AGNC Investment (AGNC)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $11.32 | Market Cap: $11.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
AGNC Investment (AGNC)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $11.32Market Cap: $11.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% | Key risksAGNC key risks include [1] its business model's high sensitivity to interest rate and spread fluctuations, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Financial Markets Evolution. Themes include Mortgage Market Dynamics, Securitized Real Estate Investment, and Financial Market Volatility & Hedging. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Financial Markets Evolution. Themes include Mortgage Market Dynamics, Securitized Real Estate Investment, and Financial Market Volatility & Hedging. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24% |
| Key risksAGNC key risks include [1] its business model's high sensitivity to interest rate and spread fluctuations, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Federal Reserve's Shift Towards Lower Interest Rates and Reduced Volatility: The Federal Reserve's pivot towards lower short-term rates and increased accommodation in late 2025 significantly benefited AGNC. Interest rate volatility also declined, creating a more favorable operating environment for mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) like AGNC. The Fed's rate cuts in 2025, which reduced rates by three-quarters of a point to a mid-range of 3.625%, directly impacted AGNC's cost of funding and the value of its mortgage-backed securities portfolio.
2. Supportive Macroeconomic Environment and Tighter Agency MBS Spreads: The market for Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), AGNC's primary investment, experienced a supportive macroeconomic backdrop. Agency MBS emerged as the best-performing domestic fixed-income asset class in the fourth quarter of 2025, achieving an 8.6% total return for the year—its best performance since 2002. This strong performance was driven by tighter mortgage spreads relative to benchmark rates, supporting expected returns for AGNC.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.2% change in AGNC stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.68 | 11.34 | 17.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 956 | 956 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 87.7% | 87.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.2 | 14.2 | 17.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,053 | 1,053 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 17.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.7% | 22.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 19.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.9% change in AGNC stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 63.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.80 | 11.34 | 28.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 584 | 956 | 63.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 80.5% | 87.7% | 8.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.2 | 14.2 | -17.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 918 | 1,053 | -12.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 28.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.1% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.3% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.6% change in AGNC stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 136.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.62 | 11.34 | 31.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,259 | 956 | -24.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 91.6% | 87.7% | -4.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.0 | 14.2 | 136.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 807 | 1,053 | -23.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 31.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 56.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.9% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 52.7% change in AGNC stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.43 | 11.34 | 52.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -1,698 | 956 | -156.3% |
| P/S Multiple | -2.3 | 12.5 | -640.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 529 | 1,053 | -49.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 52.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 52.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 51.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 54.3% | 47.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AGNC Return | 5% | -22% | 10% | 9% | 35% | 8% | 44% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -17% | 23% | -1% | 20% | 3% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AGNC Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 83% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 52% | 55% | 57% | 57% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AGNC Max Drawdown | -2% | -46% | -25% | -5% | -9% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -30% | -15% | -12% | -5% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NLY, STWD, BXMT, RITM, ARI. See AGNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AGNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NLY, STWD, BXMT, RITM, ARI
In The Past
AGNC Investment's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About AGNC Investment (AGNC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of brief analogies to describe AGNC Investment:
-
It's a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) similar to Simon Property Group, but instead of owning physical buildings like malls, AGNC makes money by investing in a leveraged portfolio of government-guaranteed mortgage bonds.
-
Think of it as a highly specialized financial firm, somewhat like a bank (e.g., JPMorgan Chase) that profits by borrowing money cheaply and investing it for a higher return, but AGNC deals exclusively in government-backed mortgage securities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS): These are debt securities representing claims on the cash flows from pools of residential mortgages, with principal and interest guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or government-sponsored enterprises.
- To-Be-Announced (TBA) Securities: These are forward contracts for agency RMBS, allowing AGNC to take positions on mortgage securities that will be delivered at a future date.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests primarily in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Due to the nature of its business as an investment firm, AGNC does not have traditional "customers" in the sense of companies or individuals who purchase products or services directly from it. Its revenue is generated from the net interest spread on its investments and gains from its portfolio management. However, if we interpret "major customers" as the primary entities that guarantee or are central to the recurring income stream derived from AGNC's core assets (agency MBS), then the following government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) are indispensable to AGNC's business model:- Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) (Symbol: OTCQB: FNMA)
- Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) (Symbol: OTCQB: FMCC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Peter J. Federico
Director, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Federico has served as a Director and Chief Executive Officer of AGNC Investment Corp. since July 2021 and as President since March 2018. He previously held roles within AGNC as Chief Operating Officer from March 2018 to July 2021, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from July 2016 to March 2018, and Senior Vice President and Chief Risk Officer from June 2011 until July 2016. Prior to joining AGNC, Mr. Federico served as Executive Vice President and Treasurer of Freddie Mac from October 2010 through May 2011, where he was responsible for managing the company's investment activities, developing risk mitigation strategies, and overseeing Freddie Mac's interest rate derivative portfolio and debt issuance programs. His tenure at Freddie Mac began in 1988, where he also served as Senior Vice President, Asset & Liability Management.
