Dauch (AXL)
Market Price (3/3/2026): $6.41 | Market Cap: $760.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Dauch (AXL)
Market Price (3/3/2026): $6.41Market Cap: $760.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0% | |
| Key risksAXL key risks include [1] a product portfolio heavily concentrated on internal combustion engine components vulnerable to the industry's EV transition, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0% |
| Key risksAXL key risks include [1] a product portfolio heavily concentrated on internal combustion engine components vulnerable to the industry's EV transition, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Dauch reported robust Q4 2025 operating results and provided strong 2026 guidance, exceeding expectations. The company announced full-year adjusted EBITDA of $743 million, representing a 12.7% margin, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53 for 2025, both meeting previous targets. For 2026, Dauch projected consolidated sales between $10.3 billion and $10.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion, signaling expected margin improvement.
2. The successful closure of the Dowlais acquisition in early February 2026 significantly boosted investor confidence. This transformational acquisition is anticipated to generate approximately $300 million in synergies, with more than $100 million in run-rate savings expected by the end of year one, and an additional $50 million to $75 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2026. Regulatory approvals, including from China's State Administration for Market Regulation, were secured by late January 2026, paving the way for the merger's completion.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.1% change in AXL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.57 | 6.04 | -8.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,834 | 5,834 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.6 | 17.1 | -8.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 119 | 119 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXL | 37.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.4% | 12.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.3% | 32.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.8% change in AXL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.82 | 6.04 | 3.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,833 | 5,834 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.7% | 0.7% | -1.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.2 | 17.1 | 5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 119 | 119 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.8% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXL | 54.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.8% | 30.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.1% | 36.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.8% change in AXL stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.96 | 6.04 | 21.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,125 | 5,834 | -4.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.6% | 0.7% | 25.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.7 | 17.1 | 2.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118 | 119 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXL | 81.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 48.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.6% | 49.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.4% change in AXL stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.80 | 6.04 | -31.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,802 | 5,834 | 0.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.1% | 0.7% | -35.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.7 | 17.1 | 8.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 115 | 119 | -3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AXL | 2.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.1% | 45.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.9% | 44.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AXL Return | 12% | -16% | 13% | -34% | 10% | 40% | 8% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -14% | 3% | -1% | 59% | 26% | 99% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AXL Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 71% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AXL Max Drawdown | -5% | -30% | -18% | -37% | -47% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -33% | -15% | -25% | -20% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DAN, BWA, MGA, CMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AXL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 300.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 311 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 252.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 10448.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DAN, BWA, MGA, CMI
In The Past
Dauch's stock fell -50.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -50.5% loss requires a 102.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Dauch (AXL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Dauch (AXL):
- The Intel of automotive axles and driveline systems.
- The Cummins of automotive axles and driveline components.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Driveline Systems: Provides axles, driveshafts, and electric driveline systems that transmit power from the engine to the vehicle's wheels.
- Metal Forming Products: Manufactures forged and machined components such as shafts and gears for automotive and industrial applications.
- Powertrain Components: Offers differentials, transfer cases, and disconnected all-wheel-drive (AWD) systems essential for vehicle power transmission.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Accel Entertainment, Inc. (AXL)
Please note: While the request specified "Dauch (symbol: AXL)", the publicly traded company associated with the symbol AXL is Accel Entertainment, Inc. This response is based on Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (AXL) is a leading gaming-as-a-service provider in the United States, primarily operating video gaming terminals (VGTs) in third-party establishments such as bars, restaurants, taverns, convenience stores, and truck stops. While Accel Entertainment contracts with these businesses to host its terminals, its revenue is ultimately generated by individuals playing these machines. Therefore, the company primarily serves individual customers.
Below are up to three categories of individual customers that Accel Entertainment serves:
-
Patrons of Hospitality Venues: This category includes adult individuals (typically aged 21 and over) who frequent bars, restaurants, taverns, and fraternal organizations that host Accel's video gaming terminals. These customers often engage with the games for entertainment, social enjoyment, or a casual gaming experience while dining or socializing.
