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)491492-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution11.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNC11.4% 
Market (SPY)-0.4%5.5%
Sector (XLV)-0.6%25.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 50.9% change in CNC stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 37.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253032026Change
Stock Price ($)29.0443.8250.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)178,190194,7779.3%
P/S Multiple0.10.137.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4944920.4%
Cumulative Contribution50.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNC50.9% 
Market (SPY)5.8%10.1%
Sector (XLV)14.6%26.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.7% change in CNC stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253032026Change
Stock Price ($)58.1643.82-24.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)163,071194,77719.4%
P/S Multiple0.20.1-38.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5004921.8%
Cumulative Contribution-24.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNC-24.7% 
Market (SPY)15.5%5.7%
Sector (XLV)6.6%30.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -35.9% change in CNC stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233032026Change
Stock Price ($)68.4043.82-35.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)144,547194,77734.7%
P/S Multiple0.30.1-58.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)56049213.9%
Cumulative Contribution-35.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNC-35.9% 
Market (SPY)78.1%8.7%
Sector (XLV)29.0%35.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CNC Return37%-0%-10%-18%-32%8%-26%
Peers Return42%5%-4%-25%2%-12%-4%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNC Win Rate50%58%58%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%48%42%42%55%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNC Max Drawdown-3%-10%-25%-24%-58%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-15%-20%-30%-29%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UNH, ELV, CVS, MOH, HUM. See CNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/3/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven23 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven597 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,005 days1,480 days

Compare to UNH, ELV, CVS, MOH, HUM

In The Past

Centene's stock fell -37.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -37.0% loss requires a 58.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Centene (CNC)

Centene Corporation operates as a multi-national healthcare enterprise that provides programs and services to under-insured and uninsured individuals in the United States. Its Managed Care segment offers health plan coverage to individuals through government subsidized programs, including Medicaid, the State children's health insurance program, long-term services and support, foster care, and medicare-medicaid plans, which cover dually eligible individuals, as well as aged, blind, or disabled programs. Its health plans include primary and specialty physician care, inpatient and outpatient hospital care, emergency and urgent care, prenatal care, laboratory and X-ray, home-based primary care, transportation assistance, vision care, dental care, telehealth, immunization, specialty pharmacy, therapy, social work, nurse advisory, and care coordination services, as well as prescriptions and limited over-the-counter drugs, medical equipment, and behavioral health and abuse services. This segment also offers various individual, small group, and large group commercial healthcare products to employers and directly to members. The company's Specialty Services segment provides pharmacy benefits management services; nurse advice line and after-hours support services; vision and dental services, as well as staffing services to correctional systems and other government agencies; and services to Military Health System eligible beneficiaries. This segment offers its services and products to state programs, correctional facilities, healthcare organizations, employer groups, and other commercial organizations. The company provides its services through primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, and ancillary providers. Centene Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Centene is like Humana, but for Medicaid and Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace plans.

Centene is like a UnitedHealth Group focused predominantly on government-sponsored healthcare programs.

Centene is like the public sector arm of a major health insurer (e.g., Cigna or Elevance Health).

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  • Medicaid Managed Care: Centene administers comprehensive health plans for individuals and families eligible for state Medicaid programs.
  • Medicare Advantage Plans: Centene offers privately administered health plans for Medicare-eligible individuals, providing integrated medical and pharmacy benefits.
  • Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace Plans: Centene provides health insurance plans to individuals and families through government-regulated exchanges established by the Affordable Care Act.
  • Pharmacy Benefits Management (PBM): Centene manages prescription drug programs, including formulary development, drug utilization review, and claims processing for its health plans and other clients.
  • Correctional Healthcare Services: Centene delivers comprehensive physical and behavioral healthcare services to incarcerated populations in state and and county correctional facilities.

