Tearsheet

Confluent (CFLT)


Market Price (2/21/2026): $30.73 | Market Cap: $12.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Confluent (CFLT)


Market Price (2/21/2026): $30.73
Market Cap: $12.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -380 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 192x
2   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.7%
5   Key risks
CFLT key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustainable profitability due to significant ongoing losses and heavy spending, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -380 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 192x
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.7%
7 Key risks
CFLT key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustainable profitability due to significant ongoing losses and heavy spending, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Confluent (CFLT) stock has gained about 30% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. IBM Acquisition at a Significant Premium: On December 8, 2025, IBM announced its intent to acquire Confluent in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $11 billion, offering $31.00 per share. This represented a substantial 34% premium over Confluent's trading price at the time of the announcement. The deal is expected to close by mid-2026, with major hurdles, such as the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act waiting period, clearing on January 12, 2026, signaling a smooth path toward completion. Additionally, Confluent's largest shareholders, representing about 62% of the voting power, have already agreed to vote in favor of the transaction.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Confluent reported robust financial results for its third quarter of 2025 on October 27, 2025, just before the analyzed period. The company exceeded analyst expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.10. Quarterly revenue also outperformed, reaching $298.52 million against an estimated $292.69 million. Key highlights included a 24% year-over-year jump in Confluent Cloud revenue and a significant expansion of the non-GAAP operating margin to 9.7%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.5% change in CFLT stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252212026Change
Stock Price ($)23.3730.7331.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1131,1674.8%
P/S Multiple7.310.645.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)346402-13.9%
Cumulative Contribution31.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CFLT31.4% 
Market (SPY)1.1%12.7%
Sector (XLK)-6.3%20.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 73.4% change in CFLT stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 86.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252212026Change
Stock Price ($)17.7330.7373.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0651,1679.6%
P/S Multiple5.710.686.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)341402-15.2%
Cumulative Contribution73.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CFLT73.2% 
Market (SPY)9.4%20.2%
Sector (XLK)7.4%29.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.5% change in CFLT stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252212026Change
Stock Price ($)29.6830.733.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9161,16727.4%
P/S Multiple11.210.6-5.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)346402-13.9%
Cumulative Contribution3.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CFLT3.4% 
Market (SPY)15.6%39.8%
Sector (XLK)22.6%42.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.0% change in CFLT stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 117.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120232212026Change
Stock Price ($)23.1030.7333.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5371,167117.2%
P/S Multiple12.110.6-12.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)282402-29.8%
Cumulative Contribution33.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CFLT32.9% 
Market (SPY)75.9%36.5%
Sector (XLK)111.5%38.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CFLT Return69%-71%5%19%8%2%-32%
Peers Return44%-47%60%18%25%-12%59%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%0%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CFLT Win Rate71%33%42%33%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate67%27%65%53%52%20% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CFLT Max Drawdown-13%-77%-27%-20%-43%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-52%-8%-14%-23%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, SNOW, DDOG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCFLTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven474.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, SNOW, DDOG

In The Past

Confluent's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 474.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Confluent (CFLT)

Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. It offers Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native service for connecting and processing data; and Confluent Platform, an enterprise-grade self-managed software that connects and processes data in real-time with the foundational platform for data in motion. It also provides Kafka Connect that enables to build connectors to integrate Apache Kafka with other apps and data systems; ksqlDB, a database for stream processing applications; and stream governance, a solution that is designed for the intricacies of streaming data, which allows teams to expand usage of real-time data without bypassing requirements for risk management and regulatory compliance. In addition, it also offers training and professional services. The company was formerly known as Infinitem, Inc. and changed its name to Confluent, Inc. in September 2014. Confluent, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a couple of brief analogies to describe Confluent:

  • Databricks for real-time data streaming. (Confluent commercializes and enhances Apache Kafka, similar to how Databricks commercializes and enhances Apache Spark for data lakes and analytics.)

