Arvinas (ARVN)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $13.3 | Market Cap: $973.6 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Arvinas (ARVN)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $13.3Market Cap: $973.6 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 102% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -59% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -106% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 87% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% | ||
| Key risksARVN key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the success of lead asset vepdegestrant, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -112%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 102% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -59% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -106% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 87% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% |
| Key risksARVN key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the success of lead asset vepdegestrant, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Regulatory Progress for Vepdegestrant. Arvinas reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025, with an EPS of -$0.48 against an estimated -$0.75 and revenue of $41.90 million, surpassing the $29.36 million consensus. Accompanying this, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted the New Drug Application (NDA) for vepdegestrant, Arvinas's investigational oral PROTAC estrogen receptor degrader for breast cancer, assigning a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) action date of June 5, 2026. This dual positive news indicated strong operational execution and a clear path toward potential market approval for a key pipeline asset.
2. Positive Clinical and Preclinical Pipeline Updates. During this period, Arvinas also released encouraging data from its broader pipeline. In November 2025, the company presented positive Phase 1 clinical data for ARV-102, a LRRK2 degrader for Parkinson's disease, demonstrating significant LRRK2 reduction in both peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), along with evidence of brain penetration. Furthermore, Arvinas presented preclinical data for ARV-806, a PROTAC KRAS G12D degrader, highlighting its robust and differentiated activity in models of KRAS G12D-mutated cancer. These updates reinforced the potential of Arvinas's PROTAC platform and diversified its value proposition beyond vepdegestrant.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.1% change in ARVN stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.14 | 13.29 | 31.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 373 | 312 | -16.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 3.1 | 56.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 73 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARVN | 31.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.7% | 18.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.4% | 26.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 78.6% change in ARVN stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 146.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.44 | 13.29 | 78.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 427 | 312 | -26.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 3.1 | 146.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 72 | 73 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 78.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARVN | 78.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.1% | 12.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.4% | 30.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.5% change in ARVN stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.61 | 13.29 | -24.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 312 | 93.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.9 | 3.1 | -60.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 72 | 73 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARVN | -24.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.8% | 33.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -59.4% change in ARVN stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -77.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.77 | 13.29 | -59.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 127 | 312 | 146.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 13.8 | 3.1 | -77.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 53 | 73 | -27.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -59.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARVN | -59.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 27.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.7% | 32.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARVN Return | -3% | -58% | 20% | -53% | -38% | 14% | -84% |
| Peers Return | -19% | -68% | 88% | 14% | 100% | 3% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARVN Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 51% | 33% | 45% | 40% | 52% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARVN Max Drawdown | -31% | -60% | -59% | -57% | -68% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -77% | -53% | -34% | -54% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KYMR, NRIX, OLMA, GLUE, CCCC. See ARVN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARVN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 660.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 181.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 120 days |
Compare to KYMR, NRIX, OLMA, GLUE, CCCC
In The Past
Arvinas's stock fell -86.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/29/2021. A -86.8% loss requires a 660.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Arvinas (ARVN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
The CRISPR Therapeutics of protein degradation.
A biotech company pioneering a new class of drugs, similar to how Moderna introduced mRNA technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Veavintinib (ARV-471): An investigational oral PROTAC estrogen receptor (ER) degrader for the treatment of ER-positive (ER+) / HER2-negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer.
- Bavdegalutamide (ARV-110): An investigational oral PROTAC androgen receptor (AR) degrader targeting metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).