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Centene (Symbol: CNC) - Major Customers

Centene (Symbol: CNC) primarily sells its healthcare services and managed care solutions to government entities, rather than directly to individuals or traditional public companies. These government entities contract with Centene to administer and manage various government-sponsored healthcare programs. As such, these primary customers do not have public stock symbols. Here are the major categories of its customers:
  • State Governments: Centene contracts with numerous state governments across the United States to provide managed care services for Medicaid beneficiaries. These contracts represent a significant portion of Centene's revenue.
  • Federal Government (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services - CMS): Centene contracts with CMS to offer Medicare Advantage plans and Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (Part D) to eligible individuals. CMS also provides oversight for the Health Insurance Marketplace (ACA) plans where Centene is a major participant.
  • U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) / Military Health System (TRICARE): Through its subsidiary, Health Net Federal Services, LLC, Centene has served as a managed care contractor for the TRICARE program, providing healthcare services to military service members, retirees, and their families in specific regions.

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Sarah M. London, Chief Executive Officer

Sarah M. London became the Chief Executive Officer of Centene in March 2022. Before this, she served as Centene's Vice Chairman, where her responsibilities included strategy, technology, ancillary services, enterprise compliance and quality, and Centene's portfolio of independent, non-health plan companies. She also held the role of Senior Vice President of Technology Innovation and Modernization. Ms. London joined Centene in 2020. Prior to her tenure at Centene, she was an Operating Partner at Optum Ventures, the venture capital arm of UnitedHealth Group, where she led investments in early-stage healthcare startups. She also served as Chief Product Officer for Optum Analytics, and joined Optum after its acquisition of Humedica, a clinical analytics start-up where she led client services and operations. Her early career included positions at Accretive Health (now R1 RCM) and Health Leads.

Drew Asher, Chief Financial Officer

Drew Asher was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Centene in May 2021. He joined Centene in January 2020 in conjunction with the acquisition of WellCare, where he had been Executive Vice President, Specialty. Before joining Centene, Mr. Asher served as Chief Financial Officer of WellCare Health Plans for six years, starting in October 2014. Prior to WellCare, he held senior finance positions at Aetna. He spent nearly 15 years at Coventry Health Care, most recently as Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance, and was promoted to CFO after Coventry was acquired by Aetna in 2013. Mr. Asher began his career as an auditor at Deloitte & Touche LLP.

Brent Layton, President and Chief Operating Officer

Brent Layton serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of Centene. He joined Centene in 2006. Before becoming President and COO, he was the Executive Vice President of Markets, Products, International, and Chief Business Development Officer for over 15 years. Mr. Layton previously ran a managed care consulting firm and established a diverse group of healthcare companies.

Shannon Bagley, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer

Shannon Bagley is the Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer at Centene Corporation. She joined Centene in 2003. Ms. Bagley spent nearly ten years leading the Internal Audit and Enterprise Risk Management teams and held various executive positions in Home State Health, Integration Management, and Human Resources prior to her current role.

Colin Toney, Executive Vice President of Mergers & Acquisitions

Colin Toney joined Centene's executive team as the Executive Vice President of Mergers & Acquisitions in July 2021. In this role, he is responsible for acquisitions, divestitures, investments, joint ventures, and other partnerships for Centene. Mr. Toney has been involved in significant acquisitions for the company, including Wellcare, Magellan, and HealthSmart.

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Centene (CNC) faces several key risks to its business, primarily driven by legal and regulatory challenges, uncertainties in government healthcare programs, and persistent issues with rising medical costs.