  • Red Hat for data streams. (Confluent provides enterprise-grade products and services built around the open-source Apache Kafka, much like Red Hat does for Linux and other open-source enterprise software.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Confluent Cloud: A fully managed, cloud-native service for Apache Kafka, enabling organizations to build and scale real-time data streaming applications without operational overhead.
  • Confluent Platform: An enterprise-grade, self-managed software distribution of Apache Kafka for hybrid and on-premises environments, providing advanced features for data governance, security, and management.
  • ksqlDB: A purpose-built streaming database for Apache Kafka that allows developers to build real-time applications and perform stream processing using SQL.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Confluent (CFLT)

Confluent primarily operates as a business-to-business (B2B) company, providing its real-time data streaming platform based on Apache Kafka to other companies. Its customers span a wide range of industries, including financial services, retail, healthcare, technology, and manufacturing, all seeking to leverage real-time data for operational efficiency, enhanced customer experiences, and new product development.

While Confluent serves thousands of organizations globally and does not publicly disclose a definitive list of *all* its major customers due to the nature of its enterprise software business and client confidentiality, several prominent public companies have been highlighted in Confluent's case studies, earnings calls, or industry reports as significant users of its platform. Some examples include:

  • Capital One (Symbol: COF) - Financial Services
  • Nordstrom (Symbol: JWN) - Retail
  • Expedia Group (Symbol: EXPE) - Travel & Hospitality
  • Humana (Symbol: HUM) - Healthcare
  • Intuit (Symbol: INTU) - Financial Software

These companies utilize Confluent's platform to power various mission-critical applications, from fraud detection and personalized recommendations to supply chain optimization and real-time analytics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Confluent (CFLT) Major Suppliers:

  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Jay Kreps, Co-founder & CEO

Jay Kreps co-founded Confluent in 2014. He is also one of the original co-creators of Apache Kafka, an open-source streaming platform, which he developed while serving as a Principal Staff Engineer and technical lead for data systems at LinkedIn from 2007 to 2014. Prior to LinkedIn, he held software engineering roles at NexTag and Movaris. Confluent went public in June 2021.

Rohan Sivaram, Chief Financial Officer

Rohan Sivaram was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Confluent, effective August 16, 2023. He joined Confluent in October 2020 and previously led the company's FP&A, investor relations, treasury, and business operations teams. Before joining Confluent, Sivaram served as Senior Vice President of Finance at Palo Alto Networks for six years, where he contributed to scaling the company's revenue run rate significantly. His career also includes finance leadership roles at Symantec Corporation and Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

Ryan Mac Ban, Chief Revenue Officer

Ryan Mac Ban serves as the Chief Revenue Officer at Confluent.

Stephanie Buscemi, Chief Marketing Officer

Stephanie Buscemi joined Confluent in 2021 as Chief Marketing Officer, responsible for marketing strategies and brand growth. She has a rich background with senior marketing leadership roles at Salesforce and SAP, and is also noted for co-authoring "Driven to Perform".

