Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Market Price (4/3/2026): $92.28 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Market Price (4/3/2026): $92.28Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 9.0% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Key risksANF key risks include [1] managing brand relevance as evidenced by a 5% sales decline in its core Abercrombie brand and [2] navigating a projected $50 million net impact from trade tariffs. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 9.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Key risksANF key risks include [1] managing brand relevance as evidenced by a 5% sales decline in its core Abercrombie brand and [2] navigating a projected $50 million net impact from trade tariffs. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) stock has lost about 25% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakened Financial Outlook for Fiscal Year 2026.
Abercrombie & Fitch experienced significant stock depreciation following a downward revision of its financial outlook for fiscal year 2026, which overshadowed otherwise strong fourth-quarter 2025 results. On January 12, 2026, the stock plummeted nearly 18% after the company narrowed its fourth-quarter net sales growth forecast to 5%, falling short of the 5.8% Wall Street consensus, and adjusted its full-year growth outlook to "at least 6%" from a previous range of 6% to 7%. This negative sentiment was reinforced after the March 4, 2026, Q4 2025 earnings report, where despite beating EPS expectations ($3.68 actual vs. $3.56-$3.58 consensus) and meeting revenue targets ($1.67 billion), the stock declined by 7.8% on March 5, 2026. Investors reacted negatively to the fiscal 2026 revenue growth projection of 3% to 5%, a slowdown from 6% in the prior year, and a first-quarter 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $1.12 billion, which was below analyst estimates of $1.15 billion.
2. Increased Tariff Headwinds and Margin Pressure.
The company faced substantial pressure on its operating margins due to significant tariff-related expenses. Abercrombie & Fitch anticipated a $90 million impact from tariffs for fiscal year 2025 and warned of an additional $40 million in tariff-related expenses for fiscal year 2026, which is projected to reduce the full-year profit margin by approximately 70 basis points. In the fourth quarter of 2025, operating margin declined to 14.1% from 16.2% in the prior year, with tariffs contributing 360 basis points to this compression. The company also expects a 290 basis point decline in operating margin for the first quarter of 2026 due to tariffs.
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1. Weakened Financial Outlook for Fiscal Year 2026.
Abercrombie & Fitch experienced significant stock depreciation following a downward revision of its financial outlook for fiscal year 2026, which overshadowed otherwise strong fourth-quarter 2025 results. On January 12, 2026, the stock plummeted nearly 18% after the company narrowed its fourth-quarter net sales growth forecast to 5%, falling short of the 5.8% Wall Street consensus, and adjusted its full-year growth outlook to "at least 6%" from a previous range of 6% to 7%. This negative sentiment was reinforced after the March 4, 2026, Q4 2025 earnings report, where despite beating EPS expectations ($3.68 actual vs. $3.56-$3.58 consensus) and meeting revenue targets ($1.67 billion), the stock declined by 7.8% on March 5, 2026. Investors reacted negatively to the fiscal 2026 revenue growth projection of 3% to 5%, a slowdown from 6% in the prior year, and a first-quarter 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $1.12 billion, which was below analyst estimates of $1.15 billion.