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Travelers and Local Shoppers at Convenience Stores and Truck Stops: Individuals making stops at convenience stores and truck stops for fuel, supplies, or a break also constitute a significant customer category. They may play the gaming terminals for a quick diversion, to pass time during travel, or as a form of local entertainment.
-
Dedicated Local Players: This segment comprises regular players who frequently visit specific Accel-enabled locations specifically to engage with the video gaming terminals. These customers often view it as a consistent form of local entertainment or a recreational gambling activity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
David C. Dauch, Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive OfficerDavid C. Dauch joined American Axle & Manufacturing (AAM) in 1995 and has served as Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer since 2013, following his appointment as President & Chief Executive Officer in 2012 and President & Chief Operating Officer in 2009. He possesses nearly 40 years of experience in the automotive industry, having started his career as a Manufacturing Co-op student with the former Chrysler Corporation in 1982 and later holding various operations and sales positions at Collins & Aikman Products Company from 1987. His late father, Richard E. Dauch, was a co-founder of AAM.
Christopher J. May, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial OfficerChristopher J. May was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of AAM in August 2015, although other sources indicate he has held this role since 2023. He started at AAM in 1994 as a Financial Analyst and progressed through numerous financial roles including Manager Financial Reporting, Finance Manager, Director Internal Audit, Assistant Treasurer, and Treasurer. Before joining AAM, Mr. May worked as a Senior Accountant for Ernst & Young from 1991 to 1994. He holds a CPA designation.
Michael J. Lynch, President & Chief Operating OfficerMichael J. Lynch assumed the role of President & Chief Operating Officer in December 2022. He began his career at AAM in 1996 as a Financial Analyst. Over the years, he has held increasing responsibilities in financial and operational positions, including Supervisor, Cost Estimating; various Finance Manager roles; Director, Driveline Finance; Controller; Vice President, Finance & Controller; and President - Driveline. Prior to AAM, he started his automotive career with Concord Design.
Terri M. Kemp, Senior Vice President - Human Resources & SustainabilityTerri M. Kemp joined AAM in 1996 as a Productivity Manager. She has held various manufacturing and human resources management positions within the company, including Production Coordinator, Industrial Engineer Manager, Area Manager, Personnel Director, and Director of Human Resources. Before her tenure at AAM, Ms. Kemp began her manufacturing career as a Shift Supervisor at Corning Incorporated.
Tolga I. Oal, President - DrivelineTolga I. Oal joined AAM in 2015 as President - AAM North America (Vice President – AAM Corporate). Before joining AAM, Mr. Oal served as Vice President of Global Electronics at TRW Automotive from 2012, where he also held various manufacturing and management positions, including Director of Operations and Director of Finance. Earlier in his career, he held leadership roles in engineering, sales, purchasing, and finance at Siemens VDO Automotive/Continental.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Dauch's business include:
- Acquisition Integration Risks: Dauch is in the process of acquiring Dowlais Group, which presents integration risks that could impact operational efficiency. Additionally, delays in securing regulatory approvals, particularly antitrust clearances in key markets such as Brazil, Mexico, and China, pose a significant risk to the acquisition's timeline and successful completion.
- Financial Health: The company's financial health is challenged by high leverage and low profitability margins.
- Cyclical Nature of the Automotive Industry: Dauch operates within the automotive industry, which is inherently cyclical. This cyclicality can lead to fluctuations in demand for the company's products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXL) stems from the rapid and transformative shift towards **Electric Vehicles (EVs) and evolving automotive manufacturing processes.**
While EVs still require coatings, the specific demands and market dynamics are changing significantly:
- **Shifting Material Substrates:** EVs frequently utilize new lightweight materials such as advanced aluminum alloys and composites for battery enclosures and body panels. These materials often require specialized coating formulations for optimal adhesion, corrosion protection, and thermal management, which could disrupt demand for traditional coating products and necessitate significant R&D investment.