Bernice E. Bell
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Bell has served as Executive Vice President since January 2022 and Chief Financial Officer of AGNC Investment Corp. since March 2018. Her previous roles at AGNC include Senior Vice President from January 2016 to January 2022, Chief Accounting Officer from January 2016 to March 2018, Vice President from April 2011 to January 2016, and Controller from 2008 through December 2015. Before joining AGNC, Ms. Bell was Vice President and Controller of American Capital, Ltd. from July 2003 to December 2009, a company that managed investments in middle market private equity, leveraged finance, and structured products. She also served as Vice President and Controller of privately-held telecommunications and software development companies from July 1998 to June 2003. Ms. Bell began her career at Price Waterhouse, LLP from July 1994 to June 1998.
Gary D. Kain
Executive Chairman
Mr. Kain has served as the Executive Chairman of AGNC Investment Corp.'s Board of Directors since July 2021. He previously held the positions of Chief Executive Officer from March 2016 until July 2021 and Chief Investment Officer from January 2009 until July 2021, and also served as President from April 2011 until March 2018. Prior to joining AGNC, Mr. Kain spent over a decade at Freddie Mac, where his roles included Senior Vice President of Investments and Capital Markets (May 2008 to January 2009), Senior Vice President of Mortgage Investments & Structuring (February 2005 to April 2008), Vice President of Mortgage Portfolio Strategy (2001 to 2005), and head trader in the Securities Sales & Trading Group (1995 to 2001). Mr. Kain also served as a Director, CEO, President, and CIO of MTGE Investment Corporation, a mortgage real estate investment trust, from March 2011 until May 2018.
Kenneth L. Pollack
Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary
Mr. Pollack is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary at AGNC Investment Corp. He joined American Capital in 2004 as Vice President and Associate General Counsel. American Capital Ltd., where he previously worked, engaged in the management of investments in middle market private equity, leveraged finance, and structured products.
Christopher J. Kuehl
Executive Vice President, Head of Investment Research & Strategy
Mr. Kuehl joined AGNC Investment Corp. in August 2010. He has served as Executive Vice President – Agency Portfolio Investments since November 2016. Prior to that, he was a Senior Vice President from March 2012 through October 2016. He was selected to become Chief Investment Officer, effective July 1, 2021.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to AGNC Investment's business are:- Interest Rate Risk and Spread Risk: AGNC Investment's business model, which involves borrowing short-term and investing in long-term mortgage-backed securities (MBS), makes it highly susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates. Rising interest rates can lead to increased funding costs and a decrease in the value of existing MBS, thereby squeezing profit margins and impacting book value. Furthermore, the company faces "spread risk," which is the risk that the differential between the market yield on its assets and its interest rate hedges widens, typically leading to a decline in tangible net book value. While AGNC uses hedging instruments, these typically do not protect against spread risk.
- Leverage Risk: AGNC utilizes significant leverage to finance its investments, which amplifies both potential gains and losses. This reliance on borrowed funds increases exposure to higher borrowing costs and changes in underlying asset values. A highly leveraged position also exposes the company to risks such as margin calls and the potential for forced sales of assets during unfavorable market conditions.
- Market Volatility and Housing Market Health: The company's performance is significantly influenced by the overall financial markets, economic conditions, and the health of the housing market. Volatility in the mortgage market, changes in the yield curve, and reduced market liquidity can adversely affect asset values and investment performance. A slowdown or downturn in the housing market can negatively impact AGNC's mortgage-backed securities portfolio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
AGNC Investment Corp. (symbol: AGNC) primarily invests in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS). These securities are guaranteed against credit losses by U.S. Government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or by a U.S. government agency like Ginnie Mae. The addressable market for AGNC's main products is the U.S. Agency residential MBS market. As of the end of 2024, the Agency single-family MBS market in the U.S. was approximately $9.195 trillion. Other recent figures for outstanding Agency single-family MBS in the U.S. include $9.03 trillion as of November 2024 and $8.838 trillion as of December 2023. The broader U.S. MBS market (including both agency and non-agency) was estimated at over $11 trillion in outstanding securities as of mid-2023.AI Analysis | Feedback
AGNC Investment (symbol: AGNC) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors:
- Lower Funding Costs and Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: Anticipated future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are projected to reduce AGNC's funding costs. This is expected to provide a "moderate tailwind to net spread and dollar roll income," directly enhancing the company's profitability and revenue generation.