2. Increased Tariff Headwinds and Margin Pressure.
The company faced substantial pressure on its operating margins due to significant tariff-related expenses. Abercrombie & Fitch anticipated a $90 million impact from tariffs for fiscal year 2025 and warned of an additional $40 million in tariff-related expenses for fiscal year 2026, which is projected to reduce the full-year profit margin by approximately 70 basis points. In the fourth quarter of 2025, operating margin declined to 14.1% from 16.2% in the prior year, with tariffs contributing 360 basis points to this compression. The company also expects a 290 basis point decline in operating margin for the first quarter of 2026 due to tariffs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.7% change in ANF stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 125.87 | 92.28 | -26.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,181 | 5,266 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.1% | 9.6% | -4.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.3 | 8.3 | -26.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 47 | 46 | 2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ANF | -26.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 15.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -9.4% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.9% change in ANF stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 85.55 | 92.28 | 7.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,100 | 5,266 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 9.6% | -9.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.5 | 8.3 | 10.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 46 | 4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ANF | 7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 20.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -9.6% | 30.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.8% change in ANF stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.37 | 92.28 | 20.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,949 | 5,266 | 6.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 9.6% | -15.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.8 | 8.3 | 22.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 46 | 10.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ANF | 20.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 36.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 10.2% | 42.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 232.5% change in ANF stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 12539.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.75 | 92.28 | 232.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,698 | 5,266 | 42.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.1% | 9.6% | 12539.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 484.9 | 8.3 | -98.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 46 | 7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 232.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ANF | 232.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 47.9% | 34.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ANF Return | 71% | -34% | 285% | 69% | -16% | -25% | 363% |
| Peers Return | 17% | -24% | 55% | 12% | 15% | -12% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ANF Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 32% | 62% | 52% | 55% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ANF Max Drawdown | 0% | -59% | -5% | 0% | -56% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -44% | -7% | -22% | -37% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AEO, URBN, LULU, RL, PVH. See ANF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ANF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 232.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 221 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 552 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 497.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,506 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AEO, URBN, LULU, RL, PVH
In The Past
Abercrombie & Fitch's stock fell -69.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -69.9% loss requires a 232.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
Abercrombie & Fitch Co., through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer. The company operates in two segments, Hollister and Abercrombie. It offers an assortment of apparel, personal care products, and accessories for men, women, and children under the Hollister, Abercrombie & Fitch, abercrombie kids, Moose, Seagull, Gilly Hicks, and Social Tourist brands. As of January 29, 2022, it operated approximately 729 retail stores in Europe, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, United States, and internationally. The company sells products through its stores; various third-party wholesale, franchise, and licensing arrangements; and e-commerce platforms. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
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1. Like Gap Inc., but focused on trendy casual apparel for teens and young adults.
2. Similar to American Eagle Outfitters, operating multiple brands for young, fashion-conscious consumers.
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- Apparel: Clothing items offered for men, women, and children under various brands.
- Personal care products: Items such as fragrances and body care products.
- Accessories: Supplemental fashion items that complement apparel.
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Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Based on its brand portfolio and product offerings, the company serves the following categories of customers:
- Teenagers and Young Adults: This category represents a significant portion of customers for brands like Abercrombie & Fitch, Hollister, and Social Tourist, which offer casual apparel and accessories tailored to current trends and lifestyles for this demographic.
- Children: The "abercrombie kids" brand specifically targets younger customers, offering a range of clothing and accessories for children.
- Consumers seeking intimates and loungewear: The Gilly Hicks brand focuses on intimates, loungewear, and sleepwear, primarily appealing to women and young women looking for comfortable and stylish options in these categories.
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Fran Horowitz, Chief Executive Officer
Fran Horowitz has served as Chief Executive Officer and a director on the Board of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. since February 2017. Her previous roles at the company include President and Chief Merchandising Officer for all brands (December 2015 to February 2017), a member of the Office of the Chairman (December 2014 to February 2017), and Brand President of Hollister (October 2014 to December 2015).
Robert Ball, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Robert Ball was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Abercrombie & Fitch Co., effective November 20, 2024. Before this promotion, he was the Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance, Investor Relations, and Treasury. Ball has nearly 22 years of experience with Abercrombie & Fitch Co., having held various finance leadership positions including CFO of the Abercrombie & Fitch and abercrombie kids brands. He began his career as a financial advisor at Merrill Lynch.
Scott Lipesky, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Scott Lipesky was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer in May 2023. Prior to this, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer from 2017 to 2023. Lipesky has been recognized for his instrumental role in evolving A&F Co.'s finance and strategy functions.
Samir Desai, Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Technology Officer
Samir Desai has held the position of Executive Vice President, Chief Digital and Technology Officer at Abercrombie & Fitch Co. since July 2021, a newly created role. He is responsible for leading the company's digital transformation strategy, including optimizing user experience, leveraging consumer data and analytics, and enhancing digital experiences across all brands. Before joining Abercrombie & Fitch Co., Mr. Desai was the Chief Technology Officer at Equinox, where he developed and executed the company's data strategy, launched a direct-to-consumer digital media business, and created omnichannel customer experiences. His career started as director of information technology at Intertex Apparel Group.
Greg Henchel, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Greg Henchel has been Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. since October 2018, and Executive Vice President since October 2021. He joined A&F from HSN, Inc., where he served as Chief Legal Officer for the multi-channel retailer. Before his tenure at HSN, Henchel was General Counsel at Tween Brands, Inc. Earlier in his career, he served as Assistant General Counsel at Cardinal Health, Inc. and began as a litigation associate at Jones Day.