- **Potential Impact on Refinish Market:** The long-term proliferation of EVs, coupled with advancements in autonomous driving technology, could theoretically lead to a decrease in vehicle collision rates. This trend, if it materializes, could gradually erode demand in Axalta's highly profitable automotive refinish segment.
- **New OEM Landscape and Priorities:** The emergence of new EV manufacturers (many of whom are digital-native or highly innovative) may lead to different priorities for coatings, such as a stronger emphasis on sustainability, unique application methods, or cost structures. These new entrants might also be less tied to traditional supplier relationships, creating opportunities for competitors or requiring Axalta to adapt its engagement strategies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The main products and services for Dauch (formerly American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc., symbol: AXL) include driveline and metal forming technologies that support electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. These technologies encompass axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, electric and hybrid drive systems, and various engine, transmission, and driveline components.
The addressable markets for these products and services are as follows:
Global Driveline Market
- In 2024, the global driveline market was valued at approximately USD 28.45 billion and is projected to reach USD 113.19 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.38% from 2025 to 2035.
- Another estimate places the global driveline market size at USD 29.34 billion in 2024, with a projection to grow to USD 109.01 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 15.7% from 2026 to 2033.
- A different source reported the global automotive driveline market size was estimated at approximately USD 56.7 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 94.5 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 6.0%.
- North America is expected to generate the highest demand in the driveline market, while the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to experience the fastest growth during the forecast period.
Global Automotive Powertrain Market
- The global automotive powertrain market size was valued at USD 1,062 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach around USD 4,605 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 15.80% from 2025 to 2034.
- Another report valued the global automotive powertrain market at USD 875.92 billion in 2024, with an anticipation to reach approximately USD 3804.52 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 15.82% from 2025 to 2034.
- In 2024, Asia Pacific commanded 45% of the global automotive powertrain market. The Asia Pacific automotive powertrain market size was evaluated at USD 543.07 billion in 2024 and is predicted to be worth around USD 2370.22 billion by 2034, rising at a CAGR of 15.87% from 2025 to 2034.
- North America holds 25% of the global automotive powertrain market in 2024. The U.S. automotive drivetrain market is projected to reach USD 42.24 billion by 2026.
Global Electric Vehicle Driveline Market
- The global electric vehicle driveline market size was valued at USD 13.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% between 2024 and 2032.
- The U.S. region accounted for over 70% of the electric vehicle driveline market share in 2023 and is expected to exceed USD 5.5 billion by 2032.
- The Driveline Electric Vehicle Market was valued at USD 2.74 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 5.07 billion by 2029.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dauch Corporation (formerly American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. - AXL) is positioned for future revenue growth through several key strategic initiatives and market trends over the next two to three years.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Strategic Combination with Dowlais Group plc: The planned acquisition of Dowlais Group plc is a "transformational combination" that is expected to create a leading global driveline and metal-forming supplier with significant size, scale, and value creation potential. This merger is anticipated to expand Dauch's market share, diversify its product offerings, and enhance its global operational footprint, thereby driving increased revenue. The rebranding to Dauch Corporation is aligned with this strategic acquisition.
- Expansion in Electrification Products and Technologies: Dauch is actively investing in and developing its electric drive technology and electrification product portfolio. The company has received awards for its innovative electric vehicle (EV) technology and has secured contracts to supply major global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) with components for electric vehicles. This focus on the rapidly growing EV market, including supplying electric drive units for vehicles like the Mercedes-AMG GT 63 S E PERFORMANCE, is expected to be a significant driver of new revenue streams.
- Growth in Next-Generation Full-Size Truck Axle Programs: Dauch has secured substantial contracts, valued at over $10 billion, for next-generation full-size truck axle programs with multiple customers. These long-term agreements are crucial for securing the company's core business until 2030 and beyond, indicating sustained and growing revenue from these foundational programs as new truck models launch and demand continues.