- Strategic Shift Towards Higher Return Securities: AGNC has been strategically adjusting its portfolio towards riskier, higher-return asset classes. The "deployment of new capital in Q3 was complete, resulting in a portfolio adjustment towards higher return securities," suggesting a deliberate effort to boost returns and, consequently, revenue.
- Increased Leverage: The company actively employs leverage on its investment portfolio to amplify potential returns for stockholders. AGNC is "anticipating a gradual tightening of MBS spreads and slightly higher leverage," with management signaling confidence through "increased leverage." This strategic use of leverage is a key mechanism for driving revenue growth.
- Optimized Market Conditions for Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): The company expects "optimized market conditions for agency mortgage-backed securities, supported by governmental focus on mortgage spreads and potential regulatory reforms." A "stabilizing market for Agency mortgage-backed securities and a more predictable interest rate environment" are also expected to contribute to a margin rebound, firming up returns and maintaining attractive yields for AGNC.
- Deployment of Recently Raised Capital: The "full deployment of recently raised capital" is explicitly identified as a factor expected to provide a "moderate tailwind to net spread and dollar roll income in upcoming quarters." This expansion of their investment base directly contributes to future revenue generation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- AGNC's board authorized a new plan in October 2024 to repurchase up to $1 billion of common stock through December 31, 2026, replacing a previous authorization.
- In 2022, AGNC's annual share buybacks amounted to $51 million.
- The company's policy is to buy back shares when the repurchase price is lower than the tangible net book value per common share.
Share Issuance
- In Q3 2025, AGNC issued 31.0 million shares of common stock through at-the-market (ATM) offerings for net proceeds of $309 million and $345 million of 8.75% Series H preferred equity.
- During 2024, AGNC issued a total of $2.0 billion in common stock through its ATM program, including $511 million in Q4 2024.
- AGNC priced a public offering of 12 million depositary shares, representing interests in its Series H Preferred Stock, for gross proceeds of $300 million in September 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| Rev LTM | 861 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 414 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 249 |
| CFO LTM | 414 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 281 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 83.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 42.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 65.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 53.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.5 |
| P/CFO | 8.2 |
| Total Yield | 14.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 3.3 |
| Net D/E | 2.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -35.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $11.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 11.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/15/2008 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $10.92 | $9.45 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.9% | 20.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.5% | 22.0% |
| Downside Capture | 33.50 | 57.05 |
| Upside Capture | 105.24 | 74.78 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.6% | 56.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.24 | 0.87 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| Up Beta | -0.56 | 0.30 | -0.01 | 0.67 | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | 1.09 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Up Capture | 241% | 182% | 137% | 81% | 72% | 75% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 36 | 68 | 133 | 396 |
| Down Capture | 129% | 78% | 43% | 27% | 70% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 14 | 22 | 50 | 108 | 328 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 29.5% | 21.9% | 1.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 4.6% | 19.2% | 0.11 | 50.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 0.62 | 56.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.8% | 24.9% | 2.30 | 12.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.40 | 28.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.11 | 59.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.8% | -0.57 | 23.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 6.5% | 25.5% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.3% | 18.7% | 0.63 | 50.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 53.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 16.9% | 1.07 | 16.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 15.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 60.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 58.0% | 0.47 | 19.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC | 8.7% | 25.2% | 0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.0% | 22.2% | 0.58 | 49.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 50.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.8% | 15.5% | 0.85 | 16.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 20.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 57.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.8% | 1.08 | 16.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/26/2026 | |||
| 10/20/2025 | -0.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| 7/21/2025 | 1.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| 4/21/2025 | 3.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% |
| 1/27/2025 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 8.6% |
| 10/21/2024 | -3.6% | -7.1% | -5.7% |
| 7/22/2024 | 0.7% | -1.5% | -0.1% |
| 4/22/2024 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 8.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 3.1% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -2.5% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.9% | 10.5% | 17.9% |
| Max Negative | -7.0% | -12.9% | -10.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bell, Bernice | EVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 10.21 | 10,000 | 102,150 | 3,572,383 | Form |
| 2 | Bell, Bernice | EVP, CFO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 10.32 | 10,000 | 103,200 | 3,505,903 | Form |
| 3 | Federico, Peter J | Director, Pres., CEO and CIO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 10.16 | 45,797 | 465,160 | 16,283,691 | Form |
| 4 | Federico, Peter J | Director, Pres., CEO and CIO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 10.27 | 45,798 | 470,208 | 15,989,835 | Form |
| 5 | Federico, Peter J | Director, Pres., CEO and CIO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 10.30 | 45,798 | 471,609 | 15,565,882 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.