Tearsheet

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (11/3/2025): $256.8 | Market Cap: $416.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (11/3/2025): $256.8
Market Cap: $416.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 147x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 168x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 147x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

AMD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 45.3% stock movement for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) from July 31, 2025, to November 1, 2025: 1. Positive Q2 2025 Earnings and Strong Q3 Guidance: Advanced Micro Devices reported its Q2 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025. While the adjusted EPS of $0.48 slightly missed Wall Street expectations of $0.54, the company's revenue of $7.7 billion exceeded the $7.4 billion forecast. More significantly, AMD provided robust Q3 guidance, projecting revenue in the range of $8.4 billion to $9 billion, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates. This optimistic outlook for the upcoming quarter, driven by strong performance in the data center and AI segments, helped set a positive tone for the stock.

2. Strategic Partnership with OpenAI: On October 6, 2025, AMD announced a major multi-year, multi-generation agreement with OpenAI. This partnership involves OpenAI deploying 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs to power its next-generation AI infrastructure, with the initial 1 gigawatt deployment of AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs scheduled to begin in the second half of 2026. This groundbreaking deal is expected to generate tens of billions of dollars in revenue for AMD and was accompanied by a warrant for up to 160 million AMD shares for OpenAI, contingent on specific milestones. This announcement was a significant bullish catalyst, driving investor optimism regarding AMD's position in the rapidly expanding AI market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMD Return100%57%-55%128%-18%112%458%
Peers Return37%31%-31%78%8%39%228%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMD Win Rate50%50%33%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%43%28%55%40%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMD Max Drawdown-16%-20%-61%-4%-19%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-6%-39%-3%-29%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ. See AMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven461 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven168 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1030.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3556 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ


In The Past

Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -65.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -65.4% loss requires a 189.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Better Bets than Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.4%11.4%0.0%
AMD_12312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312021AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-48.8%-55.0%-61.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.4%11.4%0.0%
AMD_12312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312021AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-48.8%-55.0%-61.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Advanced Micro Devices

Financials

AMDNVDAINTCMCHPQRVOAMBQMedian
NameAdvanced.NVIDIA Intel Microchi.Qorvo Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap415.74,933.9174.733.78.8-174.7
Rev LTM29,600165,21853,0704,2363,6516916,918
Op Inc LTM2,45395,981-4,397208217-38213
FCF LTM4,04372,023-10,943726587-21656
FCF 3Y Avg2,42243,044-13,3572,018597-2,018
CFO LTM4,87777,03510,082797724-162,837
CFO 3Y Avg3,06345,86610,4522,282736-3,063

Growth & Margins

AMDNVDAINTCMCHPQRVOAMBQMedian
NameAdvanced.NVIDIA Intel Microchi.Qorvo Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM27.2%71.6%-3.7%-35.7%-8.8%--3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.7%92.0%-9.4%-13.0%-4.5%--4.5%
Rev Chg Q31.7%55.6%0.2%-13.4%-7.7%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.7%11.2%0.0%-3.8%-1.8%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%58.1%-8.3%4.9%5.9%-54.6%5.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.4%51.0%-3.9%23.8%5.1%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%0.1%-0.5%-3.6%0.8%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.5%46.6%19.0%18.8%19.8%-22.6%18.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.9%44.5%19.3%32.1%20.3%-20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.7%43.6%-20.6%17.1%16.1%-29.7%14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%41.3%-24.7%28.5%16.4%-16.4%

Valuation

AMDNVDAINTCMCHPQRVOAMBQMedian
NameAdvanced.NVIDIA Intel Microchi.Qorvo Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap415.74,933.9174.733.78.8-174.7
P/S14.029.93.37.92.4-7.9
P/EBIT167.848.9-16.1309.149.5-49.5
P/E146.757.0-8.5-226.8109.2-57.0
P/CFO85.264.017.342.312.2-42.3
Total Yield0.7%1.8%-11.4%0.3%0.9%-0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%1.5%-10.8%4.3%6.2%-1.5%
D/E0.00.00.30.20.2-0.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.20.10.0-0.0

Returns

AMDNVDAINTCMCHPQRVOAMBQMedian
NameAdvanced.NVIDIA Intel Microchi.Qorvo Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn49.0%5.3%5.4%-7.5%1.8%1.1%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn36.8%4.4%97.0%-13.7%3.4%-28.0%3.9%
6M Excs Rtn138.9%56.6%73.7%11.9%13.6%-56.6%
12M Excs Rtn36.8%26.1%57.4%-36.0%-22.8%-26.1%
3Y Excs Rtn250.2%1,393.5%-24.1%-71.7%-67.4%--24.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Data Center6,4966,0433,694  
Gaming6,2126,8055,607  
Embedded5,3214,552246  
Client4,6516,2016,887  
Computing and Graphics   6,4324,709
Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom   3,3312,022
Total22,68023,60116,4349,7636,731


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Embedded2,6282,25244  
Data Center1,2671,848991  
Gaming971953934  
Client-461,1902,088  
All Other-4,419-4,979-409-288-209
Computing and Graphics   1,266577
Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom   391263
Total4011,2643,6481,369631


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38,861,080
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020252.4%
Average Daily Volume100,865,432
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,623,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024205202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023131202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021203202210-K 12/25/2021
93020211027202110-Q 9/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hahn AvaSVP, GC & Corporate Secretary9042025Sell158.1014322,6081,881,548Form
1GUIDO PHILIPEVP & Chief Commercial Officer5212025Buy113.568,800999,3284,806,086Form
2GUIDO PHILIPEVP & Chief Commercial Officer2122025Buy107.564,645499,6163,605,626Form