- Increased Volume and Mix in Key Programs: Recent financial results indicate that positive volume mix and other factors are contributing to sales growth. Strong performance in key programs, such as GM's midsize truck (T1XX platform) and a Chery SUV in China, has driven year-over-year sales increases. Continued strength and potentially higher production volumes in these established and recently launched successful programs are expected to contribute to future revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM) expects to issue new shares of common stock in connection with its proposed acquisition of Dowlais Group plc, with AAM stockholders having approved related proposals on July 15, 2025.
- AAM intends to seek a secondary listing and admission of these new shares to trading on the London Stock Exchange.
Outbound Investments
- In January 2025, AAM announced an agreement to acquire Dowlais Group plc for $1.44 billion through a recommended cash and share offer.
- This transformational strategic combination is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and shareholder votes.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, American Axle & Manufacturing is targeting capital spending of approximately 5% of sales.
- Expected capital expenditures, net of proceeds from asset sales, for the full year 2025 are approximately $280 million.
- In the first quarter of 2025, capital expenditures (net) were $68.7 million, with a primary focus on upcoming launches, particularly for next-generation truck platforms.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | SAH | Sonic Automotive | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.9% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 02132026 | MAT | Mattel | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | SONO | Sonos | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 02062026 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| Rev LTM | 14,316 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,322 |
| FCF LTM | 1,208 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 834 |
| CFO LTM | 1,648 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,476 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.3 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 9.8 |
| P/E | 27.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 26.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 42.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 89.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 28.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 67.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Driveline | 4,177 | 4,064 | 3,376 | 4,550 | |
| Metal Forming | 2,454 | 2,281 | 1,652 | 1,845 | |
| Corporate and Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Intersegment sales | -552 | -542 | -317 | -669 | |
| Casting | 0 | ||||
| Total | 6,080 | 5,802 | 4,711 | 5,726 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Driveline | 2,554 | 2,542 | 2,926 | 3,036 | 3,779 |
| Metal Forming | 1,789 | 1,900 | 1,577 | 1,680 | 1,900 |
| Corporate and Eliminations | 1,013 | 1,027 | 1,200 | 966 | |
| Other | 1,133 | ||||
| Total | 5,356 | 5,469 | 5,636 | 5,916 | 6,645 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/29/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.04 | $5.62 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 27.8% | 60.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Downside Capture | -146.45 | 112.73 |
| Upside Capture | 186.49 | 161.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 9.8% | 48.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.47 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 1.07 | 1.27 | 1.40 |
| Up Beta | -0.01 | 1.53 | 1.89 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Down Beta | 0.07 | 0.37 | 0.01 | 1.91 | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| Up Capture | 2% | 159% | 132% | 163% | 200% | 269% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 4 | 15 | 25 | 58 | 120 | 355 |
| Down Capture | -168% | -163% | -87% | 41% | 105% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 1 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 106 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXL | 83.6% | 53.4% | 1.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.6% | 24.1% | 0.21 | 49.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 19.3% | 0.63 | 48.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 79.3% | 26.1% | 2.22 | -1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.1% | 0.80 | 21.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 16.6% | 0.16 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -18.7% | 45.2% | -0.32 | 19.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXL | -1.3% | 52.8% | 0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.4% | 23.7% | 0.27 | 48.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 48.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.8% | 17.3% | 1.08 | 2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 42.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.7% | 56.8% | 0.34 | 19.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AXL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXL | -4.5% | 59.4% | 0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.2% | 21.9% | 0.55 | 51.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 53.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.9% | 15.6% | 0.80 | -0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.1% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 22.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.5% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 43.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.5% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 13.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | 6.2% | 1.0% | -2.6% |
| 8/8/2025 | 15.3% | 27.1% | 33.0% |
| 5/2/2025 | 5.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| 1/29/2025 | 3.2% | -2.3% | -5.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | 8.8% | 1.0% | 10.0% |
| 8/9/2024 | 4.8% | 1.9% | -5.8% |
| 5/3/2024 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% |
| 2/16/2024 | -3.2% | -17.1% | -20.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 4.9% | 18.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -11.0% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 39.9% | 27.1% | 116.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.2% | -21.7% | -57.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/11/2022 | 10-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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