Steve Deasy, Chief Technology Officer

Steve Deasy is the Chief Technology Officer at Confluent.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Confluent (CFLT) Business:
  1. Path to Sustainable Profitability: Confluent continues to report significant GAAP operating and net losses, with a Net Loss of $(345.1) million in fiscal year 2024 and ongoing GAAP losses projected through at least the next three years. Despite high gross margins, the company remains in a high-growth, high-spend phase, investing heavily, leading to concerns about when sustainable profitability will be achieved and how quickly operating leverage will materialize. High stock-based compensation further contributes to these losses.
  2. Competition and Customer Migration to Open-Source/Self-Managed Solutions: Confluent operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market. Its primary competition stems from open-source alternatives like Apache Kafka, the foundational technology Confluent is built upon, and offerings from major cloud service providers, such as Amazon MSK. There is a risk that customers may opt for self-managed solutions or open-source alternatives, directly impacting Confluent's cloud revenue and margins. For instance, in Q3 2025, a significant AI-native customer transitioned from Confluent Cloud to a self-managed solution, which is expected to reduce Q4 cloud revenue.
  3. Customer Cloud Optimization and Revenue Growth Concerns: Customer efforts to optimize cloud spending represent an ongoing operational risk for Confluent, potentially leading to revenue fluctuations and slower growth, particularly for Confluent Cloud. While the company's core investment thesis involves converting customers from its on-premise software to its cloud services, any slowdown or disappointment in cloud revenue growth, or customers choosing self-managed options, could challenge this growth strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Increased Aggressiveness and Ecosystem Integration by Hyperscale Cloud Providers: AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud are continuously enhancing their native streaming services (e.g., AWS MSK/Kinesis, Azure Event Hubs, Google Cloud Pub/Sub) and integrating them more tightly and seamlessly with their vast array of other cloud services (databases, analytics, AI/ML platforms). This provides a compelling "single vendor" ecosystem advantage, potentially reducing the incentive for customers to adopt a third-party, specialized streaming platform like Confluent Cloud, particularly for those deeply committed to a single cloud provider. The convenience, perceived cost savings through consolidated billing/discounts, and reduced architectural complexity of staying within a hyperscaler's integrated ecosystem represent an emerging threat that leverages the cloud providers' immense market power and platform breadth.

Emergence of Unified Data Platforms (e.g., Lakehouse Architectures): Platforms like Databricks and Snowflake are increasingly expanding their capabilities to unify batch and real-time data processing (e.g., Databricks' Delta Live Tables and Structured Streaming, Snowflake's streaming and task features). As these unified "lakehouse" or "data cloud" architectures mature and simplify real-time data ingestion and processing, they could reduce the perceived need for a separate, dedicated real-time streaming platform like Confluent for many analytical and operational use cases. Enterprises might opt for these unified platforms to consolidate their data infrastructure, simplify their architecture, and reduce vendor complexity, potentially displacing some of the roles traditionally served by Kafka-centric solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Confluent (NASDAQ: CFLT) addresses a significant and growing global market for its data streaming products and services. The total addressable market (TAM) for Confluent's main products, primarily focused on data streaming and governance built on Apache Kafka, has been estimated by various sources: * Confluent itself believes the global addressable market for data streaming and governance exceeds $100 billion. * In Q1 2025, the data streaming opportunity, critical for AI, real-time analytics, and hybrid cloud infrastructure, was cited as a $60 billion total addressable market. * Analysts estimated Confluent's total addressable market at $51.6 billion in 2022, projected to grow at a 14% five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to $98.4 billion by 2027. * Earlier estimates indicated the total addressable market was over $50 billion, with projections to grow to $90 billion or more by 2024, driven by a 22% CAGR. This market encompasses application infrastructure and middleware, database management services, data integration tools, data quality tools, analytics, and business intelligence. * Confluent also projected its total addressable market opportunity to grow from $50 billion in 2021 to $91 billion by 2024, at a 22% annual growth rate. These market sizes are consistently cited as global.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Confluent (CFLT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Expansion of Confluent Cloud and Data Streaming Platform (DSP) Adoption: Confluent Cloud remains a primary growth engine, consistently showing significant year-over-year revenue increases. The company is actively shifting its focus to its cloud-based Data Streaming Platform (DSP), which it considers a crucial driver for future growth. New product offerings within the DSP, such as Tableflow and enhanced support for Apache Flink, are expected to contribute to this expansion.
  2. Growth in Customer Base and Increased Adoption by Existing Customers: Confluent continues to demonstrate strong customer acquisition, adding a notable number of new clients, including those with Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) exceeding $1 million. The company's net dollar retention rate of 117% signifies robust expansion within its existing customer base, indicating that current customers are increasing their usage and spending on Confluent's platform.
  3. Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Expansion: Confluent is actively pursuing strategic partnerships to broaden its market reach and integrate its data streaming capabilities across various ecosystems. Collaborations with major players like Databricks and Jio Platforms are anticipated to enhance real-time data integration for AI-driven applications and expand its presence in key international markets, such as India. The company has also committed significant investment to supercharge its global partner ecosystem.
  4. Leveraging AI Workloads and Product Innovation: Confluent is focused on enabling customers to build next-generation applications and capitalize on the opportunities presented by artificial intelligence. Recent product innovations and enhancements, including Confluent Intelligence, Real-Time Context Engine, and Streaming Agents, are designed to support and accelerate AI workloads, improve data context training, and facilitate real-time analytics, thereby driving new use cases and demand.
  5. Geographical Expansion: A stated component of Confluent's growth strategy involves expanding its geographical footprint. An example of this is the strategic partnership with Jio Platforms Limited, aimed at making Confluent Cloud available on Jio cloud services and the Confluent Platform as a managed service in India.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions (2020-2025)

