Tearsheet

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $120.82 | Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $120.82
Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.0%
Key risks
ANF key risks include [1] managing brand relevance as evidenced by a 5% sales decline in its core Abercrombie brand and [2] navigating a projected $50 million net impact from trade tariffs.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.0%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Key risks
ANF key risks include [1] managing brand relevance as evidenced by a 5% sales decline in its core Abercrombie brand and [2] navigating a projected $50 million net impact from trade tariffs.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ANF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) experienced a significant stock movement of 29.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Exceptional Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance: Abercrombie & Fitch reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on November 25, 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.36 against a consensus of $2.14, and net sales reaching $1.29 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.28 billion. This strong financial performance led to a substantial surge in the stock price, including a +37.5% gain the day after the announcement, and the stock further drifted +29.8% higher in the subsequent 22 days. Concurrently, the company increased its full-year fiscal 2025 net sales growth outlook to 6%-7% (from a previous range of 5%-7%) and narrowed its diluted EPS guidance to $10.20-$10.50. This upward revision in guidance reinforced investor confidence and was perceived as a strong indicator for a record sales year in 2025.

2. Robust Sales Growth and Operational Efficiency: The company demonstrated impressive sales growth in Q3 2025, achieving record net sales of $1.3 billion, marking its 12th consecutive quarter of growth, primarily fueled by strong performances in the Americas and EMEA regions. The Hollister brand, in particular, saw a significant sales surge of 16%. This growth was complemented by strong operational efficiency, with the company showcasing a 12% operating margin, surpassing its previous profit expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ANF Return19%71%-34%285%69%-21%596%
Peers Return12%17%-24%55%12%21%109%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ANF Win Rate50%67%50%83%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate48%50%32%62%52%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ANF Max Drawdown-53%0%-59%-5%0%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-8%-44%-7%-22%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEO, URBN, LULU, RL, PVH. See ANF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventANFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven232.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven552 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven497.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,506 days1,480 days

Compare to TJX, URBN, AEO, GES, ROST


In The Past

Abercrombie & Fitch's stock fell -69.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -69.9% loss requires a 232.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

Better Bets than Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ANF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%18.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.9%11.9%-1.6%
ANF_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
38.4%38.4%-25.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%18.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.9%11.9%-1.6%
ANF_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
38.4%38.4%-25.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Abercrombie & Fitch

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ANFAEOURBNLULURLPVHMedian
NameAbercrom.American.Urban Ou.Lululemo.Ralph La.PVH  
Mkt Price121.0627.8481.33209.45362.5370.60101.19
Mkt Cap5.74.77.324.822.23.36.5
Rev LTM5,1815,3416,00011,0737,5718,8176,785
Op Inc LTM7192905722,4401,153656688
FCF LTM3851574031,128668442422
FCF 3Y Avg4683102811,343716508488
CFO LTM6214246331,8611,090584627
CFO 3Y Avg6595304912,025981707683

Growth & Margins

ANFAEOURBNLULURLPVHMedian
NameAbercrom.American.Urban Ou.Lululemo.Ralph La.PVH  
Rev Chg LTM7.6%-1.2%11.1%8.8%12.3%0.5%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.4%2.3%8.2%14.2%5.8%-0.5%7.0%
Rev Chg Q6.8%5.7%12.3%7.1%16.5%1.7%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%1.4%2.9%1.6%3.9%0.4%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM13.9%5.4%9.5%22.0%15.2%7.4%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.3%6.6%8.0%22.4%13.2%8.2%10.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.3%-0.0%-0.8%0.6%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.0%7.9%10.5%16.8%14.4%6.6%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%10.2%8.9%20.1%14.1%7.9%12.1%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%2.9%6.7%10.2%8.8%5.0%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%6.0%5.1%13.4%10.4%5.7%8.1%

Valuation

ANFAEOURBNLULURLPVHMedian
NameAbercrom.American.Urban Ou.Lululemo.Ralph La.PVH  
Mkt Cap5.74.77.324.822.23.36.5
P/S1.10.91.22.22.90.41.2
P/EBIT7.616.212.110.219.815.914.0
P/E10.922.614.914.325.99.814.6
P/CFO9.111.111.513.320.35.711.3
Total Yield9.2%5.4%6.7%7.0%4.8%10.3%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.3%9.3%6.6%4.3%6.1%10.6%7.9%
D/E0.20.40.20.10.11.30.2
Net D/E0.10.40.10.00.11.20.1

Returns

ANFAEOURBNLULURLPVHMedian
NameAbercrom.American.Urban Ou.Lululemo.Ralph La.PVH  
1M Rtn73.7%59.2%36.5%26.1%9.6%-3.1%31.3%
3M Rtn33.2%48.8%13.9%23.5%16.4%-18.4%19.9%
6M Rtn55.2%191.5%19.7%-7.9%38.1%9.3%28.9%
12M Rtn-21.0%77.1%51.3%-43.9%65.2%-31.8%15.2%
3Y Rtn460.2%113.3%223.9%-31.8%278.0%4.7%168.6%
1M Excs Rtn70.8%56.3%33.6%23.2%6.7%-6.0%28.4%
3M Excs Rtn35.8%54.3%10.7%18.7%16.1%-19.1%17.4%
6M Excs Rtn44.3%179.6%8.2%-20.6%21.4%-1.8%14.8%
12M Excs Rtn-33.7%55.5%34.5%-59.3%48.3%-48.6%0.4%
3Y Excs Rtn350.5%27.3%122.5%-108.2%176.8%-72.9%74.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment4,2813,698   
Abercrombie  1,5651,2911,465
Hollister  2,1481,8342,159
Total4,2813,6983,7133,1253,623


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,949,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.2%
Average Daily Volume3,448,309
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.73
Basic Shares Quantity46,842,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/26/20257.1%-0.3% 
8/28/2025-3.1%-1.2%-12.2%
5/29/2025-5.5%-4.2%-0.2%
3/6/20252.9%-9.2%-12.3%
11/27/20240.8%0.9%4.1%
8/29/20243.8%-7.9%-1.6%
5/30/2024-3.1%-1.5%3.4%
3/7/2024-7.2%-1.9%-6.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9810
# Negative151614
Median Positive2.9%8.5%8.5%
Median Negative-2.7%-7.0%-9.9%
Max Positive7.1%19.0%31.2%
Max Negative-9.5%-13.7%-30.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251205202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025905202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025331202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241206202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024906202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024401202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231204202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023327202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022328202210-K 1/29/2022