  1. Legal and Regulatory Headwinds & Significant Financial Underperformance: Centene is currently grappling with ongoing securities class action lawsuits and investigations by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). These legal challenges stem from allegations of misleading statements regarding enrollment growth, morbidity rates, and accounting irregularities within its Medicaid and pharmacy benefit management (PBM) operations. The company has experienced lower-than-expected enrollment and higher medical costs in its Marketplace states, leading to substantial revenue shortfalls, a reported loss in Q2 2025, the withdrawal of its 2025 financial guidance, and a significant drop in its stock price.
  2. Policy and Subsidy Uncertainty in Government Healthcare Programs: A substantial portion of Centene's business relies on government-sponsored healthcare programs, including Medicaid, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace. This dependence exposes the company to significant risks from potential shifts in healthcare laws and regulations. Key concerns include the possible expiration or reduction of ACA exchange subsidies, ongoing Medicaid redeterminations that can affect enrollment numbers, and the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) on Medicare Part D, which introduces increased underwriting risks and market volatility for 2025 bids. Such policy changes can materially affect Centene's membership, revenue, and overall profitability.
  3. Increasing Medical Costs and Challenges in Profitability: Centene continues to face challenges in controlling escalating medical costs, particularly within its ACA Exchange market and Medicaid segments, with notable increases in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs. This trend, coupled with declining margins and significant goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges, indicates ongoing struggles to translate revenue growth into consistent and sustainable profitability, posing a substantial threat to the company's financial health.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to Centene is the increasing shift by state governments towards **alternative value-based care models and direct contracting with provider networks for their Medicaid populations, potentially diminishing the traditional role and profitability of large private managed care organizations.**

This trend is emerging due to:

  1. **Intensified Focus on Cost Control and Accountability:** Post-pandemic and following the large-scale Medicaid redeterminations, states are under heightened pressure to demonstrate cost-effectiveness, improve health outcomes, and ensure transparency in their Medicaid programs. This leads to a re-evaluation of current managed care models.
  2. **Growth of Provider-Led Risk Models:** Integrated health systems and large Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) are increasingly capable and willing to take on financial risk directly from state governments to manage patient populations, potentially bypassing the need for a traditional MCO as the primary intermediary. This allows states to potentially cut administrative costs associated with MCOs and exert more direct control over care delivery.
  3. **State-Specific Innovations:** A growing number of states are exploring or implementing hybrid models or direct contracting strategies for parts of their Medicaid programs, moving away from a sole reliance on broad MCO contracts. These initiatives aim to foster more direct partnerships between the state and care providers, with a focus on specific outcomes and value.

This represents a structural shift in how government healthcare programs could be administered, analogous to how new delivery models disrupted Blockbuster or how new service models impacted traditional taxis, by offering a potentially more direct, efficient, or value-driven alternative to the established system.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Centene Corporation (NYSE: CNC) primarily operates in the U.S. managed healthcare market, offering a spectrum of products and services. The addressable markets for its main offerings are sized as follows:

  • Medicaid Managed Care: As of July 2022, approximately 72 million Medicaid enrollees in the United States received their care through risk-based Managed Care Organizations (MCOs). The total Medicaid enrollment in the U.S. peaked at 94.5 million in April 2023.
  • Medicare Advantage: In 2025, the Medicare Advantage market in the United States saw a record 34.5 million individuals enrolled. This represents over half, or 54%, of the eligible Medicare population as of 2024, with 32.8 million people enrolled.
  • Affordable Care Act (ACA) Health Insurance Marketplace: The U.S. Affordable Care Act Marketplace recorded a high of 24.3 million people enrolled in health plans for 2025. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) reported 24.2 million consumers selected plan year 2025 coverage through the Marketplaces.
  • TRICARE: The U.S. Department of Defense's healthcare delivery system, TRICARE, served approximately 9.4 million beneficiaries in 2018. In 2023, TRICARE continued to cover around 9.4 million beneficiaries across its various plans, including TRICARE Prime, TRICARE Select, and Medicare-eligible beneficiaries (TRICARE For Life), serving individuals in the U.S. and globally.

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Centene Corporation (CNC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives across its core business segments:

  1. Growth and Margin Recovery in the Medicaid Business: Centene, a significant provider in the Medicaid sector, is actively pursuing strategies to stabilize and improve profitability. This includes focusing on rate advocacy, implementing cost containment measures, and enhancing operational efficiencies within its Medicaid programs. The company expects Medicaid profitability to remain consistent with 2025 levels, driven by these ongoing efforts.
  2. Expansion and Enhanced Profitability in the Marketplace (ACA) Business: The Marketplace segment has demonstrated robust revenue growth. Centene is strategically repricing its Marketplace offerings for 2026 to achieve increased profitability. This aligns with a broader market expectation of significant expansion in the ACA Marketplace.
  3. Targeted Growth in Medicare Advantage and Prescription Drug Plan (PDP) Segments: Centene is strategically expanding its presence in the Medicare Advantage and PDP markets, particularly by focusing on dual-eligible beneficiaries who qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid. The company is working towards achieving breakeven in its Medicare segment by 2027, with anticipated margin improvements in 2026.
  4. Focus on Dual-Eligible Population and Integrated Care: Leveraging its extensive Medicaid footprint, Centene sees substantial growth opportunities in better serving and aligning care for individuals eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. Regulatory changes, such as the mandate for integrated care by 2030, further enhance Centene's advantage in this complex population.

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Share Repurchases

  • Centene's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program with a total authorization of up to $10,000 million, which included a $4,000 million increase in 2023.
  • As of December 31, 2024, Centene had $2,230 million remaining available under its stock repurchase program.
  • The company repurchased shares worth $3,113 million in 2024, $1,633 million in 2023, and $3,096 million in 2022, primarily funded by divestiture proceeds and free cash flow.

Share Issuance

  • Centene reported proceeds from common stock issuances of $29 million in the third quarter of 2025, and $37 million for the first nine months of 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Politan Capital Management acquired a $900 million stake in Centene in December 2021.

Outbound Investments

  • Centene acquired Magellan Health for a total enterprise value of $2.2 billion in January 2021.
  • The company acquired PANTHERx Rare in December 2020 and Apixio in November 2020.
  • Centene divested two pharmacy organizations, Magellan Rx and PANTHERx Rare, for a total of $2.8 billion in 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Centene spent $644 million on capital expenditures in 2024 and $799 million in 2023.
  • These capital expenditures were primarily focused on system enhancements and computer hardware.
  • For 2025, Centene plans to spend approximately $700 million on capital expenditures, mainly for system enhancements.

Better Bets vs. Centene (CNC)

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%
CNC_7312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312025CNCCenteneDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
67.2%72.2%-3.3%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNCUNHELVCVSMOHHUMMedian
NameCentene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Molina H.Humana  
Mkt Price43.82289.21284.0380.49144.81181.58163.19
Mkt Cap21.5262.062.8102.27.321.842.3
Rev LTM194,777435,159199,125402,06745,426126,362196,951
Op Inc LTM-31226,357-10,385781-5,583
FCF LTM4,32117,3723,1747,807-6371,5473,748
FCF 3Y Avg3,69518,9684,8308,1764937324,263
CFO LTM5,08820,9584,29010,639-5352,0454,689
CFO 3Y Avg4,43222,4436,05311,0575901,4645,242

Growth & Margins

CNCUNHELVCVSMOHHUMMedian
NameCentene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Molina H.Humana  
Rev Chg LTM19.4%10.5%12.6%7.8%11.7%9.9%11.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.6%11.4%8.4%7.7%12.5%11.4%11.0%
Rev Chg Q21.9%12.2%9.5%8.2%8.3%11.1%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%2.9%2.2%2.0%2.0%2.6%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-0.2%6.1%-2.6%1.7%-2.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.3%7.7%-3.1%3.5%-3.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.2%--0.1%-1.3%--1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.6%4.8%2.2%2.6%-1.2%1.6%2.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%5.8%3.4%2.9%1.8%1.4%2.8%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%4.0%1.6%1.9%-1.4%1.2%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.2%4.9%2.7%2.2%1.5%0.8%2.2%

Valuation

CNCUNHELVCVSMOHHUMMedian
NameCentene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Molina H.Humana  
Mkt Cap21.5262.062.8102.27.321.842.3
P/S0.10.60.30.30.20.20.2
P/EBIT-3.610.07.719.59.49.39.3
P/E-3.214.911.157.815.616.915.2
P/CFO4.212.514.69.6-13.710.710.1
Total Yield-31.0%9.7%11.5%5.1%6.4%7.9%7.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%2.4%3.3%0.0%2.0%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%4.7%5.2%9.7%1.2%-0.1%4.9%
D/E0.80.30.50.80.50.60.6
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.10.7-0.6-0.4-0.1