- ARV-766: An investigational PROTAC androgen receptor (AR) degrader being developed for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), particularly for patients with AR mutations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Arvinas (ARVN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. Its business model revolves around developing novel therapeutics, primarily through collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies. Therefore, Arvinas sells primarily to other companies, not directly to individuals. The major customers (partners) of Arvinas are:-
Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
Pfizer is Arvinas's overwhelmingly primary customer and collaboration partner. For example, in 2023, revenue from their collaboration with Pfizer accounted for 100% of Arvinas's total revenue. This multi-target collaboration focuses on the discovery and development of PROTAC® protein degraders for various therapeutic areas. Revenue is generated through upfront payments, research funding, milestone payments, and potential future royalties on any successfully commercialized products. -
Bayer AG (BAYRY)
Bayer has also been a significant collaboration partner for Arvinas, particularly in oncology. While its contribution to Arvinas's total revenue has been less significant in the most recent periods compared to Pfizer, it has historically been a major customer through collaboration agreements for the development of protein degraders. Revenue from this partnership similarly includes upfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
John G. Houston, Ph.D. Chairperson, Chief Executive Officer, and President
Dr. John Houston has over 35 years of experience in the pharmaceutical and biotech industries. He joined Arvinas in January 2017 as President of Research and Development and Chief Scientific Officer, becoming President and CEO in September 2017 and Chairperson in 2023. Prior to Arvinas, he spent over 18 years at Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS), where he served as Senior Vice President of Specialty Discovery, overseeing all Discovery Biology disease teams and various Discovery technology departments. At BMS, he was a member of the R&D Executive Leadership team and chaired the Target Portfolio Committee. Earlier in his career, he worked at Glaxo Wellcome Research and Development in the UK as head of the Lead Discovery Unit.
Andrew Saik Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Andrew Saik has more than 20 years of biopharma finance experience and has participated in over 40 successful mergers and acquisition transactions. He joined Arvinas as CFO, Treasurer, and Principal Financial Officer in June 2024. Before Arvinas, Mr. Saik served as Chief Financial Officer at Intercept Pharmaceuticals, where he led the recapitalization of the balance sheet by selling the international division for $450 million and repurchasing $390 million in convertible debt. He was also CFO of Vyne Therapeutics from 2020 to 2021, where he led the buildout of the finance department, renegotiated debt obligations, and helped raise over $135 million. His prior positions include CFO roles at PDS Biotechnology, Vertice Pharma, and Auxilium Pharmaceuticals, and Senior Vice President of Finance and Treasurer at Endo Health Solutions.
Noah Berkowitz, M.D., Ph.D. Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Noah Berkowitz was appointed Chief Medical Officer of Arvinas in March 2024, overseeing clinical development for the company's PROTAC protein degrader programs in oncology and neuroscience. He brings over two decades of experience, having previously served as Senior Vice President, Development Unit Head, Hematology at Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS). Before his tenure at BMS, he was Vice President and Clinical Development Head for Hematology at Novartis.
Angela M. Cacace, Ph.D. Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Angela Cacace was promoted to Chief Scientific Officer in June 2024, succeeding Dr. Ian Taylor. She joined Arvinas in 2018 as Vice President of Neuroscience and Platform Biology and later served as Senior Vice President, Neuroscience and Platform Biology. Dr. Cacace has over two decades of drug discovery experience in neuroscience and oncology research. Her prior experience at Pfizer focused on oncology antibody drug discovery efforts.
Ian Taylor, Ph.D. Chair of Scientific and Advisory Board (previously President of Research and Development)
Dr. Ian Taylor is the Chair of Arvinas' Scientific and Advisory Board and previously served as President of Research and Development and Chief Scientific Officer. He joined Arvinas in 2016 as Vice President of Pharmacology and Translational Medicine. Prior to Arvinas, he spent nearly 10 years at Pfizer Oncology, most recently as an Early Development Team Leader, where he led cross-functional drug development teams for Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical trials in cancer. Before Pfizer, Dr. Taylor worked at Bayer Healthcare Pharmaceuticals, holding positions including Vice President of Cancer Biology, where he led small molecule drug discovery for cancer therapeutics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Arvinas's business include:
- High Dependence on Vepdegestrant Amidst Partnership Changes and Market Competition: Arvinas's core strategic risk revolves around the success and commercialization of its flagship asset, vepdegestrant. The original 50-50 co-commercialization agreement with Pfizer for vepdegestrant has been restructured, leading to Arvinas's decision to out-license commercialization rights to a third party. This move, coupled with Pfizer's reduced financial and operational commitment, introduces uncertainty regarding the drug's broad market potential. The termination of two advanced Phase 3 combination trials with Pfizer agents narrows vepdegestrant's target market to ESR1 mutant patients as monotherapy, as it missed the Intent-to-Treat (ITT) endpoint in VERITAC-2. Furthermore, the Selective Estrogen Receptor Degrader (SERD) market is highly competitive, requiring Arvinas to demonstrate clear differentiation for vepdegestrant against other existing and emerging treatments.