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Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) faces several key risks inherent to the retail apparel industry and its global operations. The most significant risks include:Key Risks to Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)
- Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Impact on Consumer Spending: Abercrombie & Fitch's performance is highly dependent on consumer discretionary spending. Fluctuations in global economic conditions, such as inflation, unemployment rates, interest rates, and overall consumer confidence, can directly affect consumer purchasing habits and reduce demand for apparel and accessories. This macroeconomic uncertainty poses a significant threat to the company's sales and profitability.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Geopolitical Risks: The company relies heavily on foreign manufacturers for its merchandise, exposing it to risks associated with international trade. Potential disruptions in the global supply chain, including trade restrictions, tariffs, increased freight costs, and geopolitical conflicts (such as the uncertainty from ongoing hostilities in Ukraine), can lead to delays in merchandise deliveries, higher operational costs, and impact overall operational efficiency and financial performance.
- Intense Competition and Rapidly Changing Fashion Trends: The apparel retail industry is highly competitive and characterized by constantly evolving fashion trends and consumer preferences. Abercrombie & Fitch must continually anticipate and respond to these changes to maintain customer engagement and demand for its brands. Failure to adapt quickly to new trends or intense promotional activity from competitors can lead to reduced sales, pressure on pricing, inventory obsolescence, and erosion of market share and profitability.
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The proliferation and growing market share of ultra-fast fashion retailers (e.g., Shein, Temu) leveraging highly agile supply chains, data-driven design, and aggressive pricing strategies represent a clear emerging threat. These companies directly target the young, fashion-conscious demographic that Abercrombie & Fitch's brands, particularly Hollister and Abercrombie, traditionally serve. Their business model fundamentally challenges the speed, cost structure, and go-to-market strategy of traditional apparel retailers, potentially eroding market share and pricing power for established players.AI Analysis | Feedback
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) operates in the apparel, personal care products, and accessories markets.
Addressable Markets:
Apparel
- The global apparel market was valued at approximately $1.84 trillion in 2025.
- In the U.S., the apparel market size was estimated at $365.70 billion in 2025.
- The Asia Pacific region dominated the global apparel industry with a revenue share of 40.8% in 2025.
- Europe's apparel market accounted for 26.55% of the global revenue in 2025.
- The North American apparel market held a share of 22.5% in 2025.
- The Middle East & Africa apparel market is expected to reach $96.23 billion in 2025.
Personal Care Products
- The global beauty and personal care products market was valued at $552.0 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was estimated at $109.56 billion in 2025.
- Asia-Pacific dominated the global beauty and personal care products market, holding over 37.2% of the market share in 2025.
Accessories
- The global fashion accessories market size was valued at $1,143.52 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of $222.07 billion in 2024.
- The Asia Pacific region dominated the global fashion accessories market with a valuation of $436.18 billion in 2025.
- North America accounts for more than 35% of global fashion accessories consumption.
- Europe holds the second-largest share of the global fashion accessories market.
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Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategic initiatives: * International Market Expansion and Store Optimization: Abercrombie & Fitch is actively pursuing growth in international markets, specifically targeting the U.K., Germany, and the Asia-Pacific (APAC) regions. This includes opening new stores, remodeling, and right-sizing existing ones to enhance the customer experience and optimize its store footprint. The company added a net of 40 stores in fiscal year 2025. * Brand and Product Portfolio Expansion: The company plans to maximize opportunities for each of its brands, including Gilly Hicks, and to diversify its product pipeline. A key initiative involves a partnership with Haddad Brands for Abercrombie Kids to introduce infant and toddler categories by Fall/Back to School 2025. Hollister brands have also shown strong net sales growth. * Digital Transformation and E-commerce Acceleration: Abercrombie & Fitch is committed to accelerating its enterprise-wide digital revolution by investing in customer analytics and omni-channel growth. Digital sales comprised 44% of total sales in fiscal 2025. The company is also investing in AI to drive speed and efficiency within its digital operations. * Enhanced Customer Engagement and Marketing: The company focuses on "Knowing Their Customer Better and Wowing Them Everywhere" through increased global marketing investments and leveraging influencer marketing to build community and brand affinity. This approach is aimed at attracting and retaining customers across its digitally-native customer base.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Abercrombie & Fitch repurchased $450 million in shares in fiscal 2025, which represented an approximate 11% reduction in shares outstanding at the beginning of the year.