Share Repurchases

  • Confluent has demonstrated a negative 3-Year Share Buyback Ratio of -7.00% as of June 2025, indicating share issuance rather than repurchases.
  • The 3-Month Share Buyback Ratio was also negative, at -1.21% as of June 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Confluent's shares outstanding significantly increased from 0.28 billion in 2022 to 0.301 billion in 2023 (a 7.37% increase) and 0.322 billion in 2024 (a 7.03% increase).
  • For the quarter ending September 30, 2025, shares outstanding were 0.346 billion, marking a 6.75% year-over-year increase.
  • In December 2021, Confluent announced the pricing of $1.0 billion in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027, with an initial conversion rate of 9.9936 shares of Class A common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes, potentially leading to future share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2025, Confluent, Inc. acquired Warpstream Labs, Inc.
  • Net acquisitions/divestitures for the twelve months ending June 30, 2025, were reported at -$0.231 billion, reflecting a significant increase in acquisition activity.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Confluent were $14.46 million in 2022, increasing to $20.68 million in 2023.
  • Estimated capital expenditures are projected to be $4.428 million for 2025 and $5.672 million for 2026.
  • Over the last five years, Confluent has invested more than 3 million engineering hours into Confluent Cloud, focusing on developing a "10x better Kafka service".

Better Bets vs. Confluent (CFLT)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CFLTAMZNMSFTGOOGLSNOWDDOGMedian
NameConfluentAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet SnowflakeDatadog  
Mkt Price30.73210.01397.05315.41172.37115.72191.19
Mkt Cap12.42,249.22,950.53,808.358.540.31,153.9
Rev LTM1,167716,924305,453402,8374,3873,212154,920
Op Inc LTM-38079,975142,559129,039-1,504-4339,966
FCF LTM387,69577,41273,2667698654,280
FCF 3Y Avg-2624,26371,62971,84273169812,497
CFO LTM64139,514160,506164,71387498870,251
CFO 3Y Avg-2113,446129,579130,58682278957,134

Growth & Margins

CFLTAMZNMSFTGOOGLSNOWDDOGMedian
NameConfluentAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet SnowflakeDatadog  
Rev Chg LTM21.1%12.4%16.7%15.1%28.5%26.6%18.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.9%11.7%14.4%12.5%33.2%28.0%20.2%
Rev Chg Q20.5%13.6%16.7%18.0%28.7%28.4%19.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%3.7%4.0%4.5%6.6%6.5%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-32.6%11.2%46.7%32.0%-34.3%-1.3%4.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-44.4%9.4%45.3%30.5%-38.0%-1.1%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.2%0.1%0.4%-0.2%3.1%-0.8%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM5.5%19.5%52.5%40.9%19.9%30.8%25.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.5%17.5%48.5%36.6%24.3%30.3%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM3.3%1.1%25.3%18.2%17.5%26.9%17.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.9%3.9%27.2%20.5%21.6%26.8%21.1%

Valuation

CFLTAMZNMSFTGOOGLSNOWDDOGMedian
NameConfluentAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet SnowflakeDatadog  
Mkt Cap12.42,249.22,950.53,808.358.540.31,153.9
P/S10.63.19.79.513.312.610.1
P/EBIT-32.522.619.823.9-44.0295.421.2
P/E-41.929.024.728.8-43.4377.926.8
P/CFO192.316.118.423.167.040.832.0
Total Yield-2.4%3.5%4.9%3.7%-2.3%0.3%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.4%1.3%2.3%3.0%1.2%1.5%1.4%
D/E0.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