- Continued Unprofitability and Significant Cash Burn: As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Arvinas is currently unprofitable, characterized by negative operating and net margins. While the company maintains a strong cash position, projected to fund operations into the second half of 2028, it faces ongoing negative operating cash flow, estimated at nearly $400 million annually. Arvinas's revenue is heavily reliant on strategic alliances and milestone payments, leading to inherent volatility rather than predictable product sales. High research and development (R&D) expenses and multiple parallel development programs contribute to this cash burn, posing risks of dilution and prioritization challenges if its lead product or new partnerships underperform.
- Clinical Trial and Regulatory Approval Uncertainties: Arvinas faces inherent risks associated with the uncertain outcomes of its clinical trials and the complex regulatory approval processes for its pipeline candidates. The New Drug Application (NDA) for vepdegestrant, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date of June 5, 2026, represents a high-stakes, binary event for the company. The success of its earlier-stage pipeline, including programs like KRAS G12D, BCL6, and LRRK2, remains high-risk and unvalidated outside breast cancer. Moreover, regulatory delays could significantly impact the timeline for market entry. The company has also faced potential securities litigation due to stock price volatility and questions regarding the adequate disclosure of clinical trial risks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Arvinas's main products in development and their addressable markets are as follows:
- Vepdegestrant (ARV-471): This investigational oral PROTAC estrogen receptor degrader is being developed for the treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic estrogen receptor (ER) positive / human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) negative (ER+/HER2-) breast cancer. The total market size for metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer in the 7 major markets (the United States, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and Japan) was approximately USD 10 billion in 2023, with projections for growth by 2034.
- Bavdegalutamide (ARV-110): An investigational oral PROTAC androgen receptor (AR) degrader, Bavdegalutamide is being developed for the treatment of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). The annual revenue for Bavdegalutamide in the U.S. is projected to reach $60 million by 2035. Another estimate indicates a potential annual revenue of $104 million in the U.S. by 2035.
- ARV-766 (Luxdegalutamide): This second-generation PROTAC androgen receptor degrader is designed for individuals with prostate cancer, including metastatic castration-sensitive and castration-resistant prostate cancer (CSPC/CRPC). The addressable patient population for ARV-766 could be up to 120,000 patients with metastatic CSPC/CRPC. The market for androgen receptor-targeted therapies, which includes ARV-766, in the leading markets (the US, EU4, UK, and Japan) is expected to grow significantly by 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Arvinas (ARVN)
- Commercialization of Vepdegestrant: A key driver of future revenue growth is the potential approval and commercialization of vepdegestrant, an investigational oral PROTAC estrogen receptor protein degrader for ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer. The FDA accepted the New Drug Application (NDA) for vepdegestrant, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date set for June 5, 2026. Arvinas and Pfizer are actively seeking a third-party commercialization partner to maximize its market potential, which could generate significant revenue through sales and partnership agreements.
- Advancement of Clinical Pipeline: Arvinas has a robust pipeline of PROTAC degraders beyond vepdegestrant, including ARV-102 for Parkinson's disease, ARV-806 for KRAS G12D-mutated cancers, ARV-027 for spinal and bulbar muscular atrophy (SBMA), and ARV-393 for non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). Positive clinical trial data, regulatory milestones, and progression of these early-stage programs through development are expected to drive future revenue through potential licensing deals, milestone payments, and eventual commercialization.
- Strategic Collaborations and Licensing Agreements: Arvinas has a history of forming strategic collaborations, such as its partnership with Pfizer for vepdegestrant and previous agreements with other pharmaceutical companies. Future collaborations and licensing deals for its innovative PROTAC platform technology or specific drug candidates, potentially involving upfront payments, research funding, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales, are anticipated to be significant contributors to revenue growth.
- Expansion and Validation of the PROTAC Platform: The successful regulatory submission and potential approval of vepdegestrant would serve as a major validation of Arvinas's proprietary PROTAC (PROteolysis TArgeting Chimera) protein degradation platform. Continued innovation and expansion of this platform to address new therapeutic targets and disease areas, including its ability to develop orally bioavailable degraders that can cross the blood-brain barrier, could attract further partnerships and investments, thereby fueling future revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Arvinas's Board authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million.
- As of the end of September (2025), approximately 2.56 million shares have been repurchased at an average price of $7.91 per share.