Returns

CNCUNHELVCVSMOHHUMMedian
NameCentene UnitedHe.Elevance.CVS Heal.Molina H.Humana  
1M Rtn1.2%0.8%-17.8%8.0%-19.4%-7.0%-3.1%
3M Rtn12.9%-10.3%-14.2%4.6%-0.8%-24.7%-5.5%
6M Rtn47.9%-5.1%-10.9%10.4%-21.0%-41.0%-8.0%
12M Rtn-25.2%-36.6%-26.8%28.8%-52.2%-29.6%-28.2%
3Y Rtn-36.6%-36.2%-36.8%10.5%-48.4%-62.5%-36.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.9%2.6%-16.1%9.8%-17.6%-5.2%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn11.9%-11.2%-15.6%1.5%-1.9%-25.4%-6.5%
6M Excs Rtn45.4%-11.0%-15.4%6.3%-25.4%-45.3%-13.2%
12M Excs Rtn-39.1%-52.1%-41.5%12.7%-66.4%-46.4%-44.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-109.4%-108.6%-109.5%-66.3%-121.3%-134.7%-109.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Medicaid101,417100,75993,151  
Commercial33,70224,84517,380  
Medicare23,03222,26122,484  
Other/Eliminations4,9206,13411,532  
Managed Care   120,119106,862
Specialty Services   5,8634,253
Total163,071153,999144,547125,982111,115


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.82 
Market Cap ($ Bil)21.5 
First Trading Date12/13/2001 
Distance from 52W High-31.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$42.83$39.38
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA2.3%11.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility40.7%59.9%
Downside Capture-15.0129.28
Upside Capture63.75-5.37
Correlation (SPY)4.0%5.6%
CNC Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.09-0.000.220.380.170.24
Up Beta-3.42-2.27-2.10-2.060.090.23
Down Beta3.881.581.121.510.250.16
Up Capture15%26%82%112%-1%3%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days11243572132387
Down Capture-88%-63%-2%-10%37%63%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days10172551117361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNC
CNC-23.1%59.8%-0.16-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.7%17.4%0.2230.1%
Equity (SPY)15.6%19.3%0.635.6%
Gold (GLD)79.3%26.1%2.22-2.7%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.1%0.80-9.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%16.6%0.169.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.7%45.2%-0.32-3.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNC
CNC-5.5%37.7%-0.04-
Sector ETF (XLV)8.1%14.5%0.3740.9%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.0%0.6118.7%
Gold (GLD)22.8%17.3%1.08-0.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.0%0.461.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1621.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.7%56.8%0.342.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNC
CNC4.6%37.6%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.8%16.5%0.5451.2%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7437.4%
Gold (GLD)14.9%15.6%0.80-1.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.1%17.6%0.4311.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.5%20.7%0.2833.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.5%66.8%1.064.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 131202613.0%
Average Daily Volume7.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity491.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/6/2026-1.1%5.5% 
10/29/2025-6.2%-1.3%1.5%
7/25/20256.1%-2.6%9.9%
4/25/20253.1%4.3%-0.1%
2/4/2025-0.9%-6.4%-3.0%
10/25/2024-4.0%-1.1%-4.3%
7/26/20240.5%6.8%6.3%
4/26/2024-0.2%1.1%-1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative121212
Median Positive3.1%2.8%6.3%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.1%-3.8%
Max Positive10.3%12.3%19.9%
Max Negative-6.2%-7.0%-11.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Burdick, Kenneth ADirectSell1205202539.0433,2111,296,55711,913,482Form
2Burdick, Kenneth ADirectSell1205202539.0032,7961,279,04410,622,232Form
3London, SarahChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy811202525.5019,230490,36521,554,512Form
4Samuels, Theodore R Iifamily trustBuy729202527.629,000248,580883,840Form