Returns

CFLTAMZNMSFTGOOGLSNOWDDOGMedian
NameConfluentAmazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet SnowflakeDatadog  
1M Rtn0.7%-10.4%-11.8%-4.6%-18.4%-11.8%-11.1%
3M Rtn48.2%-4.8%-15.7%5.3%-26.3%-26.6%-10.3%
6M Rtn72.7%-8.2%-21.4%53.3%-12.4%-11.8%-10.0%
12M Rtn-0.9%-3.0%-2.0%76.2%-3.1%-3.3%-2.5%
3Y Rtn25.3%119.2%61.6%246.7%14.4%44.7%53.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-9.7%-10.9%-4.4%-17.0%-6.8%-8.2%
3M Excs Rtn31.2%-10.0%-23.7%6.6%-36.7%-38.8%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn71.5%-14.2%-29.1%50.4%-19.5%-18.0%-16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-20.0%-19.8%-15.8%58.4%-20.1%-22.7%-19.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.4%43.6%-17.3%168.5%-66.2%-31.7%-24.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single segment777   
Confluent Cloud 2119431
Confluent Platform - License 766949
Confluent Platform - Post-contract Customer Support, Maintenance and Upgrades (PCS) 248184128
Services 514128
Total777586388237


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$30.70 
Market Cap ($ Bil)10.6 
First Trading Date06/24/2021 
Distance from 52W High-4.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$30.34$24.08
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.2%27.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility61.8%66.9%
Downside Capture-186.04163.65
Upside Capture86.07138.37
Correlation (SPY)-1.7%43.8%
CFLT Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.06-0.570.771.001.501.68
Up Beta0.19-0.550.64-0.621.461.21
Down Beta0.240.872.412.021.801.93
Up Capture1%71%102%205%156%716%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10233161124379
Down Capture-27%-398%-68%39%126%112%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days8162660122365

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CFLT
CFLT-8.4%67.0%0.15-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.0%27.5%0.5546.7%
Equity (SPY)13.5%19.4%0.5344.0%
Gold (GLD)74.5%25.6%2.151.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%16.9%0.2515.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.7%0.2426.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.7%44.9%-0.6522.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CFLT
CFLT-7.5%76.8%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLK)16.1%24.8%0.5949.6%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6248.1%
Gold (GLD)22.6%17.1%1.083.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.468.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1731.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.4%57.1%0.3527.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CFLT
CFLT-3.8%76.8%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.3%24.2%0.8849.6%
Equity (SPY)16.1%17.9%0.7748.1%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.793.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.408.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.0%20.7%0.3031.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.0%66.7%1.0727.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520269.8%
Average Daily Volume7.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity402.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/11/20260.0%0.7% 
10/27/20257.6%6.2%-1.1%
7/30/2025-32.9%-34.7%-24.1%
4/30/2025-18.4%-14.2%-3.3%
2/11/202525.1%10.4%-14.3%
10/30/202413.4%17.6%33.7%
7/31/2024-17.5%-24.1%-16.5%
5/7/202412.8%10.2%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12127
# Negative7711
Median Positive13.1%11.1%33.7%
Median Negative-18.4%-28.5%-14.3%
Max Positive34.1%39.5%73.1%
Max Negative-42.1%-36.7%-58.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mac, Ban Ryan NorrisChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell1223202529.961,21836,49110,058,531Form
2Mac, Ban Ryan NorrisChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell1223202529.963,05391,4689,967,063Form
3Phan, KongChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1223202529.964,545136,1686,606,330Form
4Kreps, Edward JayCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell1216202530.04506,00015,200,24010,194,585Form
5Kreps, Edward JayCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell1216202530.10232,5006,998,25010,214,947Form