- The share repurchase program is discretionary, has no time limit, and is funded by the company's working capital.
Share Issuance
- In December 2020, Arvinas completed a public offering of 5,714,286 shares of common stock at $70 per share, raising $400 million.
- In July 2021, Pfizer made a $350 million equity investment in Arvinas, receiving approximately 3.5 million newly issued shares of common stock.
Inbound Investments
- In July 2021, Arvinas entered into a global collaboration with Pfizer for ARV-471, receiving a $650 million upfront payment and a $350 million equity investment.
- Arvinas is eligible to receive up to $400 million in approval milestones and up to $1 billion in commercial milestones from the Pfizer collaboration.
- In April 2024, Arvinas announced a global license agreement with Novartis for the development and commercialization of ARV-766.
Outbound Investments
- Arvinas has made no investments or acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $6.80 million in 2022, $2.90 million in 2023, and $1.70 million in 2024.
- Arvinas projects its current cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities will be sufficient to fund planned operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements into the second half of 2028.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Arvinas Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Arvinas Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arvinas (ARVN) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARVN Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Down 24% In A Month, Will Arvinas Stock Rebound? | 06/01/2022 | |
| Will Arvinas Stock Rebound After A 12% Drop In A Month? | 10/18/2021 | |
| Down Over 20% In A Month Can Arvinas Stock Rebound? | 04/14/2021 | |
| What’s Next For Arvinas After A Solid 2x Increase? | 01/13/2021 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 64 |
| Op Inc LTM | -142 |
| FCF LTM | -182 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -142 |
| CFO LTM | -181 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -137 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 54.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -26.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -340.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -383.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -20.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -297.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -284.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -313.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -305.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| P/EBIT | -7.5 |
| P/E | -10.1 |
| P/CFO | -4.7 |
| Total Yield | -6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -15.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 32.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 105.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 93.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 30.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.29 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/27/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -29.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.47 | $9.26 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.5% | 43.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 66.0% | 84.0% |
| Downside Capture | 10.69 | 151.59 |
| Upside Capture | 106.33 | 93.61 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.5% | 22.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.06 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.95 | 1.29 |
| Up Beta | 3.06 | 2.37 | 3.64 | 1.66 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 0.36 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Up Capture | 228% | 207% | 122% | 119% | 102% | 133% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 17 | 30 | 67 | 129 | 363 |
| Down Capture | -20% | 82% | -52% | -66% | 127% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 23 | 30 | 54 | 116 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARVN | -29.5% | 83.8% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.7% | 17.3% | 0.27 | 33.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 0.62 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.8% | 24.9% | 2.30 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.40 | 5.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.11 | 27.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.8% | -0.57 | 8.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARVN | -30.1% | 68.7% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.8% | 14.5% | 0.36 | 34.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 34.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 16.9% | 1.07 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 33.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 58.0% | 0.47 | 15.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARVN | -1.7% | 78.6% | 0.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.7% | 16.6% | 0.54 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 31.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.8% | 15.5% | 0.85 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 29.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.8% | 1.08 | 13.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.3% | 17.5% | 34.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | -15.5% | -10.8% | 0.0% |
| 5/1/2025 | -24.8% | -30.7% | -25.2% |
| 2/11/2025 | -6.8% | -1.7% | -52.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | 0.6% | -2.2% | -5.5% |
| 7/30/2024 | -2.5% | -10.3% | -7.3% |
| 5/7/2024 | 6.4% | -2.1% | -13.4% |
| 2/27/2024 | -1.6% | -4.8% | -16.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 5 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 17.5% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -5.1% | -16.5% |
| Max Positive | 9.0% | 33.9% | 79.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.8% | -30.7% | -52.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loomis, David K | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 11072025 | 9.89 | 230 | 2,275 | 313,483 | Form |
| 2 | Morrison, Briggs | Direct | Buy | 9242025 | 7.57 | 30,000 | 227,010 | 575,251 | Form | |
| 3 | Saik, Andrew | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6242025 | 7.61 | 5,700 | 43,377 | 1,251,092 | Form |
| 4 | Cacace, Angela M | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 6182025 | 7.49 | 2,583 | 19,347 | 1,155,318 | Form |
| 5 | Berkowitz, Noah | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 3182025 | 8.59 | 8,658 | 74,372 | 945,098 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.