- The company has a $1.3 billion share repurchase program, with $1.1 billion remaining authorized as of Q1 2025.
- Abercrombie & Fitch plans to repurchase approximately $450 million in shares in fiscal 2026, with at least $100 million projected for the upcoming fiscal period.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 are expected to be in the range of $200 million to $225 million.
- Net cash used for investing activities, primarily reflecting capital expenditures, was $151 million in fiscal 2025. Capital expenditures for the period ending January 31, 2026, amounted to $236.1 million.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes continued international and channel expansion, investments in marketing, stores, people, digital capabilities, and opening new stores.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ANF.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 03132026 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 09122025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.4% | 4.4% | -25.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 84.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 6,999 |
| Op Inc LTM | 678 |
| FCF LTM | 458 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 541 |
| CFO LTM | 650 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 729 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 9.2 |
| P/E | 13.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 85.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 25.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $92.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/26/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -29.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $92.81 | $91.89 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.6% | 0.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.7% | 65.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| Upside Capture | -53.36 | 99.17 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.1% | 36.0% |
ANF Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.21 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| Up Beta | 0.81 | -0.66 | 0.91 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| Down Beta | 0.96 | 1.74 | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.16 | 1.38 |
| Up Capture | 53% | 73% | -56% | 90% | 111% | 236% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 30 | 64 | 121 | 385 |
| Down Capture | 103% | 71% | 120% | 75% | 105% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 33 | 62 | 130 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ANF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | 18.6% | 67.6% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 9.1% | 23.7% | 0.31 | 42.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 36.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | -13.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 27.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 15.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ANF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | 22.7% | 61.0% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.3% | 23.7% | 0.23 | 42.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 38.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | -3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 22.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 13.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ANF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | 13.7% | 60.9% | 0.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.0% | 21.9% | 0.50 | 42.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 38.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | -6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 12.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 29.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 9.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/4/2026 | -3.6% | -12.5% | -5.0% |
| 11/26/2025 | 7.1% | -0.3% | 32.3% |
| 8/28/2025 | -3.1% | -1.2% | -12.2% |
| 5/29/2025 | -5.5% | -4.2% | -0.2% |
| 3/6/2025 | 2.9% | -9.2% | -12.3% |
| 11/27/2024 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 4.1% |
| 8/29/2024 | 3.8% | -7.9% | -1.6% |
| 5/30/2024 | -3.1% | -1.5% | 3.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -7.0% | -7.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 19.0% | 32.3% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -12.5% | -15.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue Growth | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | Higher New | |||
| Q1 2026 Operating Margin | 7.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 EPS | 1.2 | 1.25 | 1.3 | Higher New | |||
| Q1 2026 Share Repurchases | 100.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | -38.5% | -2.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 6.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Operating Margin | 12.0% | 12.25% | 12.5% | -7.6% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 13.25% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 10.2 | 10.6 | 11 | 2.4% | Raised | Guidance: 10.3 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 450.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 450.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 200.00 Mil | 212.50 Mil | 225.00 Mil | -5.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 225.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/26/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue Growth | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | -16.7% | -1.0% | Lower New | Actual: 6.0% for Q3 2025 |
| Q4 2025 Operating Margin | 14.0% | 21.7% | 2.5% | Higher New | Actual: 11.5% for Q3 2025 | ||
| Q4 2025 EPS | 3.4 | 3.55 | 3.7 | 65.1% | Higher New | Actual: 2.15 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue Growth | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Operating Margin | 13.0% | 13.25% | 13.5% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 13.25% for 2025 |
| 2025 EPS | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 10.2 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Share Repurchases | 450.00 Mil | 12.5% | Raised | Guidance: 400.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 225.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 225.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robinson, Kenneth B | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 94.60 | 1,392 | 131,683 | 556,248 | Form | |
| 2 | Rust, Jay | EVP Human Resources | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 93.15 | 1,500 | 139,725 | 619,261 | Form |
| 3 | Goldman, James A | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 96.18 | 5,072 | 487,825 | 727,602 | Form | |
| 4 | Anderson, Kerrii B | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 95.12 | 4,292 | 408,234 | 3,534,291 | Form | |
| 5 | Horowitz, Fran | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1262026 | 98.53 | 103,200 | 10,168,763 | 59,643,243 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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